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Baguio Green Group Ltd (HK:1397)
:1397
Hong Kong Market
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Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1397

Baguio Green Group Ltd

(1397)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
HK$1.00
▼(-13.04% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (low and improving leverage, strong ROE) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a ~3.39% dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weaker recent operating trends—2025 revenue contraction and volatile/free-cash-flow decline—and a mixed technical backdrop with only modest momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative and improving leverage
Lower and improving leverage materially reduces balance-sheet risk and increases financial flexibility. That stronger capital structure supports bidding for multi-year contracts, cushions against revenue swings, and preserves capacity for reinvestment or opportunistic M&A over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contraction
A material year-over-year revenue decline erodes scale benefits and may reflect lost contracts or weaker demand. Reduced top-line pressure limits fixed-cost absorption and can reverse recent margin gains, raising execution risk during contract retendering cycles over the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative and improving leverage
Lower and improving leverage materially reduces balance-sheet risk and increases financial flexibility. That stronger capital structure supports bidding for multi-year contracts, cushions against revenue swings, and preserves capacity for reinvestment or opportunistic M&A over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Baguio Green Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Baguio Green Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental and related services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Southeast Asia. It operates through four segments: Cleaning Services Business, Landscaping Services Business, ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by providing contracted services and being paid service fees for delivering those services over agreed contract terms. Key revenue streams generally include (1) waste management-related services (e.g., waste colle...

Baguio Green Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive with low and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.17) and solid ROE (~19.8%). However, financial performance is tempered by a 2025 revenue decline (-9.0%) and uneven cash generation, including a sharp YoY drop in free cash flow (~-43.8%) despite remaining positive.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.42B2.60B2.33B1.79B1.27B
Gross Profit230.59M188.37M206.12M150.97M109.00M
EBITDA168.44M144.43M161.64M140.07M82.30M
Net Income97.28M53.86M47.11M53.71M12.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets999.43M1.01B1.01B896.17M660.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments251.74M128.05M45.93M33.58M36.72M
Total Debt85.98M118.90M219.28M223.59M161.33M
Total Liabilities506.84M597.87M641.69M560.06M374.36M
Stockholders Equity491.66M411.57M370.19M337.62M286.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow150.64M227.46M44.49M-51.48M8.50M
Operating Cash Flow197.75M262.44M96.27M83.75M84.77M
Investing Cash Flow-19.79M-32.15M-49.29M-122.27M-67.08M
Financing Cash Flow-61.72M-143.61M-34.36M35.85M-13.17M

Baguio Green Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.15
Price Trends
50DMA
1.17
Negative
100DMA
1.21
Negative
200DMA
1.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
46.13
Neutral
STOCH
85.86
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1397, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.07, below the 50-day MA of 1.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.86 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1397.

Baguio Green Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
HK$464.80M4.9120.61%3.17%-6.86%80.59%
67
Neutral
HK$520.00M1.934.69%-0.24%-24.32%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
51
Neutral
HK$174.95M7.754.68%37.07%
51
Neutral
HK$393.33M-19.12-36.78%-0.67%18.40%
50
Neutral
HK$170.00M-20.30-2.28%2.46%-0.17%63.22%
46
Neutral
HK$317.33M-2.61-12.96%-15.06%-30.89%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1397
Baguio Green Group Ltd
1.12
0.52
86.67%
HK:1395
ELL Environmental Holdings Limited
0.16
0.03
19.70%
HK:0979
Green Energy Group Limited
0.29
0.11
65.71%
HK:1790
TIL Enviro Limited
0.52
0.05
10.64%
HK:1845
Weigang Environmental Technology Holding Group Ltd.
0.24
0.10
76.30%
HK:0436
New Universe Environmental Group Limited
0.06
<0.01
3.70%

Baguio Green Group Ltd Corporate Events

Baguio Green Group Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates
Apr 23, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has called its annual general meeting for 29 May 2026 in Central, Hong Kong, where shareholders will vote on the approval of the 2025 audited financial statements and a proposed final dividend of HK$0.07 per share. The a...
Baguio Green Group Declares Final HKD 0.07 Dividend for 2025
Mar 25, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has declared a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 0.07 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, confirming shareholder approval on 29 May 2026. The move underscores the company&#8217;s continued commitme...
Baguio Green Group Boosts Profit and Dividend Despite Lower Revenue in 2025
Mar 24, 2026
Baguio Green Group reported 2025 revenue of HK$2.42 billion, down 6.9% year on year, but substantially improved profitability, with gross profit up 22.4% to HK$230.6 million and profit attributable to shareholders jumping 80.6% to HK$97.3 million....
Baguio Green Group Declares Final Dividend of HKD 0.07 per Share for 2025
Mar 24, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has declared a final ordinary dividend of HKD 0.07 per share for the financial year ended 31 December 2025, with shareholder approval obtained on 29 May 2025. The stock will trade ex-dividend on 3 June 2025, with a recor...
Baguio Green Group Sets March Board Meeting on 2025 Results and Dividend
Mar 12, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 24 March 2026 to consider and approve the final results of the company and its subsidiaries for the financial year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also deliberate on the potential...
Baguio Green Group Flags Over 60% Profit Jump for 2025
Mar 5, 2026
Baguio Green Group has issued a positive profit alert, indicating it expects profit after tax of at least HK$91 million for 2025, up more than 60% from HK$56.5 million a year earlier. The board attributes the surge mainly to improved gross profit ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 28, 2026