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Phoenix Group Holdings (GB:PHNX)
LSE:PHNX
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Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PHNX

Phoenix Group Holdings

(LSE:PHNX)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
727.00p
▲(4.45% Upside)
Phoenix Group Holdings' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators. The company's robust cash generation and upgraded financial targets are significant positives. However, financial performance concerns, particularly profitability and high leverage, weigh on the score. The high dividend yield provides some valuation support, appealing to income investors.

Phoenix Group Holdings (PHNX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Phoenix Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPhoenix Group Holdings plc operates in the long-term savings and retirement business in Europe. The company operates through four segments: UK Heritage, UK Open, Europe, and Management Services. It provides a range of pensions and savings products to support people across various stages of the savings life cycle. The company manages Heritage in-force life and pensions policies; and offers and manages long term savings and pensions products. Its products include with-profits and unit-linked funds, and annuities; and workplace pensions, and individual savings and retirement solutions. The company serves individuals, corporates, and employers. It has a strategic partnership with abrdn plc, TCS, and HSBC. Phoenix Group Holdings plc was founded in 1782 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyPhoenix Group makes money primarily through the management of its insurance policies and investment portfolios. Its revenue model includes income generated from premiums received from policyholders, investment income from the assets backing its insurance liabilities, and fees for managing these assets. Key revenue streams include charges on policy administration, investment management fees, and profit-sharing arrangements. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with various financial institutions, which facilitate access to new customer bases and enhance its product offerings. Additionally, the acquisition of closed life books allows Phoenix Group to leverage economies of scale, driving profitability through cost efficiencies.

Phoenix Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 17, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 39.48%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Phoenix Group demonstrated strong financial performance with significant cash generation and profit growth, leading to upgraded targets and increased dividend payouts. However, challenges remain with leverage ratios and IFRS equity volatility due to hedging strategies.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Cash Generation Target Achieved Early
Phoenix Group outperformed its key metric of operating cash generation (OCG), achieving its 2026 target of £1.4 billion two years early and supporting total cash generation of £1.8 billion. This led to an upgrade of the 2024-2026 total cash generation target from £4.4 billion to £5.1 billion.
Strong Financial Performance
IFRS adjusted operating profit increased by 31% year-on-year to £825 million. The group's performance supports a progressive and sustainable dividend policy, with a recommended 2.6% increase in the final dividend.
Growth in Pension and Savings
Phoenix's Workplace business delivered net inflows of £5.3 billion in 2024, a 13% increase from the previous year. Retail new business flows increased by 60% year-on-year.
Expansion in Asset Management Capabilities
Phoenix expanded its in-house asset management team significantly, which contributed to £0.5 billion in recurring management actions, boosting capital and cash generation.
Annuity Market Growth
Phoenix has a 12% share in the individual annuity market and continues to innovate with new product launches such as the Standard Life Guaranteed Fixed-term Income product.
Negative Updates
Leverage Ratio Challenges
Despite debt repayments, the leverage ratio remained flat at 36%, with the target to reduce it to 30% by 2026. The reduction in Own Funds was a contributing factor.
IFRS Shareholders' Equity Impacted by Hedging
The IFRS loss after tax was £1.1 billion, influenced by economic movements and hedging activities, with the hedging program causing accounting volatility.
Non-Operating Cash Generation Dependency
The group relies on non-operating cash generation to fund strategic investments, which highlights a dependency on non-recurring income sources.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Phoenix Group showcased a strong financial performance for 2024, leading to upgrades across their financial framework. They surpassed their 2026 operating cash generation (OCG) target of £1.4 billion two years early, contributing to a total cash generation of £1.8 billion for the year. This success prompted an upgrade of their three-year cash generation target from £4.4 billion to £5.1 billion. The company also reported a solvency capital coverage ratio of 172% and maintained a 36% leverage ratio, with plans to achieve a 30% target by 2026. IFRS adjusted operating profit saw a 31% year-on-year increase to £825 million, supporting a raised 2026 profit target from £900 million to £1.1 billion. Phoenix Group also announced a 2.6% increase in the final dividend, reflecting their progressive and sustainable dividend policy. The call highlighted strategic priorities across 2025 and 2026, focusing on leveraging excess cash for deleveraging, optimizing their in-force business and balance sheet, and enhancing their operating model and culture.

Phoenix Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Phoenix Group shows robust revenue growth, but profitability issues persist with ongoing net losses. Balance sheet indicates high leverage, posing financial risks, although cash flow has improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Phoenix Group Holdings has shown significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024, with a 28.1% increase. However, profitability remains a challenge, as evidenced by consistent net losses over the years, leading to negative net profit margins. EBIT has improved significantly in 2024 compared to previous years, yet EBITDA remains negative, indicating high non-cash charges or restructuring costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a low equity base with a declining trend in stockholder's equity. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating leverage that could pose financial risks. However, the equity ratio has improved slightly, suggesting a better asset base coverage by equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operating activities turned positive in 2024, reflecting improved operational efficiency. Free cash flow has also significantly increased, signaling stronger cash generation relative to previous years. However, the company still faces challenges due to previous years of negative cash flows, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.43B16.70B8.20B7.00B13.26B
Gross Profit14.43B15.45B8.20B10.34B13.26B
EBITDA-870.00M305.00M-3.16B-150.00M58.00M
Net Income-1.09B56.00M-2.72B-837.00M798.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets307.86B299.31B279.03B325.21B324.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments198.00M174.00M242.00M405.00M414.00M
Total Debt3.60B3.88B4.57B4.82B5.14B
Total Liabilities305.61B295.77B274.33B318.94B317.40B
Stockholders Equity1.71B2.99B4.16B5.82B7.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.34B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Operating Cash Flow3.37B-863.00M-3.28B-1.26B6.58B
Investing Cash Flow-29.00M-20.00M0.00304.00M-988.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.08B-769.00M-966.00M-857.00M942.00M

Phoenix Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price696.00
Price Trends
50DMA
656.98
Positive
100DMA
622.58
Positive
200DMA
554.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.30
Negative
RSI
71.96
Negative
STOCH
84.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PHNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 696 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 666.85, above the 50-day MA of 656.98, and above the 200-day MA of 554.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:PHNX.

Phoenix Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£5.54B6.6622.59%3.12%7.79%9.99%
70
Outperform
£24.99B14.8212.68%1.92%-17.12%30.62%
68
Neutral
$17.50B11.6610.43%3.82%9.93%1.68%
65
Neutral
£6.84B-60.34%7.76%-6.33%
64
Neutral
£6.96B13.8541.51%1.16%-36.55%
64
Neutral
£2.20B33.975.21%1.25%-7.30%-27.69%
$8.58B31.80-10.00%7.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PHNX
Phoenix Group Holdings
696.00
194.18
38.70%
GB:BEZ
Beazley
776.50
48.84
6.71%
GB:PRU
Prudential
993.40
350.94
54.62%
GB:STJ
St. James's Place
1,303.50
630.54
93.70%
GB:JUST
Just Group plc
210.50
72.38
52.40%
MGPUF
M&G Plc
3.84
1.33
52.99%

Phoenix Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Phoenix Group Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings plc announced the acquisition of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), as part of a monthly investment strategy. This initiative allows eligible employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, matched by the company, enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with the company’s performance. This move is likely to strengthen Phoenix Group’s internal stakeholder relationships and reinforce its market position by demonstrating a commitment to employee investment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Announces Share Capital and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC, a prominent player in the insurance industry, has announced its current share capital and voting rights as of July 31, 2025. The company has issued 1,003,710,686 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, which stakeholders can use to assess their shareholding interests under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Hold with a £6.68 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Phoenix Group Holdings Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC announced the acquisition of ordinary shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), where employees can purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with matching contributions from the company. This initiative, which involves key managerial figures, reflects the company’s commitment to aligning employee interests with corporate performance, potentially enhancing stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Announces Share Capital and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC has announced its voting rights and share capital details as of June 30, 2025. The company’s issued share capital consists of 1,003,608,937 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote, with no shares held in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to calculate their interests or changes in interests under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Phoenix Group Announces Board Changes
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings plc has announced changes to its board, with Nicholas Shott stepping down as Group Independent Non-Executive Director and Chair of the Remuneration Committee after nine years of service. Sherry Coutu CBE will take over as Chair of the Remuneration Committee and join the Group Board Nomination Committee, bringing her extensive FTSE 100 experience to the role. This transition is expected to enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Phoenix Group Holdings Launches £5 Billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings has announced the approval of its £5 billion Euro Medium Term Note Programme by the UK Financial Conduct Authority. This development is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its position in the financial services sector, potentially impacting stakeholders positively by providing more investment opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Holdings Announces Share Transactions Under SIP
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings, a prominent player in the financial services sector, announced the latest transactions under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP). The plan allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with contributions from their monthly salaries, which the company matches up to a certain limit. This initiative is part of Phoenix Group’s strategy to enhance employee engagement and align their interests with those of the company. The announcement, which complies with the UK Markets Abuse Regulation, detailed the share transactions conducted by several key executives, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Phoenix Group Holdings Announces Share Capital and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings PLC announced that as of May 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 1,003,205,884 ordinary shares, each with a nominal value of 10 pence. Each share carries one vote, and the company holds no shares in treasury. This total number of voting rights is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification obligations under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Phoenix Group Holdings Enhances Managerial Stake with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
May 23, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings announced the acquisition of ordinary shares as part of its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) through the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRIP). This transaction, involving key managerial personnel, highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to align managerial interests with shareholder value, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £7.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Phoenix Group Strengthens Leadership with New Director Appointment
Positive
May 20, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings announced the appointment of Karen Green, an Independent Non-Executive Director of the company, as an Independent Non-Executive Director of Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. This move reflects Phoenix Group’s ongoing commitment to strengthening its leadership team and enhancing its strategic influence in the insurance sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Phoenix Group’s AGM Resolutions Passed with Strong Shareholder Support
Positive
May 13, 2025

Phoenix Group Holdings announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held on May 13, 2025. The resolutions included the approval of the company’s annual report, directors’ remuneration report, and a final dividend, as well as the re-election and election of various directors. The outcome of the AGM reflects strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic direction and governance, potentially reinforcing its position in the industry and positively impacting stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PHNX) stock is a Buy with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Phoenix Group Holdings stock, see the GB:PHNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025