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China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (HK:2002)
:2002
Hong Kong Market
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China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2002

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.

(2002)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
HK$1.00
▼(-4.76% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance, especially the sharp 2025 cash-flow deterioration and thinner margins alongside rising leverage. Offsetting this, the stock shows a constructive technical setup versus moving averages and looks attractively valued (low P/E and ~4.76% dividend yield), which supports a mid-range overall score.
Positive Factors
Stable gross & EBITDA margins
Mid‑teen gross margins and a positive EBITDA margin (~8.7% in 2025) indicate the core paper business retains operating resilience. In an asset‑heavy industry, sustained gross profitability supports coverage of fixed costs and provides a buffer versus raw‑material and energy swings, helping preserve cash flow generation over cycles.
Negative Factors
Severe cash‑flow deterioration
Deeply negative free cash flow (~-582M in 2025) is a durable red flag: it impairs the company’s ability to fund capex, service debt and sustain discretionary payouts without external financing. Persistent negative FCF can force asset sales, higher borrowing or equity issuance, reducing strategic flexibility over months to years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Stable gross & EBITDA margins
Mid‑teen gross margins and a positive EBITDA margin (~8.7% in 2025) indicate the core paper business retains operating resilience. In an asset‑heavy industry, sustained gross profitability supports coverage of fixed costs and provides a buffer versus raw‑material and energy swings, helping preserve cash flow generation over cycles.
Read all positive factors

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. (2002) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited is an international enterprise primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of diverse paper products. Its extensive portfolio encompasses white top linerboards, both standard and coated va...
How the Company Makes Money
The company makes money primarily by manufacturing paper products and selling them to customers (typically businesses) that use paper for packaging and related industrial applications. Key revenue streams are generated from (1) sales of paper prod...

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured. Profitability has materially weakened (net margin ~2.1% in 2022/2025 vs ~7% in 2020–2021; EBIT margin ~3.0% in 2025), revenue has turned negative in recent years, leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.34x in 2025), and cash generation deteriorated sharply with 2025 free cash flow deeply negative (~-582M). Mid-teen gross margins provide some operating resilience, but the recent earnings and cash-flow downshift is a major risk.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
23
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.79B8.05B8.36B9.54B7.98B
Gross Profit1.09B1.20B1.31B1.16B1.53B
EBITDA731.19M613.96M1.19B918.92M1.24B
Net Income159.90M279.87M393.31M205.73M556.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.54B12.11B12.16B12.10B11.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.92B1.15B1.59B868.93M840.09M
Total Debt6.50B5.11B5.18B5.56B4.71B
Total Liabilities8.22B6.81B7.19B7.68B6.94B
Stockholders Equity4.84B4.85B4.57B4.09B3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-582.25M86.51M870.30M-111.79M-50.98M
Operating Cash Flow113.71M680.54M1.41B546.40M1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-791.12M-884.63M-118.01M-1.13B-1.39B
Financing Cash Flow853.55M-228.69M-559.81M607.55M536.07M

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.05
Price Trends
50DMA
0.94
Positive
100DMA
1.02
Negative
200DMA
1.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
53.94
Neutral
STOCH
13.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2002, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.97, above the 50-day MA of 0.94, and below the 200-day MA of 1.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2002.

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
HK$17.22B8.917.88%3.95%2.49%47.91%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
HK$168.15M1.8224.65%0.10%81.31%
57
Neutral
HK$35.43B9.027.39%7.38%252.52%
55
Neutral
HK$1.07B5.733.27%5.15%-3.12%-41.12%
45
Neutral
HK$410.23M-4.35-59.49%9.60%-399.43%
41
Neutral
HK$4.51B-0.79-299.18%-48.87%16.69%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2002
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd.
1.01
-0.92
-47.66%
HK:2314
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing
4.32
1.36
45.97%
HK:2689
Nine Dragons Paper Holdings
8.06
2.83
54.11%
HK:1812
Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Co., Ltd. Class H
0.67
-0.31
-31.63%
HK:0731
C&D Newin Paper & Pulp Corporation Limited
0.27
0.06
28.57%
HK:8481
Shenglong Splendecor International Limited
0.41
-0.07
-14.58%

China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

China Sunshine Paper Uses Sale-and-Leaseback to Unlock Capital From Linerboard Assets
Jul 21, 2026
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Co. Ltd., via its subsidiary Numat Paper, is a Chinese paper manufacturer specializing in coated white top linerboard, relying on dedicated production equipment installed at its Weifang, Shandong facility. These indus...
China Sunshine Paper Warns of Sharply Lower Interim Profit Amid Rising Costs
Jul 17, 2026
China Sunshine Paper Holdings Company Limited, a Hong Kong-listed paper manufacturer incorporated in the Cayman Islands with main operations in Shandong, PRC, produces paper and related materials for regional and broader markets. The group operate...
China Sunshine Paper Lends RMB59 Million to Boost Returns on Cash
Jun 16, 2026
China Sunshine Paper Holdings’ subsidiary Century Sunshine has agreed to extend a RMB59 million loan to Rifangsheng for one year at an annual interest rate of 3.45%, with interest payable quarterly and principal due in a lump sum at maturity...
China Sunshine Paper Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM
Jun 12, 2026
China Sunshine Paper Holdings reported the results of its annual general meeting held on 12 June 2026 in Weifang, Shandong, with all directors attending either in person or electronically. Shareholders overwhelmingly approved the company’s a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026