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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396
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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(1396)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$13.00
▲(140.30% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile core profitability and sharp revenue contraction, despite improved leverage and positive recent cash generation. Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend but appears overbought, while valuation is stretched with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet repair
The material reduction in reported leverage represents a durable shift in financial flexibility. Lower D/E reduces near-term refinancing pressure and improves covenant headroom, enabling management to prioritize sustainable operations or selective project investment rather than emergency deleveraging.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
A roughly 50% revenue decline materially reduces scale, weakens fixed-cost absorption and threatens long-term project economics. For a developer, sustained top-line contraction undermines backlog conversion, pricing power and margin recovery prospects, making durable profitability harder to achieve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet repair
The material reduction in reported leverage represents a durable shift in financial flexibility. Lower D/E reduces near-term refinancing pressure and improves covenant headroom, enabling management to prioritize sustainable operations or selective project investment rather than emergency deleveraging.
Read all positive factors

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, operating alongside its subsidiaries, primarily develops, manages, and sells residential properties along with commercial trade and logistics facilities throughout Mainland China. Its divers...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show partial stabilization but remain high risk. Cash flow has been positive in 2023–2025 and leverage improved sharply in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.9 vs ~14.7 in 2024). However, revenue contracted heavily in 2025 (down ~50%) and operating profitability is deeply negative (EBIT margin ~-106%), indicating weak core earnings quality and turnaround uncertainty.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B
Gross Profit-529.53M-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M
EBITDA-928.98M-1.41B-825.62M-627.61M-52.24M
Net Income73.05M-1.83B-1.21B-1.57B-498.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.64B12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.49M159.78M176.84M78.12M1.37B
Total Debt3.56B5.73B6.54B7.52B5.65B
Total Liabilities8.65B12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B
Stockholders Equity3.95B389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow351.60M941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B
Operating Cash Flow378.47M942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B
Investing Cash Flow-27.09M-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M
Financing Cash Flow-133.51M-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
13.46
Negative
100DMA
9.91
Positive
200DMA
7.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
48.78
Neutral
STOCH
38.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.06, below the 50-day MA of 13.46, and below the 200-day MA of 7.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
HK$10.01B-3.72-2.88%
53
Neutral
HK$5.78B-1.27-8.73%10.98%153.96%-139.55%
53
Neutral
HK$8.08B22.470.96%0.50%-19.50%-68.30%
50
Neutral
HK$14.23B300.290.10%3.68%-0.10%-97.03%
48
Neutral
HK$20.41B47.562.09%-61.28%
41
Neutral
HK$8.68B-0.17-3.01%-38.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
13.08
9.41
256.40%
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.19
-0.20
-51.17%
HK:0604
Shenzhen Investment
0.65
-0.28
-30.11%
HK:0123
Yuexiu Property Co
3.55
-0.77
-17.73%
HK:0754
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
2.64
-0.70
-20.99%
HK:0081
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
2.27
0.48
26.67%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Secures RMB 15 Billion in AI Cloud Orders
Jul 3, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. reported rapid expansion in its core AI computing business, securing over RMB 15.0 billion in new indicative orders for AI cloud services in the first half of 2026, representing about 35,000 PFLOPS of c...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Raises HK$277 Million for AI Cloud Push
Jun 29, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has agreed to issue 23,620,207 new shares, about 1.51% of its existing share capital, at HK$11.75 per share under a general mandate to raise roughly HK$277.14 million in net proceeds. The subscription p...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM
Jun 17, 2026
Shareholders of Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. approved all resolutions at the company’s annual general meeting held on 17 June 2026, including the receipt of the 2025 audited accounts, re-election of executive and independent ...
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Rebrands With New Name and Ticker Short Names
May 15, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has officially changed its English and Chinese company names, reflecting a shift in branding toward AI computing technology, with the new names registered in both the Cayman Islands and Hong Kong. The c...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Sets 2026 AGM to Renew Mandates and Share Issue Authority
Apr 27, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for 17 June 2026 in Shenzhen, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited financial statements and director and auditor reports for the ye...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Posts Singapore Filing in Hong Kong for Regulatory Compliance
Apr 13, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to comply with Hong Kong Listing Rule 13.10B, notifying investors that an announcement dated 13 April 2026 has been published on the website of Si...
Greater Bay Area Holdings posts Singapore disclosure in Hong Kong for regulatory compliance
Apr 12, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to comply with Hong Kong listing rules requiring equal information dissemination. The company noted that an announcement dated 12 April 2026 ...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Reshapes Board and Committee Roles
Apr 8, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has updated the composition of its board of directors and board committees, effective 8 April 2026. The board is led by chairman Mr. Luo Jieping and CEO Mr. He Fei as executive directors, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026