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China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
(0081)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.50
▼(-4.58% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/30/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening financial performance—multi-year revenue declines, sharply lower margins, and a large drop in net income—despite some stabilization in cash flow and modest deleveraging. Technicals are moderately supportive (price above key moving averages with neutral RSI), while valuation is only average (P/E ~21.3 with a ~2.73% yield).
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
Operating and free cash flow moved into positive territory in 2023–2025 and FCF roughly tracks reported net income. This durable cash-conversion improvement bolsters project funding, supports debt servicing and provides a recurring liquidity buffer that aids multi-quarter deleveraging and operational resilience.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
Three consecutive years of revenue decline erode scale and pipeline visibility, making it harder to absorb fixed costs and lowering bargaining power with suppliers. A sustained top-line contraction undermines long-term margin recovery and makes cash generation more sensitive to project timing risks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash generation
Operating and free cash flow moved into positive territory in 2023–2025 and FCF roughly tracks reported net income. This durable cash-conversion improvement bolsters project funding, supports debt servicing and provides a recurring liquidity buffer that aids multi-quarter deleveraging and operational resilience.
Read all positive factors
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited (0081) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$8.36B
Dividend Yield1.49%
Average Volume (3M)11.66M
Price to Earnings (P/E)23.8
Beta (1Y)1.49
Revenue Growth-19.50%
EPS Growth-68.30%
CountryHK
Employees2,218
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.09
Shares Outstanding3,559,374,800
10 Day Avg. Volume8,791,229
30 Day Avg. Volume11,664,033
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.30
Price to Book (P/B)0.20
Price to Sales (P/S)0.17
P/FCF Ratio2.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$4.21Price Target Upside60.69% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.09
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$31.29B
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, and leases real estate properties in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It operates through Property Investment and Development; Property Le...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money through (1) property development sales: it develops real estate projects and recognizes revenue when properties are delivered/sold to customers, generating income from contracted sales proceeds and profit margins ...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 36.87B | 45.90B | 56.41B | 57.49B | 53.83B |
| Gross Profit | 3.65B | 4.52B | 6.31B | 10.31B | 15.50B |
| EBITDA | 1.85B | 2.34B | 4.30B | 8.65B | 10.29B |
| Net Income | 304.66M | 954.05M | 2.30B | 3.15B | 5.05B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 118.75B | 129.18B | 152.03B | 202.97B | 243.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 26.88B | 27.29B | 26.02B | 29.33B | 19.88B |
| Total Debt | 38.95B | 40.14B | 43.60B | 55.64B | 58.85B |
| Total Liabilities | 80.69B | 91.63B | 113.90B | 160.98B | 199.43B |
| Stockholders Equity | 31.63B | 31.40B | 31.30B | 33.62B | 35.14B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.18B | 9.02B | 9.07B | -4.49B | -3.74B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 2.19B | 9.03B | 9.10B | -4.49B | -3.69B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 93.07M | 187.07M | -1.53B | -1.45B | -1.12B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.64B | -7.55B | -6.96B | 486.87M | 7.32B |
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.62
Price Trends
2.60
Negative
2.61
Negative
2.44
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.07
Negative
48.30
Neutral
78.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0081, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.26, above the 50-day MA of 2.60, and above the 200-day MA of 2.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0081.
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | HK$240.46B | 8.27 | 8.50% | 5.18% | 1.05% | -0.55% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
53 Neutral | HK$8.36B | 23.79 | 0.96% | 0.50% | -19.50% | -68.30% | |
51 Neutral | HK$146.33B | 10.06 | 3.23% | 4.54% | -9.39% | -19.08% | |
46 Neutral | HK$46.16B | 36.08 | 0.62% | 3.96% | -23.93% | -90.51% | |
41 Neutral | HK$40.35B | -0.42 | -59.37% | ― | -28.73% | -60.86% | |
41 Neutral | HK$8.27B | -0.17 | -3.01% | ― | -38.67% | ― |
* Real Estate Sector Average
HK:0081
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
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China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited Corporate Events
China Overseas Grand Oceans Posts Strong First-Half Sales and Expands Land Bank
Jul 7, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported unaudited contracted property sales of RMB3.894 billion in June 2026, down year-on-year, but achieved RMB19.138 billion in sales for the first half, reflecting double-digit growth in both value an...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Wins Shareholder Backing for Dividend, Mandates and New Articles
Jun 29, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported that shareholders approved all resolutions at its annual general meeting held on 29 June 2026, including receiving the 2025 audited financial statements and declaring a final dividend of HK2.5 cen...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Posts Double-Digit Sales Growth, Takes Selective Land and Equity Positions
Jun 4, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans reported robust sales momentum in May 2026, with property contracted sales reaching RMB3.81 billion and contracted gross floor area of 323,700 square meters, up 26.6% and 25.0% year on year respectively. For the first f...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Posts Strong April Sales and Selective Land Expansion
May 8, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans reported robust sales momentum in April 2026, with property contracted sales reaching RMB3.34 billion and contracted gross floor area of 285,300 square meters, representing year-on-year growth of around 27%. For the fir...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Renews Connected Property Management Deal With COPL
Apr 29, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited has renewed its framework agreement with China Overseas Property Holdings Limited, under which members of the COPL Group may continue to provide property management and related services to the group’...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Sets 2026 AGM, Proposes Dividend and Share Buyback Mandate
Apr 27, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited has convened its annual general meeting for 29 June 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review the audited financial statements and reports for the year ended 31 December 2025. The board is also pro...
China Overseas Grand Oceans Posts Lower Q1 Profit but Grows Contracted Sales and Landbank
Apr 23, 2026
China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited reported unaudited first-quarter 2026 revenue of about RMB5.52 billion, down 4.6% year on year, with operating profit falling 19.6% to approximately RMB320 million, signaling margin pressure despite stable...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.