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Nostrum Oil & Gas (GB:NOG)
LSE:NOG

Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:NOG

Nostrum Oil & Gas

(LSE:NOG)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
3.50p
▼(-6.91% Downside)
Nostrum Oil & Gas's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including high leverage and cash flow issues. While technical analysis shows a stable outlook, valuation concerns and ongoing financial hurdles weigh heavily on the score. Positive corporate events provide some optimism, but significant risks remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The positive revenue growth indicates potential recovery and expansion in market reach, suggesting that the company is successfully increasing its sales and market penetration.
Gross Profit Margin
A strong gross profit margin reflects effective cost management and operational efficiency, which can support long-term profitability as the company scales.
Return on Equity
Despite negative equity, a positive return on equity suggests the company is generating returns on its investments, which could be leveraged for future growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Financial Leverage
High financial leverage indicates a heavy reliance on debt, which can increase financial risk and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash, which can constrain the company's ability to fund operations and invest in future growth.
Profitability Issues
A negative net profit margin indicates ongoing profitability challenges, which can hinder the company's ability to sustain operations and achieve long-term financial health.

Nostrum Oil & Gas (NOG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Nostrum Oil & Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNostrum Oil & Gas is a UK-based independent oil and gas company focused on the exploration and production of hydrocarbons in the oil-rich region of Central Asia, specifically in Kazakhstan. The company primarily operates through its subsidiaries, engaging in the extraction of oil and gas, as well as the development of related infrastructure. Nostrum's core products include crude oil and natural gas, which it sells to various markets, contributing to energy supply both regionally and internationally.
How the Company Makes MoneyNostrum Oil & Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its fields in Kazakhstan. The company follows a revenue model that includes the direct sale of its hydrocarbons to refineries, trading companies, and other end-users, often based on market prices for oil and gas. Key revenue streams include production sales, which are influenced by global oil prices, contracts with customers, and the operational efficiency of its extraction processes. Additionally, Nostrum may enter into strategic partnerships with other energy companies or investors, which can enhance its operational capabilities and provide access to new markets, further contributing to its earnings.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nostrum Oil & Gas faces significant financial challenges. Despite a strong gross profit margin and positive revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin. High leverage and negative equity raise concerns about financial stability, and cash flow generation issues further complicate the financial outlook.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Nostrum Oil & Gas shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has a strong gross profit margin of 45.12% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is negative at -18.70% TTM, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. Revenue growth is positive at 46.9% TTM, suggesting potential recovery, but the negative EBIT margin of 86.27% TTM highlights operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of -5.09 TTM, indicating high reliance on debt financing. The negative stockholders' equity suggests financial instability. Return on equity is positive at 21.59% TTM, but this is due to the negative equity base, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows challenges with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -201.29% TTM, indicating cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67 TTM, suggesting some ability to convert income into cash, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.11 TTM, highlighting cash flow constraints.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue121.19M137.08M119.63M199.72M195.28M175.94M
Gross Profit47.73M65.07M42.00M115.66M99.65M50.55M
EBITDA99.32M143.38M973.69M76.21M101.97M69.81M
Net Income-61.60M-26.58M831.66M-116.44M-26.12M-327.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets594.73M606.00M519.34M590.12M565.31M505.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.35M150.42M161.71M233.58M165.25M78.58M
Total Debt665.65M571.37M471.75M1.40B1.29B1.19B
Total Liabilities798.86M698.48M585.01M1.53B1.39B1.27B
Stockholders Equity-203.48M-92.54M-66.17M-940.23M-823.25M-759.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.76M535.00K-19.48M87.43M108.58M56.47M
Operating Cash Flow15.41M33.08M-2.22M102.20M117.42M82.75M
Investing Cash Flow-14.50M-26.47M-28.08M-15.78M-19.78M-40.10M
Financing Cash Flow-8.50M-17.71M-41.62M-17.48M-10.86M-58.43M

Nostrum Oil & Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.76
Price Trends
50DMA
3.59
Positive
100DMA
3.51
Positive
200DMA
3.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
68.31
Neutral
STOCH
70.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NOG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.61, above the 50-day MA of 3.59, and above the 200-day MA of 3.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:NOG.

Nostrum Oil & Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
£8.03M-13.33-12.37%76.00%
47
Neutral
£6.20M-0.14-10.73%24.24%
34
Underperform
£4.97M-9.08-13.06%56.23%14.40%26.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:NOG
Nostrum Oil & Gas
3.76
0.76
25.33%
GB:RBD
Reabold Resources
0.05
0.00
0.00%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.12
0.02
20.00%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.02
0.00
0.00%
GB:WTE
Westmount Energy
3.45
2.65
331.25%
GB:BLOE
Block Energy Plc
0.80
0.12
17.65%

Nostrum Oil & Gas Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nostrum Oil & Gas Shows Resilience Amidst Market Challenges in 2025
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas has reported its financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2025, showing resilience despite challenges such as weaker oil prices and natural production decline at the Chinarevskoye field. The company achieved an EBITDA of $26.8 million, reduced operating expenses by 28% per barrel, and maintained a strong liquidity position with a net positive operating cash flow of $21.6 million. Nostrum also saw a 33% increase in average processed volumes and an 18.5% rise in average daily titled production volumes, driven by increased processing of Ural O&G feedstock. The company continues to focus on maximizing facility uptime, cost control, and efficient resource allocation to support growth projects, while maintaining a strong commitment to health, safety, and environmental standards.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Strengthens Board with Key Appointments
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of Robert Wynne as a non-executive director, chair of the nomination and governance committee, and member of both the strategy and audit committees, effective November 20, 2025. Wynne brings 40 years of experience in the global oil and gas industry and investment banking, which is expected to enhance the company’s governance and support its strategic goals in expanding domestic raw gas processing and production in Kazakhstan. Additionally, Nikolay Ivin has been appointed to the nomination and governance committee, resigning from the audit committee. These changes are anticipated to strengthen Nostrum’s board and align with its growth objectives in the region.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Announces Audit Committee Appointment
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC announced a change in its audit committee with the appointment of Nikolay Ivin as a new member, effective 31 October 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to comply with the provisions of its warrant instrument regarding board committee composition. The announcement reflects Nostrum’s commitment to maintaining governance standards and may impact its strategic operations and stakeholder relations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Nostrum Oil & Gas Reports Strong Operational Results Amidst Market Challenges
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC reported strong operational results for the first nine months of 2025, despite facing challenges such as lower oil prices and natural decline in its mature Chinarevskoye field. The company achieved a 33% increase in processed volumes, driven by ramped-up third-party feedstock, and a 19.9% increase in average daily sales volumes. However, revenue decreased due to a less favorable product mix and a decline in oil prices. Nostrum is advancing its development plans for the Stepnoy Leopard asset and continuing its drilling and workover program at Chinarevskoye, aiming to create sustainable value for stakeholders. The company also extended its third-party hydrocarbon processing agreement with Ural Oil & Gas through 2031, enhancing cash flows and operational efficiency.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Enhances Board with Strategic Appointments
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of James Hart as an independent non-executive director, effective 23 October 2025. Hart, a seasoned professional in special situations and dispute resolution, will also serve on the audit committee and chair the remuneration committee. Additionally, the company has made changes to its strategy committee, with Nikolay Ivin appointed as chairman and Viktor Gladun as a member. These board changes are part of the company’s efforts to comply with the warrant instrument requirements and are anticipated to enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Appoints New Chairman Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC announced the retirement of Stephen Whyte as Chairman and the appointment of Nikolay Ivin as his successor, effective October 16, 2025. Mr. Ivin brings extensive corporate finance expertise from his roles in various financial institutions and advisory firms, enhancing the company’s leadership as it prepares for the maturity of its Senior Secured and Unsecured Notes in June 2026. This leadership transition is part of a broader strategy to reconstitute the board and its committees, aiming to strengthen and grow the company’s business operations.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Resolves Financial Obligations with Noteholders
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas has successfully passed an Extraordinary Resolution regarding its senior unsecured notes after a consent solicitation process. This resolution allows the company to execute the Supplemental Trust Deed and make consent payments to noteholders, resolving issues related to delayed interest payments. The resolution’s passage is a significant step in addressing the company’s financial obligations, potentially stabilizing its market position and reassuring stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
Nostrum Oil & Gas Faces Financial Hurdles with Adjourned Noteholder Meeting
Negative
Sep 24, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas has announced an adjournment of the meeting regarding its senior unsecured notes due to a lack of quorum. The company is addressing an ‘Event of Default’ after failing to pay accrued interest on its notes by the deadline. The adjourned meeting is set for October 6, 2025, as the company seeks consent from noteholders to resolve the default situation. This situation highlights the company’s current financial challenges and its efforts to engage stakeholders in resolving these issues.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of Yelena Zhuravleva as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective immediately, following the mutual agreement for Petro Mychalkiw to step down from the position. This leadership change is expected to bring new strategic insights to the company’s financial management, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning in the energy sector.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Nostrum Oil & Gas Faces Default Resolution Challenges
Negative
Sep 16, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas Finance B.V., a subsidiary of Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC, faced an ‘Event of Default’ due to non-payment of interest on its outstanding notes by the deadline of June 30, 2025. In response, the company initiated a consent solicitation to address this default. The early consent deadline results showed that while over 75% of senior secured noteholders approved the resolution, the senior unsecured notes did not achieve the required majority, necessitating further voting. The resolution’s implementation is contingent upon approval from all note series, and ongoing participation is encouraged to resolve the interest payment delay.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nostrum Oil & Gas Appoints New COO Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC has announced the appointment of David Roberts as the new Chief Operating Officer, replacing Robert Tinkhof who retired earlier this month. This appointment is considered a material related party transaction due to Roberts’ significant shareholding in the company. The board has deemed the agreement fair and reasonable for all shareholders, including minority ones. This leadership change is expected to impact the company’s operations and strategic direction, with potential implications for stakeholders given Roberts’ vested interest in the company’s success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025