China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited (0081) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$7.08B
• Dividend Yield: 0.5%
• Average Volume (3M): 11.66M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 18.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.46
• Revenue Growth: -24.86%
• EPS Growth: -76.06%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 2,429
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 53
• Industry: Real Estate - Development
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 3,559,374,800
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 8,791,229
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 11,664,033
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.19
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.13
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.66
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: HK$2.63
• Price Target Upside: 32.16% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 45 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$2.00 ▲(0.50% Upside)

The overall stock score is primarily influenced by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. High debt levels and negative cash flow are significant risks, while the stock's valuation suggests it may be overvalued. The lack of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Stable EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate the company's ability to maintain operational efficiency despite revenue fluctuations, supporting long-term profitability.

Revenue Diversification

Diversified revenue streams from property sales, leasing, and management services reduce reliance on a single income source, enhancing financial resilience.

Strategic Partnerships

Strategic partnerships enhance project pipeline and market access, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth in the real estate sector.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High debt levels increase financial leverage and risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and affecting long-term stability.

Negative Cash Flow

Consistent negative free cash flow highlights challenges in cash generation, impacting the company's ability to fund operations and invest in future growth.

Declining Profit Margins

Decreasing gross profit margins suggest potential cost management issues, which could erode profitability and affect the company's competitive position over time.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, and leases real estate properties in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Investment and Development, Property Leasing, and Other segments. The Property Investment and Development segment constructs residential and commercial properties. The Property Leasing segment leases office units, commercial units, and hotel properties. The Other segment operates a hotel. It is also involved in fund raising activities; and provision of financing and investment, and property management services. The company was formerly known as Shell Electric Manufacturing (Holdings) Co. Ltd. and changed its name to China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited in March 2010. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

How the Company Makes Money

The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential and commercial properties, which constitutes its core revenue stream. It also earns income from leasing properties, providing a steady cash flow from its real estate holdings. Additionally, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited engages in property management services, further diversifying its revenue sources. Strategic partnerships with local governments and other real estate firms enhance its project pipeline and market access, contributing significantly to its overall earnings. Economic factors, such as demand for housing and commercial spaces in key markets, also play a critical role in influencing the company's financial performance.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited shows mixed financial performance. Operational efficiency is supported by stable EBIT and EBITDA margins, but revenue and profit growth are inconsistent. There are significant concerns about cash flow generation, with negative free cash flow in recent years. High debt levels suggest potential financial risk, although stable equity ratios provide some balance.

Income Statement

The company has experienced inconsistent revenue growth, with a decline in the most recent year. Gross profit margin has been decreasing, indicating potential cost management issues, and net profit margin has also declined significantly. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained relatively stable, suggesting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, raising concerns about financial leverage. However, the equity ratio remains stable. Return on equity has been decreasing, indicating less efficient use of equity capital. The balance sheet reflects potential risks from high leverage, but equity stability provides some support.

Cash Flow

The company has faced challenges in generating positive free cash flow, with negative free cash flow in most of the recent years. Operating cash flow has also been inconsistent, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is currently unavailable due to zero operating cash flow. This highlights concerns over cash flow management and sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	38.59B	45.90B	56.41B	57.49B	53.83B	48.62B
Gross Profit	3.76B	4.52B	6.31B	10.31B	15.50B	13.48B
EBITDA	2.30B	2.34B	4.30B	8.65B	10.29B	9.68B
Net Income	353.30M	954.05M	2.30B	3.15B	5.05B	4.37B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	127.74B	129.18B	152.03B	202.97B	243.17B	198.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	28.53B	27.29B	26.02B	29.33B	19.88B	20.54B
Total Debt	42.10B	40.14B	43.60B	55.64B	58.85B	48.10B
Total Liabilities	89.35B	91.63B	113.90B	160.98B	199.43B	166.20B
Stockholders Equity	31.78B	31.40B	31.30B	33.62B	35.14B	24.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	7.39B	9.02B	9.07B	-4.49B	-3.74B	-5.88B
Operating Cash Flow	7.40B	9.03B	9.10B	-4.49B	-3.69B	-5.86B
Investing Cash Flow	411.36M	187.07M	-1.53B	-1.45B	-1.12B	-2.58B
Financing Cash Flow	-3.89B	-7.55B	-6.96B	486.87M	7.32B	7.38B

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 1.99
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0081, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.13, below the 50-day MA of 2.26, and below the 200-day MA of 2.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0081.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	65 Neutral	$2.17B	12.19	3.79%	4.94%	3.15%	1.96%
0272	52 Neutral	HK$5.61B	32.71	0.42%	13.43%	41.24%	-39.89%
0028	50 Neutral	HK$6.64B	3.22	7.40%	2.21%	216.43%	186.77%
0119	49 Neutral	HK$8.22B	488.64	0.04%	0.98%	22.28%	-98.68%
0173	46 Neutral	HK$6.68B	22.65	0.73%	3.32%	66.68%	-38.14%
0081	45 Neutral	HK$7.08B	18.63	1.10%	0.50%	-24.86%	-76.06%
0588	45 Neutral	HK$5.76B	-0.64	-41.74%	―	-44.25%	-406.20%

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Corporate Events

China Overseas Grand Oceans Reports Decline in October Sales Amid Expansion Efforts

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported a significant decline in its property contracted sales and gross floor area (GFA) for October 2025, with year-on-year decreases of 26.0% and 20.1%, respectively. Despite the downturn, the company continued its expansion by acquiring a new project in Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, contributing to a total newly acquired GFA of 1,942,101 square meters for the year. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on expanding its land bank, although it faces challenges in maintaining sales momentum.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Reports Q3 2025 Financial Decline Amid Continued Expansion

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue and operating profit decreasing by 21.2% and 46.7% respectively compared to the previous year. Despite the downturn, the company continued its expansion by acquiring new land parcels and maintaining a substantial land bank, while emphasizing prudent financial management and monitoring external economic factors to maximize long-term shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Reports Decline in September Sales but Expands Land Acquisitions

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported a decrease in property contracted sales and gross floor area (GFA) for September 2025, with year-on-year declines of 11.0% and 4.0%, respectively. Despite the downturn, the company acquired two new projects in Tangshan, Hebei Province, contributing to a total newly acquired GFA of 1,847,569 square meters from January to September 2025. The announcement highlights the company’s ongoing expansion efforts despite current market challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Schedules Q3 Financial Review Meeting

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited has announced a board meeting scheduled for October 22, 2025, to review and approve the financial and business performance for the third quarter of 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s operational progress and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Reports Mixed Sales and Strategic Expansion in 2025

In August 2025, China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported property contracted sales of RMB2.133 billion, a 6.1% increase year-on-year, with a contracted gross floor area (GFA) of 203,200 square meters. However, from January to August 2025, the company experienced a decline in total property contracted sales by 10.6% and a 9.7% decrease in total contracted GFA. The company acquired a new project in Huizhou, Guangdong Province, with a total GFA of 179,460 square meters, costing RMB622 million. This acquisition is part of a broader strategy, with a total of 1,664,627 square meters acquired in 2025, reflecting ongoing expansion efforts despite the overall sales decline.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Hold with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group to Forfeit Unclaimed Dividends

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited has announced the forfeiture of unclaimed dividends declared in 2018 and 2019, which will revert to the company if not claimed by 8 September 2025. This move may impact shareholders who have not yet received their dividends, urging them to act promptly to avoid forfeiture.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.44 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Reports Decline in H1 2025 Financials Amid Market Stabilization

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue dropping by 33.4% to RMB14,543 million and profit attributable to owners decreasing by 67.9% to RMB284 million. Despite the challenging market conditions, the company’s financial position remained robust, with a net cash inflow and a declared interim dividend of HK1 cent per share. The real estate market in China showed signs of stabilization, with steady property sales and improving supply-demand dynamics, although the overall sales in the top 100 cities experienced a slight decline.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Declares Interim Dividend for 2025

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited announced an interim dividend of HKD 0.01 per share for the six months ending June 30, 2025. The dividend will be paid on October 17, 2025, with the ex-dividend date set for September 18, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders amidst its operations in the real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.

China Overseas Grand Oceans Secures RMB3 Billion Loan Facility

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited has entered into a facility agreement with various banks for term loan facilities amounting to RMB3 billion. The agreement requires China Overseas Land & Investment Limited to maintain its position as the largest shareholder and have significant board representation, ensuring stability in the company’s governance and financial commitments.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0081) stock is a Buy with a HK$2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited stock, see the HK:0081 Stock Forecast page.