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REF Holdings Limited (HK:1631)
:1631
Hong Kong Market
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REF Holdings Limited (1631) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1631

REF Holdings Limited

(1631)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.00
▲(334.78% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance: strong cash generation and improving leverage are offset by sustained revenue contraction and materially weaker profitability/returns. Technicals add support via strong positive momentum (price well above moving averages and positive MACD), while valuation is a drag due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow in 2025 (32.0M and 31.8M) provides durable liquidity to fund operations, capex, or debt reduction. Solid cash conversion historically means management has real cash flexibility to smooth cycles and support strategic investments.
Negative Factors
Persistent revenue decline
Multi-year top-line contraction shrinks the scale of the business, reducing fixed-cost absorption and limiting reinvestment capacity. Structural revenue loss or market-share erosion over several years makes turning profits and restoring growth more difficult without strategic product or market changes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistently strong operating and free cash flow in 2025 (32.0M and 31.8M) provides durable liquidity to fund operations, capex, or debt reduction. Solid cash conversion historically means management has real cash flexibility to smooth cycles and support strategic investments.
Read all positive factors

REF Holdings Limited (1631) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

REF Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
REF Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides financial printing services in Hong Kong. It offers financial printing services comprising typesetting, proofreading, translation, design, printing, web submitting, media placement, and...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

REF Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a key support (2025 operating cash flow 32.0M; free cash flow 31.8M with +2.4% growth) and leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity 0.27, improved vs 2024). However, multi-year revenue decline (147.5M in 2020 to 92.3M in 2025) and sharp margin/ROE compression (net margin 9.4% in 2023 to 3.2% in 2025; ROE 16.1% to 3.6%) weigh on overall financial quality despite resilient gross margin (~50.5% in 2025).
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.30M106.36M124.04M129.71M135.08M
Gross Profit46.62M56.07M63.25M66.23M72.20M
EBITDA5.18M28.91M38.02M38.04M34.13M
Net Income2.98M5.67M11.71M11.16M8.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.65M125.50M104.22M147.80M210.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.86M55.75M55.09M77.32M128.99M
Total Debt22.22M36.42M8.54M25.46M41.64M
Total Liabilities40.83M45.77M31.47M48.38M70.91M
Stockholders Equity82.81M79.73M72.75M99.42M139.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.77M16.69M36.03M20.91M15.59M
Operating Cash Flow32.01M16.96M36.17M21.53M29.10M
Investing Cash Flow-365.00K19.38M42.50M-58.78M5.50M
Financing Cash Flow-18.55M-17.27M-59.82M-72.96M-93.52M

REF Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.46
Price Trends
50DMA
0.59
Positive
100DMA
0.54
Positive
200DMA
0.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
84.26
Negative
STOCH
85.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1631, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.75, below the 50-day MA of 0.59, and below the 200-day MA of 0.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1631.

REF Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
HK$201.96M7.608.42%18.18%-3.56%-16.74%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
HK$424.96M43.893.82%-13.22%-47.51%
62
Neutral
HK$211.20M7.19-23.30%8.60%-3.83%-698.65%
54
Neutral
HK$155.69M4.1910.09%-6.56%
48
Neutral
HK$729.70M-10.57-2.27%13.04%-7.73%-82.01%
46
Neutral
HK$56.65M184.910.37%-10.78%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1631
REF Holdings Limited
1.66
1.16
232.00%
HK:0450
Hung Hing Printing Group Limited
0.81
-0.11
-12.15%
HK:1540
Left Field Printing Group Ltd.
0.41
0.02
4.92%
HK:1884
eprint Group Ltd.
0.10
>-0.01
-6.36%
HK:1975
Sun Hing Printing Holdings Limited
0.44
0.11
34.97%
HK:8448
Universe Printshop Holdings Ltd.
1.56
1.34
622.22%

REF Holdings Limited Corporate Events

REF Holdings plans HK$23.4 million share placing to fund financial printing expansion
May 12, 2026
REF Holdings Limited has entered into a placing agreement with Kingston Securities to issue up to 51.2 million new shares under its general mandate at HK$0.457 per share to at least six independent professional or institutional investors. The plac...
REF Holdings Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM
May 6, 2026
REF Holdings Limited reported that all ordinary and special resolutions proposed at its 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders via poll. The adopted resolutions covered the approval of the 2025 audited financial statements, re-e...
REF Holdings Corrects Clerical Errors in 2026 AGM Circular
Mar 27, 2026
REF Holdings Limited has issued a clarification regarding its 2026 annual general meeting documentation, after identifying clerical errors in the AGM circular dated 27 March 2026. The company stated that one ordinary resolution and an associated n...
REF Holdings Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Results, Board Changes and Share Issue Mandate
Mar 26, 2026
REF Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for 6 May 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will vote on adopting the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025 and receive reports from the board and independen...
REF Holdings profit nearly halves in 2025 on weaker revenue
Mar 5, 2026
REF Holdings Limited reported a decline in revenue to HK$92.3 million for the year ended 31 December 2025, down from HK$106.4 million a year earlier, with gross profit falling to HK$46.6 million. Net profit attributable to shareholders nearly halv...
REF Holdings moves to update corporate rules for hybrid meetings and treasury share regime
Mar 5, 2026
REF Holdings Limited plans to overhaul its constitutional documents, proposing amendments to its existing memorandum and articles of association to align with updated Hong Kong Listing Rules and Cayman Islands laws. The revisions focus on enabling...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026