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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(1396)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
HK$6.50
▲(20.15% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, persistent losses, high leverage, and no free cash flow). Technicals show recent momentum, but overbought signals temper that support. Valuation is unattractive due to the very high P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strategic Greater Bay Area Exposure
Being focused on Guangdong‑Hong Kong‑Macau Greater Bay Area aligns the business with a multi‑year structural integration and urbanization trend. This geographic and policy tailwind supports durable demand for property, infrastructure and connectivity projects, underpinning long‑term project pipelines and strategic growth opportunities.
Diversified business model across real assets
Operating in development, infrastructure and investment management creates multiple, complementary revenue streams (sales, rentals, infrastructure returns). This diversification can smooth cash generation across cycles, reduce single‑market exposure, and provide cross‑sector flexibility in executing projects over the medium term.
Near-term liquidity buffer
Reported positive cash reserves provide a tangible liquidity cushion to support ongoing projects, vendor payments and short‑term obligations. While not fully offsetting leverage, this liquidity enhances near‑term operational resilience and affords management time to restructure assets or negotiate financing, reducing immediate solvency risk.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline
A persistent, multi‑year decline in revenue weakens scale economics and undermines margin recovery prospects. Reduced top‑line impairs the company’s ability to cover fixed project costs, service debt and reinvest in developments, indicating potential structural demand, execution issues or project rollbacks that harm long‑term profitability.
Severely eroded equity and high leverage
Sharp equity erosion and elevated leverage materially increase financial fragility. Diminished equity reduces loss absorption capacity, limits borrowing options and raises refinancing and covenant risks. Over the medium term this constrains strategic flexibility, may force asset disposals or dilution, and raises funding costs for projects.
No free cash flow and unstable operating cash
A lack of free cash flow and volatile operating cash generation undermine the company’s ability to deleverage, fund capex, and sustain operations without external financing. Persistently weak cash conversion increases reliance on debt or asset sales, reducing ability to execute long‑term projects and hindering financial recovery plans.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, and commercial trade and logistics centers in the Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Property Development and Related Services; and Trading Business. The Property Development and Related Services segment provides develops and sells properties; and value-added business, such as property management and rental services. The Trading Business segment engages in the trading of non-ferrous metals and chemical products. The company develops trade centers under the YOUNGO and HYDOO brand names. It also provides investment management and finance leasing services. The company was formerly known as Hydoo International Holding Limited and changed its name to Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited in August 2020. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of China Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe company generates revenue primarily through its real estate development activities, where it profits from the sale and leasing of residential and commercial properties. Additionally, it earns income from managing investments in infrastructure projects and partnerships in various developments within the Greater Bay Area. Key revenue streams include property sales, rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties, and returns from infrastructure investments. Significant partnerships with local governments and private developers also contribute to its earnings, facilitating access to lucrative projects and ensuring a steady pipeline of development opportunities.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate material stress: revenues have fallen sharply (HK$5,570m in 2021 to HK$2,603m in 2024), profitability has been negative, leverage is high with equity shrinking substantially (HK$5,088m to HK$389m), and cash flow is unstable with no free cash flow in TTM.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals significant challenges, with declining revenues and negative profitability metrics. The company has experienced a consistent revenue decline, falling from HK$5,570 million in 2021 to HK$2,603 million in 2024. Gross and net profit margins have been negative over recent years, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies and financial distress. Despite these weaknesses, there is limited stability in revenue from previous highs.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a weakened financial position with high leverage and diminishing equity. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased as equity decreased significantly, from HK$5,088 million in 2021 to HK$389 million in 2024. This indicates a higher financial risk and reduced capacity to absorb losses. Positive cash reserves offer some liquidity, albeit insufficient to offset the high debt levels.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights severe issues with cash generation and sustainability. The company shows no free cash flow in TTM, and historical data indicate inconsistent operating cash flows, oscillating from positive to negative values. This inconsistency, along with a lack of free cash flow, suggests operational struggles to maintain liquidity and financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.97B2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B3.74B
Gross Profit-529.27M-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M1.29B
EBITDA599.30M-1.41B-825.62M-627.61M-52.24M1.02B
Net Income162.22M-1.83B-1.21B-1.57B-498.48M360.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.86B12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B18.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments613.87M159.78M176.84M78.12M1.37B1.79B
Total Debt425.07M5.73B6.54B7.52B5.65B3.17B
Total Liabilities2.80B12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B13.12B
Stockholders Equity3.05B389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B5.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow334.60M941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B577.82M
Operating Cash Flow335.31M942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B586.51M
Investing Cash Flow-42.42M-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-306.00M-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B1.02B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
5.41
Positive
100DMA
5.60
Positive
200DMA
4.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
73.80
Negative
STOCH
79.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.72, above the 50-day MA of 5.41, and above the 200-day MA of 4.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
HK$3.39B-12.98-1.83%1.16%-9.42%-153.41%
44
Neutral
HK$802.86M-0.39-55.49%-29.26%88.87%
44
Neutral
HK$2.10B-0.04-22.55%30.07%
41
Neutral
HK$7.81B140.2511.82%-28.71%
41
Neutral
HK$2.14B-0.10-89.23%-71.42%-11.91%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
6.83
6.46
1745.95%
HK:2777
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co
0.57
-0.63
-52.50%
HK:1813
KWG Group Holdings
0.24
-0.11
-31.88%
HK:0813
Shimao Property Holdings
0.23
-0.58
-71.73%
HK:0051
Harbour Centre Development Limited
4.78
0.03
0.63%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Greater Bay Area Holdings Brings in RMB800 Million Investor for Data Subsidiary
Jan 30, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has entered into an investment agreement under which Hongyi Intelligent Computing, an investment holding entity ultimately owned by Futian Capital, will subscribe for 40% of newly issued equity in the group’s indirect wholly owned subsidiary Hongce Data for RMB800 million. Upon completion, the group will retain a 60% stake, and Hongce Data will remain a consolidated, though non-wholly owned, subsidiary. As part of the deal, the investor is granted a put option that allows it to require Tiandun Data and/or Hongce Data to repurchase part of its equity interest under agreed terms, a structure that, together with the dilution of the group’s stake, results in a discloseable transaction under Hong Kong listing rules. The arrangement brings in significant external capital while preserving control of the subsidiary, potentially strengthening the group’s financial resources and strategic partnerships in its data-related business, though it also introduces future obligations associated with the put option.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Wins Strong Support for New Share Award Scheme
Jan 22, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. reported that shareholders overwhelmingly approved the adoption of a new share award scheme and related mandates at an extraordinary general meeting held on 22 January 2026. All ordinary resolutions, including the overall scheme mandate limit and a specific sub-limit for service providers, passed with 99.95% of votes in favour, with all directors attending and Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Ltd. acting as scrutineer. The strong backing for the equity-based incentive plan gives the board a clear mandate to use share awards as a tool for aligning interests with employees and service providers and may support the company’s efforts to attract, retain and motivate key talent going forward.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Reshapes Board, Faces Temporary Gender Diversity Breach
Jan 9, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a reshuffle of its board, with executive director Wei Haiyan and independent non-executive director Guan Huanfei stepping down due to other work commitments, and the board expressing appreciation for their service. They are being replaced by Zhong Junhua, appointed as an executive director and member of both the nomination and remuneration committees, and Dr. Qian He, appointed as an independent non-executive director, chairman of the remuneration committee and member of the audit committee, effective 9 January 2026. As a result of Wei’s resignation, the board has become single-gender, leaving the company temporarily non-compliant with Hong Kong listing rules on board gender diversity and related corporate governance code provisions; the company has committed to appointing an additional female director within three months to restore compliance, underscoring ongoing regulatory pressure on listed issuers to strengthen diversity at board and committee level.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Updates Board and Committee Structure
Jan 9, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd., a Cayman Islands–incorporated company listed in Hong Kong, has announced an updated composition of its board of directors and board committees, reflecting the division of responsibilities among executive and independent non-executive directors. The company detailed the roles of its chairman, chief executive officer and other directors across the audit, nomination and remuneration committees, with the new structure taking effect from 9 January 2026, signalling a refreshed governance framework that may influence oversight and decision-making for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Greater Bay Area Holdings Calls EGM to Approve New Share Award Scheme and Issuance Limits
Jan 7, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has convened an extraordinary general meeting for 22 January 2026 in Shenzhen to seek shareholder approval for the adoption of a new share award scheme, including its governing rules, subject to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s approval for listing the shares to be issued upon vesting of awards. The resolutions also propose a 10% overall mandate limit on shares that may be issued under all share schemes and a separate 1% sublimit for awards and options granted to service providers, authorising the board to implement these arrangements, which would give the company greater flexibility to use equity-based incentives while placing defined caps to manage dilution for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Greater Bay Area Holdings Sets January 2026 EGM and Temporary Share Register Closure
Jan 5, 2026

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has scheduled an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for Thursday, 22 January 2026, with a circular detailing the resolutions to be proposed and the meeting notice to be sent to shareholders in due course. To determine shareholder eligibility to attend and vote at the EGM, the company will close its register of members from 19 to 22 January 2026 inclusive, and shareholders must lodge share transfer documents and relevant share certificates with the Hong Kong share registrar, Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Ltd., by 4:30 p.m. on 16 January 2026 for registration.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Completes New Share Subscription
Dec 12, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has successfully completed a subscription agreement, issuing 19,636,363 new shares at HK $5.5 per share, representing approximately 1.72% of the company’s enlarged issued capital. This move slightly alters the company’s shareholding structure, with the new shares being allotted to Subscriber A, impacting the percentage holdings of existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces Strategic Partnership with Huagong Technology
Dec 9, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a strategic cooperation agreement between its subsidiary, Tiandun Data, and Huagong Technology. This partnership aims to integrate their strengths in AI computing and optical communication to develop high-performance intelligent computing solutions, expanding their market reach and promoting growth in the intelligent computing industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Transitions to Share Award Scheme
Dec 8, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced the termination of its Existing Share Option Scheme, which was initially adopted in 2019 to incentivize employees and directors. This decision aligns with recent amendments to Chapter 17 of the Listing Rules by the Stock Exchange, and all previously granted options have either lapsed or expired. The company plans to adopt a new Share Award Scheme, subject to shareholder approval, to provide a competitive remuneration package and attract top talent. This move is expected to enhance enterprise value and achieve long-term objectives, benefiting the company and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Terminates Subscription Agreement B, Resumes Trading
Dec 5, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced the termination of Subscription Agreement B with Subscriber B due to its classification as a connected transaction under the Listing Rules, which could not proceed under the General Mandate. The termination is not expected to adversely impact the company’s business or financial conditions. Subscription Agreement A remains effective, and the company plans to use the proceeds for general working capital, particularly in AI cloud services, project construction, and operational expenses. Trading of shares was temporarily halted but has resumed following the announcement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Trading Halt Announced by Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings
Dec 5, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a trading halt on its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange effective from 9:03 a.m. on December 5, 2025. This halt is pending a clarification announcement related to a previous statement about the subscription of new shares dated December 4, 2025. The trading halt indicates a significant development that could impact the company’s stock performance and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Updates 2014 CEO Emoluments
Dec 4, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has issued a supplemental announcement regarding its 2014 Annual Report. The company has provided additional information about the emoluments of its former CEO, Mr. Wang Dewen, for the year ended December 31, 2014. This update does not affect any other information in the 2014 Annual Report.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces New Share Subscription
Dec 4, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a new share subscription agreement under a general mandate. The company will issue 34,181,818 new shares, representing approximately 3.04% of its current share capital, at a subscription price of HK$5.5 per share, which is a slight discount to recent market prices. The total proceeds from this issuance are estimated to be HK$188 million, with net proceeds of HK$187.6 million intended for general working capital, primarily focusing on AI computing power cloud services projects, project construction settlements, and daily operating expenses.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Expands AI Capabilities with Strategic Acquisition
Dec 1, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has completed the acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited, enhancing its capabilities in the AI business. The acquisition allows the company to expand its operations in AI computing power services, including contracts with major telecommunications and internet companies. The launch of the Quantum Pai computing power cloud service platform further strengthens its market position, offering comprehensive AI infrastructure and intelligent computing services across multiple industries.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Announces Board Lot Size Reduction
Nov 3, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the board lot size for its shares, reducing from 8,000 to 2,000 shares per lot, effective November 24, 2025. This change aims to lower the investment threshold, enhance trading liquidity, and attract a broader investor base, ultimately benefiting both the company and its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Unveils Strategic Land Development Plans
Oct 31, 2025

Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced its recent business developments, highlighting an existing land bank of approximately 1.4 million sq.m. in Lanzhou. The company plans to develop various projects, including a high-performance data center, construction materials markets, and warehousing projects, with expected completion and revenue recognition between 2025 and 2027. The announcement indicates ongoing negotiations and contract signings with potential customers, suggesting a strategic expansion in the real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1396) stock is a Hold with a HK$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:1396 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026