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Phoenix Group Holdings (GB:PHNX)
LSE:PHNX

Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PHNX

Phoenix Group Holdings

(LSE:PHNX)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
750.00p
▲(0.87% Upside)
Phoenix Group Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive corporate events, which highlight strategic progress and financial resilience. However, the mixed financial performance and valuation concerns due to ongoing profitability challenges temper the overall score. The technical analysis suggests a bullish trend, further supporting the stock's potential.
Positive Factors
Strategic Progress
The FCA approval and new product launch enhance Phoenix's service offerings, strengthening its competitive position in the retirement solutions market.
Cash Flow Improvement
Positive cash flow from operations indicates better financial health and operational efficiency, supporting long-term sustainability and potential for reinvestment.
Growth in Retirement Solutions
The significant growth in retirement solutions underscores Phoenix's strong market position and ability to capitalize on the expanding retirement market.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting Phoenix's ability to weather economic downturns or invest in growth opportunities.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges, as indicated by IFRS losses, may hinder Phoenix's ability to generate sustainable earnings and return value to shareholders.
Retail Business Challenges
Negative net flows in the retail business highlight difficulties in retaining customers and growing assets under management, impacting long-term revenue potential.

Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Phoenix Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhoenix Group Holdings plc operates in the long-term savings and retirement business in Europe. The company operates through four segments: UK Heritage, UK Open, Europe, and Management Services. It provides a range of pensions and savings products to support people across various stages of the savings life cycle. The company manages Heritage in-force life and pensions policies; and offers and manages long term savings and pensions products. Its products include with-profits and unit-linked funds, and annuities; and workplace pensions, and individual savings and retirement solutions. The company serves individuals, corporates, and employers. It has a strategic partnership with abrdn plc, TCS, and HSBC. Phoenix Group Holdings plc was founded in 1782 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhoenix Group makes money primarily through the management of its insurance policies and investment portfolios. Its revenue model includes income generated from premiums received from policyholders, investment income from the assets backing its insurance liabilities, and fees for managing these assets. Key revenue streams include charges on policy administration, investment management fees, and profit-sharing arrangements. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various financial institutions, which facilitate access to new customer bases and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, the acquisition of closed life books allows Phoenix Group to leverage economies of scale, driving profitability through cost efficiencies.

Phoenix Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Phoenix's strong financial performance, strategic progress, and market positioning, particularly in the retirement solutions and workplace sectors. However, challenges remain in the retail business and IFRS losses, partly due to market volatility.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Phoenix delivered 9% growth in operating cash generation and 25% growth in IFRS adjusted operating profit. The solvency capital coverage ratio improved from 172% to 175%.
Strategic Progress
Phoenix received FCA approval for its in-house advice proposition and launched the Standard Life Guaranteed Lifetime Income Fund, completing its product suite.
Cost Savings and Debt Reduction
Phoenix achieved GBP 160 million in cumulative run rate cost savings and improved its leverage ratio from 36% to 34% by retiring GBP 200 million of debt.
Growth in Retirement Solutions
Phoenix completed its largest ever BPA deal worth GBP 1.9 billion, contributing to a 36% growth in retirement solutions operating profit.
Positive Market Position
Phoenix is well-positioned in the structurally growing U.K. retirement market, with a top 3 position in workplace solutions and plans to move from a top 10 to a top 5 position in retail.
Negative Updates
IFRS Loss After Tax
Phoenix reported an IFRS loss after tax of GBP 156 million, despite strong operational performance.
Retail Business Challenges
Retail net flows are still negative, with GBP 2.5 billion of inflows against GBP 7 billion of outflows, indicating challenges in reducing outflows and increasing inflows.
Market Volatility Impact
Adverse economic variances of GBP 275 million were driven primarily by the negative marks on equity hedges following a 7% rise in markets.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 half-year results call, Phoenix Group's leadership highlighted significant progress towards their strategic goals, emphasizing strong financial performance and strategic positioning. Key metrics included a 9% growth in operating cash generation, reaching GBP 705 million, and a 25% increase in IFRS adjusted operating profit, amounting to GBP 451 million. The solvency capital coverage ratio improved slightly to 175%, and the leverage ratio decreased from 36% to 34%, moving closer to the 30% target. The company has achieved a 20% profit growth in the pensions and savings sector and a 36% increase in profits for retirement solutions. They also reported a robust GBP 3.2 billion in BPA volumes year-to-date. The call emphasized the group's strategic focus on organic growth, cost efficiency, and leveraging digital capabilities, supported by a strong capital position and strategic partnerships, positioning them to capture growth opportunities in the expanding UK retirement market.

Phoenix Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phoenix Group Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. While revenue growth is robust, profitability remains weak with consistent losses. The balance sheet reflects high leverage and a shrinking equity base, posing potential financial stability risks. On a positive note, cash flow generation has improved, offering some optimism for future financial health.
Income Statement
Phoenix Group Holdings has shown significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with a 28.1% increase. However, profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by consistent net losses over the years, leading to negative net profit margins. EBIT has improved significantly in 2024 compared to previous years, yet EBITDA remains negative, indicating high non-cash charges or restructuring costs.
Balance Sheet
The company's balance sheet shows a low equity base with a declining trend in stockholder's equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating leverage that could pose financial risks. However, the equity ratio has improved slightly, suggesting a better asset base coverage by equity.
Cash Flow
Cash flow from operating activities turned positive in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency. Free cash flow has also significantly increased, signaling stronger cash generation relative to previous years. However, the company still faces challenges due to previous years of negative cash flows, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.96B21.41B16.70B8.20B7.00B13.26B
Gross Profit8.96B21.41B15.45B8.20B10.34B13.26B
EBITDA-167.00M-870.00M305.00M-3.16B-150.00M58.00M
Net Income-608.00M-1.09B56.00M-2.72B-837.00M798.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets309.97B307.86B299.31B279.03B325.21B324.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.98B198.00M174.00M242.00M405.00M414.00M
Total Debt3.47B3.60B3.88B4.57B4.82B5.14B
Total Liabilities308.18B305.61B295.77B274.33B318.94B317.40B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.71B2.99B4.16B5.82B7.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.33B3.34B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Operating Cash Flow1.34B3.37B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Investing Cash Flow-34.00M-29.00M-20.00M0.00304.00M-988.00M
Financing Cash Flow-919.00M-1.08B-769.00M-966.00M-857.00M942.00M

Phoenix Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price743.50
Price Trends
50DMA
695.40
Positive
100DMA
670.90
Positive
200DMA
634.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
14.97
Negative
RSI
68.92
Neutral
STOCH
45.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PHNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 743.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 719.28, above the 50-day MA of 695.40, and above the 200-day MA of 634.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 14.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:PHNX.

Phoenix Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
£685.77M-66.85-2.53%8.03%-48.03%-289.17%
71
Outperform
£29.45B11.6320.51%1.56%37.94%291.37%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
£7.34B-11.72-49.24%7.48%-34.62%-19.20%
62
Neutral
£7.48B15.1341.51%1.06%-36.55%
61
Neutral
£14.75B66.586.81%8.29%-38.98%-31.14%
61
Neutral
£7.02B-120.33-1.53%7.09%9.86%-134.41%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PHNX
Phoenix Group Holdings
743.50
305.92
69.91%
GB:CSN
Chesnara
303.50
94.98
45.55%
GB:LGEN
Legal & General
265.00
63.95
31.81%
GB:PRU
Prudential
1,160.50
570.22
96.60%
GB:STJ
St. James's Place
1,436.00
639.53
80.30%
GB:MNG
M&G Plc
296.00
120.08
68.26%

Phoenix Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Executives Increase Holdings Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

Phoenix Group Holdings has disclosed routine share purchases by senior executives under its Share Incentive Plan, in line with UK market abuse regulations. The plan allows eligible employees to buy partnership shares from their monthly salary, with the company matching purchases on a one-for-one basis up to £50, and the latest transactions saw the chief executive, chief financial officer and other top managers acquire small additional stakes via partnership and matching shares on the London Stock Exchange, underscoring ongoing alignment between management and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £670.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Confirms Over 1 Billion Voting Shares in Issue at Year-End 2025
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Phoenix Group Holdings plc has confirmed that, as at 31 December 2025, its issued share capital comprised 1,006,252,243 ordinary shares of 10 pence each, with no shares held in treasury. Each ordinary share carries one vote, giving the company a total of 1,006,252,243 voting rights, a figure that investors must use as the denominator when calculating whether they are required to disclose holdings or changes in holdings under UK Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, reinforcing transparency around significant shareholdings in the group.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £670.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Phoenix Group Completes Redemption of £197m Subordinated Notes
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings has completed another step in its ongoing debt redemption programme by fully redeeming its £197.2 million 6.625% subordinated notes that were due to mature in 2025. The repayment of these notes at par, together with accrued interest, further reduces the group’s subordinated debt, supporting balance sheet strength and potentially lowering future interest costs, which may enhance financial flexibility and capital management for the benefit of investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £670.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Holdings Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings announced a transaction involving the purchase of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), which allows employees to buy ‘Partnership Shares’ with matching contributions from the company. This initiative, compliant with UK Markets Abuse Regulation, reflects the company’s commitment to employee investment and engagement, potentially enhancing stakeholder trust and aligning employee interests with corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £750.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Updates on Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC announced that as of November 30, 2025, its issued share capital consisted of 1,004,014,441 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This update on voting rights and share capital is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, impacting how they manage their interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Sell with a £6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Phoenix Group Holdings Announces Block Listing of Shares
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC has announced a block listing application for 2,950,000 Ordinary Shares to be admitted to the Official List of the FCA and traded on the London Stock Exchange. These shares are part of the company’s ShareSave Scheme and Deferred Bonus Share Scheme, with the admission expected to be effective on 28 November 2025. This move is likely to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and reward its employees, potentially strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Sell with a £6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Phoenix Group Demonstrates Strong Capital Resilience in Stress Test
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings has successfully demonstrated its strong capital position through the Prudential Regulation Authority’s first Life Insurance sector Stress Test (LIST 2025). The results confirmed that Phoenix Group’s risk management framework is effective, with the company maintaining its Shareholder Capital Coverage Ratio within the target range despite severe stress scenarios. This resilience underscores Phoenix Group’s stability and preparedness to withstand financial market stresses, reinforcing confidence among stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Sell with a £6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Phoenix Group Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings plc announced the acquisition of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) by its employees, including key managerial personnel. This initiative allows employees to purchase shares with contributions from their salaries, matched by the company, promoting employee investment and alignment with company performance. The transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s commitment to employee engagement and long-term growth, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Sell with a £600.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC announced that as of October 31, 2025, its issued share capital consisted of 1,003,863,189 ordinary shares, each with a nominal value of 10 pence. This update on voting rights and share capital is significant for shareholders, as it provides the denominator for calculating their interest or changes in interest under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £852.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Phoenix Group Holdings Enhances Stakeholder Alignment Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings plc announced the acquisition of ordinary shares as part of its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), with shares purchased at 683.699 pence each under the Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning managerial interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and reinforcing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £852.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025