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GoPro Inc (GPRO)
NASDAQ:GPRO

GoPro (GPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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GPRO

GoPro

(NASDAQ:GPRO)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$0.75
▲(3.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (losses, cash burn, and higher balance-sheet risk) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). The latest earnings call provides some offset via improved 2025 execution and more optimistic 2026 guidance, but margin headwinds, subscriber decline expectations, and liquidity constraints keep overall risk elevated.
Positive Factors
GP3 next-gen AI-enabled image processor
GP3's 5nm design and dedicated AI NPU provide a structural technology edge over peers, enabling higher image processing, longer runtimes, and on-device AI features. This can sustain a product-performance moat, support premium ASPs, and enable new AI licensing revenue over multiple product cycles.
Robust IP and patent defenses
A large, enforced patent portfolio and recent ITC/PTAB wins strengthen GoPro's competitive moat by deterring close competitors, protecting pricing and features, and reducing risk of feature erosion—benefits that persist across product generations and support long-term differentiation.
Material operating-cost and cash-flow improvement
Sustained expense reductions and inventory drawdown produced materially better operating cash flow and a step toward profitability. This structural improvement reduces cash burn, extends runway, and increases optionality for product investment and licensing commercialization over the next 2–3 years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and reduced equity cushion
Debt-to-equity above 1x indicates a materially thinner equity base, raising refinancing and covenant risk if operating trends falter. Higher leverage limits strategic flexibility, increases interest expense sensitivity, and elevates the probability of dilutive financings or constrained investment over the medium term.
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Multi-year cash burn undermines self-funding capacity and raises reliance on external financing. Persistent negative free cash flow increases dilution risk, constrains capital allocation for R&D and marketing, and heightens vulnerability to demand shocks or component cost inflation.
Structural gross-margin pressure from memory and tariffs
Sustained increases in memory component costs and tariff exposure compress gross margins and limit the benefit of higher ASPs. Margin erosion reduces reinvestment capacity and prolongs the path to durable profitability, especially if GoPro cannot fully pass costs to end consumers.

GoPro (GPRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

GoPro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGoPro, Inc. engages in manufacturing and selling cameras and camera accessories. It provides mountable and wearable cameras and accessories, which it refers to as capture devices. Its product brands include HERO9 Black, HERO8 Black, Max, HERO7 Black, HERO7 Silver, GoPro Plus, and GoPro App. The company was founded by Nicholas Woodman in 2002 and is headquartered in San Mateo, CA.
How the Company Makes MoneyGoPro generates revenue primarily through the sale of its cameras and accessories, which are marketed to both professional and amateur users. The company also earns significant income from its subscription service, GoPro Plus, which offers cloud storage, camera replacement, and access to premium editing tools. Additionally, GoPro benefits from partnerships with various brands and platforms that help promote its products and expand its reach. Key revenue streams include direct sales from retail and online channels, as well as recurring revenue from subscriptions, which have become increasingly important as the company shifts towards a more service-oriented business model.

GoPro Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Camera Units Shipped
Camera Units Shipped
Measures the volume of cameras sold, indicating market demand, brand popularity, and potential revenue growth from hardware sales.
Chart InsightsGoPro's camera unit shipments have been declining since 2024, reflecting broader challenges despite recent financial improvements. The earnings call highlights a strategic pivot towards new product launches and subscription growth, with a notable increase in average selling price and subscription attach rate. However, the decline in sell-through units and increased market competition, particularly in the 360 camera segment, underscore ongoing challenges. GoPro's focus on diversifying its supply chain and launching innovative products aims to counter these headwinds and drive future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

GoPro Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive picture: operational and cost discipline resulted in meaningful expense reductions, inventory drawdown, improved cash flow and a sizable improvement in adjusted EBITDA. Simultaneously, the company faces notable near-term headwinds — a Q4 revenue miss, substantial margin pressure from tariffs and rising memory costs (expected ~500 bps drag), an anticipated subscriber count decline, and reliance on financing and credit facilities. Product and technology developments (GP3, new cameras, AI licensing) and IP wins are strong strategic positives that could drive future revenue and margin improvement, but near-term macro and component cost risks temper optimism.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Operating Expense Reduction
Operating expenses decreased by $93 million from $354M to $261M, a 26% reduction year-over-year, driven by prior restructuring and continued expense management initiatives.
Improved Cash Flow and Adjusted EBITDA
Cash flow from operations improved by $104 million year-over-year (cash used in operations of $21M in 2025 vs $125M used in 2024). Adjusted EBITDA improved from negative $72M in 2024 to negative $29M in 2025 (a $43M improvement). Q4 2025 generated positive adjusted EBITDA of $1M and positive operating cash flow of $16M (a $41M YoY improvement for the quarter).
Product & Technology Momentum (GP3 and New Devices)
Announced GP3, a next-generation 5nm processor with >2x pixel processing vs GP2, dedicated AI NPU, and internal testing showing 40%–90% longer run times vs competition. New hardware launches in 2025 included MAX2 (8K 360 camera), LIT HERO (compact action camera), and Fluid Pro AI gimbal; GP3-based cameras expected to launch in Q2 and positioned as a key growth catalyst.
AI Content Licensing Program Progress
AI training/licensing program launched earlier (Q3 2025) shows strong subscriber engagement with more than 500,000 hours of uploaded content to date; company expects to recognize revenue from the program in Q1 and to make subscriber payouts later in the year, creating a new scalable high‑margin revenue stream.
Stable Revenue Mix and Higher ASP
Retail channel revenue was $482M (74% of revenue) and GoPro.com revenue was $170M (26% of revenue). Street ASP increased to $357, up 8% year-over-year. Subscription and service revenue remained flat at $106M (16% of revenue).
IP and Competitive Defense Win
U.S. International Trade Commission issued exclusion and cease-and-desist orders against Insta360, and PTAB upheld multiple HyperSmooth patents, strengthening GoPro's intellectual property protection; company states patent portfolio exceeds 1,500 U.S. patents.
Inventory and Channel Improvements
Inventory reduced by 35% year-over-year and channel inventory decreased by 30,000 units in Q4; sell-through in Q4 was at the midpoint of guidance at 625,000 camera units.
Liquidity and Funding Actions
Announced a $50M financing ($25M closed) and amended loan covenants; expect to end 2026 with approximately $50M (±$5M) in cash plus $35M available under ABL and $25M under recent financing, providing additional liquidity headroom.
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue Miss
Fourth-quarter revenue was $202M versus guidance of $220M (midpoint), missing guidance by $18M (approximately an 8.2% shortfall versus the midpoint).
Gross Margin Pressure from Tariffs and Memory Costs
Full-year gross margin was roughly flat at 33.8% versus 34.1% prior year despite a ~$20M negative impact from IEEPA tariffs in 2025. Management expects memory price increases (DRAM and NAND) to reduce margin by ~500 basis points year-over-year in 2026.
Subscriber Count Decline Expected
Company projects subscribers to decline about 7% year-over-year to ~2.2 million in 2026, partially offset by expected ARPU growth of ~10% and improved attach/retention rates.
Remaining Adjusted EBITDA and Profitability Challenges
Adjusted EBITDA remained negative $29M for 2025 (an improvement but still a loss). 2026 adjusted EBITDA is guided to $10M–$20M, showing progress but limited near-term profitability certainty given macro and cost headwinds.
Ongoing Macro & Supply Chain Uncertainty
Management flagged continued uncertainty from tariff volatility, memory pricing and availability, consumer confidence, competition, and global economic conditions as material risks to 2026 performance and targets.
Trailing Outlook Impacted by Memory Pricing
Prior 2026 outlook for trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA of $40M was materially impacted by memory pricing; management quantified memory pricing as reducing the trailing outlook by ~$40M, with total impact nearly $60M for 2026.
Tight Near-Term Liquidity Position
Although financing actions were taken, only $25M of the announced $50M financing was closed at the time of the call and management expects end‑of‑2026 cash of roughly $50M (±$5M), indicating limited cash runway and reliance on credit facilities.
Company Guidance
GoPro guided 2026 revenue of $750–$800 million (nearly 20% growth at the midpoint) driven by existing products, new GP3-based launches beginning in Q2 and additional AI content licensing; it expects subscription & service revenue to grow ~10% (with ARPU up ~10% even as subscribers are projected to fall ~7% to ~2.2 million), operating expenses of $220–$230 million (down from $261M in 2025 and targeted to fall to $200–$210M in 2027), adjusted EBITDA of $10–$20 million (vs. -$29M in 2025 and -$72M in 2024), gross margin pressure from memory price increases of roughly 500 basis points, assurance that memory supply should be sufficient to meet unit and revenue goals, and expected year-end 2026 liquidity of about $50M (±$5M) plus $35M available under the ABL and $25M under recent financing (GoPro announced a $50M financing, $25M closed); management noted memory pricing reduced prior trailing-12M EBITDA by ~$40M, contributing to a nearly $60M total 2026 impact.

GoPro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals remain weak: multi-year revenue decline versus prior levels, ongoing operating losses, and negative operating/free cash flow in 2023–2025 (cash burn). Balance-sheet risk has risen with debt-to-equity above 1x in 2025 due to a reduced equity cushion, though 2025 results improved materially versus 2024.
Income Statement
28
Negative
The top line has been shrinking over the last two years (2024 down ~20%, 2025 up ~12% but still well below prior levels), and profitability remains weak. Gross margin has held fairly steady in the low-to-mid 30% range recently, but operating performance is loss-making, with negative EBITDA and net losses in 2023–2025 (including a very large net loss in 2024). The key positive is that losses narrowed materially in 2025 versus 2024, but overall earnings power is still pressured.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage has become a bigger concern: debt-to-equity moved from conservative levels in 2022–2023 to above 1x in 2025, reflecting a sharp decline in equity. Returns on equity are deeply negative in 2023–2025, consistent with ongoing losses and a weakened capital base. Debt in absolute dollars is not extremely high, but the reduced equity cushion increases financial risk and reduces flexibility if operating conditions remain challenged.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated materially. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2023–2025, with a particularly large cash outflow in 2024 and still negative results in 2025. While free cash flow was positive in 2020–2022 (especially 2021), the more recent trend points to cash burn and less self-funding capacity, which can increase reliance on the balance sheet over time.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue651.54M801.47M1.01B1.09B1.16B
Gross Profit219.17M271.30M323.57M406.83M477.11M
EBITDA-53.18M-123.27M-56.87M54.77M128.24M
Net Income-93.49M-432.31M-53.18M28.85M371.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets427.98M543.68M967.95M1.08B1.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.67M102.81M246.57M367.34M538.92M
Total Debt83.32M122.21M128.66M184.02M286.52M
Total Liabilities351.43M391.99M412.11M465.37M643.97M
Stockholders Equity76.55M151.69M555.85M611.56M615.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.03M-129.18M-34.38M2.30M223.61M
Operating Cash Flow-20.67M-125.14M-32.86M5.75M229.15M
Investing Cash Flow-3.36M7.65M121.90M-8.39M-143.72M
Financing Cash Flow-30.11M-929.00K-90.38M-173.27M-9.89M

GoPro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.72
Price Trends
50DMA
1.09
Negative
100DMA
1.41
Negative
200DMA
1.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
36.18
Neutral
STOCH
8.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.84, below the 50-day MA of 1.09, and below the 200-day MA of 1.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPRO.

GoPro Risk Analysis

GoPro disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. GoPro reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

GoPro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$260.09M18.0713.20%6.43%196.68%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
55
Neutral
$55.57M-2.56-14.65%2.35%18.83%
50
Neutral
$37.01M-17.32-2.85%11.58%81.08%
47
Neutral
$182.12M>-0.01-9999.00%-4.31%59.68%
46
Neutral
$117.59M-6.14-102.47%-27.37%70.46%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPRO
GoPro
0.71
-0.04
-5.59%
KOSS
Koss
3.92
-1.36
-25.76%
TBCH
Turtle Beach
12.72
-0.94
-6.88%
UEIC
Universal Electronics
4.15
-2.74
-39.77%
VUZI
Vuzix
2.11
-0.27
-11.34%
WTO
UTime
3.01
-1,034.49
-99.71%

GoPro Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
GoPro Secures New Financing to Strengthen Liquidity Position
Neutral
Mar 5, 2026

On February 27, 2026, GoPro entered into a securities purchase agreement with Yorkville for up to $50 million in convertible debentures, issued at a 3% discount and maturing in August 2027, with conversion into Class A shares subject to pricing floors, ownership limits and Nasdaq exchange caps. The company also agreed to register Yorkville’s resale of conversion shares and simultaneously amended its term loan and revolving credit facilities, easing near-term EBITDA covenants, tightening liquidity and asset coverage requirements, extending its revolver maturity to June 2027 and accepting higher interest costs, moves that collectively bolster liquidity but increase potential dilution and financing expense for stakeholders.

For the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, reported on March 5, 2026, GoPro generated fourth-quarter revenue of $202 million, flat year-on-year, with a reduced GAAP net loss of $9 million and positive adjusted EBITDA of $1 million, while full-year revenue fell 19% to $652 million amid a 20% drop in camera sell-through and modestly lower subscription and services revenue of $106 million. Despite persistent losses, the company improved operating cash flow by $104 million, sharply narrowed net losses versus 2024, and highlighted the upcoming GP3 next-generation AI-enabled image processor, slated to power new cameras from the second quarter of 2026 as it seeks to move upmarket and expand its addressable digital imaging market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPRO) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoPro stock, see the GPRO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
GoPro Reshuffles Leadership, Appoints New CFO and President
Neutral
Feb 19, 2026

On February 19, 2026, GoPro announced a leadership reshuffle effective March 17, 2026, promoting longtime finance and operations executive Brian McGee to President & Chief Operating Officer while he retains his COO responsibilities and exits the Chief Financial Officer role. The move signals continuity in operational oversight, as McGee, who has held senior finance and operating posts at GoPro since 2015, will not see changes to his compensation structure or equity plan participation.

To fill the vacated finance seat, the board appointed current Vice President of Finance Brian Tratt as Chief Financial Officer, also effective at the close of business on March 17, 2026, with a base salary of $385,000 and eligibility for an annual discretionary bonus of up to 60% of salary. Tratt’s elevation, after more than a decade in GoPro’s finance organization and prior audit experience at KPMG, underscores an internally driven succession plan aimed at maintaining financial discipline and stability, with the company noting no special arrangements, related-party ties or disclosable transactions linked to either executive.

The most recent analyst rating on (GPRO) stock is a Sell with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GoPro stock, see the GPRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026