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Logistics Development Group (GB:LDG)
LSE:LDG

Logistics Development Group (LDG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:LDG

Logistics Development Group

(LSE:LDG)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
14.00 p
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:N/ADate:01/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and inconsistent operating results and persistently negative cash flow, even when reported earnings are positive. Technicals also indicate a downtrend with soft momentum. A very low P/E provides some offset, and the debt-free balance sheet reduces financial risk.

Logistics Development Group (LDG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Logistics Development Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLogistics Development Group plc does not have significant operations. The company intends to invest in the logistics sector. Previously, it was involved in the provision of logistics solutions. The company was formerly known as Eddie Stobart Logistics plc and changed its name to Logistics Development Group plc in February 2021. Logistics Development Group plc is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Logistics Development Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a strong, debt-free balance sheet, operating performance and cash generation are weak. Revenue declined (-17.3%) with negative EBIT in 2024, profitability has been highly volatile and appears driven by non-operating items, and operating/free cash flow have been negative for multiple years.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Results are volatile and hard to underwrite from operations. In the latest annual period (2024), revenue declined (-17.3%) and operating profit was negative (EBIT of -0.9m), yet net income swung to a large profit (17.4m) and margins appear unusually high relative to the small revenue base—suggesting earnings are being driven by non-operating items rather than core logistics activity. Prior year (2023) showed a sizable net loss (-10.1m) despite modest revenue growth, reinforcing the inconsistency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Balance sheet is conservatively positioned with no reported debt across the periods provided and a large equity base (2024 equity ~116.3m vs. assets ~117.4m). This provides substantial financial flexibility and reduces refinancing risk. The main weakness is that returns on equity have been highly inconsistent (strongly positive in some years, negative in others), indicating earnings quality and stability remain a concern despite the clean capital structure.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is weak and inconsistent. Operating cash flow and free cash flow were negative in 2024 (both -784) and also negative in 2023 and 2022, despite positive net income in 2024 and 2022—pointing to limited cash conversion and/or working-capital swings. While 2020 showed positive operating cash flow (0.4m), the more recent pattern is persistent cash outflow and sharp free-cash-flow declines (2024 free cash flow growth -100.3%).
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Nov 2023Nov 2022Nov 2021Nov 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue373.00K1.28M1.14M173.00K0.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.001.14M0.000.000.00
EBITDA15.32M18.23M0.001.15M84.56M20.93M
Net Income15.30M17.37M-10.12M1.15M84.66M-7.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.78M117.38M98.90M113.75M134.23M36.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.13M29.61M42.64M79.06M131.90M652.00K
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.18M1.08M386.00K1.06M290.00K3.42M
Stockholders Equity110.60M116.30M98.51M112.70M133.94M33.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-481.00K-784.00-1.32M-795.00K-2.75M398.00K
Operating Cash Flow-481.00K-784.00-1.32M-795.00K-2.75M398.00K
Investing Cash Flow-2.00K-12.53M-32.35M-29.65M119.30M0.00
Financing Cash Flow-21.00M-1.03M-2.75M-22.39M14.70M-108.00K

Logistics Development Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
£709.31M13.1321.11%2.16%7.13%17.31%
71
Outperform
£249.25M4.8511.00%4.85%25.24%19.81%
64
Neutral
£75.11M85.604.94%2.25%-15.64%-22.46%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
£102.17M-2.27-7.68%8.43%0.38%-273.53%
49
Neutral
£60.70M1.2028.14%
40
Underperform
£1.60M-0.05-52.46%11.78%-39.58%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:LDG
Logistics Development Group
14.75
0.00
0.00%
GB:BMS
Braemar Shipping Services
234.00
0.46
0.20%
GB:HSP
Hargreaves Services
754.00
137.10
22.22%
GB:RNWH
Renew Holdings plc
896.00
235.04
35.56%
GB:SDY
Speedy Hire
22.20
3.47
18.50%
GB:MPL
Mercantile Ports and Logistics
0.33
-0.68
-67.50%

Logistics Development Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
LDG Portfolio Firm WS Holdco Buys EV Cargo Solutions Arm to Build £300m Logistics Group
Positive
Mar 17, 2026

Logistics Development Group said its portfolio company WS Holdco has acquired EV Cargo Solutions and Distribution, the UK managed transportation and contract logistics arm of EV Cargo, leaving LDG with a 50.7% interest in WS Holdco. The deal significantly expands WS Holdco’s scale and capabilities in road logistics, warehousing and fulfilment, creating a group expected to generate annual revenues of well over £300 million and strengthening its position as a leading integrated logistics provider.

The acquisition brings a roster of long-standing blue-chip customer contracts across multiple sectors and will be integrated with existing operations such as The Alternative Parcels Company, William Stobart & Son, WS Digital Freight and WS People Providers. By combining operational expertise, digital capabilities and an enlarged customer base, the group aims to unlock cross-selling opportunities, drive efficiencies and accelerate organic growth, enhancing LDG’s exposure to a scaled, technology-led logistics platform in key UK markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LDG) stock is a Hold with a £15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Logistics Development Group stock, see the GB:LDG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Logistics Development Group Holds NAV Steady as It Recycles Capital into Growing Logistics Platform
Positive
Feb 27, 2026

Logistics Development Group reported an unaudited net asset value of 26.7 pence per share as of 31 December 2025, unchanged from the previous quarter, with portfolio valuations prepared under IPEV guidelines. The group’s investments span specialty bakery, digital IT services, consumer healthcare and logistics, and the portfolio is now fully invested with a strategic focus on operational value creation.

Finsbury Food Group delivered stronger revenue and profitability helped by automation and the acquisition of Lola’s Cupcakes, and subsequently completed a refinancing that returned £11.4m to LDG’s subsidiary, largely de-risking LDG’s original capital while maintaining its equity stake. SQLI outperformed peers with year-on-year revenue growth and record second-half profitability, supported by operational improvements and a new 2026 operating model that will further use AI to boost developer productivity.

Alliance Pharma finished 2025 in line with forecasts with £144m of revenue, divested a portfolio of small prescription brands at attractive multiples to reduce debt and refocus, and advanced an optimised China go-to-market model via a new e-commerce-focused distributor for Kelo-Cote. WS Holdco advanced its plan to build an integrated UK logistics platform, completing the acquisition of WS group companies, expanding staffing operations and improving APC’s performance, while LDG decided in January 2026 to recycle £10m of capital returned from Finsbury into WS Holdco, raising its stake from 42.6% to 51.3%.

The investment manager highlighted that the portfolio showed solid growth and strong profitability in 2025 despite macro volatility, with AI acting as a cost-reduction tailwind rather than a disruptive force in the chosen sectors. LDG’s strategy has now shifted from deploying capital to driving value through improved go-to-market capabilities, cost discipline and management strengthening, underlining a disciplined, cash-generation-focused investment approach that aims to enhance returns for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LDG) stock is a Hold with a £15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Logistics Development Group stock, see the GB:LDG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Logistics Development Group Recycles Capital Into Logistics Platform as Portfolio Businesses Reshape
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Logistics Development Group has recouped £11.4m from its investment in UK specialty bakery Finsbury Food Group following a refinancing, significantly de-risking its original £14.2m outlay while maintaining an unchanged 25.3% economic stake in the business, which continues to trade strongly, including the outperformance of newly acquired Lola’s Cupcakes. The company is redeploying £10m of that capital into WS Holdco, increasing its interest in the DBAY-backed logistics platform to 51.3% and deepening its exposure to a rapidly expanding UK parcels, transport, digital freight and logistics services network, in a move classified as a related-party transaction but deemed fair and reasonable by independent directors. Separately, portfolio company Alliance Pharma has completed the sale of its prescription products portfolio, using proceeds to cut forecast net debt from £275m to about £175m by March 2026 and repositioning itself as a pure-play consumer healthcare business focused on damaged skin and healthy aging brands, which LDG says is well placed for its next growth phase.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:LDG) stock is a Hold with a £15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Logistics Development Group stock, see the GB:LDG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026