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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (HK:1396)
:1396
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Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1396

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.

(1396)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$18.00
▲(232.72% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile core profitability and sharp revenue contraction, despite improved leverage and positive recent cash generation. Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend but appears overbought, while valuation is stretched with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow over 2023–2025 indicates the company can internally fund working capital and some investments without relying solely on new financing. Durable cash generation improves resilience versus peers in downturns and supports continued deleveraging and operational continuity.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue contraction
A halving of revenue in 2025 materially reduces scale economics and undercuts the firm's ability to spread fixed costs. Structural volume declines increase execution risk on development projects, constrain cashflow resilience if one-offs reverse, and make sustained margin recovery harder without clear order/pipeline restoration.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow over 2023–2025 indicates the company can internally fund working capital and some investments without relying solely on new financing. Durable cash generation improves resilience versus peers in downturns and supports continued deleveraging and operational continuity.
Read all positive factors

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. (1396) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and sells residential properties, and commercial trade and logistics centers in the Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Property ...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show partial stabilization but remain high risk. Cash flow has been positive in 2023–2025 and leverage improved sharply in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.9 vs ~14.7 in 2024). However, revenue contracted heavily in 2025 (down ~50%) and operating profitability is deeply negative (EBIT margin ~-106%), indicating weak core earnings quality and turnaround uncertainty.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.00B2.60B3.53B3.17B5.57B
Gross Profit-529.53M-622.71M21.16M-45.97M735.25M
EBITDA-928.98M-1.41B-825.62M-627.61M-52.24M
Net Income73.05M-1.83B-1.21B-1.57B-498.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.64B12.66B18.22B22.71B23.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments373.49M159.78M176.84M78.12M1.37B
Total Debt3.56B5.73B6.54B7.52B5.65B
Total Liabilities8.65B12.56B15.98B19.19B18.22B
Stockholders Equity3.95B389.13M2.24B3.42B5.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow351.60M941.04M1.45B-891.75M-3.59B
Operating Cash Flow378.47M942.02M1.45B-890.57M-3.55B
Investing Cash Flow-27.09M-38.96M-7.30M176.58M-39.34M
Financing Cash Flow-133.51M-917.62M-1.51B-590.16M3.18B

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.41
Price Trends
50DMA
9.57
Positive
100DMA
7.66
Positive
200DMA
6.51
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.50
Negative
RSI
61.63
Neutral
STOCH
44.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1396, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.94, below the 50-day MA of 9.57, and below the 200-day MA of 6.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1396.

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
61
Neutral
HK$10.01B-1.82-2.88%-11.68%-3002.05%
53
Neutral
HK$7.21B-1.61-8.73%10.98%153.96%-139.55%
53
Neutral
HK$10.29B76.030.96%0.50%-19.50%-68.30%
50
Neutral
HK$17.52B260.040.14%3.68%-0.10%-97.03%
48
Neutral
HK$21.63B65.292.09%-61.28%
46
Neutral
HK$11.51B0.12-3.01%-38.67%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1396
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
16.16
13.99
644.70%
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.23
-0.16
-41.03%
HK:0604
Shenzhen Investment
0.79
0.03
3.95%
HK:0123
Yuexiu Property Co
4.33
0.12
2.90%
HK:0754
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
2.64
-0.25
-8.65%
HK:0081
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
2.83
1.18
71.10%

Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Rebrands With New Name and Ticker Short Names
May 15, 2026
Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. has officially changed its English and Chinese company names, reflecting a shift in branding toward AI computing technology, with the new names registered in both the Cayman Islands and Hong Kong. The c...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Sets 2026 AGM to Renew Mandates and Share Issue Authority
Apr 27, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for 17 June 2026 in Shenzhen, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited financial statements and director and auditor reports for the ye...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Posts Singapore Filing in Hong Kong for Regulatory Compliance
Apr 13, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to comply with Hong Kong Listing Rule 13.10B, notifying investors that an announcement dated 13 April 2026 has been published on the website of Si...
Greater Bay Area Holdings posts Singapore disclosure in Hong Kong for regulatory compliance
Apr 12, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to comply with Hong Kong listing rules requiring equal information dissemination. The company noted that an announcement dated 12 April 2026 ...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Reshapes Board and Committee Roles
Apr 8, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has updated the composition of its board of directors and board committees, effective 8 April 2026. The board is led by chairman Mr. Luo Jieping and CEO Mr. He Fei as executive directors, ...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Wins Approval for AI-Focused Name Change
Apr 2, 2026
Shareholders of Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. have approved a special resolution to change the company’s English name to Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. and its Chinese name to 粵港&#2877...
Guangdong–Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Grants 35 Million Award Shares to Employees
Apr 2, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings granted 35,364,608 award shares, representing about 3.04% of its issued share capital, to certain employee participants on 2 April 2026 under its existing share award scheme, with no directors ...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Names IC Expert Liu Xiaoyan as Independent Director, Restores Governance Compliance
Apr 2, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. announced that independent non-executive director Chen Yangsheng has resigned from the board, the nomination committee chairmanship, and the audit committee with effect from 8 April 2026 d...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Publishes Cross-Border Regulatory Notice on SGX Announcement
Mar 31, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. issued an overseas regulatory announcement under Hong Kong Listing Rule 13.10B to mirror an announcement dated 31 March 2026 that was published on the Singapore Exchange. The company stres...
GHKGBA Holdings Swings to Profit as Tiandun Data Deal Marks Shift Into AI
Mar 30, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Limited reported its annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025, reflecting a major strategic shift following the October acquisition of Tiandun Data, a leading AI computing power provi...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Forecasts 2025 Profit on Debt Deal and AI Push
Mar 18, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings said it expects to swing to a profit of at least RMB30 million in 2025, from a loss of about RMB2.04 billion in 2024, with profit attributable to equity shareholders seen at no less than RMB40 ...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Sets March Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Consider Dividend
Mar 17, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 30 March 2026 to review and approve the audited annual results of the company and its subsidiaries for the financial year ended 31 December 2025 and to au...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Calls EGM to Rebrand as AI Computing Tech Firm
Mar 12, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. has called an extraordinary general meeting in Shenzhen on 2 April 2026 for shareholders to vote on a proposal to change its English name to Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd., a...
Greater Bay Area Holdings Plans AI-Focused Rebranding and Name Change
Mar 3, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd. plans to change its English name to Greater Bay Area AI Computing Tech Co., Ltd. and its Chinese name to reflect a stronger emphasis on AI computing technology. The board says this rebrand...
Greater Bay Area Holdings details share awards to key service providers
Mar 1, 2026
Guangdong – Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings has issued a supplemental announcement detailing the grant of share awards to seven service providers under its share award scheme. Five are classified as market development service providers, ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026