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Mitchells & Butlers PLC (GB:MAB)
LSE:MAB

Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:MAB

Mitchells & Butlers

(LSE:MAB)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
319.00p
â–˛(8.14% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:12/11/25
Mitchells & Butlers' overall stock score of 66 reflects a mixed financial performance with operational efficiency and a strong equity base, but challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The technical analysis indicates a neutral market position, while the valuation suggests potential undervaluation. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
A strong equity ratio (52.22%) and moderate debt-to-equity (0.54) provide long-term financial flexibility. This capital structure supports investment, weathering demand shocks and refinancing needs, reducing bankruptcy risk and enabling strategic initiatives over the next 2–6 months.
Operational margin improvements
Improved EBIT/EBITDA and a positive net margin show the business has enhanced operational efficiency and cost control. Sustained margin improvement supports cash generation and reinvestment capacity, making earnings more resilient to modest revenue pressure.
Diversified brand portfolio and market position
A portfolio of well‑known, multi‑segment brands gives structural resilience through customer diversification and channel breadth. This market positioning supports stable footfall across dining occasions and helps recover volumes as consumer spending normalizes.
Negative Factors
Large revenue decline
A 33% revenue drop materially reduces scale economics and pressures fixed-cost absorption in hospitality. Unless top-line stabilizes, prolonged lower revenues can compress margins, limit reinvestment, and constrain the company’s ability to fund growth or deleverage.
Weak free cash flow generation
A near 50% decline in FCF growth and modest FCF after capex weakens liquidity optionality. Persistent FCF pressure hampers capacity to repay debt, invest in refurbishments, or return capital, raising execution risk for strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Inconsistent revenue growth trajectory
Inconsistent top-line trends reduce forecasting visibility and complicate capacity and inventory planning in restaurants. This variability increases the risk of over- or under-investment, making it harder to sustain margins and plan multi‑period capital allocation effectively.

Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Mitchells & Butlers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitchells & Butlers plc manages pubs, bars, and restaurants in the United Kingdom and Germany. The company operates its pubs and restaurants under the Alex, All Bar One, Browns, Castle, Ember Inns, Harvester, Innkeeper's Lodge, Miller & Carter, Nicholson's, O'Neill's, Premium Country Pubs, Sizzling Pubs, Stonehouse Pizza & Carvery, Toby Carvery, and Vintage Inns brands and formats. It also engages in the leisure retailing; property leasing, property management, and development; and financing activities, as well as operates as a healthcare trustee. In addition, the company owns various trademarks. As of September 25, 2021, it operated 1,732 pubs, bars, and restaurants. Mitchells & Butlers plc was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Birmingham, the United Kingdom. Mitchells & Butlers plc operates as a subsidiary of Odyzean Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitchells & Butlers generates revenue primarily through food and beverage sales within its establishments. The company’s revenue model is driven by multiple key streams, including sales from its restaurants and pubs, which serve a variety of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, as well as a menu of prepared meals. Additionally, MAB benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and brands that help enhance its product offerings and promotional campaigns. Seasonal promotions, special events, and loyalty programs also contribute to increased customer traffic and sales. MAB's ability to adapt its menu and services to changing consumer preferences, along with effective marketing strategies, plays a significant role in sustaining its revenue growth.

Mitchells & Butlers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitchells & Butlers shows a mixed financial performance. Despite a significant revenue decline of 33.29%, the company maintains a positive net profit margin of 6.53% and improved EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage and a strong equity base. However, challenges exist in cash flow generation, with a 49.11% decline in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mitchells & Butlers has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant revenue decline of 33.29% in the latest year, which is concerning. However, it has maintained a positive net profit margin of 6.53% and improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational efficiency. The revenue growth has been inconsistent over the years, with some periods of growth followed by declines.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.54, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 52.22%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity has improved to 6.28%, showing better profitability for shareholders. However, the company should monitor its debt levels to maintain financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth of 49.11%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.08, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 1.12, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.71B2.61B2.50B2.21B1.06B
Gross Profit327.00M996.00M358.00M764.00M60.00M
EBITDA473.00M438.00M235.00M255.00M218.00M
Net Income177.00M149.00M-4.00M13.00M-65.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.39B5.25B4.80B4.95B5.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments216.00M176.00M126.00M207.00M252.00M
Total Debt1.51B1.63B1.79B1.95B2.06B
Total Liabilities2.58B2.68B2.67B2.81B3.10B
Stockholders Equity2.82B2.57B2.13B2.14B2.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow199.00M232.00M91.00M116.00M-8.00M
Operating Cash Flow368.00M386.00M248.00M238.00M25.00M
Investing Cash Flow-179.00M-154.00M-165.00M-118.00M-32.00M
Financing Cash Flow-173.00M-170.00M-169.00M-159.00M77.00M

Mitchells & Butlers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price295.00
Price Trends
50DMA
275.57
Positive
100DMA
263.52
Positive
200DMA
267.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
7.20
Negative
RSI
61.42
Neutral
STOCH
78.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 295 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 287.35, above the 50-day MA of 275.57, and above the 200-day MA of 267.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 7.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MAB.

Mitchells & Butlers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
ÂŁ390.75M19.794.82%2.81%6.94%9.99%
69
Neutral
ÂŁ728.79M12.0517.81%1.50%4.52%50.39%
67
Neutral
ÂŁ496.21M47.731.46%3.20%12.91%-13.62%
66
Neutral
£1.75B9.906.58%―3.87%18.31%
66
Neutral
£365.77M5.119.91%―-0.08%―
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
ÂŁ1.50B-20.56-48.11%2.50%5.98%-371.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MAB
Mitchells & Butlers
295.00
75.00
34.09%
GB:FSTA
Fuller Smith & Turner
730.00
211.33
40.75%
GB:MARS
Marston's
57.80
18.50
47.07%
GB:SSPG
SSP Group plc
191.20
30.23
18.78%
GB:JDW
J D Wetherspoon
705.00
135.54
23.80%
GB:YNGA
Young & Co'S Brewery
867.00
64.10
7.98%

Mitchells & Butlers Corporate Events

Other
Mitchells & Butlers Executives Add Shares Through Incentive Plan
Positive
Mar 2, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has disclosed that directors Phil Urban and Tim Jones, along with PDMR Andrew Freeman, each acquired 46 ordinary shares in the company through the firm’s Share Incentive Plan. The purchases, executed by the SIP trustee on 27 February at £3.004895 per share on the London Stock Exchange, marginally increase senior management’s equity exposure and signal ongoing participation in employee share ownership schemes.

While the volumes involved are small in absolute terms, the coordinated share acquisitions by top executives underscore alignment of management interests with those of shareholders. The transactions form part of routine remuneration and incentive structures rather than a strategic shift, but they contribute incrementally to transparency around insider dealings and corporate governance at the pub and restaurant group.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights Totals
Neutral
Feb 27, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has confirmed that, as of 27 February 2026, its issued share capital comprises 599,607,697 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury, establishing the total number of voting rights at the same figure. This disclosure clarifies the denominator shareholders must use when calculating whether they need to report holdings or changes in their stake under UK transparency rules, supporting regulatory compliance and market transparency around the company’s ownership structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £322.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Discloses PDMR Sale of 60,000 Shares
Neutral
Feb 13, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has disclosed a market sale of 60,000 ordinary shares in the company by person discharging managerial responsibilities Andrew Freeman. The transaction, executed on 12 February 2026 on the London Stock Exchange at a price of 286.5431 pence per share, reflects routine PDMR dealing and is formally notified to the market in line with regulatory disclosure requirements.

The sale does not in itself signal any stated change to the company’s strategy or outlook, but it provides transparency to shareholders regarding insider share dealings. Such notifications allow investors to monitor trading activity by senior personnel, which can influence perceptions of governance standards and confidence in the stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £304.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Mitchells & Butlers Sets April Start Date for New CFO Emma Harris
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has confirmed that Emma Harris will take up the role of Chief Financial Officer and join the board as an executive director on 20 April 2026, succeeding current CFO Tim Jones. The company plans a full handover before confirming Jones’s departure date, signalling a managed transition in its senior finance leadership aimed at maintaining continuity in financial oversight and governance.

The board stated that no additional disclosures are required under the UK Listing Rules in connection with Harris’s appointment, suggesting there are no regulatory concerns or unusual terms related to the change. This orderly succession is likely to reassure investors and other stakeholders that the group’s financial management and strategic direction will remain stable during the leadership transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £291.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Other
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Increase Holdings Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has disclosed small share purchases in the company by three senior figures under its Share Incentive Plan, signaling continued alignment of management interests with those of shareholders. On 30 January 2026, Chief Executive Phil Urban, Chief Financial Officer Tim Jones and PDMR Andrew Freeman each acquired around 52–53 ordinary shares at £2.629895 per share through purchases made by the plan’s trustee on the London Stock Exchange, transactions that, while modest in size, underscore the ongoing participation of top management in the company’s equity-based incentive arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Buy with a £355.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has confirmed that its issued share capital comprises 599,582,466 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. The announcement sets the total number of voting rights at 599,582,466, providing shareholders with the denominator needed to assess whether they must disclose holdings or changes in their interests under UK disclosure and transparency regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Buy with a £355.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Mitchells & Butlers AGM Resolutions Pass Amid Shareholder Scrutiny of Board
Neutral
Jan 29, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers reported that all resolutions at its 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders on a poll, including the receipt of accounts, approval of the remuneration report, reappointment and pay of the auditor, authority to purchase its own shares and flexibility on shareholder meeting notice periods. All directors standing for re-election were returned, though notable minority opposition emerged to the re-election of chairman Bob Ivell and senior independent director Jane Moriarty, especially among independent shareholders, prompting the board to acknowledge governance concerns, reference its prior explanations in the latest annual report, and commit to continued engagement with investors over board composition and corporate governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Buy with a £355.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Delivers Record Festive Trading and Outperforms Market in First Quarter
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers reported a strong first quarter, with like-for-like sales up 4.5% over the 15 weeks to 10 January 2026 and total sales up 3.5%, significantly outperforming the broader market. Festive trading was particularly robust, with like-for-like sales rising 7.7% over the core three-week festive period and 10.5% across the five key festive days, including a record Christmas Day. The company continues to invest heavily in its estate, completing 51 conversions and remodels year to date and citing encouraging returns from this capital programme. Management said this momentum, combined with its Ignite efficiency programme and brand strength, leaves the group confident in its ability to navigate about £130m of cost headwinds from higher labour and food costs this financial year while continuing to grow market share.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Sets Date for First-Quarter Trading Update
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has announced that it will publish its first-quarter trading update for the 15 weeks to 10 January 2026 on 15 January 2026, providing investors and analysts with an early look at current trading trends across its extensive hospitality estate. The scheduled update is likely to offer insights into how the company’s diverse portfolio of pub, restaurant and hotel brands is performing in the current consumer and economic environment, and will be closely watched by stakeholders for indications of operational momentum and market positioning at the start of its financial year.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £279.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Other
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Increase Holdings Through Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers has disclosed that three senior figures – chief executive Phil Urban, finance director Tim Jones and PDMR Andrew Freeman – have each acquired 53 ordinary shares in the company through the firm’s Share Incentive Plan. The partnership shares were purchased by the SIP trustee on 2 January 2026 at a price of £2.605 per share and traded on the London Stock Exchange, underscoring ongoing equity participation by the management team and aligning their interests further with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Confirms Total Voting Rights at Start of 2026
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Mitchells & Butlers plc has confirmed that, as of 1 January 2026, its issued share capital comprises 599,527,366 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This places the total number of voting rights at 599,527,366, a figure that shareholders must use as the reference point when assessing whether they are required to disclose changes in their shareholdings under UK disclosure and transparency regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Mitchells & Butlers Files 2025 Annual Report and Sets Date for 2026 AGM
Neutral
Dec 18, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers has published its Annual Report and Accounts for 2025 and the Notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, filing both documents with the UK National Storage Mechanism and making them available on its website. The AGM will take place at the company’s Birmingham Retail Support Centre on 29 January 2026, with physical copies of the Annual Report and AGM Notice being dispatched to shareholders who have opted for printed materials, and investors are directed to the previously released full-year results and the complete regulated disclosures contained in the newly filed report.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Directors’ Share Vesting and Transactions
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced the vesting of shares under its Short Term Deferred Incentive Plan (STDIP) for key directors and a PDMR. On December 12, 2025, Phil Urban and Tim Jones, both directors, and Andrew Freeman, a PDMR, had their shares vested. Urban and Jones sold portions of their vested shares to cover tax and National Insurance obligations, aligning with the company’s shareholding policy. Freeman retained all vested shares. These transactions reflect the company’s adherence to its approved remuneration policy, ensuring compliance with tax obligations while maintaining shareholding requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Exercise Share Options in Line with Policy
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced the exercise of share options by its directors and a PDMR under the company’s Restricted Share Plan. Phil Urban and Tim Jones, both directors, exercised options over a significant number of shares, selling a portion to cover tax and National Insurance liabilities, while retaining the remainder in line with company policy. Andrew Freeman, a PDMR, also exercised options, retaining all shares. These transactions reflect the company’s adherence to its remuneration and shareholding policies, ensuring alignment with stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £276.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Acquire Partnership Shares
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced the purchase of partnership shares by the SIP Trustee for three of its directors and PDMR, Phil Urban, Tim Jones, and Andrew Freeman. Each transaction involved the acquisition of 52 ordinary shares at a price of £2.64 per share, conducted on the London Stock Exchange. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its management with those of its shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Announces New Performance Share Plan Options
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers announced the granting of options under its Performance Share Plan for the FY 2026-2028 cycle, involving key directors and personnel. The options are contingent on meeting specific performance conditions, including operating cash flow, EPS growth, and sustainability targets, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on financial performance and environmental responsibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Mitchells & Butlers Grants Conditional Share Awards to Key Personnel
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers announced the grant of conditional share awards to key directors and personnel under its Short-Term Deferred Incentive Plan. This move aligns with the company’s Remuneration Policy, deferring parts of annual bonuses into share awards for Phil Urban, Tim Jones, and Andrew Freeman. The awards, which will be released in two tranches over the next two years, aim to align the interests of the management with those of shareholders, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £340.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025