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Redde Northgate Plc (GB:ZIG)
:ZIG

Redde Northgate (ZIG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Redde Northgate

(LSE:ZIG)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
398.00p
▲( 13.71% Upside)
The overall score is driven by a strong valuation and positive corporate events that enhance financial flexibility and market confidence. Despite financial performance challenges with increasing debt and negative free cash flow, the stock's bullish technical indicators and attractive dividend yield make it appealing to investors.
Positive Factors
Demand and Market Expectations
Strong demand for rental products was seen in both Spain and UK & Ireland, leading to management expecting to finish ahead of market expectations.
Financial Performance
ZigUp's trading update continues the group's track record of gently beating consensus expectations.
Growth in Regions
Spain continues to be the stand-out region with good growth in total vehicles supporting growth in rental profits.
Negative Factors
Cyber-Security Incident
The Claims & Services division experienced a cyber-security incident impacting EBITA by £4.2m and faced a weaker market in the higher margin Auxillis business.
Debt and Financial Risk
Net Debt expansion has been limited to £40m as the group takes advantage of the improved vehicle supply.
Market Challenges
Improvement in Claims & Services is encouraging after a challenging period impacted by a cyber-security incident.

Redde Northgate (ZIG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Redde Northgate Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionZigup Plc provides mobility solutions and automotive services in the United Kingdom, Spain, and Ireland. The company offers contact center support, sales, claim processing, customer service, and general insurance products; provides fleet management, rapid response, and recovery management services; and supplies and installs electric vehicle charging equipment. In addition, it provides personal injury law and legal advice services; light commercial vehicle hire services; used vans and cars for business, and private individuals; and automotive crash repair and accident administration services. Further, the company operates a fleet of approximately 130,000 owned and leased vehicles, and approximately 700,000 managed vehicles. The company was formerly known as Redde Northgate plc and changed its name to Zigup Plc in May 2024. Zigup Plc was incorporated in 1897 and is headquartered in Darlington, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyRedde Northgate generates revenue through a diversified business model primarily centered around vehicle rental and fleet management services. Key revenue streams include short-term vehicle hire, long-term fleet leasing, and accident management services such as repair and claims handling. The company capitalizes on its large fleet of vehicles to provide flexible rental solutions to businesses and individuals. Additionally, partnerships with insurance companies and corporate clients enhance its accident management division, driving further earnings through service fees and commissions. The integration of vehicle rental and management services allows Redde Northgate to optimize operational efficiency and maximize utilization rates, contributing to its overall profitability.

Redde Northgate Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Redde Northgate demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency with stable margins. However, the increasing debt and negative free cash flow due to capital expenditures warrant cautious monitoring.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from the previous year. Gross profit margins are stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased, which might be attributed to increased operational expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, showcasing robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is decent, although there's room for improvement. The equity ratio is relatively stable, reflecting a solid financial foundation. However, the increasing debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow shows a positive trend, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. However, the free cash flow has been negative, impacted by high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, yet the negative free cash flow suggests potential liquidity challenges if such trends continue.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.83B1.49B1.24B1.11B779.35M
Gross Profit
414.33M415.37M326.43M233.03M154.72M
EBIT
193.92M213.01M144.23M68.75M70.69M
EBITDA
445.06M396.09M363.42M291.38M240.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
125.02M139.24M101.55M65.57M7.68M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
39.80M14.12M24.56M11.17M67.84M
Total Assets
2.23B2.11B1.85B1.72B1.79B
Total Debt
782.03M708.56M607.11M541.51M643.71M
Net Debt
742.23M694.43M582.55M530.34M575.87M
Total Liabilities
1.18B1.11B900.15M807.06M920.52M
Stockholders Equity
1.04B994.60M946.76M908.13M871.57M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-192.90M-49.97M-50.77M-59.84M-134.23M
Operating Cash Flow
378.41M357.34M295.91M252.99M239.54M
Investing Cash Flow
-285.95M-288.23M-215.70M-94.82M-205.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-110.20M-72.99M-71.41M-167.85M-17.77M

Redde Northgate Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price350.00
Price Trends
50DMA
308.66
Positive
100DMA
309.13
Positive
200DMA
334.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.04
Negative
RSI
75.21
Negative
STOCH
79.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ZIG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 350 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 326.02, above the 50-day MA of 308.66, and above the 200-day MA of 334.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.21 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ZIG.

Redde Northgate Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBAHT
78
Outperform
£18.86B16.0720.60%2.25%-0.25%-8.04%
GBZIG
75
Outperform
£757.88M8.129.09%7.74%7.08%-28.02%
64
Neutral
$4.46B11.945.17%249.36%4.00%-12.35%
GBHSS
£51.18M-1.50%7.78%
GBSDY
64
Neutral
£112.29M-1.79%10.65%-4.08%29.90%
GBVP
56
Neutral
£235.19M-3.24%6.67%-1.52%-122.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ZIG
Redde Northgate
350.00
-50.77
-12.67%
GB:AHT
Ashtead
4,263.00
-1,345.99
-24.00%
GB:HSS
HSS Hire
7.18
-2.99
-29.40%
GB:SDY
Speedy Hire
24.85
-1.18
-4.53%
GB:VP
Vp
600.00
-6.70
-1.10%

Redde Northgate Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ZIGUP PLC Surpasses FY2025 Expectations with Strong Rental Demand
Positive
May 21, 2025

ZIGUP PLC announced that its FY2025 performance exceeded market expectations, driven by strong demand for rental products, particularly in Spain. The company has expanded its rental fleet and improved its Claims & Services businesses, signing new contracts and partnerships. ZIGUP is confident about future growth opportunities, supported by strong structural growth drivers and a recent refinancing deal with extended maturities. The company also received the King’s Award for Enterprise, highlighting its commitment to customer service and social mobility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ZIG) stock is a Buy with a £5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Redde Northgate stock, see the GB:ZIG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
ZIGUP plc Receives Prestigious King’s Award for Enterprise
Positive
May 6, 2025

ZIGUP plc has been awarded the King’s Award for Enterprise in the category of Promoting Opportunity, recognizing its efforts in supporting disadvantaged individuals through successful programs in work experience, training, apprenticeships, mentoring, and careers advice. This accolade highlights ZIGUP’s commitment to breaking socio-economic barriers and addressing the skills gap in the automotive sector, further enhancing its reputation as a responsible employer. With over 400 apprentices, the company continues to broaden its diversity and inclusion efforts, supporting its mission to keep customers mobile and drive sustainable growth.

Other
ZIGUP plc Director Transfers Shares Without Changing Holdings
Neutral
May 2, 2025

ZIGUP plc, a company involved in the financial markets, announced a transfer of shares by Mark Butcher, a Non-Executive Director. On May 2, 2025, Butcher transferred 6,000 ordinary shares between his accounts, maintaining his total shareholding at 34,676 shares. This transaction involved selling shares from one account and purchasing the same amount into an ISA account, with no change in his overall shareholding.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ZIGUP plc Announces Change in Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
May 2, 2025

ZIGUP plc, based in Darlington, United Kingdom, has announced a change in its voting rights structure due to the cancellation of treasury shares that do not carry voting rights. This adjustment has resulted in a decrease in the percentage of voting rights held, from 5.05872% to 4.5399%, affecting a total of 10,252,974 voting rights. The notification of this change was completed on May 1, 2025, and reflects a significant shift in the company’s shareholding structure, which may have implications for its governance and stakeholder engagement.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ZIGUP PLC Cancels Treasury Shares, Adjusts Voting Rights
Neutral
May 2, 2025

ZIGUP PLC announced the cancellation of 10,000,000 ordinary shares held in treasury, adjusting its total voting rights to 225,838,449. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its share capital effectively and maintain transparency in accordance with regulatory requirements. The cancellation of treasury shares is expected to impact shareholder calculations regarding their interests in the company, aligning with ZIGUP’s strategic framework to enhance shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Redde Northgate Announces Change in Major Holdings for Zigup Plc
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

Redde Northgate has announced a change in major holdings concerning Zigup Plc, with Richard Griffiths and his controlled holdings crossing a significant threshold. The notification highlights an acquisition or disposal of voting rights, resulting in a total of 4.92% of voting rights held by Griffiths, indicating a strategic shift in shareholder influence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ZIGUP PLC Completes Strategic Debt Refinancing Programme
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

ZIGUP PLC has successfully completed its debt refinancing programme, extending its debt maturity beyond 2030 and increasing liquidity by £285 million. The programme, which attracted strong demand from a diverse range of lenders, included a £500 million Revolving Credit Facility, a €190 million US Private Placement, and a £100 million Vehicle Funding Facility. This refinancing effort, achieved on investment grade terms, enhances ZIGUP’s financial flexibility and positions the company for sustainable growth.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Zigup Plc Announces Change in Major Holdings
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

Zigup Plc has announced a change in its major holdings, with Richard Griffiths and controlled holdings now owning a total of 5.13% of the voting rights. This change, resulting from an acquisition of voting rights, highlights an increase from the previous 4.74%, potentially impacting the company’s governance and shareholder dynamics.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.