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Petra Diamonds Ltd (GB:PDL)
LSE:PDL
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Petra Diamonds (PDL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:PDL

Petra Diamonds

(LSE:PDL)

Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
11.00p
▼(-46.21% Downside)
Petra Diamonds is facing substantial financial and operational challenges. The significant decline in revenue, high leverage, and weak market conditions are the primary concerns. Negative sentiment from the earnings call and technical indicators pointing to bearish momentum further contribute to the low score.

Petra Diamonds (PDL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Petra Diamonds Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPetra Diamonds Limited engages in the mining, processing, sorting, and sale of rough diamonds in South Africa. It holds interest in three underground producing mines, including Cullinan, Finsch, and Koffiefontein mines located in South Africa. The company also provides treasury, beneficiation, and other services. Petra Diamonds Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyPetra Diamonds generates revenue primarily through the mining, processing, and sale of rough diamonds. The company operates several mines, including the Cullinan, Finsch, Koffiefontein, and Williamson mines, which are rich in diamond reserves. Revenue is earned by extracting diamonds from these mines and selling them through tenders to a range of customers, including traders, manufacturers, and retailers. Additionally, Petra Diamonds may engage in joint ventures or partnerships that can enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by global diamond market prices, production levels, and operational efficiencies. Petra Diamonds also focuses on optimizing its mining processes and cost management to improve profitability.

Petra Diamonds Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment. While there are improvements in safety performance and stable product pricing, significant challenges remain, including declining revenue, increased net debt, and persistent market weakness impacting pricing. Operational improvements at Finsch are promising, but concerns over covenant breaches and refinancing add pressure. Positive market signs from the U.S. and India provide some optimism.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Safety Performance
Safety improved in the second quarter with lost time injuries falling from 4 to 2 and the lost time injury frequency rate reducing from 0.28 to 0.16.
Stable Product Prices
Despite market weakness, Petra's average diamond prices remained broadly stable due to product mix offsetting like-for-like price declines.
Successful Shift Transition at Finsch
Finsch mine successfully transitioned to a two-shift configuration, with improved output and more predictable operating performance expected.
Positive Market Signs
Encouraging reports of stronger online jewelry demand in the U.S. during the festive season and stronger jewelry demand in India during Diwali.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the first half of FY '25 was $146 million, down from $188 million in the same period the previous year.
Increased Net Debt
Consolidated net debt increased to $225 million as of 31 December 2024, up from $212 million at the end of December 2023.
Market Weakness Impacts Pricing
Diamond price weakness persisted, leading to revised FY '25 pricing assumptions for Finsch from $80-$90 per carat down to $70-$80 per carat.
Operational Challenges at Finsch
Finsch saw reduced carats produced due to the transition from continuous operations to a two-shift configuration.
Covenant and Refinancing Concerns
Concerns over covenant breaches and the need for successful refinancing of 2026 loan notes amidst ongoing market weakness.
Company Guidance
During the call, Petra provided guidance that highlighted several key metrics. Safety performance improved in the second quarter with lost time injuries decreasing from 4 to 2, and the lost time injury frequency rate fell from 0.28 to 0.16. Total production saw a slight 2% decrease from 1.43 million carats to 1.4 million carats in the first half of fiscal year 2025. Average diamond prices remained stable at $112 per carat, despite market weaknesses. Revenue for the first half of FY '25 was $146 million, down from $188 million in the first half of FY '24. Consolidated net debt closed at $225 million by December 2024, a decrease from $285 million at the end of the first quarter of FY '25. Petra's restructuring efforts aim for net cash generation by reducing costs by $44 million, with production guidance set between 2.8 million and 3.1 million carats for FY '25.

Petra Diamonds Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Petra Diamonds has faced financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability, coupled with high leverage and negative cash flows. Despite some improvement in revenue and cash flow generation, substantial restructuring is needed for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Petra Diamonds has faced declining revenues and profitability over the recent periods. The revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 is 12.8%, showing some recovery after a significant drop from 2022. However, consistently negative net profit margins and EBIT margins indicate ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over time but remains relatively high at 1.25, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio stands at 31.6%, showing a moderate proportion of equity in the asset base. The return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Despite negative free cash flow growth, operating cash flow remains positive, suggesting some stability in cash generation from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting better cash management versus accounting losses.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue367.00M325.00M563.70M406.90M243.30M
Gross Profit-27.00M28.00M206.30M49.90M4.00M
EBITDA3.00M84.00M277.10M364.90M-63.60M
Net Income-86.00M-105.00M69.00M187.10M-190.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets772.00M861.00M1.11B1.08B1.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.00M44.00M271.90M147.70M53.60M
Total Debt304.00M276.00M388.60M431.30M882.30M
Total Liabilities555.00M544.00M632.40M638.30M1.03B
Stockholders Equity244.00M321.00M473.80M450.80M30.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-42.00M-70.00M228.50M107.60M-47.40M
Operating Cash Flow42.00M43.00M282.50M127.00M-8.10M
Investing Cash Flow-93.00M-107.00M-52.90M-25.40M-51.00M
Financing Cash Flow12.00M-155.00M-101.40M-8.00M52.40M

Petra Diamonds Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.45
Price Trends
50DMA
14.85
Positive
100DMA
19.18
Positive
200DMA
24.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.03
Negative
RSI
69.89
Neutral
STOCH
49.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:PDL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.24, above the 50-day MA of 14.85, and below the 200-day MA of 24.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:PDL.

Petra Diamonds Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
£9.64M4.312.04%6.94%
61
Neutral
$10.31B6.160.76%2.94%3.30%-36.34%
46
Neutral
£3.29M
41
Neutral
£1.08M-2.25%33.33%
40
Neutral
£39.71M-35.25%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:PDL
Petra Diamonds
21.00
-7.00
-25.00%
GB:BOD
Botswana Diamonds
0.28
0.00
0.00%
GB:GEMD
Gem Diamonds
6.89
-7.91
-53.45%
GB:KDR
Karelian Diamond Resources
0.55
-1.05
-65.63%

Petra Diamonds Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Petra Diamonds Completes Sale of Williamson Diamonds Interest
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Petra Diamonds Limited has completed the sale of its entire interest in Williamson Diamonds Limited to Pink Diamonds Investments Limited for up to $16 million. The transaction, approved by the Tanzanian Fair Competition Commission, allows Petra to use the proceeds for general corporate purposes and reflects a strategic decision to consolidate ownership of Williamson Diamonds Limited under Pink Diamonds.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:PDL) stock is a Hold with a £0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Petra Diamonds stock, see the GB:PDL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 17, 2025