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Topps Tiles (GB:TPT)
:TPT

Topps Tiles (TPT) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TPT

Topps Tiles

(LSE:TPT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
51.00p
▲(41.67% Upside)
Topps Tiles is on a positive growth trajectory, driven by strong financial performance and technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives, such as digital expansion and acquisitions, are promising, despite challenges in managing high leverage and operational costs. The stock's valuation and dividend yield add to its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Digital and Trade Sales Expansion
Growing digital and trade sales enhance market reach and customer engagement, crucial for adapting to changing consumer behaviors.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation provides financial flexibility for reinvestment and debt management, strengthening long-term stability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful debt management to ensure sustainable growth.
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs can pressure margins and profitability, requiring efficiency improvements to maintain competitiveness.
CTD Acquisition Challenges
Regulatory challenges and associated costs from acquisitions can hinder integration efforts and financial performance.

Topps Tiles (TPT) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Topps Tiles Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTopps Tiles (TPT) is a leading retailer of tiles and associated products in the United Kingdom, specializing in ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles. The company caters to both residential and commercial sectors, offering a wide range of stylish and functional products including wall and floor tiles, adhesives, and accessories. With a strong emphasis on quality and design, TPT provides customers with an extensive selection to enhance their living and working spaces.
How the Company Makes MoneyTopps Tiles generates revenue primarily through the sale of tiles and related products in its retail stores and online platform. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of tiles, adhesives, and other flooring materials, as well as ancillary services such as design consultations and installation support. Additionally, TPT benefits from significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers, allowing them to offer exclusive product ranges and competitive pricing. The company also engages in promotional campaigns and loyalty programs to drive customer retention and increase sales, further contributing to its earnings.

Topps Tiles Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reveals strong financial and strategic progress, particularly in digital and trade sales, with significant achievements like the Fired Earth acquisition. However, challenges remain in the CTD acquisition and increased operating costs. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights, presenting a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Mission 365 Progress
Topps Tiles has achieved 40% of its Mission 365 goal, aiming for GBP 365 million in sales with an 8-10% net margin. Sales growth is supported by five clear areas of opportunity, including strong performance in trade and digital sales.
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted pretax profit reached GBP 9.2 million, a 46% increase year-on-year. Adjusted earnings per share growth allowed for a 21% dividend increase. Gross margin improved by 50 basis points year-on-year.
Pro Tiler Expansion
Pro Tiler's sales grew by 27% in the second half of the year, contributing to a total of GBP 35 million in sales, tripling since acquisition.
Digital Sales and Trade Growth
Digital sales penetration increased to over 21% from 18.5% last year. Trade sales in Topps Tiles grew by 13.3%, now accounting for 69% of overall sales.
Positive Outlook for CTD
CTD stores have been integrated and are delivering consistent like-for-like growth. A strategic plan is in place to move CTD into profitability by FY '26.
Fired Earth Acquisition
The acquisition of the premium brand Fired Earth is expected to expand the addressable customer base and digital penetration.
Negative Updates
CTD Acquisition Challenges
Challenges with the CMA investigation required the disposal of 4 stores, impacting CTD's financial performance with GBP 2 million in advisory costs and GBP 3.2 million in one-off expenses.
Increased Operating Costs
Operating costs increased by GBP 5.7 million (4.7% year-on-year) due to regulatory challenges, National Living Wage increases, and higher performance-related pay.
Modest Outflow in Working Capital
A modest outflow in working capital was driven by higher levels of receivables, contributing to a GBP 5.4 million cash outflow in the CTD business.
Tile Warehouse Loss
Tile Warehouse experienced a modest trading loss during the year, although it is projected to break even in FY '26.
Company Guidance
In the investor call for Topps Tiles Plc, CEO Rob Parker outlined the company's significant progress towards its strategic goal, Mission 365, which aims to achieve GBP 365 million in sales with a net margin of 8% to 10%. The company is currently 40% towards its sales target following a year marked by a 46% increase in adjusted pretax profit, reaching GBP 9.2 million. The gross margin improved by 50 basis points, reaching 53.8%, while trade now accounts for 75% of total sales, with digital sales penetration increasing to over 21%. Operating costs rose by 4.7%, and the business maintained a net cash position of GBP 7.4 million. The newly acquired CTD business, despite challenges, is expected to move into profit in FY '26, contributing to a diversified sales strategy alongside strong performances from Pro Tiler and Tile Warehouse. The acquisition of the Fired Earth brand aims to expand the company's premium market reach. New CEO Alex Jensen outlined her priorities, emphasizing sustainable profitability for CTD and Tile Warehouse, accelerating digital capabilities, and reinforcing Topps Tiles as a destination of choice for hard surface projects.

Topps Tiles Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Topps Tiles shows a positive trajectory in revenue and operational efficiency, with significant improvements in cash flow generation. However, high leverage remains a concern, and there is room for enhancing net profitability. The company is on a path of recovery and growth, but it must manage its debt levels carefully to ensure long-term stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Topps Tiles has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 8.78% in the latest year, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin has improved to 51.88%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low at 2.02%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 14.34, which poses a risk due to high leverage. However, the return on equity has improved to 77.49%, showing strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is low at 4.11%, indicating a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Topps Tiles has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth of 56.46%, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.96, suggesting robust cash flow relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.04, highlighting effective cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue295.75M295.75M251.76M262.71M247.24M228.00M
Gross Profit153.75M153.41M134.32M139.25M126.57M122.17M
EBITDA26.45M33.27M12.23M35.46M39.28M45.08M
Net Income5.99M5.99M-13.03M3.21M9.01M10.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets187.89M187.89M167.40M174.40M180.82M188.07M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.43M18.43M23.68M23.37M16.24M27.79M
Total Debt110.79M110.79M100.96M94.50M102.93M111.34M
Total Liabilities180.17M180.17M161.82M148.01M151.78M163.11M
Stockholders Equity7.73M7.73M5.58M23.21M26.58M24.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.73M18.22M19.30M32.98M19.71M22.09M
Operating Cash Flow23.69M23.72M23.77M37.23M22.92M26.50M
Investing Cash Flow-4.70M-4.72M-12.95M-3.61M-6.50M-1.84M
Financing Cash Flow-24.24M-24.24M-10.51M-26.50M-27.97M-27.89M

Topps Tiles Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.00
Price Trends
50DMA
39.20
Positive
100DMA
37.79
Positive
200DMA
36.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.69
Negative
RSI
66.96
Neutral
STOCH
72.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.09, below the 50-day MA of 39.20, and below the 200-day MA of 36.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:TPT.

Topps Tiles Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£93.98M15.6789.96%6.04%17.48%
72
Outperform
£5.24B29.372.86%3.99%-0.13%-43.71%
67
Neutral
£525.45M24.7415.65%3.80%3.98%-22.94%
64
Neutral
£54.83M40.743.37%1.76%9.26%31.71%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
£48.28M-44.23-9.68%2.09%-5.97%14.75%
47
Neutral
£40.77M-0.89-19.28%-11.65%-273.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TPT
Topps Tiles
48.00
10.44
27.80%
GB:HEAD
Headlam
50.70
-80.80
-61.44%
GB:KGF
Kingfisher
310.50
66.80
27.41%
GB:WIX
Wickes Group
237.50
96.29
68.19%
GB:LIKE
Likewise Group Plc
22.00
5.26
31.42%
GB:MRK
Marks Electrical Group Plc
46.00
-5.94
-11.44%

Topps Tiles Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Topps Tiles Achieves Record Turnover and Strategic Milestones in 2025
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Topps Tiles Plc has reported a record year for turnover, with approximately £265 million in adjusted sales, marking a 6.8% increase year-on-year. The Group’s strategic progress is evident as it continues to advance towards its ‘Mission 365’ goal, aiming for £365 million in total Group sales in the medium term. The company has seen widespread sales improvement across all business segments, with like-for-like sales growth accelerating in the second half of the year. Despite increased costs due to wage and tax contributions, the company expects to meet market expectations for adjusted profit. The Group’s strategic initiatives, including modernizing digital experiences and expanding business-to-business sales, have bolstered its strong performance. Additionally, the disposal of CTD sites required by the CMA is nearing completion, which will conclude the CMA’s involvement with the company. With a strong balance sheet and improving trading momentum, Topps Tiles is well-positioned for continued growth into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TPT) stock is a Hold with a £33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Topps Tiles stock, see the GB:TPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025