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M.P. Evans Group PLC (GB:MPE)
LSE:MPE

M.P. Evans (MPE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:MPE

M.P. Evans

(LSE:MPE)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
1,470.00p
▲(20.00% Upside)
M.P. Evans scores well due to its robust financial performance and strategic corporate events, which enhance its market positioning. The valuation is attractive, with a low P/E ratio and solid dividend yield. Technical analysis shows a neutral trend, with potential bearish momentum. Overall, the stock is positioned for growth with a stable financial foundation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's robust revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business strategy, enhancing its ability to capture market demand and drive future expansion.
Cash Flow Management
Significant growth in free cash flow highlights the company's ability to generate cash efficiently, providing financial flexibility for reinvestment and growth opportunities.
Profitability Improvements
Improved profitability margins reflect enhanced cost efficiency and operational effectiveness, strengthening the company's competitive position and long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Market Volatility
Trading below short-term averages suggests potential market volatility, which could impact investor confidence and stock performance in the near term, affecting capital raising ability.
Industry Challenges
Lack of recent corporate developments may indicate challenges in adapting to industry changes, potentially affecting the company's ability to innovate and maintain competitive advantages.
Sustainability Risks
While sustainability is a focus, the agricultural industry faces scrutiny over environmental impacts, posing risks to reputation and regulatory compliance, potentially affecting long-term operations.

M.P. Evans (MPE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

M.P. Evans Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionM.P. Evans Group PLC, through its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership, management, and development of oil palm plantations in Indonesia. It operates through Plantation Indonesia and Property Malaysia segments. The company produces crude palm oil and palm kernels. It is also involved in the property development; and oil-palm fresh fruit bunches production businesses, as well as provision of agronomic and management consultancy services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in 39,800 hectares of oil palm plantations in Indonesia; and 12,800 hectares of associated smallholder oil palm. M.P. Evans Group PLC was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tunbridge Wells, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyM.P. Evans generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm oil derivatives produced from its plantations. The company benefits from the growing global demand for palm oil, which is used in a variety of products including food, cosmetics, and biofuels. Key revenue streams include direct sales of CPO to processors and manufacturers, as well as partnerships with distributors in various markets. Additionally, MPE may earn income through the sale of by-products from the palm oil extraction process. The company’s commitment to sustainability attracts partnerships with organizations focused on ethical sourcing, which can enhance its market position and contribute to revenue growth.

M.P. Evans Financial Statement Overview

Summary
M.P. Evans demonstrated strong revenue growth and profitability improvements. The company has a solid financial position with low leverage and high equity. Cash flow management is robust, indicating strong liquidity and efficient cash generation.
Income Statement
M.P. Evans demonstrated strong revenue growth with 14.8% from 2023 to 2024 and a consistent increase in profitability. The gross profit margin improved to 33.1% in 2024 from 25.5% in 2023. Net profit margin also showed a significant rise from 17.1% to 24.9%, indicating enhanced cost efficiency and profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, showcasing operational efficiency. The consistent improvement in these metrics reflects robust financial health and growth potential.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06 in 2024, exhibiting strong financial leverage management. The equity ratio is high at 81.1%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity increased to 16.7%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The balance sheet shows a stable financial foundation with potential for sustainable growth.
Cash Flow
Cash flow management is a key strength, with free cash flow growing significantly by 151.7% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 1.55, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 1.3, indicating solid cash availability after capital expenditures. These metrics suggest effective cash management and strong liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue368.55M352.84M307.37M326.92M276.59M174.51M
Gross Profit136.77M116.59M78.45M109.21M103.61M34.76M
EBITDA163.45M143.61M100.93M125.08M136.01M49.79M
Net Income106.42M87.85M52.49M73.06M86.41M20.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets652.51M647.79M625.15M590.26M583.82M536.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.33M79.22M39.32M82.50M65.61M27.22M
Total Debt20.86M33.03M54.42M49.04M71.05M105.68M
Total Liabilities95.90M114.33M120.08M101.41M138.77M162.34M
Stockholders Equity549.34M525.75M485.07M471.18M431.52M364.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow123.08M114.15M45.34M68.46M59.75M-1.92M
Operating Cash Flow145.69M135.80M83.64M102.29M92.27M39.60M
Investing Cash Flow-18.65M-19.33M-71.65M-28.44M887.00K-35.97M
Financing Cash Flow-71.85M-75.25M-55.43M-55.38M-54.72M-2.28M

M.P. Evans Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1225.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1269.60
Negative
100DMA
1284.76
Negative
200DMA
1187.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.36
Negative
RSI
46.23
Neutral
STOCH
75.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MPE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1225 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1230.00, below the 50-day MA of 1269.60, and above the 200-day MA of 1187.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:MPE.

M.P. Evans Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£642.75M7.8620.95%3.24%6.52%59.56%
76
Outperform
£539.05M8.0416.51%4.89%16.42%33.07%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
50
Neutral
£5.41M-1.07-30.89%-6.07%50.59%
45
Neutral
£127.65M-54.495.22%-0.79%87.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MPE
M.P. Evans
1,240.00
342.33
38.14%
GB:EVST
Anglo African Agriculture
250.00
-30.00
-10.71%
GB:AEP
Anglo Eastern Plantations
1,380.00
817.06
145.14%
GB:CAM
Camellia
5,005.00
375.61
8.11%
GB:DKL
Dekel Agri-Vision
0.45
-0.97
-68.31%
GB:ZAM
Zambeef Product
4.66
1.31
39.10%

M.P. Evans Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
M.P. Evans Grants Long-Term Nil-Cost Share Options to Top Executives
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

M.P. Evans has granted nil-cost share options over a total of 30,000 shares to its top executives under the group’s long-term incentive scheme, awarding 18,000 options to chief executive Matthew Coulson and 12,000 to chief financial officer Luke Shaw. The options are scheduled to vest in January 2029, subject to continued employment and an underpin condition tied to the company’s overall financial performance and adherence to its strategic pillars, with any resulting shares then locked into a further two-year holding period, underscoring an effort to align senior management incentives with long-term shareholder value and sustainable business performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1470.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
M.P. Evans’ CEO Exercises Share Options and Adjusts Stake
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

M.P. Evans Group PLC announced that its chief executive, Mr. Matthew Harrison Coulson, exercised share options under the company’s Long Term Incentive Scheme, acquiring a total of 19,880 shares at no cost. Of these, 9,330 shares were sold to cover tax liabilities, and 10,550 shares were transferred to his spouse, Mrs. N Coulson. Following this transaction, Mr. Coulson’s shareholding now represents 0.08% of the company’s issued share capital. The transactions were facilitated through shares held within the company’s employee benefit trust, maintaining the total number of shares with voting rights unchanged at 52,256,292. This activity underscores strategic share distribution among key management while maintaining stability in the company’s share structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1470.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
M.P. Evans Grants Share Options to Executives
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

M.P. Evans Group PLC, a company involved in the agricultural sector, has announced the grant of share options to its chief executive, Matthew Coulson, and chief financial officer, Luke Shaw. This move aligns with the company’s policy of deferring half of the executive annual bonus into nil-cost share options. The options, which are exercisable between December 2028 and December 2035, do not have additional performance criteria as they are tied to performance-related bonuses. This strategic decision is expected to align the interests of the executives with those of shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s long-term growth and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1470.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
M.P. Evans Group Releases 2024 ESG Report Highlighting Sustainable Progress
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

M.P. Evans Group PLC has released its 2024 ESG report, highlighting significant progress in sustainable practices and developments in 2025. The report details the Group’s achievements, including the certification of all its mills, production of over 250,000 tonnes of sustainable palm oil, and the establishment of conservation land and biodiversity initiatives. This publication underscores the Group’s commitment to ESG initiatives and its impact on community prosperity and environmental conservation.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1470.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
M.P. Evans Reports Minimal Impact from Aceh Flooding
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

M.P. Evans Group PLC reported that recent severe flooding in Aceh, Indonesia, caused by a cyclone, has temporarily disrupted operations at its Simpang Kiri estate. Despite the flooding, there will be no material impact on the Group’s annual crop and production, and normal operations are expected to resume soon. The company is actively supporting the local community affected by the floods.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1438.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
M.P. Evans Appoints Canaccord Genuity as Joint Broker
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

M.P. Evans has announced the appointment of Canaccord Genuity Limited as a joint broker, while Cavendish Capital Markets continues as the Company’s Nomad and joint broker. This strategic move is expected to enhance M.P. Evans’ market positioning and potentially improve its operational dynamics within the palm oil industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1438.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
M.P. Evans Reports Strong Palm Oil Pricing and Financial Performance in 2025
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

M.P. Evans Group PLC has reported strong pricing for crude palm oil and palm kernels in the second half of 2025, which is expected to positively impact the company’s financial results for the year. The company has maintained a robust pricing environment, with average prices for its products remaining high, and has focused on cost control and sustainability by reducing crop purchases from independent suppliers. This strategy has allowed the company to repay all outstanding loans and anticipate higher-than-expected revenue and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MPE) stock is a Buy with a £1438.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on M.P. Evans stock, see the GB:MPE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025