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Baguio Green Group Ltd
(1397)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
HK$0.99
▼(-13.91% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (low and improving leverage, strong ROE) and attractive valuation (low P/E with a ~3.39% dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weaker recent operating trends—2025 revenue contraction and volatile/free-cash-flow decline—and a mixed technical backdrop with only modest momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio and growing equity provide durable financial flexibility. Conservative leverage reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports bid capacity for contracts, and allows reinvestment or dividend maintenance across multi-year cycles.
Negative Factors
2025 revenue contraction
A meaningful year-over-year revenue decline signals either contract attrition, pricing pressure, or reduced demand. Persistent top-line weakness would erode operating leverage, challenge margin sustainability, and make it harder to fund reinvestment or maintain service capacity long-term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet
A materially lower debt-to-equity ratio and growing equity provide durable financial flexibility. Conservative leverage reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports bid capacity for contracts, and allows reinvestment or dividend maintenance across multi-year cycles.
Read all positive factors
Baguio Green Group Ltd (1397) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$373.50M
Dividend Yield3.17%
Average Volume (3M)544.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.9
Beta (1Y)0.34
Revenue Growth-6.86%
EPS Growth80.59%
CountryHK
Employees10,329
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryWaste Management
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.23
Shares Outstanding415,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume292,400
30 Day Avg. Volume544,566
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.06
Price to Book (P/B)0.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.20
P/FCF Ratio3.17
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$3.00B
Baguio Green Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Operating as an investment holding company, Baguio Green Group Limited delivers a comprehensive suite of environmental and associated services across Hong Kong, Mainland China, and Southeast Asia. The company's operations are structured around fou...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by providing contracted services and being paid service fees for delivering those services over agreed contract terms. Key revenue streams generally include (1) waste management-related services (e.g., waste colle...
Baguio Green Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
61
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 2.42B | 2.60B | 2.33B | 1.79B | 1.27B |
| Gross Profit | 230.59M | 188.37M | 206.12M | 150.97M | 109.00M |
| EBITDA | 159.98M | 144.43M | 161.64M | 140.07M | 82.30M |
| Net Income | 97.28M | 53.86M | 47.11M | 53.71M | 12.85M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 999.43M | 1.01B | 1.01B | 896.17M | 660.94M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 251.74M | 128.05M | 45.93M | 33.58M | 36.72M |
| Total Debt | 85.98M | 118.90M | 219.28M | 223.59M | 161.33M |
| Total Liabilities | 506.84M | 597.87M | 641.69M | 560.06M | 374.36M |
| Stockholders Equity | 491.66M | 411.57M | 370.19M | 337.62M | 286.58M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 150.64M | 227.46M | 44.49M | -51.48M | 8.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 197.75M | 262.44M | 96.27M | 83.75M | 84.77M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -19.79M | -32.15M | -49.29M | -122.27M | -67.08M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -61.72M | -143.61M | -34.36M | 35.85M | -13.17M |
Baguio Green Group Ltd Technical Analysis
Negative
1.15
Price Trends
1.02
Negative
1.06
Negative
1.09
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Positive
30.91
Neutral
17.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1397, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.99, above the 50-day MA of 1.02, and above the 200-day MA of 1.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1397.
Baguio Green Group Ltd Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | HK$10.54B | 15.31 | 7.72% | 6.19% | 7.14% | 3.17% | |
70 Outperform | HK$373.50M | 3.87 | 20.61% | 3.17% | -6.86% | 80.59% | |
67 Neutral | HK$510.00M | 7.78 | 4.69% | ― | -0.24% | -24.32% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
59 Neutral | HK$630.15M | 2.35 | 5.77% | ― | -14.62% | -19.99% | |
50 Neutral | HK$1.22B | 3.81 | 3.96% | ― | 1.03% | 16.29% | |
43 Neutral | HK$538.90M | -2.04 | -7.92% | 5.36% | -2.70% | -3800.00% |
* Industrials Sector Average
HK:1397
Baguio Green Group Ltd
0.90
0.28
45.63%
HK:1330
Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd. Class H
5.29
0.63
13.57%
HK:0154
Beijing Enterprises Environment Group Limited
0.42
-0.17
-28.81%
HK:1790
TIL Enviro Limited
0.51
0.12
30.77%
HK:3989
Capital Environment Holdings Limited
0.08
0.01
13.51%
HK:0587
China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Ltd.
0.30
-0.33
-52.38%
Baguio Green Group Ltd Corporate Events
Baguio Green Wins Unanimous Backing at AGM, Secures New Capital Mandates
May 29, 2026
Baguio Green Group Ltd reported that all resolutions at its 29 May 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders through a poll, including the adoption of the 2025 audited accounts and the declaration of a final dividend of HK$0.07 per...
Baguio Green Group Sets 2026 AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates
Apr 23, 2026
Baguio Green Group Limited has called its annual general meeting for 29 May 2026 in Central, Hong Kong, where shareholders will vote on the approval of the 2025 audited financial statements and a proposed final dividend of HK$0.07 per share. The a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.