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China Merchants Land Limited (HK:0978)
:0978
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China Merchants Land Limited (0978) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0978

China Merchants Land Limited

(0978)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.29
▲(10.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/08/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—two years of losses, sharply compressed margins, very high leverage, and a 2025 reversal to negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals are comparatively supportive with the price above major moving averages and positive MACD, but valuation remains challenged given negative earnings and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Rebound
A 25.9% revenue rebound in 2025 indicates underlying sales momentum and project delivery execution. If sustained, stronger top-line can support stabilized cash inflows, improve presales conversion and amortize fixed development costs, helping restore operational resilience over months.
Negative Factors
Very High Leverage
Debt-to-equity of ~5.5x materially elevates refinancing, interest and covenant risk. High leverage erodes financial flexibility, increases cost of capital, and magnifies downside to equity in a property downturn, threatening project completion and future investment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Rebound
A 25.9% revenue rebound in 2025 indicates underlying sales momentum and project delivery execution. If sustained, stronger top-line can support stabilized cash inflows, improve presales conversion and amortize fixed development costs, helping restore operational resilience over months.
Read all positive factors

China Merchants Land Limited (0978) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Merchants Land Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
China Merchants Land Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, management, lease, and sale of properties. The company operates through Properties and Asset Management segments. Its property portfolio includes ...
How the Company Makes Money
China Merchants Land Limited primarily makes money through (1) revenue from property development and sales—selling completed residential and commercial units, where revenue is generally recognized upon meeting applicable delivery/transfer conditio...

China Merchants Land Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a strong 2025 revenue rebound (+25.9% YoY), profitability deteriorated with sharply lower gross margin (~6.3%) and continued net losses (net margin ~-8.4%). Balance-sheet risk is elevated with very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~5.5x) and negative ROE, while 2025 operating and free cash flow turned negative, increasing near-term funding pressure.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
33
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.25B20.66B28.80B29.87B25.92B
Gross Profit1.66B985.42M3.87B4.00B4.79B
EBITDA632.92M-79.58M3.66B3.83B4.50B
Net Income-2.20B-1.85B133.41M329.66M560.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets112.34B124.74B132.67B130.87B138.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.13B12.73B10.28B12.34B14.42B
Total Debt31.70B36.36B37.09B35.79B36.97B
Total Liabilities81.98B91.65B97.55B98.14B104.88B
Stockholders Equity5.74B8.02B9.91B9.86B9.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.70B6.55B-566.56M6.12B-6.13B
Operating Cash Flow-2.70B6.55B-551.79M6.15B-6.11B
Investing Cash Flow5.89B592.20M-4.35B-6.57B-997.67M
Financing Cash Flow-4.73B-3.34B334.31M-1.76B11.82B

China Merchants Land Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.26
Price Trends
50DMA
0.26
Positive
100DMA
0.27
Positive
200DMA
0.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
59.77
Neutral
STOCH
43.06
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0978, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, above the 50-day MA of 0.26, and below the 200-day MA of 0.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.06 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0978.

China Merchants Land Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
48
Neutral
HK$1.40B-0.15-32.15%4.36%26.67%-19.82%
48
Neutral
HK$794.80M-7.05-4.84%3.85%1.97%-36.55%
46
Neutral
HK$1.26B-0.21-11.79%-11.80%-102.27%
45
Neutral
HK$847.09M-0.08-154.48%-34.82%
45
Neutral
HK$1.71B-0.83-3.56%72.75%25.44%
40
Underperform
HK$580.49M-0.14-0.10%-37.28%-4663.16%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0978
China Merchants Land Limited
0.28
0.06
28.44%
HK:0488
Lai Sun Development Co
0.85
0.32
60.38%
HK:3377
Sino-Ocean Group Holding
0.07
-0.04
-35.78%
HK:0251
SEA Holdings Ltd.
1.32
0.03
2.33%
HK:0480
HKR International Limited
1.16
0.28
31.82%
HK:0672
Zhong An Group Limited
0.10
<0.01
4.04%

China Merchants Land Limited Corporate Events

China Merchants Land Further Delays Circular on Connected Acquisition
Apr 30, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited has announced a further delay in sending a shareholder circular relating to its planned acquisition of equity interests in a target company, a deal classified as both a discloseable and connected transaction under Hong...
China Merchants Land Calls 2026 AGM, Seeks 10% Share Buyback Mandate
Apr 30, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited has called its annual general meeting for 5 June 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025 and receive reports from th...
China Merchants Land Brings in Connected Partner for 30% Stake in Xi’an Project Company
Apr 29, 2026
China Merchants Land has agreed a new capital partnership for a project company in Xi&#8217;an, with subsidiaries Multi On Investments and Xi&#8217;an Mao On bringing in Shenzhen Haiyuejin as a 30% shareholder via a capital contribution. Following...
China Merchants Land Delays Shareholder Circular on Connected Acquisition
Apr 10, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited has announced a delay in sending to shareholders a key circular related to a previously disclosed acquisition of equity interests in a target company, which is classified as a discloseable and connected transaction. Th...
China Merchants Land Widens Annual Loss Despite Revenue Growth in 2025
Mar 12, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited reported a sharp increase in revenue to RMB26.25 billion for 2025 from RMB20.66 billion a year earlier, driven by higher property sales, which lifted gross profit to RMB1.66 billion. However, the group remained loss-ma...
China Merchants Land to Buy Affiliate for RMB79.6 Million in Connected Deal
Mar 6, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited said its indirect wholly owned unit Xi&#8217;an Mao On has agreed to acquire 100% of a target company from Wuhan Gutian, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of controlling shareholder CMSK, for RMB79.59 million, turnin...
China Merchants Land Sets March Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Consider Dividend
Feb 27, 2026
China Merchants Land Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 12 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the financial year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider whether to recommend a final dividend and may address...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 08, 2026