tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Nostrum Oil & Gas (GB:NOG)
LSE:NOG

Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
6 Followers

Top Page

GB:NOG

Nostrum Oil & Gas

(LSE:NOG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
3.50p
▼(-4.37% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, large net losses, and a highly leveraged balance sheet with negative equity) and limited valuation support due to losses. Technical indicators are neutral-to-slightly positive, providing only modest offset.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The positive revenue growth indicates potential recovery and expansion in market reach, suggesting that the company is successfully increasing its sales and market penetration.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency, which can support long-term profitability as the company scales.
Return on Equity
Despite negative equity, a positive return on equity suggests the company is generating returns on its investments, which could be leveraged for future growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Financial Leverage
High financial leverage indicates a heavy reliance on debt, which can increase financial risk and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash, which can constrain the company's ability to fund operations and invest in future growth.
Profitability Issues
A negative net profit margin indicates ongoing profitability challenges, which can hinder the company's ability to sustain operations and achieve long-term financial health.

Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Nostrum Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNostrum Oil & Gas PLC, an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in the pre-Caspian Basin. The company discovers and develops oil and gas reserves, as well as produces and sells crude oil, stabilized condensate, liquefied petroleum gas, and dry gas. Its principal producing asset is 100% owned Chinarevskoye field located in North-western Kazakhstan. As of December 31, 2021, the company had proved and probable reserves of 34 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) and 28 mmboe of contingent resources. Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC was founded in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyNostrum Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its fields in Kazakhstan. The company follows a revenue model that includes the direct sale of its hydrocarbons to refineries, trading companies, and other end-users, often based on market prices for oil and gas. Key revenue streams include production sales, which are influenced by global oil prices, contracts with customers, and the operational efficiency of its extraction processes. Additionally, Nostrum may enter into strategic partnerships with other energy companies or investors, which can enhance its operational capabilities and provide access to new markets, further contributing to its earnings.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: TTM revenue declined (-10.8%) with a sizable net loss (net margin ~-50.8%). Balance sheet risk is elevated with high debt (~$666M) and negative equity (~-$203M). Operating cash flow is positive (~$15.4M) but free cash flow remains negative (~-$3.8M), indicating funding pressure.
Income Statement
33
Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-10.8%) and profitability is weak, with a sizable net loss (net margin ~-50.8%). While gross margin remains decent (~39%), earnings quality is volatile: prior years show sharp swings from very large profit in 2023 to losses in 2024 and TTM, suggesting results are not yet consistently durable.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Leverage is high and financial flexibility is constrained. Total debt remains large (~$666M in TTM), while equity is negative (about -$203M in TTM), which raises balance-sheet risk and limits the cushion for downturns. Assets are relatively stable (~$595M TTM), but the capital structure (negative equity across periods) is the key weakness.
Cash Flow
29
Negative
Cash generation is mixed. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is positive (~$15.4M) but free cash flow is negative (~-$3.8M), indicating ongoing funding pressure after investment needs. Annual results improved to roughly breakeven free cash flow in 2024 (~$0.5M) versus materially negative in 2023, but consistency remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue121.19M137.08M119.63M199.72M195.28M175.94M
Gross Profit47.73M65.07M42.00M115.66M99.65M50.55M
EBITDA99.32M143.38M973.69M76.21M101.97M69.81M
Net Income-61.60M-26.58M831.66M-116.44M-26.12M-327.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets594.73M606.00M519.34M590.12M565.31M505.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.35M150.42M161.71M233.58M165.25M78.58M
Total Debt665.65M571.37M471.75M1.40B1.29B1.19B
Total Liabilities798.86M698.48M585.01M1.53B1.39B1.27B
Stockholders Equity-203.48M-92.54M-66.17M-940.23M-823.25M-759.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.76M535.00K-19.48M87.43M108.58M56.47M
Operating Cash Flow15.41M33.08M-2.22M102.20M117.42M82.75M
Investing Cash Flow-14.50M-26.47M-28.08M-15.78M-19.78M-40.10M
Financing Cash Flow-8.50M-17.71M-41.62M-17.48M-10.86M-58.43M

Nostrum Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
3.60
Negative
100DMA
3.58
Negative
200DMA
3.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
23.46
Positive
STOCH
12.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NOG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.56, above the 50-day MA of 3.60, and above the 200-day MA of 3.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.46 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NOG.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
£11.63M-19.17-12.37%76.00%
48
Neutral
£5.90M-2.42-16.07%
47
Neutral
£10.70M-3.50-7.32%
46
Neutral
£5.48M-0.12-10.73%24.24%
34
Underperform
£7.92M-14.47-13.06%55.43%14.40%26.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NOG
Nostrum Oil & Gas
3.32
0.57
20.73%
GB:RBD
Reabold Resources
0.11
0.06
133.33%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.15
0.04
45.00%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.02
>-0.01
-15.00%
GB:WTE
Westmount Energy
5.50
4.75
633.33%
GB:BLOE
Block Energy Plc
1.15
0.50
76.92%

Nostrum Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Nostrum Oil & Gas Delays Note Interest Payments Amid Administrative Issues but Avoids Default
Negative
Jan 2, 2026

Nostrum Oil & Gas has announced that its financing subsidiary, Nostrum Oil & Gas Finance B.V., has not yet paid accrued interest that was due by 30 June 2025 and again by 31 December 2025 on its senior secured and senior unsecured notes, despite the notes being guaranteed by the parent company. The delay stems from ongoing payment administration and licensing issues that prevent payments from being processed through clearing systems, rather than from any solvency or liquidity concerns, with the company stressing that the necessary funds are available and secured. To mitigate the impact on noteholders, the issuer has made the second consent fee payment under a previously agreed consent solicitation, ensuring that the missed interest payments do not trigger a default or event of default on the notes, and holders eligible for the consent fee are expected to receive their payments in the coming days.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Nostrum Oil & Gas Reviews Incentive Plan After Shareholder Revolt at AGM
Negative
Dec 19, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas has issued a further statement following its 2025 AGM, where shareholders rejected resolutions on the directors’ remuneration report, the reappointment of two directors and a shorter notice period for general meetings, and gave only limited support to the reappointment of two other board members. After engaging with investors, the board reported that concerns centred on the size, appropriateness and timing of payments under the company’s management incentive plan, and it is now reviewing the scheme’s operation, considering halting further grants or payouts, and revising the Remuneration Committee’s terms of reference and board composition. The company has pledged to maintain dialogue with shareholders to address governance and pay issues, with a final summary of consultation feedback to be included in its next annual report, signalling a bid to repair investor trust and align executive incentives more closely with stakeholder expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nostrum Oil & Gas Shows Resilience Amidst Market Challenges in 2025
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas has reported its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2025, showing resilience despite challenges such as weaker oil prices and natural production decline at the Chinarevskoye field. The company achieved an EBITDA of $26.8 million, reduced operating expenses by 28% per barrel, and maintained a strong liquidity position with a net positive operating cash flow of $21.6 million. Nostrum also saw a 33% increase in average processed volumes and an 18.5% rise in average daily titled production volumes, driven by increased processing of Ural O&G feedstock. The company continues to focus on maximizing facility uptime, cost control, and efficient resource allocation to support growth projects, while maintaining a strong commitment to health, safety, and environmental standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nostrum Oil & Gas Strengthens Board with Key Appointments
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of Robert Wynne as a non-executive director, chair of the nomination and governance committee, and member of both the strategy and audit committees, effective November 20, 2025. Wynne brings 40 years of experience in the global oil and gas industry and investment banking, which is expected to enhance the company’s governance and support its strategic goals in expanding domestic raw gas processing and production in Kazakhstan. Additionally, Nikolay Ivin has been appointed to the nomination and governance committee, resigning from the audit committee. These changes are anticipated to strengthen Nostrum’s board and align with its growth objectives in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nostrum Oil & Gas Announces Audit Committee Appointment
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC announced a change in its audit committee with the appointment of Nikolay Ivin as a new member, effective 31 October 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to comply with the provisions of its warrant instrument regarding board committee composition. The announcement reflects Nostrum’s commitment to maintaining governance standards and may impact its strategic operations and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nostrum Oil & Gas Reports Strong Operational Results Amidst Market Challenges
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC reported strong operational results for the first nine months of 2025, despite facing challenges such as lower oil prices and natural decline in its mature Chinarevskoye field. The company achieved a 33% increase in processed volumes, driven by ramped-up third-party feedstock, and a 19.9% increase in average daily sales volumes. However, revenue decreased due to a less favorable product mix and a decline in oil prices. Nostrum is advancing its development plans for the Stepnoy Leopard asset and continuing its drilling and workover program at Chinarevskoye, aiming to create sustainable value for stakeholders. The company also extended its third-party hydrocarbon processing agreement with Ural Oil & Gas through 2031, enhancing cash flows and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nostrum Oil & Gas Enhances Board with Strategic Appointments
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of James Hart as an independent non-executive director, effective 23 October 2025. Hart, a seasoned professional in special situations and dispute resolution, will also serve on the audit committee and chair the remuneration committee. Additionally, the company has made changes to its strategy committee, with Nikolay Ivin appointed as chairman and Viktor Gladun as a member. These board changes are part of the company’s efforts to comply with the warrant instrument requirements and are anticipated to enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Nostrum Oil & Gas Appoints New Chairman Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC announced the retirement of Stephen Whyte as Chairman and the appointment of Nikolay Ivin as his successor, effective October 16, 2025. Mr. Ivin brings extensive corporate finance expertise from his roles in various financial institutions and advisory firms, enhancing the company’s leadership as it prepares for the maturity of its Senior Secured and Unsecured Notes in June 2026. This leadership transition is part of a broader strategy to reconstitute the board and its committees, aiming to strengthen and grow the company’s business operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:NOG) stock is a Hold with a £3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nostrum Oil & Gas stock, see the GB:NOG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026