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Sancus Lending Group Limited (GB:LEND)
LSE:LEND

Sancus Lending Group (LEND) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:LEND

Sancus Lending Group

(LSE:LEND)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
1.00p
▲(150.00% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—negative equity/high leverage and negative operating/free cash flows—despite improving revenue. Technicals are supportive with the price above major moving averages and positive MACD, and valuation looks relatively low with a P/E near 8, but these positives do not fully offset the balance-sheet and liquidity risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth near 30.8% shows expanding loan originations and stronger top-line momentum. Over 2–6 months this supports scale economics, greater fee capture and underwriting data accumulation, helping margin expansion and product cross-sell durability.
Operational Margin Improvement
Positive gross profit and EBIT/EBITDA margins indicate the core lending operations can be profitable before financing and provisioning. If sustained, operational leverage from scale can fund investments and absorb credit variability, improving long-term profitability prospects.
SME Lending Niche & Diversified Funding
A focus on SME lending combined with origination fees, service fees, securitisation and partnerships creates diversified revenue and funding channels. This structural model supports repeatable cash flows and access to wholesale funding, strengthening business resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity & High Leverage
Negative equity and very high leverage pose a persistent solvency and regulatory risk. Over months this restricts capital flexibility, increases refinancing risk and raises funding costs, limiting ability to scale lending or cushion credit shocks without external recapitalisation.
Negative Operating and Free Cash Flows
Recurring negative operating and free cash flows indicate the core business does not yet generate cash to fund growth. Continued dependence on financing raises liquidity vulnerability and makes the company exposed to market funding cycles and investor appetite over the medium term.
Weak Net Profitability
Despite revenue gains, high expenses compress net margins and produce low net income. This limits retained earnings, slows equity rebuilding and hampers capital generation needed for loan book growth, making long-term self-funding and resilience more difficult without margin control.

Sancus Lending Group (LEND) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Sancus Lending Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSancus Lending Group Limited provides alternative finance services primarily in the United Kingdom and Ireland. It operates through four segments: Offshore, United Kingdom, Ireland, and Sancus Loans Limited. The company offers property backed, and small and medium-sized enterprise loans. It also provides property development services; and invests in fintech companies. The company was formerly known as GLI Finance Limited and changed its name to Sancus Lending Group Limited in May 2021. Sancus Lending Group Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Saint Peter Port, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneySancus Lending Group generates revenue primarily through interest income from the loans it provides to SMEs. The company charges interest rates that are competitive yet reflective of the risk associated with lending to smaller businesses. Additionally, Sancus may charge origination fees, late payment fees, and other service fees related to the management of loans, which contribute to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with financial institutions, investors, and industry networks enhance its capacity to fund loans and manage risk, further bolstering the company's earnings potential. The firm may also engage in securitization of its loan portfolio, allowing it to raise capital through the issuance of asset-backed securities, thus diversifying its revenue sources.

Sancus Lending Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is improving and EBIT/EBITDA margins are positive, but overall profitability remains weak. The balance sheet is a major risk with negative equity and very high leverage, and cash flow is pressured by negative operating and free cash flows, implying liquidity strain and reliance on external financing.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The income statement shows improvement in total revenue, with a significant increase from the previous year. Gross profit margin is strong, but net profit margin is weak due to the high expenses relative to revenue, resulting in a low net income. The company has positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating potential operational improvement, but overall profitability remains low.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet highlights significant leverage, with a very high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity. This presents a risk of financial instability. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting a concerning financial structure. Return on equity calculation is not applicable due to negative equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, cash flows from financing activities are positive, suggesting reliance on external funding. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.19M15.61M4.58M9.99M2.62M6.20M
Gross Profit16.86M14.83M1.45M2.38M7.13M6.20M
EBITDA15.34M14.03M-9.58M-6.77M-3.95M-8.15M
Net Income774.00K559.00K-9.13M-14.06M-10.34M-14.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets156.88M122.12M106.41M101.55M96.96M102.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.25M2.53M4.99M4.13M12.44M15.79M
Total Debt154.82M121.60M106.37M82.11M76.00M57.68M
Total Liabilities158.72M124.18M108.39M94.38M77.86M73.44M
Stockholders Equity-1.84M-2.06M-1.98M7.17M19.09M29.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.99M-17.98M-13.55M-25.36M-8.48M5.04M
Operating Cash Flow-30.90M-17.96M-13.55M-25.14M-8.31M5.29M
Investing Cash Flow-478.00K-584.00K1.62M-155.00K399.00K1.30M
Financing Cash Flow36.59M16.16M12.80M16.97M4.55M1.97M

Sancus Lending Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.40
Price Trends
50DMA
0.50
Positive
100DMA
0.47
Positive
200DMA
0.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
54.91
Neutral
STOCH
25.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:LEND, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.65, below the 50-day MA of 0.50, and below the 200-day MA of 0.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:LEND.

Sancus Lending Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£49.96M8.168.50%11.71%31.15%
75
Outperform
£12.81M4.1815.17%3.33%8.91%94.32%
73
Outperform
£118.79M26.48203.09%
73
Outperform
£108.30M8.0912.34%17.35%91.55%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
£460.53M26.533.93%7.90%
53
Neutral
£9.67M6.9230.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:LEND
Sancus Lending Group
0.90
0.35
63.64%
GB:TIME
Time Finance plc
54.00
-6.00
-10.00%
GB:ORCH
Orchard Funding
60.00
32.13
115.29%
GB:FCH
Funding Circle Holdings
159.20
50.20
46.06%
GB:TRU
TruFin
121.00
41.00
51.25%
GB:DFCH
Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc
66.00
25.50
62.96%

Sancus Lending Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sancus Lending Group Posts Strong 2025 Growth and Sharp Profit Improvement
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

Sancus Lending Group reported a strong trading performance for the year ended 31 December 2025, with turnover rising 32% to approximately £22.1m and an expected profit before tax of slightly over £1.0m, driven by robust growth in its UK and Irish operations and an improved contribution from its Channel Islands business. New lending facilities nearly doubled to £212m and loans under management increased 33% to around £317m, while the Group continued to reduce leverage and financing risk through further repurchases of its zero dividend preference shares, generating gains of £2.6m; the Board signalled confidence in future prospects and run-rate profitability as it targets further growth in 2026, with audited results due in March 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LEND) stock is a Hold with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sancus Lending Group stock, see the GB:LEND Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sancus Draws £1.4m Junior Funding from Majority Shareholder to Expand Loan Book
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

Sancus Lending Group Limited has issued £1.4 million of preference shares in its subsidiary Sancus Loans Limited to Somerston Fintech Limited, a subsidiary of its majority shareholder Somerston Group, under an existing junior funding commitment of up to £10 million. The preference shares, which carry a non-cash, cumulative 15% coupon and mature in November 2026, will increase the capital available to Sancus Loans Limited for one of the Group’s existing funding lines, enabling further expansion of the Group’s loan book, while leaving £1.55 million of the junior funding commitment still undrawn and reinforcing Sancus’s capacity to support lending growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LEND) stock is a Hold with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sancus Lending Group stock, see the GB:LEND Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Sancus Completes ZDP Share Tender Offer and Issues Over 500m New Shares
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

Sancus Lending Group has secured shareholder approval for a series of capital structure measures, including a tender offer for its zero dividend preference (ZDP) shares and amendments to its articles of association to remove certain restrictions on the company. The group will buy back 1.7 million ZDP shares, representing about 52% of the ZDP shares in issue (excluding treasury), all tendered by majority shareholder Somerston, for £2.04 million at 120 pence per share, to be settled through the issue of 501,721,593 new ordinary shares. These repurchased ZDP shares will be cancelled, and the new ordinary shares are expected to be admitted to trading on AIM on 22 December 2025, after which Sancus will have 1,085,859,939 ordinary shares in issue, redefining its total voting rights and potentially reshaping its ownership and governance profile for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LEND) stock is a Hold with a £0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sancus Lending Group stock, see the GB:LEND Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Sancus Lending Group Announces Tender Offer and Positive Trading Update
Positive
Nov 28, 2025

Sancus Lending Group Limited has announced a tender offer to simplify its capital structure by acquiring up to 1.7 million zero dividend preference shares (ZDP Shares) and amending the rights attached to these shares. The proposed changes aim to enhance operational and financial flexibility by reducing the final capital entitlement and removing certain historic restrictions. The company has also reported a positive trading update, with significant growth in revenues and loan facilities, despite operating in an uncertain market environment. The board remains confident in achieving further growth and long-term profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LEND) stock is a Hold with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sancus Lending Group stock, see the GB:LEND Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026