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Trifast PLC (GB:TRI)
LSE:TRI

Trifast (TRI) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TRI

Trifast

(LSE:TRI)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
92.00p
▲(35.29% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/07/25
Trifast's overall score reflects a stable financial position with operational improvements, but challenges remain in revenue growth and cash flow. Positive corporate events and executive confidence provide a boost, while technical and valuation metrics suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Diversified engineered fastening business
Trifast's core B2B model sells standard and engineered fasteners plus value-added services to OEMs across multiple industrial end-markets. This diversification and contract-driven supply relationship create recurring revenue stickiness and structural demand resilience over several months.
Improving operational efficiency and margins
Improved EBIT/EBITDA margins and stable gross margins point to durable cost control, manufacturing and distribution efficiency gains. These structural improvements increase margin sustainability and operating leverage potential, helping protect profitability during cyclical revenue periods.
Manageable leverage and stable equity base
A reasonable debt profile and stable equity ratio provide financial flexibility to fund working capital, capital expenditure or targeted investments. Manageable leverage reduces refinancing risk and supports resilience through cyclical downturns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
A persistent revenue decline undermines operating leverage and long-term growth prospects. Falling top-line makes it harder to cover fixed costs, invest in product or service expansion, and maintain pricing power with OEM customers, risking margin pressure if the trend continues.
Significant drop in free cash flow
A notable decline in free cash flow weakens the company's ability to fund capex, repay debt, or support dividends and buybacks. Persistent FCF deterioration can force tighter working capital management, hinder strategic investments and reduce financial optionality over months.
Low net profit margins and weak returns
Low net margins and ROE indicate constrained shareholder returns and limited capacity to self-fund growth. Even with operational gains, weak profitability reduces retained earnings for reinvestment and may pressure strategic flexibility over the medium term.

Trifast (TRI) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Trifast Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTrifast plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, engineering, manufacture, and distribution of industrial fasteners and category C components in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, and Asia. The company offers screws and bolts, nuts, washers, circlips, seals, rings, plastic and enclosure hardware, cable glands, security fasteners, spacers and pillars, tooling and driver bits, and other hardware products, as well as fasteners for sheet metal and plastic. It serves light and heavy vehicle, health and home, energy, tech, infrastructure, general, and distributor industries. Trifast plc was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Uckfield, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyTrifast generates revenue primarily through the sale of its manufactured fasteners and components to a broad customer base in multiple sectors. The company operates a multi-channel revenue model that includes direct sales to large OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers), distribution through third-party channels, and tailored solutions for specific industry needs. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and custom fasteners, along with supplementary services such as inventory management and supply chain solutions. Additionally, Trifast benefits from strategic partnerships with major manufacturers and suppliers, enhancing its market reach and ability to provide comprehensive fastening solutions. The company's focus on efficiency and innovation, alongside its global presence, contributes to its overall earnings and competitive advantage in the fastener market.

Trifast Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Trifast's financial performance is stable but faces challenges. Improved operational efficiency is offset by declining revenue and reduced free cash flow growth, posing risks. The balance sheet is reasonable with manageable leverage, but profitability remains a concern.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Trifast's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is low, and revenue has declined over the past year, suggesting challenges in maintaining top-line growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is low, suggesting limited profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, showing a solid asset base supported by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some concerns. Free cash flow has decreased significantly, impacting liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating decent cash generation relative to earnings. However, the decline in free cash flow growth rate is a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue215.42M223.47M233.67M244.39M218.62M188.16M
Gross Profit61.87M63.35M58.83M61.93M58.43M49.91M
EBITDA17.75M18.57M14.58M9.26M18.89M15.84M
Net Income1.16M1.04M-4.44M-2.87M8.98M5.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets231.99M229.00M230.16M265.33M255.02M209.92M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.11M24.26M20.88M31.80M26.74M30.27M
Total Debt85.08M62.95M60.27M85.64M64.22M29.76M
Total Liabilities109.33M107.92M105.98M129.44M115.87M78.11M
Stockholders Equity122.66M121.08M124.18M135.89M139.15M131.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.70M13.47M24.00M-2.66M-23.14M20.24M
Operating Cash Flow13.42M16.89M28.58M2.96M-17.90M23.30M
Investing Cash Flow-5.62M-2.21M-235.00K-5.46M-11.03M-2.98M
Financing Cash Flow-2.04M-10.87M-38.17M7.36M24.06M-17.05M

Trifast Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price68.00
Price Trends
50DMA
76.11
Positive
100DMA
76.24
Positive
200DMA
74.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.55
Positive
RSI
49.26
Neutral
STOCH
40.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.28, below the 50-day MA of 76.11, and below the 200-day MA of 74.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:TRI.

Trifast Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£3.30B20.7411.65%3.58%-2.44%-6.43%
73
Outperform
£1.82B45.8435.23%1.01%24.42%103.25%
70
Neutral
£49.66M8.2111.79%7.35%-25.56%-42.49%
67
Neutral
£1.28B36.758.19%1.06%-13.81%13.86%
65
Neutral
£115.43M23.923.82%6.69%-13.30%-60.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
£106.80M92.090.95%2.61%-6.32%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TRI
Trifast
79.20
13.69
20.90%
GB:BILN
Billington Holdings
392.50
-27.22
-6.49%
GB:CGS
Castings
265.50
21.77
8.93%
GB:RS1
RS Group PLC
696.50
110.69
18.90%
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
24,200.00
17,612.98
267.39%
GB:SNR
Senior plc
308.00
135.44
78.49%

Trifast Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Trifast CEO Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Feb 17, 2026

Trifast plc has disclosed that its chief executive officer, Iain Percival, purchased 123,757 ordinary shares at 80 pence each on 16 February 2026, increasing his beneficial holding to 521,031 shares. The transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market, signals additional personal financial commitment by the CEO, which may be interpreted by investors as a vote of confidence in the company’s prospects and governance.

The purchase was notified in line with EU Market Abuse Regulation requirements for dealings by persons discharging managerial responsibilities. Such transparency around executive share dealings is intended to support market integrity and provides shareholders with insight into management’s alignment with their interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TRI) stock is a Hold with a £81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trifast stock, see the GB:TRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trifast stays on track for FY26 targets despite tough trading
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Trifast reported that trading for the third quarter to 31 December 2025 keeps the Group on course to deliver full-year 2026 results in line with market expectations, despite continued challenging conditions. Management reiterated its focus on internal efficiency and strategic self-help measures, and remains confident in achieving double-digit EBIT margins over the medium term.

Consensus forecasts ahead of the update point to FY26 revenue of £214m, underlying EBIT of £16m and underlying profit before tax of £11.6m, based on estimates from three analysts. The company plans to provide a fuller performance update in a year-end pre-close statement in late April 2026, followed by its annual results announcement in July 2026, giving investors further visibility on progress against its margin and earnings targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TRI) stock is a Hold with a £81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trifast stock, see the GB:TRI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trifast Discloses New External Board Role for Non-Executive Director Nicholas Mills
Neutral
Jan 19, 2026

Trifast plc has announced that its Non-Executive Director, Nicholas Mills, has been appointed as a Non-Executive Director to the Board of eEnergy Group plc, effective immediately. The additional board role expands Mills’ external commitments and may enhance Trifast’s access to broader strategic insights and networks in adjacent sectors, though the company has framed the news primarily as a regulatory disclosure for shareholders under listing rule requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TRI) stock is a Hold with a £80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trifast stock, see the GB:TRI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Trifast Director-Linked Funds Lift Stake to 16.3% After Share Purchase
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

Trifast plc has disclosed that investment vehicles associated with director Nicholas Mills have increased their holding in the company through a recent share purchase. On 7 January 2026, entities connected to Mills acquired 20,000 Trifast ordinary shares at 70p each on the London Stock Exchange’s Main Market, taking his and related vehicles’ combined interest to 22.21 million shares, or 16.3% of the company’s issued share capital, signalling a further vote of confidence from a significant insider shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TRI) stock is a Hold with a £81.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Trifast stock, see the GB:TRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025