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Riverstone Energy Limited (GB:RSE)
LSE:RSE
UK Market

Riverstone Energy (RSE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:RSE

Riverstone Energy

(LSE:RSE)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
780.00 p
▲(8.33% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/06/26
The score is held back primarily by unstable financial performance (volatile earnings/revenue, mixed cash-flow quality, and declining equity), despite the strength of a debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with an uptrend and healthy momentum, while valuation is moderate with a mid-to-higher P/E partly offset by a ~3.5% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially reduces solvency and interest-rate risk and preserves strategic optionality. For an energy-focused investment vehicle this means capacity to withstand commodity cycles, pursue opportunistic investments or return capital without financing constraints.
Moderate dividend yield
A ~3.5% yield supports an income-oriented investor base and imposes capital allocation discipline on management. Over the medium term, a consistent yield can attract long-term holders and partially offset valuation volatility if cash distributions remain funded by recurring income or realizations.
Low market sensitivity (beta)
A beta well below 1 indicates lower correlation with equity market swings, reducing portfolio volatility for holders. For multi-month horizons this defensive profile helps preserve capital through market stress and can support steadier relative performance for income-focused investors.
Negative Factors
Volatile earnings and revenue
Extreme swings in reported earnings and revenue erode visibility into recurring profitability. When performance is driven by fair-value moves or one-offs rather than steady operations, forecasting cash available for dividends or reinvestment becomes unreliable and heightens execution risk.
Inconsistent cash generation
Persistent negative operating cash flow historically, with only a recent improvement, signals weak cash conversion and timing volatility. Limited and inconsistent free cash flow constrains sustainable distributions, reduces internal funding for investments, and can force asset sales to meet obligations.
Shrinking equity / value erosion
A declining equity base erodes the company’s capital buffer, reducing resilience to further losses and limiting future leverage or investment capacity. Continued equity shrinkage signals that prior profits have not translated into durable shareholder capital, raising structural solvency concerns.

Riverstone Energy (RSE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Riverstone Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRiverstone Energy Limited specializes in buyout. It prefers to make investments in energy companies focusing decarbonisation, midstream exploration, production, power, renewable energy, storage, and transportation of oil and gas. The fund seeks to invest globally focusing in North America, Continental U.S., Western Canada, Gulf of Mexico and Europe. It prefers to take majority stake in its portfolio companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyRiverstone Energy Limited makes money through its strategic investments in the energy sector. The company primarily generates revenue from its equity investments in oil and gas exploration and production companies, midstream companies, and energy service providers. These investments can yield returns through dividends, interest, and capital gains realized from the appreciation and eventual sale of these investments. Additionally, RSE may receive income from its ownership stakes in energy projects and assets, including operational cash flows from these investments. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as energy commodity prices, operational efficiency of its portfolio companies, and the successful execution of its investment strategy. While Riverstone Energy Limited does not have specific partnerships publicly disclosed, its investment decisions are often guided by strategic collaborations with industry experts and stakeholders to enhance value creation.

Riverstone Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is supported by no reported debt, but earnings and revenue are highly unstable (including loss-making recent years and negative revenue in multiple periods). Cash generation has been inconsistent, with operating cash flow improving in 2025 but free cash flow still weak/mixed overall. Shrinking equity adds risk despite low leverage.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Earnings are highly volatile across annual periods, swinging from very strong profits in 2021–2022 (very high profit levels relative to revenue) to steep losses in 2023–2025. Revenue also shows extreme instability, including negative revenue in multiple years and a sharp decline into 2025, which undermines visibility and makes profitability appear driven by fair-value/one-off style movements rather than steady operating performance. The most recent annual period (2025) remains loss-making, with operating profitability near break-even but still negative at the bottom line.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively structured with no debt reported across all periods, which materially reduces financial risk. However, equity has fallen sharply from 2022–2023 levels to 2025, indicating significant value erosion over time, consistent with the recent run of losses. Assets remain close to equity (limited leverage), but the declining equity base is a key weakness.
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
Cash flow performance is inconsistent. Operating cash flow is negative in most annual periods from 2020–2024, despite some years showing large accounting profits, pointing to weaker cash conversion and/or timing effects. In 2025, operating cash flow turns sharply positive, which is a meaningful improvement, but free cash flow is reported as zero in 2025 and negative in prior years, leaving overall cash generation quality mixed and less predictable.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue84.74M-74.85M2.72M95.94M347.47M
Gross Profit80.69M-74.85M2.72M95.94M350.01M
EBITDA-277.71K-79.67M0.0088.93M0.00
Net Income-470.67K-79.67M-2.27M88.93M341.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.27M376.47M674.08M739.46M682.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.92M1.46M5.78M15.76M7.30M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities5.33M626.00K512.00K665.00K664.00K
Stockholders Equity117.94M375.84M673.57M738.79M682.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-4.04M-7.00M-5.25M-6.70M
Operating Cash Flow263.08M-4.04M-7.00M-5.25M-6.70M
Investing Cash Flow0.00217.68M59.80M47.28M55.83M
Financing Cash Flow-262.89M-218.06M-62.95M-32.18M-50.25M

Riverstone Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price720.00
Price Trends
50DMA
722.34
Positive
100DMA
716.38
Positive
200DMA
646.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.09
Positive
RSI
54.31
Neutral
STOCH
49.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RSE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 720 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 737.45, below the 50-day MA of 722.34, and above the 200-day MA of 646.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:RSE.

Riverstone Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
£257.60M3.371.20%8.18%-9.72%-25.25%
59
Neutral
-439.65-0.20%-744.19%-217.28%
45
Neutral
£9.40M-4.39-22.43%
44
Neutral
-1.48-47.36%3.45%
42
Neutral
£1.60M-3.56-46.41%-64.18%12.05%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:RSE
Riverstone Energy
740.00
274.01
58.80%
GB:GSF
Gore Street Energy Storage
51.00
6.28
14.04%
GB:BSFA
BSF Enterprise PLC
1.25
-1.00
-44.44%
GB:SBO
Schroder British Opportunities Trust Plc
70.00
3.00
4.48%
GB:RNEW
Ecofin U.S. Renewables Infrastructure Trust Plc
0.20
-0.09
-32.53%
GB:EGT
European Green Transition Plc
6.50
-2.25
-25.71%

Riverstone Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Riverstone Energy Advances Managed Wind-Down as NAV Rises and Capital Returns Accelerate
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited reported net asset value of $118 million at 31 December 2025, with NAV per share rising 8% in U.S. dollar terms to $16.07, despite a small annual loss of $0.5 million. The company generated $233.3 million of net realisations and distributions during 2025 and ended the year with $17.1 million in cash, while its shares traded at a discount to NAV with a market capitalisation of about $71 million.

Following shareholder approval in August 2025, Riverstone Energy entered a managed wind-down, targeting an orderly liquidation of its assets to maximise value and return funds to investors. The company has already returned roughly £190 million via a compulsory partial redemption of about 70% of its shares and has since completed the sale of its Onyx Power stake at a gross multiple of 2.86x, with the board signalling further compulsory redemptions as it moves into the final stages of portfolio run-off.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Riverstone Energy Announces Board Change as Long-Serving Director Steps Down
Neutral
Mar 4, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited, a closed-ended investment company listed in London under the symbol RSE, invests in the energy industry with a current portfolio of three active holdings in the decarbonisation sector. The firm is positioned as a specialist vehicle for investors seeking exposure to the energy transition and lower-carbon assets.

The company announced that long-serving Non-Executive Director Jeremy Thompson will not stand for re-election at its Annual General Meeting on 18 May 2026, ending more than nine years on the board. His departure marks a significant change in board composition, and the company acknowledged his instrumental role in steering Riverstone Energy through key milestones, suggesting an upcoming refresh of its governance as it continues to focus on decarbonisation-focused investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Riverstone Energy Accelerates Managed Wind-Down as Asset Sales Lift NAV per Share
Negative
Mar 4, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited has entered a shareholder-approved managed wind-down, under which it will dispose of all remaining assets in an orderly fashion and ultimately liquidate the company and certain underlying holding entities, while largely halting new investments except to protect existing positions. This marks a strategic conclusion to its listed life and a pivot away from active portfolio growth toward maximising recovery for investors through phased capital returns.

In 2025 the company generated $233.3 million of realisations from holdings such as Permian Resources, Whitecap Resources and Solid Power, invested $4.9 million in Infinitum, and returned £190 million via buybacks and compulsory share redemptions, shrinking shares outstanding to 7.3 million. Net asset value fell to $118 million from $376 million, though NAV per share rose 8.36% in dollar terms, while the share price slipped and the discount to NAV widened, underscoring market scepticism even as the board completed its exit from oil and gas and navigated volatile macro and energy-market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Riverstone Energy lifts realisations and cash returns as wind-down progresses
Positive
Feb 12, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited reported unaudited portfolio valuations as of 31 December 2025, showing a combined conventional and decarbonisation portfolio value of $229 million and cash and equivalents of $17 million, supporting a draft unaudited NAV of $118 million. The current portfolio includes a profitable conventional holding in Onyx and a decarbonisation book led by Infinitum and GoodLeap, while Group14 remains marked down, reflecting mixed outcomes across its energy transition bets.

The company continued to advance its managed wind-down strategy in the fourth quarter, crystallising $1.67 billion in total gross realised capital to date from $2.03 billion of commitments and lifting its overall multiple on invested capital to 0.94x. During Q4 2025, Riverstone Energy executed a compulsory partial redemption returning £190 million to shareholders, monetised its Solid Power stake at a premium to prior carrying value, exited public positions in Whitecap and Permian resources, and agreed the sale of its entire interest in Onyx Power, positioning the company to return further capital as it maximises value from remaining assets against a backdrop of volatile energy and macro markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Riverstone Energy Cashes In Onyx Power Stake as Wind-Down Progresses
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited has completed the sale of its entire interest in Onyx Power to ResInvest Group, realising net sale cash proceeds of approximately €43 million ($51 million) and achieving a gross multiple of invested capital of 2.88x on its original $60 million investment, or 2.81x after an adjustment payment to its investment manager. Following this transaction and after paying an estimated $3.8 million adjustment fee to RIGL Holdings, LP under its investment management agreement, the company holds around $64 million in net cash and plans, in line with its managed wind-down policy, to return a portion of these funds to shareholders via a pro rata compulsory redemption of ordinary shares, with further details to be announced shortly.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £695.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Riverstone Energy Injects Additional $5.2 Million Into Infinitum Amid Managed Wind-Down
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Riverstone Energy Limited has committed up to an additional $5.2 million to Infinitum Electric Inc., an existing portfolio company that develops air-core electric motors, bringing further support to an investment valued at $16 million as of 30 September 2025. Although the company is in managed wind-down, the board used its remaining investment flexibility to provide Infinitum with short- to medium-term working capital to sustain operations and commercial momentum, aiming to prevent a liquidity squeeze that could erode the value of Riverstone’s holding and to position the asset for an orderly, value-maximising exit for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:RSE) stock is a Hold with a £731.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Riverstone Energy stock, see the GB:RSE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 06, 2026