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Rainbow Rare Earths Ltd (GB:RBW)
LSE:RBW

Rainbow Rare Earths (RBW) AI Stock Analysis

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Rainbow Rare Earths

(LSE:RBW)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
Rainbow Rare Earths' stock score is weighed down by its financial performance, with ongoing losses and no revenue generation presenting substantial risks. However, strong technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, potentially driven by strategic projects like Phalaborwa. The valuation remains challenging due to negative earnings, but the stock's momentum and future projects provide some optimism.

Rainbow Rare Earths (RBW) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Rainbow Rare Earths Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRainbow Rare Earths Limited engages in the mining and exploration of rare earth minerals. It explores for neodymium and praseodymium deposits. The company primarily holds a 90% interest in the Gakara project covering an area of approximately 135 square kilometers located in Western Burundi. It also holds Phalaborwa project located in South Africa. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Saint Peter Port, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyRainbow Rare Earths generates revenue through the extraction and sale of rare earth elements. The company's primary revenue stream comes from mining operations at its Gakara Rare Earth Project, where it extracts and processes rare earth minerals for sale to global markets. These minerals are in high demand for use in the manufacture of magnets, batteries, and other critical components in various technology and industrial sectors. The company may also engage in partnerships with other mining firms or technology companies to enhance its mining operations or expand its market reach. Additionally, Rainbow Rare Earths could benefit from favorable government policies and market dynamics that drive demand for rare earth elements, contributing to its earnings.

Rainbow Rare Earths Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rainbow Rare Earths is experiencing significant financial difficulties with zero revenue over the past three years and persistent losses. The income statement shows negative net income and margins, indicating severe profitability challenges. The balance sheet reflects a low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage, which is positive, but the lack of revenue generation undermines financial stability. The cash flow statement highlights a continuous cash burn with negative operating and free cash flows, exacerbating the financial strain.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Rainbow Rare Earths has consistently reported zero revenue for the past three fiscal years, indicating a lack of sales activity or successful monetization of operations. The net income has remained negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are significantly negative, highlighting the challenges in covering operating expenses and generating positive earnings. Despite a reduction in EBIT loss from 2023 to 2024, the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting conservative leverage relative to its equity base, which is generally positive. However, the equity ratio indicates that a significant portion of the company's assets is financed by equity rather than liabilities, which can limit financial flexibility. The stockholders' equity has grown over the years, which could be seen as a positive sign of financial stability, but the continuous negative net income remains a risk factor.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Operating cash flow has been consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn from core operations. The free cash flow is also negative, and the free cash flow growth rate has worsened significantly from 2023 to 2024, reflecting increased capital expenditures and challenges in generating positive cash flows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is poor, emphasizing inefficiencies in converting income to cash.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.00639.00K422.00K
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.00-762.00K
EBITDA-3.56M-3.16M-3.23M-2.44M-1.76M
Net Income-4.17M-11.98M-3.98M-2.69M-2.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.27M14.09M17.13M13.05M10.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.00K8.11M4.13M573.00K788.00K
Total Debt529.00K530.00K866.00K1.98M1.81M
Total Liabilities2.43M1.83M1.84M3.05M2.61M
Stockholders Equity15.85M14.17M16.34M10.94M8.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-13.28M-5.31M-3.73M-4.58M-5.18M
Operating Cash Flow-2.64M-2.77M-2.85M-1.87M-2.76M
Investing Cash Flow-10.64M-2.54M-879.00K-2.71M-2.42M
Financing Cash Flow5.25M9.31M7.63M4.32M5.85M

Rainbow Rare Earths Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.11
Price Trends
50DMA
11.29
Negative
100DMA
10.92
Positive
200DMA
11.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
48.71
Neutral
STOCH
70.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:RBW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.09, below the 50-day MA of 11.29, and below the 200-day MA of 11.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:RBW.

Rainbow Rare Earths Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
£156.89M9.71-2.05%187.35%-5.97%-1292.31%
GBRBW
50
Neutral
£72.41M-27.69%66.85%
GBKOD
48
Neutral
£71.39M2.5147.34%
GBALL
47
Neutral
£46.79M-21.55%41.32%
44
Neutral
C$992.05M-6.72-13.73%2.53%17.45%-32.50%
GBSAV
£79.67M-13.18%
GBPRE
£180.10M-10.18%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:RBW
Rainbow Rare Earths
0.11
<0.01
10.00%
GB:ECOR
Ecora Resources
62.40
-2.84
-4.35%
GB:ALL
Atlantic Lithium
0.07
-0.13
-65.00%
GB:KOD
Kodal Minerals
0.36
-0.24
-40.00%
GB:SAV
Savannah Resources
0.03
-0.01
-25.00%
GB:PRE
Pensana Rare Earths PLC
64.20
45.02
234.72%

Rainbow Rare Earths Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Rainbow Rare Earths Reports Strong Interim Results, Highlights Strategic Phalaborwa Project
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Rainbow Rare Earths has announced its interim results for the six months ending December 2024, highlighting the strategic importance of its Phalaborwa project in South Africa. The project is expected to be the highest margin rare earth project outside China, benefiting from low operating costs and strong economic metrics, including a post-tax NPV of $611 million. The U.S. government has recognized Phalaborwa as a critical source of rare earth elements, providing a $50 million funding commitment. Despite current weak pricing in the rare earth market, Rainbow’s projects offer a resilient and ethical supply chain solution, positioning the company strongly amidst global geopolitical tensions and the push for decarbonization.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2025