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Karelian Diamond Resources PLC (GB:KDR)
LSE:KDR

Karelian Diamond Resources (KDR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:KDR

Karelian Diamond Resources

(LSE:KDR)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
0.60p
▲(19.40% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and generally negative free cash flow), partially offset by a low-leverage balance sheet and moderately constructive technical momentum. Valuation offers limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Very low debt relative to equity materially lowers solvency and interest-rate risk, preserving strategic optionality. For an exploration-stage miner, conservative leverage improves the ability to endure multi-year exploration cycles, makes future capital raises less pressured, and supports long-term project development flexibility.
Occasional positive operating cash flow (2024)
A demonstrated ability to produce positive operating and modest free cash flow in 2024 indicates the company can control costs or realize cashable activities in certain periods. This structural capability, if replicated, can reduce reliance on dilution and support staged exploration spending and partner funding over multiple years.
Clear, focused exploration business model
A focused exploration mandate centered on diamond prospects in a defined jurisdiction concentrates technical expertise and permits targeted capital allocation. That specialization increases chances of efficient discovery or attractive farm-out/partnership deals, providing durable optionality even without near-term revenue.
Negative Factors
No revenue history
A complete absence of revenue across multiple years leaves the company unable to self-fund operations or demonstrate product-market commerciality, forcing ongoing external financing. Over the medium term this elevates dilution and execution risk unless exploration success or partner agreements materialize.
Persistent operating losses
Consistent negative EBIT erodes shareholder capital and prevents reinvestment from internal earnings. For an exploration company, sustained operating losses lengthen the runway needed to reach a development decision, increase dependence on capital markets, and raise the likelihood of dilutive financings absent a material discovery.
Inconsistent cash generation; renewed cash burn in 2025
Volatile cash flows with a return to negative in 2025 indicate funding needs are unpredictable, complicating multi-year exploration plans. This structural variability can force hurried capital raises or unfavorable partnerships, delay project timelines, and increase execution risk during the multi-year discovery and permitting process.

Karelian Diamond Resources (KDR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Karelian Diamond Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKarelian Diamond Resources Plc engages in the discovery, evaluation, and development of diamond deposits. The company holds interests in the Lahtojoki diamond project located in the Kuopio–Kaavi region in Finland; and the Seitaperä diamondiferous kimberlite pipe and the Riihivaara diamond projects situated in the Kuhmo area, Finland. Karelian Diamond Resources Plc was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyKarelian Diamond Resources generates revenue primarily through the exploration and potential development of diamond mining projects. The company seeks to identify viable diamond deposits, which, once confirmed and developed, can be sold or leased to larger mining companies or investors. Revenue can also be generated through strategic partnerships, joint ventures, or the sale of exploration rights. The company may also receive funding through equity financing and grants to support its exploration activities.

Karelian Diamond Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage, but the company has no revenue (2020–2025), recurring operating losses, and generally negative operating/free cash flow with renewed cash burn in the latest period.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
The company reports no revenue across the entire period provided (2020–2025 annual), and profitability remains weak with recurring operating losses (EBIT negative every year). Net income is also negative in all years except 2022, indicating limited earnings stability and no clear trajectory toward sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively financed: debt is very low relative to equity (debt-to-equity ~1%–3% across the period), which reduces financial risk. Equity remains sizeable versus total assets, but returns on equity are mostly negative, reflecting that the company’s capital base is not currently generating profits.
Cash Flow
36
Negative
Cash generation is inconsistent. Operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in most years (including 2025 annual), with only 2024 showing positive operating cash flow and modestly positive free cash flow. The swing back to negative cash flow in the latest period suggests ongoing cash burn risk despite occasional improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-129.94K-229.27K0.00-297.00K-369.02K-417.00K
Net Income-253.66K-234.71K-237.00K-291.00K13.59K-422.19K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.31M10.31M11.81M11.46M11.09M11.48M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.40K34.40K15.10K116.04K93.37K61.78K
Total Debt111.29K111.29K125.72K119.25K166.79K159.50K
Total Liabilities1.77M1.77M2.07M1.67M1.61M1.99M
Stockholders Equity8.54M8.54M9.74M9.79M9.48M9.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-208.70K-315.05K17.66K-431.78K-519.90K-1.00M
Operating Cash Flow-208.50K-315.05K441.96K-76.81K-375.55K-757.41K
Investing Cash Flow-160.37K-334.30K-424.30K-354.96K-144.35K-243.01K
Financing Cash Flow363.46K650.41K324.21K429.95K576.00K1.05M

Karelian Diamond Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.50
Price Trends
50DMA
0.53
Positive
100DMA
0.58
Positive
200DMA
0.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
57.20
Neutral
STOCH
53.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:KDR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.54, below the 50-day MA of 0.53, and below the 200-day MA of 0.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:KDR.

Karelian Diamond Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
£4.16M-0.50-8.98%-19.24%-1347.92%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
49
Neutral
£1.13M-3.59-2.79%23.81%
46
Neutral
£2.70M-2.81
45
Neutral
£2.47M-0.74-148.58%
41
Neutral
£50.31M-0.46-70.13%-45.11%2.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:KDR
Karelian Diamond Resources
0.58
-0.73
-55.77%
GB:BOD
Botswana Diamonds
0.23
0.06
36.36%
GB:GEMD
Gem Diamonds
2.98
-8.63
-74.35%
GB:PDL
Petra Diamonds
15.00
-12.49
-45.43%
GB:SEFA
Shefa Gems Ltd
0.13
0.00
0.00%
GB:GEMR
URA Holdings PLC
0.40
-0.22
-36.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 27, 2026