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Mitchells & Butlers PLC (GB:MAB)
LSE:MAB

Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) AI Stock Analysis

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GB

Mitchells & Butlers

(LSE:MAB)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
317.00p
▲(10.65%Upside)
Mitchells & Butlers demonstrates strong financial performance with significant improvements in revenue, profitability, and cash flow. The stock's bullish technical indicators support a positive outlook, although overbought signals suggest caution. The reasonable valuation and positive corporate events further enhance the stock's appeal.
Positive Factors
Earnings
M&B expects to hit profits at the 'top end of consensus' for FY25E.
Market Position
M&B looks well-placed to gain market share in a cost-pressured sector.
Negative Factors
Consumer Behavior
Fears around consumer behaviour post the UK Budget may dampen the shorter-term share price performance.
Cost Challenges
M&B flags ongoing cost headwinds into FY26E (labour, food).

Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Mitchells & Butlers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMitchells & Butlers (MAB) is a leading operator of managed restaurants, pubs, and bars in the United Kingdom. The company operates a diverse portfolio of brands, including All Bar One, Harvester, Toby Carvery, and Browns, among others. MAB focuses on providing high-quality food and drink experiences across its establishments, catering to a wide range of customer preferences and occasions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMitchells & Butlers makes money primarily through the operation of its extensive network of restaurants, pubs, and bars. The company's revenue model relies on sales of food and beverages, with a significant portion coming from its food offerings complemented by drink sales. Key revenue streams include in-house dining, event hosting, and special promotions. The company benefits from its strategic locations and well-known brand portfolio, which attract a steady flow of customers. Additionally, MAB may engage in partnerships with suppliers and beverage companies to optimize costs and increase profitability. Seasonal promotions and menu innovations also contribute to its revenue growth, while operational efficiency and cost management remain crucial to maintaining its earnings.

Mitchells & Butlers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mitchells & Butlers has shown commendable financial improvement, with solid revenue growth, enhanced profitability, and strong cash flow generation. The financial health appears resilient, with positive trends in key financial metrics. However, the presence of significant debt remains a point to monitor.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mitchells & Butlers demonstrated strong revenue growth and improved profitability. The gross profit margin increased significantly to 38.15%, and the net profit margin rose to 5.71% from a negative figure in previous years, indicating a robust recovery. EBIT and EBITDA margins also showed improvement, pointing towards better operational efficiency. The positive revenue growth rate of 4.28% over the last year highlights a solid growth trajectory.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a balanced financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64, which is relatively stable. The return on equity improved to 5.81%, reflecting enhanced profitability and efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 48.94%, showcasing a strong equity base. However, the total debt is still significant, posing potential financial risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Mitchells & Butlers reported a substantial increase in free cash flow, growing by 154.95%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.59 suggests efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.56 reflects solid cash flow management, although the previous year's lower free cash flow highlighted some volatility.
Breakdown
Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.61B2.50B2.21B1.06B1.48B
Gross Profit
996.00M358.00M764.00M60.00M263.00M
EBIT
300.00M98.00M239.00M-191.00M-65.00M
EBITDA
438.00M235.00M255.00M218.00M160.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
149.00M-4.00M13.00M-65.00M-112.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
176.00M126.00M207.00M252.00M173.00M
Total Assets
5.25B4.80B4.95B5.21B5.11B
Total Debt
1.63B1.79B1.95B2.06B2.32B
Net Debt
1.46B1.67B1.74B1.81B2.15B
Total Liabilities
2.68B2.67B2.81B3.10B3.43B
Stockholders Equity
2.57B2.13B2.14B2.10B1.68B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
232.00M91.00M116.00M-8.00M19.00M
Operating Cash Flow
386.00M248.00M238.00M25.00M127.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-154.00M-165.00M-118.00M-32.00M-104.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-170.00M-169.00M-159.00M77.00M1.00M

Mitchells & Butlers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price286.50
Price Trends
50DMA
252.45
Positive
100DMA
240.22
Positive
200DMA
252.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.33
Positive
RSI
69.66
Neutral
STOCH
44.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:MAB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 286.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 279.27, above the 50-day MA of 252.45, and above the 200-day MA of 252.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:MAB.

Mitchells & Butlers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GBMAB
80
Outperform
£1.70B10.136.90%1.95%275.56%
74
Outperform
£345.29M18.294.58%2.94%2.22%98.79%
GBJDW
73
Outperform
£794.53M14.0216.38%2.19%3.70%57.10%
72
Outperform
£520.12M61.411.27%2.26%16.73%-55.22%
71
Outperform
£1.31B47.6112.09%2.14%14.07%236.27%
67
Neutral
£262.54M5.9210.69%0.50%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.95%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:MAB
Mitchells & Butlers
286.50
-22.00
-7.13%
GB:FSTA
Fuller Smith & Turner
630.00
-54.80
-8.00%
GB:SSPG
SSP Group plc
163.30
2.74
1.71%
GB:MARS
Marston's
41.35
7.40
21.80%
GB:JDW
J D Wetherspoon
731.50
-8.56
-1.16%
GB:YNGA
Young & Co'S Brewery
992.00
48.14
5.10%

Mitchells & Butlers Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Updates Share Capital and Voting Rights
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers PLC announced that as of May 30, 2025, its capital structure consists of 598,552,780 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This update on voting rights is crucial for shareholders to assess their stakes and comply with the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, impacting how they report changes in their shareholdings.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Other
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Acquire Partnership Shares
Neutral
May 27, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced the purchase of partnership shares by the SIP Trustee for three of its directors and PDMR, including Phil Urban, Tim Jones, and Andrew Freeman. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, involved the acquisition of ordinary shares at £2.815 per share, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management interests with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance Amid Market Challenges
Positive
May 22, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with a 4.3% increase in like-for-like sales and a 10.4% rise in operating profit to £181 million. The company attributes its success to the strategic focus on maximizing guest appeal and efficiency initiatives under its Ignite programme. Despite anticipated cost headwinds due to rising labor costs and inflation, the company remains confident in its strategic priorities and expects to deliver profits at the top end of market consensus. The company continues to outperform the market, particularly in the pubs and pub restaurants segment, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with reduced debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Mitchells & Butlers to Announce Half Year Results
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers announced that it will release its Half Year Results for the 28 weeks ended 12 April 2025 on 22 May 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the competitive hospitality market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:MAB) stock is a Hold with a £3.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mitchells & Butlers stock, see the GB:MAB Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Announces Share Capital and Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced that as of 30 April 2025, its capital consisted of 598,552,598 ordinary shares with no shares held in Treasury. The total number of voting rights is also 598,552,598, which shareholders can use as a denominator for calculating their interests under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Business Operations and Strategy
Mitchells & Butlers Directors Acquire Partnership Shares
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced the purchase of partnership shares by the SIP Trustee for three of its directors and PDMR, including Phil Urban, Tim Jones, and Andrew Freeman. Each transaction involved the acquisition of shares at a price of £2.384914 per share, conducted on the London Stock Exchange on April 25, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning the interests of its management with those of its shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Announces Director Share Purchases
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers plc announced transactions involving the purchase of partnership shares by the SIP Trustee for directors Phil Urban, Tim Jones, and PDMR Andrew Freeman. Each transaction involved the purchase of 64 ordinary shares at a price of £2.16 per share on the London Stock Exchange, dated 28 March 2025. This notification highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to its employee share ownership plans, potentially aligning the interests of management with those of shareholders.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Mitchells & Butlers Announces Share Capital Structure Update
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Mitchells & Butlers PLC announced that as of March 31, 2025, its capital structure consists of 598,548,476 ordinary shares, with no shares held in treasury. This update is significant for shareholders as it provides the necessary information for calculating their interests in the company under the Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.