Vobile Group (3738) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$12.14B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 33.45M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 54.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.75
• Revenue Growth: 22.86%
• EPS Growth: 5105.88%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 535
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Software - Application
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 2,543,700,200
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 24,431,056
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 33,450,141
• PEG Ratio: -0.03
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.02
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.52
• P/FCF Ratio: -38.22
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: HK$8.00
• Price Target Upside: 65.98% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$5.00 ▲(3.73% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (growth and rising margins), but it is held back by weak cash flow quality (negative free cash flow and low operating cash conversion) and a high valuation (P/E 54.463). Technicals are mixed, offering only modest support.

Positive Factors

Consistent revenue growth

Sustained revenue growth of ~10% indicates expanding demand for Vobile’s digital content protection and asset services. A growing top line supports reinvestment in product development and sales capacity, improving the company's ability to scale recurring cloud/software revenue over the medium term.

Improving gross and net profitability

Higher gross margins and a return to positive net margin show the business is converting revenue into profit more effectively. Margin improvement enhances free cash flow potential and resiliency, enabling sustained investment in platform capabilities and customer retention over multiple quarters.

Moderate leverage with improving ROE

A modest debt-to-equity ratio signals manageable leverage that preserves financial flexibility, while an improving ROE suggests better utilization of shareholder capital. Together these support capacity for disciplined funding of growth initiatives without excessive balance-sheet strain.

Negative Factors

Negative free cash flow and weak cash conversion

Negative FCF and very low OCF-to-net-income ratio point to poor cash conversion and potential liquidity stress despite reported profits. This undermines sustainable self-funding of operations, increasing reliance on external financing or capital raises over the medium term.

Moderate EBIT/EBITDA margins limit resilience

Moderate operating margins imply limited buffer against cost inflation or customer pricing pressure. Without further efficiency gains or higher-margin product mix, profitability could compress in downturns, reducing free cash flow sensitivity and slowing durable margin expansion.

Free cash flow still negative despite growth

Positive FCF growth trend is encouraging but absolute negative FCF means the company still consumes cash. Continued negative FCF constrains ability to reinvest, pay down debt, or return capital, and raises execution risk until cash generation turns sustainably positive.

Vobile Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vobile Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides software as a service in the United States, Japan, Mainland China, and internationally. The company offers online video content protection and monetization services for content owners to protect their content from unauthorized use, measure the viewership of their content, and monetize their content. It provides content protection, measurement, and management and monetization platforms, as well as pay per transaction platforms. The company serves film studios, TV networks, record labels, DTC service providers, subscription video-on-demand content aggregators, sports leagues, toys and games companies, and other content owners. Vobile Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

How the Company Makes Money

Vobile Group generates revenue through several key streams, including licensing fees from its content protection and management services, subscription fees for its technology platforms, and transaction-based revenues from content monetization services. The company partners with major media companies, streaming platforms, and content distributors, allowing them to effectively monitor and protect their intellectual property. Additionally, Vobile benefits from a growing demand for digital content as more businesses seek to secure their assets in an increasingly online environment, further enhancing its revenue potential.

Vobile Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Vobile Group shows promising revenue growth and improved profitability, with a strong income statement. However, operational efficiency and cash flow management require attention, as indicated by moderate EBIT and EBITDA margins and negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

Vobile Group has demonstrated strong revenue growth of 10.21% in the latest year, with improving gross and net profit margins. The gross profit margin increased to 43.79%, and the net profit margin turned positive at 5.94%, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain moderate, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, reflecting moderate leverage. The return on equity improved to 6.80%, showing better utilization of equity. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing stability.

Cash Flow

Vobile Group faces challenges in cash flow management, with a negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.40%. Despite a 23.18% growth in free cash flow, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential liquidity issues that need addressing.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.68B	2.40B	2.00B	1.44B	686.53M	340.29M
Gross Profit	1.19B	1.05B	850.16M	590.71M	348.77M	165.56M
EBITDA	457.64M	413.42M	275.14M	271.54M	28.75M	135.16M
Net Income	203.60M	142.73M	-7.82M	42.00M	-22.68M	81.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.84B	3.92B	3.51B	3.26B	1.77B	1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	578.28M	220.29M	240.04M	226.50M	496.87M	262.36M
Total Debt	1.10B	1.02B	696.48M	1.13B	24.26M	260.99M
Total Liabilities	1.77B	1.62B	1.37B	1.59B	233.83M	364.67M
Stockholders Equity	2.87B	2.10B	1.95B	1.49B	1.54B	788.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-91.36M	-220.83M	-100.01M	-67.48M	-75.06M	22.24M
Operating Cash Flow	-75.90M	4.14M	110.07M	37.61M	-8.77M	33.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-468.99M	-254.61M	-213.86M	-1.03B	-164.66M	-11.29M
Financing Cash Flow	810.31M	257.60M	138.98M	713.55M	398.71M	200.07M

Vobile Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 4.82
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3738, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.29, above the 50-day MA of 4.59, and above the 200-day MA of 4.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3738.

Vobile Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
0863	61 Neutral	HK$14.78B	469.70	4.01%	―	115.40%	―
9878	60 Neutral	HK$5.31B	17.22	3.62%	―	-28.46%	-13.25%
3738	59 Neutral	HK$12.14B	54.46	8.42%	―	22.86%	5105.88%
0909	43 Neutral	HK$6.33B	-94.97	-1.31%	3.10%	-17.48%	83.80%

Vobile Group Corporate Events

Vobile Group Reports Strong Revenue Growth in Q3 2025

Vobile Group Limited reported a significant increase in its unaudited operating data for the three months ending September 30, 2025, with a 27% rise in total revenue compared to the same period in 2024. The company’s monthly recurring revenue also saw a 28% increase, highlighting strong performance in the Chinese Mainland market. While these figures are preliminary and subject to change, they indicate a positive trend in Vobile’s financial health and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3738) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vobile Group stock, see the HK:3738 Stock Forecast page.