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Phoenix Group Holdings (GB:PHNX)
LSE:PHNX
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Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PHNX

Phoenix Group Holdings

(LSE:PHNX)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
635.00p
▲(0.08% Upside)
Phoenix Group Holdings' overall stock score is driven by a mixed financial performance with strong revenue growth but weak profitability and high leverage. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strategic progress and improved financial metrics, which partially offsets the valuation concerns due to ongoing losses. Technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, contributing to a moderate overall score.

Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Phoenix Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhoenix Group Holdings plc operates in the long-term savings and retirement business in Europe. The company operates through four segments: UK Heritage, UK Open, Europe, and Management Services. It provides a range of pensions and savings products to support people across various stages of the savings life cycle. The company manages Heritage in-force life and pensions policies; and offers and manages long term savings and pensions products. Its products include with-profits and unit-linked funds, and annuities; and workplace pensions, and individual savings and retirement solutions. The company serves individuals, corporates, and employers. It has a strategic partnership with abrdn plc, TCS, and HSBC. Phoenix Group Holdings plc was founded in 1782 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhoenix Group makes money primarily through the management of its insurance policies and investment portfolios. Its revenue model includes income generated from premiums received from policyholders, investment income from the assets backing its insurance liabilities, and fees for managing these assets. Key revenue streams include charges on policy administration, investment management fees, and profit-sharing arrangements. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various financial institutions, which facilitate access to new customer bases and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, the acquisition of closed life books allows Phoenix Group to leverage economies of scale, driving profitability through cost efficiencies.

Phoenix Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Phoenix's strong financial performance, strategic progress, and market positioning, particularly in the retirement solutions and workplace sectors. However, challenges remain in the retail business and IFRS losses, partly due to market volatility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Phoenix delivered 9% growth in operating cash generation and 25% growth in IFRS adjusted operating profit. The solvency capital coverage ratio improved from 172% to 175%.
Strategic Progress
Phoenix received FCA approval for its in-house advice proposition and launched the Standard Life Guaranteed Lifetime Income Fund, completing its product suite.
Cost Savings and Debt Reduction
Phoenix achieved GBP 160 million in cumulative run rate cost savings and improved its leverage ratio from 36% to 34% by retiring GBP 200 million of debt.
Growth in Retirement Solutions
Phoenix completed its largest ever BPA deal worth GBP 1.9 billion, contributing to a 36% growth in retirement solutions operating profit.
Positive Market Position
Phoenix is well-positioned in the structurally growing U.K. retirement market, with a top 3 position in workplace solutions and plans to move from a top 10 to a top 5 position in retail.
Negative Updates
IFRS Loss After Tax
Phoenix reported an IFRS loss after tax of GBP 156 million, despite strong operational performance.
Retail Business Challenges
Retail net flows are still negative, with GBP 2.5 billion of inflows against GBP 7 billion of outflows, indicating challenges in reducing outflows and increasing inflows.
Market Volatility Impact
Adverse economic variances of GBP 275 million were driven primarily by the negative marks on equity hedges following a 7% rise in markets.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 half-year results call, Phoenix Group's leadership highlighted significant progress towards their strategic goals, emphasizing strong financial performance and strategic positioning. Key metrics included a 9% growth in operating cash generation, reaching GBP 705 million, and a 25% increase in IFRS adjusted operating profit, amounting to GBP 451 million. The solvency capital coverage ratio improved slightly to 175%, and the leverage ratio decreased from 36% to 34%, moving closer to the 30% target. The company has achieved a 20% profit growth in the pensions and savings sector and a 36% increase in profits for retirement solutions. They also reported a robust GBP 3.2 billion in BPA volumes year-to-date. The call emphasized the group's strategic focus on organic growth, cost efficiency, and leveraging digital capabilities, supported by a strong capital position and strategic partnerships, positioning them to capture growth opportunities in the expanding UK retirement market.

Phoenix Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phoenix Group Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is robust, profitability remains weak with consistent losses. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and a shrinking equity base, posing potential financial stability risks. On a positive note, cash flow generation has improved, offering some optimism for future financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Phoenix Group Holdings has shown significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with a 28.1% increase. However, profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by consistent net losses over the years, leading to negative net profit margins. EBIT has improved significantly in 2024 compared to previous years, yet EBITDA remains negative, indicating high non-cash charges or restructuring costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a low equity base with a declining trend in stockholder's equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating leverage that could pose financial risks. However, the equity ratio has improved slightly, suggesting a better asset base coverage by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operating activities turned positive in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency. Free cash flow has also significantly increased, signaling stronger cash generation relative to previous years. However, the company still faces challenges due to previous years of negative cash flows, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.96B21.41B16.70B8.20B7.00B13.26B
Gross Profit8.96B21.41B15.45B8.20B10.34B13.26B
EBITDA-167.00M-870.00M305.00M-3.16B-150.00M58.00M
Net Income-608.00M-1.09B56.00M-2.72B-837.00M798.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets309.97B307.86B299.31B279.03B325.21B324.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.98B198.00M174.00M242.00M405.00M414.00M
Total Debt3.47B3.60B3.88B4.57B4.82B5.14B
Total Liabilities308.18B305.61B295.77B274.33B318.94B317.40B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.71B2.99B4.16B5.82B7.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B3.34B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Operating Cash Flow1.34B3.37B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Investing Cash Flow-34.00M-29.00M-20.00M0.00304.00M-988.00M
Financing Cash Flow-919.00M-1.08B-769.00M-966.00M-857.00M942.00M

Phoenix Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price634.50
Price Trends
50DMA
637.33
Negative
100DMA
625.35
Negative
200DMA
557.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.79
Negative
RSI
45.53
Neutral
STOCH
-17.61
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PHNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 634.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 625.78, below the 50-day MA of 637.33, and above the 200-day MA of 557.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -17.61 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:PHNX.

Phoenix Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
5.20B7.1924.54%2.86%6.00%-24.29%
70
Outperform
26.41B10.3213.06%1.74%37.94%291.37%
64
Neutral
2.20B33.896.42%1.25%-7.30%-27.69%
64
Neutral
6.46B13.061.20%-36.55%
54
Neutral
£6.34B-49.24%8.62%-34.62%
54
Neutral
5.94B-101.99-10.97%8.05%9.86%-134.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PHNX
Phoenix Group Holdings
634.50
148.31
30.50%
GB:BEZ
Beazley
873.00
133.19
18.00%
GB:PRU
Prudential
1,035.00
354.60
52.12%
GB:STJ
St. James's Place
1,234.00
514.04
71.40%
GB:JUST
Just Group plc
212.00
75.39
55.19%
MGPUF
M&G Plc
3.40
0.84
32.81%

Phoenix Group Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Holdings Releases Supplementary Prospectus for £5 Billion Note Programme
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings has announced the publication of a Supplementary Prospectus related to its £5 billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme, approved by the UK Financial Conduct Authority. This development is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and potentially strengthen its market position, offering a robust framework for future capital raising activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £684.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Phoenix Group’s Chief Risk Officer Exercises Share Options
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings plc announced that Brid Meaney, the Group Chief Risk Officer, exercised nil-cost options over 8,977 ordinary shares under the company’s Deferred Bonus Share Scheme. The exercise, which included the sale of 4,254 shares to cover tax liabilities, reflects the vesting of options tied to a deferred bonus from the financial year ended 31 December 2021. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning managerial incentives with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £628.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Enhances Employee Engagement with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings announced the acquisition of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), as per the UK Markets Abuse Regulation. This initiative allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with matching contributions from the company, enhancing employee engagement and aligning interests with shareholders. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involved key executives, indicating strong internal support for the company’s growth strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £630.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phoenix Group Holdings Reports Strong H1 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings reported strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with significant progress towards its 2026 targets. The company achieved a 25% increase in IFRS adjusted operating profit and improved solvency ratios, demonstrating robust growth in its core businesses. The strategic initiatives include enhancing customer engagement tools, optimizing asset management, and preparing for a rebranding to Standard Life plc in March 2026, which is expected to strengthen its market position and support organic growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £630.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Holdings Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC announced that as of August 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 1,003,757,404 ordinary shares, each with a nominal value of 10 pence. This update is significant for shareholders as it provides the total number of voting rights, which is crucial for determining their interest or changes in interest under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £727.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 27, 2025