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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(1396)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
HK$6.50
▲(20.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, persistent losses, high leverage, and no free cash flow). Technicals show recent momentum, but overbought signals temper that support. Valuation is unattractive due to the very high P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Strategic Greater Bay Area Exposure
Being focused on Guangdong‑Hong Kong‑Macau Greater Bay Area aligns the business with a multi‑year structural integration and urbanization trend. This geographic and policy tailwind supports durable demand for property, infrastructure and connectivity projects, underpinning long‑term project pipelines and strategic growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Material revenue decline
A persistent, multi‑year decline in revenue weakens scale economics and undermines margin recovery prospects. Reduced top‑line impairs the company’s ability to cover fixed project costs, service debt and reinvest in developments, indicating potential structural demand, execution issues or project rollbacks that harm long‑term profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strategic Greater Bay Area Exposure
Being focused on Guangdong‑Hong Kong‑Macau Greater Bay Area aligns the business with a multi‑year structural integration and urbanization trend. This geographic and policy tailwind supports durable demand for property, infrastructure and connectivity projects, underpinning long‑term project pipelines and strategic growth opportunities.
Read all positive factors

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, and commercial trade and logistics centers in the Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Property ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company generates revenue primarily through its real estate development activities, where it profits from the sale and leasing of residential and commercial properties. Additionally, it earns income from managing investments in infrastructure ...

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate material stress: revenues have fallen sharply (HK$5,570m in 2021 to HK$2,603m in 2024), profitability has been negative, leverage is high with equity shrinking substantially (HK$5,088m to HK$389m), and cash flow is unstable with no free cash flow in TTM.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.97B2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B3.74B
Gross Profit-529.27M-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M1.29B
EBITDA599.30M-1.41B-825.62M-627.61M-52.24M1.02B
Net Income162.22M-1.83B-1.21B-1.57B-498.48M360.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.86B12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B18.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments613.87M159.78M176.84M78.12M1.37B1.79B
Total Debt425.07M5.73B6.54B7.52B5.65B3.17B
Total Liabilities2.80B12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B13.12B
Stockholders Equity3.05B389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B5.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow334.60M941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B577.82M
Operating Cash Flow335.31M942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B586.51M
Investing Cash Flow-42.42M-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-306.00M-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B1.02B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
6.14
Negative
100DMA
5.80
Positive
200DMA
5.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
50.84
Neutral
STOCH
65.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.20, below the 50-day MA of 6.14, and above the 200-day MA of 5.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
HK$3.08B-12.96-1.58%1.16%-9.42%-153.41%
44
Neutral
HK$532.96M-0.12-55.49%-29.26%88.87%
41
Neutral
HK$7.10B53.779.42%-28.71%
41
Neutral
HK$1.37B-0.20-89.23%-71.42%-11.91%
40
Underperform
HK$1.59B-0.07-22.55%30.07%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
6.10
5.12
522.45%
HK:2777
Guangzhou R&F Properties Co
0.37
-0.61
-62.37%
HK:1813
KWG Group Holdings
0.16
-0.15
-48.85%
HK:0813
Shimao Property Holdings
0.17
-0.60
-77.40%
HK:0051
Harbour Centre Development Limited
4.35
0.32
7.94%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Greater Bay Area Holdings Brings in RMB800 Million Investor for Data Subsidiary
Jan 30, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has entered into an investment agreement under which Hongyi Intelligent Computing, an investment holding entity ultimately owned by Futian Capital, will subscribe for 40% of newly issue...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Wins Strong Support for New Share Award Scheme
Jan 22, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. reported that shareholders overwhelmingly approved the adoption of a new share award scheme and related mandates at an extraordinary general meeting held on 22 January 2026. All ordinary r...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Reshapes Board, Faces Temporary Gender Diversity Breach
Jan 9, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a reshuffle of its board, with executive director Wei Haiyan and independent non-executive director Guan Huanfei stepping down due to other work commitments, and the board ex...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Updates Board and Committee Structure
Jan 9, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd., a Cayman Islands–incorporated company listed in Hong Kong, has announced an updated composition of its board of directors and board committees, reflecting the division of responsibi...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Calls EGM to Approve New Share Award Scheme and Issuance Limits
Jan 7, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has convened an extraordinary general meeting for 22 January 2026 in Shenzhen to seek shareholder approval for the adoption of a new share award scheme, including its governing rules, s...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Sets January 2026 EGM and Temporary Share Register Closure
Jan 5, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has scheduled an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) for Thursday, 22 January 2026, with a circular detailing the resolutions to be proposed and the meeting notice to be sent to shareholde...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Completes New Share Subscription
Dec 12, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has successfully completed a subscription agreement, issuing 19,636,363 new shares at HK $5.5 per share, representing approximately 1.72% of the company’s enlarged issued capital. Th...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces Strategic Partnership with Huagong Technology
Dec 9, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a strategic cooperation agreement between its subsidiary, Tiandun Data, and Huagong Technology. This partnership aims to integrate their strengths in AI computing and optical com...
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Transitions to Share Award Scheme
Dec 8, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced the termination of its Existing Share Option Scheme, which was initially adopted in 2019 to incentivize employees and directors. This decision aligns with recent amendments t...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Terminates Subscription Agreement B, Resumes Trading
Dec 5, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced the termination of Subscription Agreement B with Subscriber B due to its classification as a connected transaction under the Listing Rules, which could not proceed under the Gene...
Trading Halt Announced by Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings
Dec 5, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a trading halt on its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange effective from 9:03 a.m. on December 5, 2025. This halt is pending a clarification announcement related to a previous...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Updates 2014 CEO Emoluments
Dec 4, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has issued a supplemental announcement regarding its 2014 Annual Report. The company has provided additional information about the emoluments of its former CEO, Mr. Wang Dewen, for the yea...
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Announces New Share Subscription
Dec 4, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced a new share subscription agreement under a general mandate. The company will issue 34,181,818 new shares, representing approximately 3.04% of its current share capital, at a ...
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Expands AI Capabilities with Strategic Acquisition
Dec 1, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has completed the acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited, enhancing its capabilities in the AI business. The acquisition allows the company to expand its operations in AI computing ...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Announces Board Lot Size Reduction
Nov 3, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced a change in the board lot size for its shares, reducing from 8,000 to 2,000 shares per lot, effective November 24, 2025. This change aims to lower the investment threshold, enhan...
Guangdong-Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Unveils Strategic Land Development Plans
Oct 31, 2025
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has announced its recent business developments, highlighting an existing land bank of approximately 1.4 million sq.m. in Lanzhou. The company plans to develop various projects, including a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026