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Tsingtao Brewery Co Class H (HK:0168)
:0168
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Tsingtao Brewery Co (0168) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Tsingtao Brewery Co

(OTC:0168)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
HK$58.00
â–²(14.17%Upside)
Tsingtao Brewery Co's strong financial position is the most significant factor, supported by stable profitability and a robust balance sheet. The valuation is attractive with a fair P/E ratio and a high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest slight bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Tsingtao's Q1 EBIT exceeded estimates by 2.3%, showcasing strong financial performance.
Operational Efficiency
Operational re-leverage and improved cost of goods per hectolitre have boosted Tsingtao's performance.
Negative Factors
Future Earnings Projection
Earnings forecast for FY25F has been cut by 5% due to slower ASP and volume growth.
Revenue Concerns
Tsingtao’s revenue fell short due to weaker than expected price/mix performance.

Tsingtao Brewery Co (0168) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Tsingtao Brewery Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTsingtao Brewery Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, wholesale, and retail sale of beer products worldwide. It operates through seven segments: Shandong Region; South China Region; North China Region; East China Region; Southeast China Region; Hong Kong, Macau and Other Overseas Region; and Finance Company. The company sells its beer products primarily under the Tsingtaoand and Laoshan brand names. It also provides wealth management, and agency collection and payment services; and financing, construction, and logistics services, as well as technology promotion and application services. The company was founded in 1903 and is headquartered in Qingdao, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyTsingtao Brewery Co. makes money through the production and sale of beer, which is the core of its revenue model. The company generates revenue from both its domestic market in China and its international export business. Tsingtao's primary revenue streams include the sale of its flagship Tsingtao Beer, as well as other beer brands it produces. The company benefits from a wide distribution network and strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors to reach a broad customer base. Additionally, Tsingtao's brand strength and quality assurance contribute to its premium pricing strategy, which enhances its profit margins. Key factors contributing to its earnings include brand recognition, product quality, and expanding its reach in both emerging and established markets.

Tsingtao Brewery Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tsingtao Brewery Co exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth until a slight decline in 2024. The company maintains stable gross and net profit margins, a robust balance sheet with minimal debt, and effective cash flow generation. Slight revenue decline and cash management variability are noted as minor concerns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tsingtao Brewery Co exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth from 2019 to 2023, peaking in 2023 before a slight decline in 2024. Gross and net profit margins have been stable, reflecting solid profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, indicating efficient operations. However, the year-over-year revenue decline from 2023 to 2024 suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, characterized by high stockholders' equity and minimal debt, leading to a very low debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity is healthy, showcasing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is solid, highlighting financial stability and low leverage risk. These factors indicate a well-capitalized company with low financial risk.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Tsingtao Brewery Co has demonstrated substantial free cash flow generation, with significant growth in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, fluctuations in investing and financing cash flows suggest some variability in cash management strategies, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.14B33.94B32.17B30.17B27.76B
Gross Profit12.93B13.12B11.85B11.08B11.22B
EBITDA7.09B6.90B6.10B5.61B4.40B
Net Income4.34B4.27B3.71B3.16B2.20B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.42B49.26B50.31B46.56B41.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.00B24.79B20.54B17.38B20.36B
Total Debt68.24M63.39M373.08M406.99M861.20M
Total Liabilities21.56B21.00B24.04B22.77B20.15B
Stockholders Equity29.06B27.45B25.49B23.00B20.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.01B1.16B3.10B4.41B3.66B
Operating Cash Flow5.15B2.78B4.88B6.04B4.95B
Investing Cash Flow-7.42B-3.46B-2.20B-10.25B-1.49B
Financing Cash Flow-2.98B-2.87B-1.68B-1.61B-356.09M

Tsingtao Brewery Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.80
Price Trends
50DMA
52.46
Negative
100DMA
52.77
Negative
200DMA
51.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Negative
RSI
40.60
Neutral
STOCH
29.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0168, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.38, below the 50-day MA of 52.46, and below the 200-day MA of 51.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0168.

Tsingtao Brewery Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
HK$84.87B14.5414.90%4.68%-4.38%-1.21%
70
Outperform
HK$108.64B19.606.94%5.33%-9.19%-14.90%
69
Neutral
$87.59B16.9215.25%3.11%-3.20%-11.50%
65
Neutral
$26.91B15.41-4.18%3.21%1.01%1.34%
60
Neutral
HK$384.78M4.08-2.97%4.85%-4.11%-123.40%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0168
Tsingtao Brewery Co
51.35
1.71
3.44%
HK:0236
San Miguel Brewery HK Ltd.
1.00
-0.03
-2.91%
HK:1876
Budweiser Brewing Co. APAC Ltd.
8.42
-1.27
-13.11%
HK:0291
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co
26.80
-0.47
-1.73%

Tsingtao Brewery Co Corporate Events

Tsingtao Brewery Updates Nomination & Remuneration Committee Regulations
Jun 30, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited has amended the working regulations of its Nomination & Remuneration Committee to enhance decision-making efficiency and effectiveness. The updated regulations outline the committee’s responsibilities, including reviewing appraisal standards, remuneration policies, and selection criteria for board members and senior management, thus reinforcing the company’s governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$62.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Unlocks Third Period of Restricted Shares
May 26, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited announced the fulfillment of the unlocking conditions for the third unlocking period under its Restricted A Share Incentive Plan. This development marks the completion of the third locking period for the reserved grant of restricted shares, which expired on May 25, 2025, allowing the company to proceed with unlocking a portion of these shares. This move is part of Tsingtao’s strategic efforts to incentivize and retain key personnel, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Elects New Employee Director to Strengthen Governance
May 22, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited has announced the election of Ms. Sun Jing as an employee director for the eleventh session of its board of directors. Ms. Sun, who has a strong background in corporate brand management and ESG system construction, will join the board alongside eight other directors elected at the 2024 annual general meeting. Her election reflects the company’s commitment to democratic processes within its workforce, as the employee director is chosen by the employees rather than shareholders. This move is expected to enhance the company’s governance and align its strategic goals with employee interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Co. Announces Board Composition and Roles
May 22, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Co. has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and duties of each member. The board consists of executive directors, an employee director, and independent non-executive directors, who are involved in various committees such as Audit & Internal Control, Nomination & Remuneration, and Strategy & Investment. This announcement is crucial as it outlines the leadership structure that will guide the company’s strategic decisions and governance, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Co Announces Board Composition and Committee Roles
May 20, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Co has announced the composition of its board of directors, highlighting the roles and duties of its executive and independent non-executive directors. The announcement details the structure of the board’s committees, including the Audit & Internal Control, Nomination & Remuneration, and Strategy & Investment Committees, and specifies the leadership and membership roles within these committees. This organizational update is significant for stakeholders as it outlines the governance framework and strategic leadership that will guide the company’s future operations and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Co. Approves Key Resolutions and Strategic Changes at 2024 AGM
May 20, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Co. held its 2024 Annual General Meeting where key resolutions were passed, including the approval of the company’s work and financial reports, profit distribution, and the re-appointment of auditors. Additionally, the meeting resulted in the abolishment of the Supervisory Committee, amendments to the articles of association, and changes in the board of directors and committees, indicating a strategic shift in governance and operational structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Announces Key Management Changes
May 20, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Zhang Rui Xiang as company secretary and authorized representative due to retirement, effective May 20, 2025. The company has appointed Mr. Liu Fu Hua as the new authorized representative and Mr. Hou Qiu Yan and Mr. Lo Tai On as joint company secretaries. Despite Mr. Hou lacking the formal qualifications under the listing rules, his extensive experience with the company and Mr. Lo’s professional qualifications ensure compliance and effective governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Co Declares Final Dividend for 2024
May 20, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Co announced a final cash dividend of RMB 2.2 per share for the financial year ending December 31, 2024, payable in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.083. This announcement reflects the company’s strong financial performance and commitment to delivering shareholder value, with implications for non-resident enterprise shareholders who will face a 10% withholding tax on dividends.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0168) stock is a Buy with a HK$63.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsingtao Brewery Co stock, see the HK:0168 Stock Forecast page.

Tsingtao Brewery Acquires Jimo Yellow Wine to Expand Market Reach
May 7, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited has announced its acquisition of the entire equity interest in Shandong Jimo Yellow Wine Factory Company Limited. This strategic move, valued at RMB 665 million, will make Jimo Yellow Wine a wholly-owned subsidiary of Tsingtao, enhancing its market positioning and expanding its product offerings. The acquisition aligns with market price levels and business principles, ensuring no harm to the interests of the company and its minority shareholders. The completion of the acquisition is contingent upon certain conditions being met, and during the transitional period, Jimo Yellow Wine will continue its normal operations.

Tsingtao Brewery Reports Revenue and Profit Growth in Q1 2025
Apr 28, 2025

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited’s unaudited first quarterly report for 2025 reveals a 2.91% increase in revenue and a 7.08% rise in net profit attributable to shareholders compared to the same period last year. Despite a decrease in net cash flow from operating activities by 37.28%, the company shows a slight improvement in its weighted average return on net assets, indicating stable financial performance amidst market challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2025