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Orchard Funding Group PLC (GB:ORCH)
LSE:ORCH
UK Market

Orchard Funding (ORCH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ORCH

Orchard Funding

(LSE:ORCH)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
59.00 p
▼(-1.67% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by improved recent financial performance, tempered by high leverage and historically inconsistent cash flow. Technicals are weak with the stock below key moving averages and negative momentum, while valuation support (very low P/E and a decent yield) lifts the overall score.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability
Orchard's jump to ~29% net margin in 2025 from ~16% demonstrates a meaningful step-up in underlying profitability. Sustained higher margins imply stronger pricing, cost control, or mix improvement that can support durable cash generation and reinvestment over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Leverage at ~1.5x equity (and >2.0x in prior years) leaves Orchard sensitive to higher funding costs or credit stress. Elevated debt increases refinancing risk, constrains strategic flexibility, and can amplify earnings volatility if market conditions or interest rates deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Profitability
Orchard's jump to ~29% net margin in 2025 from ~16% demonstrates a meaningful step-up in underlying profitability. Sustained higher margins imply stronger pricing, cost control, or mix improvement that can support durable cash generation and reinvestment over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Orchard Funding (ORCH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Orchard Funding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orchard Funding Group plc, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance premium finance, professional fee funding, and finance services in the United Kingdom. It offers credit to businesses and consumers to spread the cost of their insurance premi...

Orchard Funding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and growth improved sharply in the latest year (higher margins and strong revenue expansion), but the balance sheet remains meaningfully leveraged and cash flow has been inconsistent over 2022–2024 despite the 2025 rebound.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
47
Neutral
BreakdownJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.50M9.64M7.86M6.19M4.60M
Gross Profit9.93M5.37M4.14M4.78M3.37M
EBITDA5.86M2.23M2.22M1.94M1.12M
Net Income3.07M1.58M1.71M1.52M839.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets67.55M69.19M61.88M48.84M32.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments639.00K1.48M2.55M4.80M2.17M
Total Debt32.86M40.22M34.72M25.52M12.32M
Total Liabilities46.04M50.25M44.13M32.16M16.64M
Stockholders Equity21.54M18.90M17.75M16.68M15.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.99M-6.14M-10.72M-9.94M-652.00K
Operating Cash Flow7.01M-5.47M-10.66M-9.92M-649.00K
Investing Cash Flow-14.00K-628.00K-97.00K-16.00K-78.00K
Financing Cash Flow-7.84M5.03M8.51M12.56M597.00K

Orchard Funding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price60.00
Price Trends
50DMA
59.61
Negative
100DMA
59.32
Negative
200DMA
58.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
35.61
Neutral
STOCH
26.29
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ORCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58.67, above the 50-day MA of 59.61, and above the 200-day MA of 58.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.29 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:ORCH.

Orchard Funding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£40.24M3.468.28%11.71%31.15%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
£11.85M2.1614.61%3.33%8.91%94.32%
55
Neutral
£11.28M2.4630.78%
55
Neutral
£373.66M8.6421.54%7.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ORCH
Orchard Funding
55.50
28.57
106.09%
GB:TIME
Time Finance plc
43.50
-8.00
-15.53%
GB:BANK
Immedia
6.63
0.25
3.84%
GB:LEND
Sancus Lending Group
1.05
0.55
110.00%
GB:FCH
Funding Circle Holdings
130.00
17.50
15.56%
GB:ZAIM
Zaim Credit Systems Plc
4.50
0.00
0.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026