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China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. (HK:1258)
:1258

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. (1258) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1258

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd.

(1258)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
HK$18.50
▲(28.38% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/27/26
The score is primarily driven by solid financial performance (improving margins, reduced leverage, and strong cash generation). Technicals add support with the stock above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation is neutral with a mid-range P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained free cash flow growth and high operating cash flow relative to net income provide durable liquidity to fund mine maintenance and selective reinvestment without external financing. This strengthens balance sheet flexibility, supports working capital through cycles, and reduces funding risk over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Historical revenue inconsistency, including a notable 2022 decline, indicates sensitivity to operational disruptions or commodity demand/pricing swings. Persistent revenue volatility complicates forecasting, capital allocation and debt servicing decisions, increasing execution risk over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained free cash flow growth and high operating cash flow relative to net income provide durable liquidity to fund mine maintenance and selective reinvestment without external financing. This strengthens balance sheet flexibility, supports working capital through cycles, and reduces funding risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. (1258) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, mining, ore processing, leaching, smelting, and sale of copper cathodes, blister copper, copper anodes, copper-cobalt alloy, cobaltous hydroxid...
How the Company Makes Money
The company generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sales of nonferrous metals, particularly copper and zinc, which are essential materials for various industrial applications. Key revenue streams include the sale of metal concentra...

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: improving profitability and margins, reduced leverage, and solid free cash flow generation. Offsetting factors include revenue volatility (notably a decline in 2022) and capex fluctuations that could add variability to future cash flows.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.56B3.82B3.61B4.09B4.05B2.60B
Gross Profit1.11B1.05B877.46M807.22M1.09B629.44M
EBITDA956.39M867.13M802.64M830.90M1.08B618.66M
Net Income442.72M398.50M277.64M266.27M357.12M124.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.68B4.15B3.82B4.02B4.16B3.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.35B1.02B602.36M762.92M606.75M497.83M
Total Debt26.49M47.77M177.68M537.00M886.24M1.08B
Total Liabilities1.45B1.13B1.33B1.69B1.99B1.87B
Stockholders Equity2.35B2.25B1.84B1.66B1.54B1.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow694.47M606.42M432.26M732.38M331.88M340.04M
Operating Cash Flow888.00M775.22M589.28M782.52M536.38M482.45M
Investing Cash Flow-257.42M-79.45M-224.12M-75.70M-204.39M-210.33M
Financing Cash Flow-309.98M-173.02M-604.66M-579.00M-225.05M-249.94M

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.41
Price Trends
50DMA
13.91
Negative
100DMA
14.44
Negative
200DMA
12.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Negative
RSI
52.23
Neutral
STOCH
86.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1258, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.06, above the 50-day MA of 13.91, and above the 200-day MA of 12.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1258.

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
HK$49.87B18.2616.75%2.28%-6.03%37.62%
67
Neutral
HK$101.13B26.8016.36%22.65%323.84%
64
Neutral
HK$120.30B27.5311.01%0.16%44.37%125.87%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
54
Neutral
HK$2.09B31.74-1.53%-4.02%-1500.00%
51
Neutral
HK$157.72B18.5110.02%3.23%-4.55%9.15%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1258
China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd.
12.78
8.41
192.58%
HK:0358
Jiangxi Copper Company
36.90
25.95
236.92%
HK:1208
MMG
8.33
6.12
276.92%
HK:1818
Zhaojin Mining Industry Co
33.96
17.88
111.23%
HK:0661
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Limited
0.12
0.08
192.50%
HK:2362
Jinchuan Group International Resources Co. Ltd
0.64
0.00
0.00%

China Nonferrous Mining Corp. Ltd. Corporate Events

China Nonferrous Mining Resumes Chambishi Southeast Output and Sets 2026 Production Targets
Jan 11, 2026
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited has resumed full production at the Chambishi Southeast Mine in Zambia from 1 January 2026, after completing rehabilitation of its main and auxiliary shafts in December 2025 with results meeting expectati...
China Nonferrous Mining to Take Control of Kazakhstan Copper Miner SM Minerals
Dec 19, 2025
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited has agreed to acquire an additional 55% stake in Kazakhstan-based SM Minerals for US$89 million, raising its ownership from 15% to 70% and securing a controlling interest in the copper-focused miner. SM ...
China Nonferrous Mining Revises Annual Caps Amid Rising Copper Demand
Nov 17, 2025
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited announced a revision of its annual caps under the 2023 Huachin Copper Supply Framework Agreement due to anticipated increases in copper demand and prices. This adjustment reflects the company’s str...
China Nonferrous Mining Launches Major Luanshya Project to Boost Copper Production
Nov 17, 2025
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited announced the commencement of a new mining project in Luanshya, Zambia, aimed at extending the life and capacity of the CNMC Luanshya Copper Mines PLC. The project involves significant investment in reso...
China Nonferrous Mining Announces Rehabilitation and Adjusts 2025 Production Guidance
Nov 14, 2025
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited has announced a comprehensive rehabilitation project for the main and auxiliary shafts at its Chambishi Southeast Mine following an incident that resulted in an employee’s death. The rehabilitation...
China Nonferrous Mining Announces Board Changes
Oct 28, 2025
China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited announced a change in its board with the resignation of Mr. Yaoyu Tan as a non-executive director and audit committee member, effective October 28, 2025, due to other business commitments. Mr. Zhijiang C...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026