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Mitchells & Butlers
(LSE:MAB)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
298.00 p
â–²(12.88% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
Overall score reflects mixed financial performance (margin improvements and a stable balance sheet, but sharp revenue decline and weaker free-cash-flow trends) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partly offset by attractive low P/E valuation and a generally positive earnings call emphasizing de-gearing, strong cash performance, and improved pension position, despite ongoing cost and energy-risk headwinds.
Positive Factors
Like-for-like sales growth
Positive like-for-like growth indicates continued customer demand across the estate. Sustained sales momentum supports revenue resilience and gives management a platform to improve performance through brand, menu and format initiatives.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
The substantial latest-year revenue contraction highlights weak top-line consistency and dependence on volatile trading conditions. Persistent revenue instability could limit operating leverage, reduce investment capacity and make margin improvements harder to sustain.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Like-for-like sales growth
Positive like-for-like growth indicates continued customer demand across the estate. Sustained sales momentum supports revenue resilience and gives management a platform to improve performance through brand, menu and format initiatives.
Read all positive factors
Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£1.68B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)350.47K
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.9
Beta (1Y)1.00
Revenue Growth2.96%
EPS Growth9.30%
CountryUK
Employees50,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.31
Shares Outstanding600,018,550
10 Day Avg. Volume289,857
30 Day Avg. Volume350,472
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.41
Price to Book (P/B)0.52
Price to Sales (P/S)0.54
P/FCF Ratio7.39
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
£337.50Price Target Upside27.84% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)0.31
Revenue Forecast (FY)£2.78B
Mitchells & Butlers Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Mitchells & Butlers plc is a prominent hospitality company overseeing a large portfolio of pubs, bars, and restaurants across the United Kingdom and Germany. Its extensive roster of brands includes well-known names such as Alex, All Bar One, Brown...
How the Company Makes Money
M&B primarily makes money by operating and selling food and beverages directly to customers in venues it manages. The core revenue stream is like-for-like trading income from on-site sales of (1) alcoholic drinks (e.g., beer, cider, spirits, wine ...
Mitchells & Butlers Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 21, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced near‑term challenges (notably weather disruption, input cost inflation, energy exposure and higher near‑term cash tax) against a number of meaningful positives: maintained operating profit, EPS growth, strong cash generation and de‑gearing, a transformed pension position, high‑return capital investment, healthy guest and staff metrics and clear execution on Ignite. Management expects cost headwinds to moderate next year (guidance c. GBP 95 million) and retains an optimistic outlook supported by a stronger balance sheet and ongoing efficiency programs.Positive Updates
Maintained Operating Profit and EPS Growth
Operating profit remained at GBP 181 million (flat year‑on‑year) and EPS increased by 3.6%, helped by reduced debt and lower interest charges.
Negative Updates
Weather‑Driven Q2 Slowdown
Q2 performance was materially impacted by adverse year‑on‑year weather (69% of days colder than last year, 91% with fewer sunshine hours), contributing to Q2 like‑for‑like growth slowing to +1.8%.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Maintained Operating Profit and EPS Growth
Operating profit remained at GBP 181 million (flat year‑on‑year) and EPS increased by 3.6%, helped by reduced debt and lower interest charges.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated that trading and cost guidance point to a solid outlook: H1 like‑for‑like sales were 3.3% (Q1 +4.5%, Q2 +1.8%), operating profit was GBP181m and EPS rose 3.6%, with net debt now just under GBP750m (~1.6x EBITDA ex‑leases) and net assets GBP4.91/share; cash flow was strong (GBP30m in excess of amortisation in H1) and the pension position has flipped to a ~GBP100m asset. Full‑year CapEx is guided to ~GBP230m (H1 GBP117m) with remodel paybacks within 5 years and returns ~33%; management expects to spend materially more on single‑site acquisitions (c. GBP25–30m increase vs last year’s ~GBP9m of new‑site spend) while maintenance capex was ~GBP65m last year and is expected to be a little higher this year. Reported cost headwinds for the year were slightly below prior GBP120–130m guidance (weighted ~60% to H1), incremental employer NI of c. GBP12m has been annualised out of next‑year headwinds, and FY27 cost inflation is guided to around GBP95m (~4% of the cost base) with c.15% of next‑year energy hedged and a small utilities uplift c. GBP10m; wage assumptions imply a measured living‑wage rise of ~4–5%. Finally, strategic metrics cited include a 7‑year remodel cycle, a 15m‑strong guest database, Ignite efficiencies already contributing (H1 efficiency figure referenced c. GBP12m), and sustainability progress (total carbon −16% vs 2019, Scope 1&2 −22%, Scope 3 −15%, 100% waste diverted from landfill, recycling >60%, food waste −23%).Mitchells & Butlers Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Sep 2024 | Sep 2023 | Sep 2022 | Sep 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 2.75B | 2.71B | 2.61B | 2.50B | 2.21B | 1.06B |
| Gross Profit | 327.00M | 327.00M | 996.00M | 358.00M | 764.00M | 60.00M |
| EBITDA | 469.00M | 473.00M | 438.00M | 235.00M | 255.00M | 218.00M |
| Net Income | 184.00M | 177.00M | 149.00M | -4.00M | 13.00M | -65.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.44B | 5.39B | 5.25B | 4.80B | 4.95B | 5.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 240.00M | 216.00M | 176.00M | 126.00M | 207.00M | 252.00M |
| Total Debt | 1.41B | 1.51B | 1.63B | 1.79B | 1.95B | 2.06B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.51B | 2.58B | 2.68B | 2.67B | 2.81B | 3.10B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.93B | 2.82B | 2.57B | 2.13B | 2.14B | 2.10B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 179.00M | 199.00M | 232.00M | 91.00M | 116.00M | -8.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 374.00M | 368.00M | 386.00M | 248.00M | 238.00M | 25.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -214.00M | -179.00M | -154.00M | -165.00M | -118.00M | -32.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -181.00M | -173.00M | -170.00M | -169.00M | -159.00M | 77.00M |
Mitchells & Butlers Technical Analysis
Positive
264.00
Price Trends
261.62
Positive
257.30
Positive
262.44
Positive
Market Momentum
5.51
Positive
54.73
Neutral
47.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 264 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 277.40, above the 50-day MA of 261.62, and above the 200-day MA of 262.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MAB.
Mitchells & Butlers Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | £393.69M | 19.13 | 5.14% | 2.80% | 5.71% | -19.77% | |
69 Neutral | £810.84M | 15.73 | 15.81% | 1.50% | 5.39% | -3.64% | |
65 Neutral | £1.68B | 8.94 | 6.41% | ― | 2.96% | 9.30% | |
63 Neutral | £508.16M | 19.62 | 3.55% | 2.69% | 4.61% | 186.38% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | £333.59M | 4.56 | 9.30% | ― | -0.52% | 68.53% | |
58 Neutral | £1.61B | -56.05 | -65.76% | 2.30% | 4.58% | -24.15% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GB:MAB
Mitchells & Butlers
277.00
8.50
3.17%
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746.00
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38.28%
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52.20
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31.98%
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26.87%
GB:JDW
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GB:YNGA
Young & Co'S Brewery
883.00
60.24
7.32%
Mitchells & Butlers Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Add Shares via Incentive Plan
Positive
Aug 17, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has reported share purchases under its Share Incentive Plan involving chief executive Phil Urban and senior manager Andrew Freeman. Ordinary shares were bought on their behalf by the plan’s trustee at a price of about ...
Delistings and Listing Changes
Mitchells & Butlers Admits Additional Shares to London Trading
Neutral
Aug 7, 2026
Mitchells Butlers PLC has announced the admission to trading of 352,690 additional ordinary shares on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange, taking the total number of shares in issue and admitted to trading to 600,018,564. The newly admit...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
Mitchells Butlers plc has confirmed that, as of 31 July 2026, its issued share capital comprises 600,018,491 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This establishes the total number of voting rights at the same figure, providing a clea...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Discloses Director Share Option Exercise and Sale
Neutral
Jul 28, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has disclosed a director dealing in its ordinary shares involving Emma Harris, who exercised options over 395,160 shares granted under the company’s Performance Share Plan. The options were part of buy-out awards linked to...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers stays resilient as weather hits food-led pubs
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
Mitchells Butlers reported resilient trading for the 42 weeks to 18 July 2026, with like-for-like sales up 2.2% and total sales up 1.3%, despite challenging weather and the absence of last year’s Easter benefit in the third quarter. Drink-l...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Reports Executive Share Incentive Plan Purchases
Neutral
Jul 20, 2026
Mitchells Butlers plc has disclosed routine share purchases by its senior management under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. The transactions involved the acquisition of small volumes of ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, refle...
Financial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Sets Date for Third-Quarter Trading Update
Neutral
Jul 17, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has announced that it will publish its Third Quarter Trading Update for the 42 weeks ended 18 July 2026 on Thursday 23 July 2026. The scheduled update will provide investors and other stakeholders with fresh insight into recent ...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Mitchells & Butlers Seeks Admission of New SIP Shares to London Market
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
Mitchells Butlers plc has applied for the admission to trading of 341,324 new ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange, following their allotment under the company’s Share Incentive Plan. The new shares will rank pari passu with existin...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure
Neutral
Jun 30, 2026
Mitchells Butlers plc has confirmed that, as of 30 June 2026, its issued share capital comprises 600,013,264 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This establishes the total number of voting rights at the same figure, providing a clea...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers awards SIP shares to senior executives
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has reported awards of ordinary shares to senior figures, including chief executive Phil Urban and finance director Tim Jones, under its all-employee Share Incentive Plan. The grants, made via a trustee on 25 June and to be held...
Business Operations and Strategy
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Add Shares via Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 23, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has reported small share purchases in its Share Incentive Plan by senior executives, including chief executive Phil Urban and finance director Tim Jones. Each acquired just under 60 ordinary shares at £2.395 per share on 19...
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Grants Buyout Share Awards to New Director
Neutral
Jun 18, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has granted buyout share awards to director Emma Harris, compensating her for incentives forfeited when she left her previous employer. The off-market award of 1,171,370 ordinary shares, made on 17 June 2026 at nil cost, will re...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Total Voting Rights After Share Capital Update
Neutral
May 29, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has confirmed that as of 29 May 2026 its issued share capital comprises 599,665,874 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This establishes the total number of voting rights at 599,665,874, providing shareholders with...
Other
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Add Shares Through Incentive Plan
Positive
May 26, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has disclosed small purchases of ordinary shares in the company by chief executive Phil Urban, finance director Tim Jones and PDMR Andrew Freeman, executed via the company’s Share Incentive Plan. Each acquired 60 partnersh...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Director Amanda Brown Buys 30,000 Shares
Positive
May 26, 2026
Mitchells Butlers has disclosed a director dealing, reporting that board member Amanda Brown purchased 30,000 ordinary shares in the company on 26 May 2026. The market purchase, executed on the London Stock Exchange at a price of £2.363478 p...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Holds Profits as Sales Rise and Costs Bite
Positive
May 21, 2026
Mitchells Butlers reported half‑year revenue of £1.49bn for the 28 weeks to 11 April 2026, up 2.5% year on year, with like‑for‑like sales rising 3.3% across its estate of pubs, restaurants and bars. Adjusted operating profi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.