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Tern PLC (GB:TERN)
LSE:TERN

Tern plc (TERN) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:TERN

Tern plc

(LSE:TERN)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
0.68p
▲(4.00% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (sharp revenue contraction, heavy losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals provide some offset with positive momentum, but overbought signals increase downside risk. Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no indicated dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Tern's low debt-to-equity ratio indicates a conservative capital structure, providing financial stability and flexibility to navigate market fluctuations.
Investment Focus
By focusing on early-stage tech firms, Tern positions itself to capitalize on high-growth opportunities in digital transformation and IoT sectors.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships can enhance growth trajectories of investee companies, potentially leading to higher returns and synergies for Tern.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant drop in revenue indicates challenges in business operations or market demand, which could hinder long-term growth and profitability.
Negative Cash Flow
Sustained negative cash flow suggests operational inefficiencies and could limit Tern's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather downturns.
Poor Profitability
Deeply negative net margins highlight significant losses, indicating that Tern must improve cost management and operational efficiency to achieve profitability.

Tern plc (TERN) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Tern plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTern plc (TERN) is a UK-based investment company that specializes in the technology sector, focusing on digital transformation and the Internet of Things (IoT). The company primarily invests in early-stage technology businesses that are developing innovative software solutions and applications aimed at enhancing operational efficiencies across various industries. Tern aims to create value through strategic investments, providing not just capital but also guidance and support to its portfolio companies to help them grow and achieve their potential.
How the Company Makes MoneyTern plc generates revenue primarily through capital appreciation from its investments in technology companies. The company's revenue model is centered on equity stakes in its portfolio firms, which may lead to significant returns when these companies grow, either through public offerings or acquisitions. Tern also benefits from potential dividend payouts if its portfolio companies become profitable. Key revenue streams include realized gains from exits and potentially management fees associated with managing its investments. Additionally, Tern may have partnerships with technology firms and venture capital entities that can provide synergies and enhance the growth trajectory of its investee companies, contributing to its earnings.

Tern plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tern plc faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenue, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. The company's low leverage is a positive aspect, but it must focus on reversing revenue declines and improving operational efficiency to enhance profitability and cash flow generation.
Income Statement
Tern plc's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company has experienced a drastic decline in revenue, with a negative growth rate of 75.08% in the most recent year. Net profit margin is deeply negative at -216.76%, indicating substantial losses relative to revenue. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address its revenue decline and improve cost management to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.015, suggesting minimal leverage and a conservative capital structure. However, the return on equity is negative at -35.22%, indicating that the company is not generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, but the company must improve its profitability to enhance shareholder value.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis highlights negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, with a decline in free cash flow growth by 25.81%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The company must focus on improving cash generation from operations to support its financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.40K17.40K199.23K-8.34M6.10M2.14M
Gross Profit29.40K17.40K199.23K66.01K63.78K151.16K
EBITDA-1.13M-1.18M-12.67M-10.25M0.000.00
Net Income-2.07M-3.77M-12.61M-10.45M4.58M803.89K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.94M11.31M13.15M25.18M32.76M24.30M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.00K382.21K297.56K931.76K1.96M2.13M
Total Debt170.00K161.11K418.20K0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities655.00K597.62K848.44K325.00K342.06K295.60K
Stockholders Equity10.29M10.71M12.30M24.85M32.42M24.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.16M-1.57M-1.22M-2.20M-1.48M-1.19M
Operating Cash Flow-1.16M-1.57M-1.22M-2.20M-1.48M-1.19M
Investing Cash Flow-442.39K-406.39K151.92K-1.63M-2.50M-1.86M
Financing Cash Flow1.55M1.65M431.54K2.80M3.81M4.17M

Tern plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.65
Price Trends
50DMA
0.52
Positive
100DMA
0.56
Positive
200DMA
0.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
51.25
Neutral
STOCH
37.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TERN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, above the 50-day MA of 0.52, and below the 200-day MA of 0.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TERN.

Tern plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
£197.76M47.359.59%0.80%22.80%-32.13%
60
Neutral
£44.86M268.181.73%-68.87%
58
Neutral
£5.26M
51
Neutral
£1.74M56.670.89%
43
Neutral
£4.04M-7.50-19.70%-77.04%86.67%
39
Underperform
£2.44M-0.34-213.44%5.29%72.50%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:TERN
Tern plc
0.60
-0.62
-50.82%
GB:TIDE
Crimson Tide
80.00
-25.00
-23.81%
GB:DSG
Dillistone
8.50
1.25
17.24%
GB:NET
Netcall
116.00
8.92
8.33%
GB:RDT
Rosslyn Data Technologies
3.30
-1.45
-30.53%
GB:GETB
GetBusy Plc
88.50
34.50
63.89%

Tern plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Tern Plc Publishes Investor Presentations from IoT Portfolio Companies
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

Tern Plc has announced that investor presentation materials from its recent online event featuring portfolio companies Device Authority and Talking Medicines are now available to view via published links, with a recording of the session to be hosted shortly on the company’s website. By making these detailed presentations and the event recording accessible, Tern is enhancing transparency and engagement with investors, offering deeper insight into the progress and prospects of its key IoT-focused holdings, which may help support stakeholder understanding of the portfolio’s development and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Hold with a £0.68 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tern Plc Schedules Online Investor Presentation With Portfolio Companies
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

Tern Plc has scheduled an online investor presentation and Q&A session for 5.30 p.m. GMT on Wednesday 7 January 2026, to be led by members of its management team alongside executives from portfolio companies Device Authority and Talking Medicines. The event, open to both existing and prospective shareholders, is designed to provide direct engagement with management and greater visibility into Tern’s portfolio, underlining the company’s efforts to enhance investor communication and transparency around its strategy and the progress of its IoT investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Hold with a £0.63 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Tern Plc Enhances Investment in Talking Medicines with New Convertible Loan Notes
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Tern Plc has been issued approximately £230,000 in new unsecured convertible loan notes by Talking Medicines Limited, in exchange for canceling existing short-term loans totaling about £180,000. This move increases Tern’s total convertible loan note holding in Talking Medicines to approximately £0.52 million while maintaining its 23.8% equity stake. Talking Medicines is raising up to £1.0 million through similar convertible loan notes to enhance its capabilities in the healthcare advertising market, which it aims to revolutionize with advanced data science and AI.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Hold with a £0.63 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tern Plc Faces Funding Challenges with SVV2 Commitment
Negative
Nov 28, 2025

Tern Plc has announced an update regarding its capital commitment to Sure Valley Ventures Enterprise Capital Fund LP (SVV2). The company has invested approximately £1.3 million into SVV2 but faces challenges in meeting further capital calls due to insufficient funds and limited access to future funding. As a result, Tern has requested relief from its funding obligations, leading to its classification as a ‘defaulting investor’ under the SVV2 Limited Partnership Agreement. This status may affect Tern’s rights to distributions and recovery compared to non-defaulting investors. Despite these challenges, Tern aims to maintain its focus on protecting shareholder interests and long-term value creation from its key portfolio companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Hold with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tern Plc Extends Convertible Loan Notes in Talking Medicines
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

Tern Plc has announced the extension of the maturity dates for approximately £0.3 million of convertible loan notes in Talking Medicines Limited to 21 November 2029. This strategic move is expected to enhance Tern’s negotiating position for a potential exit from its investment in Talking Medicines, aligning the terms of the loan notes with previous agreements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Hold with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Tern plc Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Tern plc announced that its total issued ordinary share capital consists of 672,713,705 Ordinary Shares, each with one voting right, and none held in Treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Sell with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Tern plc Raises £151,136 Through Open Offer Amid Cost-Saving Measures
Negative
Oct 15, 2025

Tern plc announced the results of its Open Offer, which closed on 14 October 2025, resulting in the issuance of 30,227,239 new Ordinary Shares and raising approximately £151,136. This move follows the failure to pass a resolution at the company’s AGM to issue new shares without pre-emption rights. The company is also implementing cost-saving measures, including a 50% salary reduction for directors and executive managers, to extend its cash runway into Q1 2026. Tern is exploring alternative funding solutions to meet its financial requirements, which may involve more costly or dilutive options.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:TERN) stock is a Sell with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tern plc stock, see the GB:TERN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025