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Castings PLC (GB:CGS)
LSE:CGS

Castings (CGS) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CGS

Castings

(LSE:CGS)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
295.00p
▲(16.60% Upside)
The score is primarily held back by weaker recent operating performance and negative free cash flow, partially offset by a very strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are constructive with the price above major moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is mixed (high yield but a relatively high P/E). Capacity expansion and profit growth despite softer revenue provide an additional positive offset.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with zero debt provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Improved Profit Margins
Improved profit margins indicate efficient cost management and enhanced profitability, which can lead to better returns for shareholders and reinvestment into the business.
Strategic Shareholder Changes
Increased stake by a major shareholder like Ameriprise Financial can lead to strategic support and influence in decision-making, potentially driving long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Demand Fluctuations
Significant demand fluctuations in a major revenue segment can lead to volatility in earnings and profitability, posing a risk to consistent financial performance.
Increased Power Costs
Rising power costs can erode profit margins and increase operational expenses, impacting the company's ability to maintain cost efficiency and profitability.
Decreased Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth can hinder the company's ability to expand its market presence and invest in future growth initiatives, affecting long-term prospects.

Castings (CGS) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Castings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCastings (CGS) is a UK-based company that specializes in the manufacturing and supply of iron castings and machined components for the automotive, commercial vehicle, and other industrial sectors. The company operates through its foundry operations and machining and assembly businesses, providing high-quality engineered solutions to its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyCastings (CGS) generates revenue primarily through the sale of its iron castings and machined components. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with automotive manufacturers and other industrial clients who require custom-engineered metal components. Additionally, Castings benefits from its machining and assembly services, which add value to its core casting operations. Strategic partnerships with automotive and industrial firms help the company maintain a steady flow of orders, while its focus on high-quality production and engineering capabilities ensures competitive positioning in the market.

Castings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength (very low leverage and stable equity) supports resilience, but operating results and cash conversion weakened: revenue fell (-12.5%), margins compressed sharply, and free cash flow turned negative despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue and profitability have been volatile. After strong revenue expansion in 2022–2024, the latest year shows a meaningful revenue decline (-12.5%) alongside a sharp drop in operating and net margins (net margin down to ~2.4% from ~7.5% prior year). Profitability remains positive, but the recent compression in gross, operating, and net profitability signals weaker pricing/mix and/or cost pressure versus the prior two years.
Balance Sheet
87
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength, with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.02 in the latest year and near-zero in prior years). Equity is sizable and stable relative to assets, providing financial flexibility. The main weakness is the lower recent return on equity (~3.3% latest year versus ~12.5% prior year), reflecting the earnings downturn rather than balance sheet stress.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash generation weakened in the latest year: operating cash flow fell and free cash flow turned negative, despite previously positive free cash flow in 2020–2024. Operating cash flow is still positive, but it covered a smaller portion of reported profitability than in prior years, and negative free cash flow suggests heavier investment and/or working-capital drag that increases near-term funding pressure (even if leverage is currently low).
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue175.35M176.97M224.41M200.99M148.58M114.70M
Gross Profit28.29M27.49M43.29M38.91M30.48M19.83M
EBITDA15.62M14.63M28.61M25.36M20.62M13.08M
Net Income4.83M4.17M16.72M13.79M8.55M4.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets165.81M168.27M174.06M174.43M165.19M157.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.53M15.56M32.53M35.57M35.74M36.09M
Total Debt2.14M2.13M0.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities40.76M40.83M40.06M42.77M33.70M28.13M
Stockholders Equity125.05M127.44M133.99M131.66M131.50M129.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.57M-7.62M10.96M13.66M6.02M7.20M
Operating Cash Flow26.72M12.14M20.55M19.86M10.40M12.45M
Investing Cash Flow-19.59M-18.06M-8.98M-6.20M-3.97M-3.22M
Financing Cash Flow-7.96M-11.04M-14.61M-13.83M-6.78M-6.53M

Castings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price253.00
Price Trends
50DMA
271.93
Negative
100DMA
260.24
Positive
200DMA
261.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
48.18
Neutral
STOCH
64.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CGS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 253 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 272.10, below the 50-day MA of 271.93, and below the 200-day MA of 261.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CGS.

Castings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£8.31B27.1417.68%1.26%-1.97%40.55%
73
Outperform
£1.88B47.5435.23%1.01%24.42%103.25%
70
Outperform
£192.98M29.395.87%1.02%14.49%76.33%
69
Neutral
£1.28B46.954.10%3.30%-6.95%-52.08%
67
Neutral
£632.65M23.138.04%4.87%-7.30%-59.71%
65
Neutral
£119.13M24.683.82%6.69%-13.30%-60.03%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CGS
Castings
269.50
16.36
6.46%
GB:AVG
Avingtrans
580.00
228.79
65.14%
GB:BOY
Bodycote
746.50
139.62
23.01%
GB:GDWN
Goodwin
25,800.00
18,850.22
271.23%
GB:MGAM
Morgan Advanced Materials
229.50
-19.00
-7.64%
GB:WEIR
Weir Group plc (The)
3,246.00
932.41
40.30%

Castings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Castings PLC Sees Profit Growth Amidst Revenue Dip and Expands Capacity
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

Castings PLC reported a slight decrease in revenue for the six months ending September 2025, but saw an increase in profit before tax, aligning with management expectations. The company has completed the commissioning of a new foundry production line, enhancing its capacity and positioning it for future growth in new market areas. Despite lower demand in the heavy truck sector, the company maintains a strong balance sheet and is poised to capitalize on opportunities in the US and other sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CGS) stock is a Buy with a £335.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Castings stock, see the GB:CGS Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Castings PLC to Announce Half-Year Results
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Castings PLC has announced that it will release its half-year results for the period ending 30 September 2025 on 12 November 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning within the European heavy truck market and other sectors it serves.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CGS) stock is a Buy with a £335.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Castings stock, see the GB:CGS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025