M.P. Evans Group PLC (GB:MPE)
LSE:MPE
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M.P. Evans
(LSE:MPE)
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Rating:86Outperform
Price Target:
1,822.00 p
▲(48.73% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high profitability, zero debt balance sheet, and solid cash generation) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a supportive dividend). Technicals are constructive given the clear uptrend, but elevated RSI/Stoch suggest near-term momentum is stretched, modestly tempering the overall score.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet (zero debt)
Zero net debt materially lowers financial risk and gives management durable flexibility to fund maintenance capex, withstand commodity downturns, and support dividends or buybacks without relying on external financing. Equity growth and solid ROE indicate capital productivity without leverage dependency.
Negative Factors
Commodity-driven earnings cyclicality
Heavy exposure to CPO price cycles and harvest timing makes multi-year earnings and cash flows volatile. That cyclicality complicates capital allocation, dividend visibility and forecasting, requiring larger reserves or conservative spending policies to preserve balance sheet strength across downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet (zero debt)
Zero net debt materially lowers financial risk and gives management durable flexibility to fund maintenance capex, withstand commodity downturns, and support dividends or buybacks without relying on external financing. Equity growth and solid ROE indicate capital productivity without leverage dependency.
Read all positive factors
M.P. Evans (MPE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£808.80M
Dividend Yield3.24%
Average Volume (3M)43.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)9.7
Beta (1Y)0.18
Revenue Growth1.98%
EPS Growth24.57%
CountryUK
Employees12,600
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryAgricultural Farm Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.13
Shares Outstanding52,113,087
10 Day Avg. Volume46,658
30 Day Avg. Volume43,970
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.24
Price to Book (P/B)1.44
Price to Sales (P/S)2.27
P/FCF Ratio7.36
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£1,750.00Price Target Upside42.86% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)2.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£360.23M
M.P. Evans Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
M.P. Evans Group PLC, operating through its various subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in the cultivation, oversight, and expansion of oil palm estates across Indonesia. The company's operations are structured across two main divisions: its Indone...
How the Company Makes Money
MPE primarily makes money by producing and selling palm oil products. Its main revenue stream is the sale of crude palm oil (CPO) produced from fresh fruit bunches harvested on its plantations and processed in its palm oil mills. A second key reve...
M.P. Evans Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 378.78M | 352.84M | 307.37M | 326.92M | 276.59M |
| Gross Profit | 145.20M | 116.59M | 78.45M | 109.21M | 103.61M |
| EBITDA | 166.45M | 143.61M | 100.93M | 125.08M | 136.01M |
| Net Income | 113.50M | 87.85M | 52.49M | 73.06M | 86.41M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 668.18M | 647.79M | 625.15M | 590.26M | 583.82M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 87.51M | 79.22M | 39.32M | 82.50M | 65.61M |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 33.03M | 54.42M | 49.04M | 71.05M |
| Total Liabilities | 60.30M | 114.33M | 120.08M | 101.41M | 138.77M |
| Stockholders Equity | 599.71M | 525.75M | 485.07M | 471.18M | 431.52M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 116.89M | 114.15M | 45.34M | 68.46M | 59.75M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 142.03M | 135.80M | 83.64M | 102.29M | 92.27M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -45.53M | -19.33M | -71.65M | -28.44M | 887.00K |
| Financing Cash Flow | -87.00M | -75.25M | -55.43M | -55.38M | -54.72M |
M.P. Evans Technical Analysis
Positive
1225.00
Price Trends
1636.61
Negative
1529.73
Positive
1389.60
Positive
Market Momentum
-21.93
Negative
48.07
Neutral
61.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1225 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1522.80, below the 50-day MA of 1636.61, and below the 200-day MA of 1389.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -21.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MPE.
M.P. Evans Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
86 Outperform | £808.80M | 9.65 | 19.40% | 3.24% | 1.98% | 24.57% | |
71 Outperform | £586.90M | 8.73 | 15.73% | 4.89% | 21.29% | 32.15% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% | |
61 Neutral | £138.40M | -35.10 | -1.73% | 5.22% | 2.21% | -3.05% | |
50 Neutral | £4.54M | -0.85 | -30.89% | ― | -6.07% | 50.59% | |
40 Underperform | £464.33K | -0.42 | ― | ― | ― | ― |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
GB:MPE
M.P. Evans
1,552.00
511.92
49.22%
GB:EVST
Anglo African Agriculture
120.00
-100.00
-45.45%
GB:AEP
Anglo Eastern Plantations
1,530.00
728.02
90.78%
GB:CAM
Camellia
5,475.00
142.59
2.67%
GB:DKL
Dekel Agri-Vision
0.38
-0.70
-64.95%
GB:ZAM
Zambeef Product
4.75
0.70
17.28%
M.P. Evans Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cancels Further Shares in Ongoing Buyback Programme
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its share buyback programme, repurchasing 2,439 ordinary shares of 10p each on 19 June 2026 via broker Cavendish Capital Markets at a volume-weighted average price of 1,539.85 pence. The shares have been bought f...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cuts Share Count Further With AIM Buyback
Positive
Jun 19, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its share buyback programme, purchasing 2,453 of its own 10p shares for cancellation on 18 June 2026 through broker Cavendish Capital Markets at a volume-weighted average price of 1,552.55 pence. Following this t...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
M.P. Evans Director Moves to Reinvest Dividends in Additional Shares
Positive
Jun 19, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has disclosed that non-executive director Tanya Ashton has instructed her broker to reinvest all dividends from her 10 pence shares in the company into additional M.P. Evans shares. This dividend reinvestment arrangement will ...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Tightens Share Base with Latest Buyback and Cancellation
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its share buyback activity, purchasing 2,482 of its own 10p shares on 17 June 2026 on the London Stock Exchange at prices between 1,530p and 1,570p, with a volume-weighted average price of 1,542.88p. These shares...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cuts Share Count with Latest Buyback
Neutral
Jun 17, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has bought back and cancelled 2,514 of its own 10p shares on the London Stock Exchange, paying a volume-weighted average price of 1,570.39 pence per share. The transaction was executed through broker Cavendish Capital Markets ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans Restarts £3m Share Buyback to Boost Capital Returns
Positive
Jun 16, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has restarted its share buyback programme after securing renewed shareholder approval at its June annual general meeting. The company plans to spend up to £3 million over the next three months to repurchase and cancel its...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans shareholders back all AGM resolutions, approve dividend and buyback authority
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC reported that all resolutions at its annual general meeting on 12 June 2026 were passed, reflecting broad shareholder support for the board and its governance framework. Shareholders approved the annual report, the directors&#...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans boosts sustainable palm output and resumes buybacks as costs hold steady
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
M.P. Evans reported a 10% increase in fresh fruit bunches harvested to 575,100 tonnes and an 8% rise in CPO output to 157,600 tonnes for the five months to 31 May 2026, driven by higher extraction rates and a deliberate shift toward own-managed, h...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans lifts sustainable output, resumes buybacks and raises dividend
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC reported a solid start to 2026 ahead of its annual general meeting, with total crop harvested from group-managed areas rising 10% to 575,100 tonnes and an oil-extraction rate improving to 24.2%. Crude palm oil output increased...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cancels Shares in Latest Buyback, Updates Total Voting Rights
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has bought back and cancelled 14,351 of its own 10p shares on the London Stock Exchange, at a volume-weighted average price of 1,494.80 pence, as part of its ongoing share buyback programme executed through broker Cavendish Ca...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cuts Share Count with Latest Buyback, Updates Voting Rights
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its share buyback activity, repurchasing 12,755 ordinary shares of 10p each on 10 June 2026 via broker Cavendish Capital Markets at a volume-weighted average price of 1,459.40 pence. The transaction forms part of...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans cuts share count with latest buyback on AIM
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has repurchased and cancelled 12,634 of its 10p ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, paying a volume-weighted average price of 1,477.32 pence per share through its broker Cavendish Capital Markets. The buyback forms p...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cancels Shares After Latest Buyback on AIM
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has carried out a share buyback, purchasing 12,578 of its 10p ordinary shares on 8 June 2026 through broker Cavendish Capital Markets, at prices between 1,456p and 1,488p per share and a volume-weighted average price of 1,469....
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans trims share base with latest buyback and cancellation
Positive
Jun 8, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has bought back and cancelled 15,605 of its own shares of 10p each on the London Stock Exchange, at a volume-weighted average price of 1,480.45 pence per share, as part of its ongoing share buyback programme executed through b...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cancels Further Shares as Buyback Programme Reduces Share Count
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued to actively manage its capital structure, confirming a further repurchase of 2,501 ordinary shares of 10p each on 3 June 2026 through its broker Cavendish Capital Markets, at prices between 1,540p and 1,564p per ...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cuts Share Count with Targeted Buyback
Positive
Jun 3, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has repurchased and cancelled 12,594 of its 10p shares on the London Stock Exchange at a volume-weighted average price of 1,509.52 pence, as part of its share buyback activity. Following this transaction, the company now has 5...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Cancels 12,547 Shares in Latest Buyback
Positive
Jun 2, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its capital management strategy by buying back 12,547 of its own shares on 1 June 2026 on the London Stock Exchange, at prices between 1,460p and 1,539p per share and a volume-weighted average of 1,490.92p, for c...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans Sets New Total Voting Rights at 52.2 Million Shares
Neutral
Jun 1, 2026
M.P. Evans Group has confirmed that, as of 1 June 2026 and after taking into account any pending settlements under its recently announced share buyback programme, its issued share capital consists of 52,218,541 ordinary shares with a nominal value...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans tightens equity base with latest share buyback and cancellation
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has repurchased and cancelled 12,626 of its own 10p shares on the London Stock Exchange, at prices between 1,502p and 1,524p per share, via broker Cavendish Capital Markets. The trades were executed at a volume-weighted averag...
Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans trims share count with latest buyback on AIM
Positive
May 29, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has continued its share buyback activity, purchasing and cancelling 12,870 ordinary shares of 10 pence each on 28 May 2026 through its broker Cavendish Capital Markets at a volume-weighted average price of 1,507.32 pence. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
M.P. Evans Cancels Further Shares After Latest Buyback
Positive
May 28, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has carried out a further share buyback, purchasing 12,255 of its own 10p shares on 27 May 2026 on the London Stock Exchange at a volume-weighted average price of 1,525.06 pence, with the shares to be cancelled. Following this...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
M.P. Evans launches £2m share buyback ahead of June AGM
Positive
May 26, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has restarted its share repurchase activity, launching a new buyback programme of up to £2 million running from 26 May 2026 until its annual general meeting on 12 June 2026, with the option to extend subject to shareholde...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans says Indonesian export reforms unlikely to hit operations directly
Positive
May 20, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC is a producer of sustainable palm oil in Indonesia, focusing on local sales and maintaining strong ties with government authorities and other stakeholders. The group emphasises compliance with Indonesian regulations and positi...
Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans Sets Hybrid Access for 2026 AGM While Preserving Traditional Voting
Neutral
May 12, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has confirmed that its 2026 annual general meeting will be held at Tallow Chandlers’ Hall in London on 12 June 2026 at midday, with shareholders invited to attend in person. The company will also stream the proceedings v...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
M.P. Evans Publishes 2025 Annual Report and Sets June AGM
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has published its annual report and accounts for the year ended 31 December 2025, fulfilling AIM regulatory requirements and providing investors with detailed financial and operational disclosures. The documents, which include...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
M.P. Evans discloses share purchase by non-executive director
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC has disclosed that non-executive director Tanya Ashton has acquired a small personal stake in the company, purchasing 669 ordinary shares at a price of 1,492.92 pence each on 24 March 2026. Following the transaction, Ashton ho...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
M.P. Evans Delivers Record 2025 Profits and Lifts Dividend on Sustainable Palm Oil Growth
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
M.P. Evans Group PLC reported another year of record results for 2025, driven by strong pricing for crude palm oil and palm kernels and a greater focus on processing its own crop through six certified sustainable mills. Revenue rose to US$371 mill...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.