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Jupiter Fund Management Plc (GB:JUP)
LSE:JUP

Jupiter Fund Management Plc (JUP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:JUP

Jupiter Fund Management Plc

(LSE:JUP)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
189.00 p
▲(12.10% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is led by improved financial performance supported by a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, plus an earnings-call outlook showing better flows and investment performance with active capital returns. Valuation is supportive due to the low P/E. These positives are moderated by historically volatile earnings/cash flows, guidance implying fee margin pressure and lumpy performance fees, and only mixed near-term technical signals.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Zero reported debt in 2025 and substantial equity provide durable financial flexibility. This low leverage supports capital returns, funds acquisitions and integration costs, and cushions earnings volatility, enabling multi‑year investment and buyback programs without stressing liquidity.
Scale Expansion and AUM Recovery
Material AUM recovery plus the CCLA acquisition meaningfully increases scale and diversifies distribution channels. Larger, more diversified AUM improves revenue resilience, supports economies of scale on fixed costs, and strengthens institutional positioning for sustained net flows.
Strong Cash Generation
High free cash flow conversion indicates earnings largely backed by cash, enabling reliable dividends, buybacks and funding for integration spend. Strong conversion reduces refinancing risk and supports capital returns even if performance fees prove lumpy over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated Cost Base
An 82% cost/income ratio limits operating leverage and leaves less margin buffer to absorb fee pressure or AUM declines. Management targets 70% but achieving sustained structural improvement will take time; near‑term elevated costs could compress durable profitability.
Fee Margin Pressure
A declining blended fee margin, driven by growth in lower‑fee products and mix shifts, structurally reduces revenue per AUM. Over time this makes earnings more dependent on absolute AUM growth and cost savings, raising sensitivity to slower flow or market setbacks.
Earnings Volatility from Performance Fees
Large, lumpy performance fees drive significant year‑to‑year swings in profitability and distributable cash. Underlying EPS excluding performance fees is materially lower, complicating forecasting, capital planning and dividend visibility over multi‑quarter horizons.

Jupiter Fund Management Plc (JUP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJupiter Fund Management Plc is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm manages mutual funds, hedge funds, client focused portfolios, and multi-manager products for its clients. It invests in the public equity markets across U.K., Europe and global emerging markets. The firm also invests in fixed income markets, fund of funds products, hedge funds, and absolute return funds. Jupiter Fund Management Plc was founded in 1985 and is based in London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyJupiter makes money primarily by charging fees for managing client assets (assets under management, or AUM). Its main revenue stream is management fees, typically calculated as a percentage of AUM and accrued over time; these fees are earned across its fund range and any segregated/mandated accounts. Revenue can also include performance fees when certain products or mandates have fee structures that pay an additional amount if performance exceeds agreed benchmarks or hurdles (where applicable). Other income may arise from administrative or service-related fees associated with running investment vehicles (where charged) and from ancillary income tied to its distribution and client-servicing arrangements; specific details and the materiality of these items are null. The company’s earnings are therefore driven largely by (1) the level of AUM (influenced by market performance and net client flows), (2) the mix of assets and products (which affects average fee rates), and (3) operating leverage—since costs are relatively fixed compared with fee revenue, changes in AUM can significantly impact profitability. Significant partnerships or named distribution agreements contributing to earnings are null.

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a clear and broad improvement in operational and investment momentum — record gross flows, the first annual net inflows since 2017, material AUM recovery (and further scale via the CCLA acquisition), marked improvement in investment performance across 1-, 3- and 5-year horizons, and ahead-of-schedule cost savings. These positives are balanced against structural challenges: a still-elevated cost/income ratio (82%), a lower average AUM and fee margin pressure in 2025 (65 bps), short-term compensation accounting impacts, lumpy/uncertain performance fees (GBP 120m in 2025 vs a conservative GBP 20m baseline for 2026), and near-term acquisition/integration costs and potential minor outflows from CCLA. Overall management tone is constructive and confident, and the company demonstrates multiple leading indicators pointing in the right direction while acknowledging and planning to manage the remaining risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Dramatic Improvement in Investment Performance
1-year outperformance jumped by 42 percentage points to 84% of AUM outperforming peer medians; nearly 70% of AUM in the top quartile (1-year). 3-year outperformance increased to 68% (from 61% prior year) with nearly half of total AUM in the top quartile; 5-year outperformance at 75% with >60% in the top quartile.
Record Gross Flows and First Net Inflows Since 2017
Gross flows hit a record GBP 16.9 billion in 2025. Net inflows were GBP 1.3 billion (first calendar-year net inflows since 2017), with institutional net inflows of GBP 1.0 billion and retail net inflows GBP 0.3 billion (over GBP 2.0 billion in H2).
Material AUM Growth and Scale Expansion
AUM recovered from a low of GBP 43 billion in April to GBP 54 billion at year-end (up nearly 19% year-on-year) and now manages over GBP 70 billion after the CCLA acquisition; end-of-year AUM was up >12% on 2025 average and up nearly 20% from the start of the year.
Strong Performance Fee Contribution
Performance fee revenues were GBP 120 million in 2025, materially above guidance and a key driver of profit; management committed to distributing 50% (GBP 60 million) of 2025 performance fees to shareholders.
Ahead-of-Schedule Cost Savings
Non-compensation costs were GBP 11 million below expectations and GBP 6 million below most recent guidance, achieving targeted full-year non-comp savings over a year ahead of schedule and enabling a reduction in overall operating costs of GBP 5 million versus 2024 (excluding performance fees).
Strategic and Diversifying Acquisitions
Completed acquisition of CCLA (GBP 15 billion AUM) adding a new nonprofit client channel with no client overlap; also acquired Origin Asset Management team and a European equities team, broadening capabilities and driving inorganic scale.
Shareholder Returns and Capital Management
Announced additional distributions equivalent to GBP 60 million (50% of performance fees) split equally between a GBP 30 million buyback and a special dividend (5.7p). Ordinary dividends (full-year) of 4.4p and total distributions equivalent to 15.8p per share; canceled over 7% of issued share capital since 2022.
Operational Efficiency and Workforce Engagement
Delivered lowest headcount since 2014 while increasing investment team size compared to 10 years ago; employee engagement score improved to 88% (up 9 points year-on-year and 9 points above financial services benchmark).
Negative Updates
High Cost-Income Ratio and Shortfall to Target
Reported cost/income ratio of 82% for 2025, above management's 70% target; management expects to move materially closer to 70% but the ratio remains elevated in the near term.
Average AUM and Fee Margin Pressure
Average AUM for 2025 fell c.5% to GBP 48 billion, which reduced revenues; net management fee margin declined to 65 basis points for 2025 (run-rate 64 bps at year-end) and guidance expects ~63 bps average in 2026 (excluding CCLA).
Volatility and Concentration of Performance Fees
Performance fees were lumpy: GBP 120 million in 2025 but management's conservative baseline for 2026 is ~GBP 20 million, highlighting earnings volatility and difficulty of forecasting performance fees.
Short-Term Rise in Compensation Ratio
Total compensation ratio reached 50% in 2025 (above historical 45–49% range), driven largely by share-price-related accounting impacts; management expects the ratio to decline by ~2 percentage points in 2026 toward 48%.
CCLA Performance Softness and Potential Outflows
CCLA's flagship charity fund has lagged benchmarks in recent years after seven years of prior outperformance; management is conservatively expecting a minor level of outflows from CCLA strategies through 2026.
Acquisition and Integration Costs Ahead
Acquisition-related exceptional items were GBP 6 million in 2025; management expects GBP 14 million of cash exceptional costs in 2026, net cash acquisition/integration costs of ~GBP 17 million, and additional noncash intangible amortization (guidance of ~GBP 5 million p.a. until finalized).
Underlying Profitability Without Performance Fees Is Modest
Underlying profits excluding performance fees were GBP 62 million, producing EPS of 8.7p excluding performance fees—significantly lower than EPS including performance fees (19.4p), illustrating sensitivity to performance fee realization.
Business-Mix Effects Toward Lower-Margin Areas
Growth skewed toward lower-fee parts of the business (e.g., systematic/other lower-margin areas), contributing to the reduction in blended fee margin and putting short-term pressure on revenue per AUM.
Company Guidance
Management gave detailed 2026 guidance: they remain focused on a 70% cost/income target, underpinned by a minimum GBP15m of targeted savings (plus a minimum GBP16m of CCLA run‑rate synergies by end‑2027, with ~GBP4m included in 2026), and expect compensation to fall to c.48% (down from 50% in 2025) while non‑comp costs (ex‑CCLA) are guided to c.GBP106m; 2025 net management revenues were GBP311m (average AUM GBP48bn; year‑end AUM GBP54bn after recovering from an April low of GBP43bn), total combined net revenue including performance fees was c.GBP431m (performance fees were GBP120m in 2025, with management conservatively penciling in c.GBP20m for 2026), and fee margins are guided to c.63bps on average for 2026 (end‑2025 run‑rate 64bps; 2025 average 65bps); CCLA brings GBP15bn AUM at a c.43bps run‑rate margin and is expected to have c.GBP32m compensation and c.GBP20m non‑comp costs (11 months), with acquisition/integration net cash costs of c.GBP17m (cash exceptional c.GBP14m in 2026, ~GBP5m in 2027) and an illustrative annual non‑cash intangible charge of GBP5m; capital remains strong (well above 2.5x higher capital requirement), management will return capital via ordinary dividends (full‑year ordinary dividend 4.4p), a special 5.7p dividend and a GBP30m buyback (50% of 2025 performance fees = GBP60m distribution split 50/50), and they expect to deliver a meaningful portion of CCLA synergies by end‑2026 while continuing to target scale and top‑line growth after GBP16.9bn gross flows and GBP1.3bn net inflows in 2025 (YTD positive flows >GBP1bn and pro forma AUM now >GBP70bn including CCLA).

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue rebounded strongly in 2024–2025 (2025 revenue up ~33% with net margin ~21%), supported by a very conservative balance sheet (low leverage and zero debt shown in 2025). Offsetting this, results have been cyclical and volatile (loss in 2023, sharp revenue drop in 2022) and cash flows have been uneven despite generally strong FCF-to-earnings conversion.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Profitability improved meaningfully in 2024–2025, with net margins rising from ~16% (2024) to ~21% (2025) alongside strong 2025 revenue growth (~33%) and higher operating profitability. However, results have been volatile across the cycle: revenue fell sharply in 2022 and the company posted a net loss in 2023 before rebounding, which tempers the quality-of-earnings and consistency profile.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with low leverage: debt-to-equity was modest from 2020–2024 (~0.11–0.12) and is shown at zero debt in 2025, while equity remains substantial (~£906m) relative to assets (~£1.24bn). Return on equity has recovered to ~11% in 2025 after a negative year in 2023, but the earnings volatility still represents a risk to sustained returns.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Free cash flow conversion is strong, with free cash flow running close to net income across years (roughly ~0.90–0.99), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is cash flow variability: operating and free cash flow have trended down materially versus 2021–2022 levels, and free cash flow growth has been negative in multiple years (2022–2024) before turning positive in 2025.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue479.20M402.50M405.60M378.70M616.10M
Gross Profit426.30M244.50M343.00M305.70M540.70M
EBITDA144.40M110.60M41.20M95.30M237.40M
Net Income100.40M65.20M-12.90M47.90M149.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.24B1.26B1.21B1.24B1.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments453.50M502.90M445.90M396.90M383.90M
Total Debt0.0090.80M93.80M95.80M100.40M
Total Liabilities336.50M422.50M418.10M398.10M439.90M
Stockholders Equity906.10M834.00M789.50M843.30M900.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.00M66.30M84.50M153.50M181.40M
Operating Cash Flow62.50M73.90M88.00M158.80M184.90M
Investing Cash Flow80.00M-182.20M-56.60M34.10M-13.10M
Financing Cash Flow-86.70M101.90M-37.80M-112.50M-162.60M

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price168.60
Price Trends
50DMA
185.44
Negative
100DMA
168.56
Positive
200DMA
146.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.30
Positive
RSI
36.47
Neutral
STOCH
16.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:JUP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 168.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 184.20, below the 50-day MA of 185.44, and above the 200-day MA of 146.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:JUP.

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£578.29M5.6830.00%8.73%7.71%-7.39%
76
Outperform
£8.88B11.9512.35%5.37%4.78%-4.86%
74
Outperform
£859.40M2.527.11%2.70%-4.38%
72
Outperform
£215.39M13.327.58%5.14%-13.29%63.87%
70
Outperform
£2.08B17.894.75%4.91%14.05%-3.07%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
£150.48M11.479.72%21.31%-15.65%-12.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:JUP
Jupiter Fund Management Plc
168.60
97.18
136.07%
GB:BRK
Brooks Macdonald
1,395.00
-32.59
-2.28%
GB:LIO
Liontrust Asset Management
247.00
-98.50
-28.51%
GB:POLR
Polar Capital Holdings
605.00
206.84
51.95%
GB:RAT
Rathbones Group PLC
2,020.00
470.70
30.38%
GB:SDR
Schroders
572.50
224.51
64.52%

Jupiter Fund Management Plc Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Jupiter Awards Long-Term Nil-Cost Share Options to Top Executives
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management plc has granted significant nil-cost share options to its top executives under its 2018 Deferred Bonus Plan and Long Term Incentive Plan. Chief executive officer Matthew Beesley received options over a total of 1,186,372 shares, while chief financial and operating officer Wayne Mepham was awarded options over 757,273 shares.

The awards, which are exercisable in staged windows between 2027 and 2036, are conditional on continued employment, and the LTIP awards are further subject to performance conditions over the 2026–2028 period. The move reinforces Jupiter’s long-term, performance-linked remuneration structure, aligning senior management incentives with shareholder value creation over an extended horizon.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Buy with a £216.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Other
Jupiter Executives Exercise Options and Sell Shares Under Incentive Plans
Neutral
Mar 3, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management has disclosed a series of share option exercises and related share sales by its chief executive, Matthew Beesley, and chief financial and operating officer, Wayne Mepham. Both executives exercised options under the company’s all-employee Sharesave Plan and its Deferred Bonus Plan, with portions of the resulting shares sold on the London Stock Exchange to settle tax liabilities and associated expenses.

Beesley exercised options over more than 665,000 shares in total and sold just over 308,000 shares while retaining a significant balance, increasing his direct equity exposure to the business. Mepham exercised options over nearly 230,000 shares and sold the full amount, moves that are routine under incentive schemes but still signal alignment of senior management compensation with shareholder interests through performance-linked share ownership.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Jupiter Director James Macpherson Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Feb 27, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management plc reported that non-executive director James Macpherson purchased 30,000 ordinary shares in the company on 27 February 2026 at a price of £1.93744 per share. The transaction, executed on the London Stock Exchange, increases insider ownership and may be interpreted by investors as a signal of confidence in the company’s prospects and valuation.

The disclosure was made in line with UK Market Abuse Regulation requirements and identifies Macpherson as a person discharging managerial responsibilities in the firm. Such director dealings are closely watched by market participants, as they can influence investor sentiment and provide additional transparency around the alignment of management and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Jupiter Fund Management Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital
Neutral
Feb 27, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management plc has confirmed that, as of 27 February 2026, its issued share capital comprises 528,630,125 ordinary shares of 2 pence each, with each share carrying one voting right. The company holds no shares in treasury, so the total number of voting rights is 528,630,125, a figure shareholders should use when calculating whether they must disclose changes in their holdings under UK financial transparency rules.

This update ensures investors have an accurate denominator for regulatory disclosure thresholds, supporting compliance with the FCA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules. By clarifying its capital and voting structure, Jupiter reinforces transparency in its shareholder base, which is important for market participants monitoring ownership changes and governance influence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Jupiter Completes Treasury Share Cancellation, Confirming New Voting Rights Base
Neutral
Feb 26, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management plc has cancelled 16,349,385 ordinary shares previously held in treasury as part of its ongoing share buyback and cancellation programme initiated in 2025. Following this cancellation, the company holds no shares in treasury, and its total ordinary shares in issue and voting rights now stand at 528,630,125, a figure shareholders can use to assess disclosure obligations under UK transparency rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Jupiter Fund Management rebounds with strong 2025 inflows and profits
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management reported a sharp rebound in 2025, with assets under management rising 19% to £54.0bn and net inflows of £1.3bn, its first full year of positive flows since 2017. Underlying profit before tax jumped to £138.3m, driven by a surge in performance fees, while tight cost control trimmed administrative expenses despite inflationary pressures.

The group completed the acquisition of CCLA Investment Management in early 2026, adding around £15bn of assets and opening a new non-profit client channel, alongside an earlier purchase of Origin Asset Management. Management reaffirmed cost-saving and synergy targets, highlighted improved investment performance and client sentiment, and announced a mix of ordinary, special dividends and a share buyback that together return half of 2025 performance fee revenue to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £211.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Jupiter Fund Management Completes Acquisition of CCLA Investment Management
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

Jupiter Fund Management has completed its acquisition of CCLA Investment Management, following receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals, finalising a deal first announced in July 2025. The group is maintaining its target of at least £16 million in annual run-rate cost synergies once CCLA is fully integrated, a goal it expects to achieve by the end of 2027, while CCLA brings £15.0 billion in assets under management as of 31 December 2025, strengthening Jupiter’s scale and positioning in the asset management market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Hold with a £204.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jupiter Fund Management Sets Up Forward Share Deal to Fund Staff Incentive Plans
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Jupiter Fund Management has arranged a forward share transaction via JTC Employer Solutions Trustee Limited, acting as trustee of the Jupiter Employee Benefit Trust, with Morgan Stanley & Co. International to secure ordinary shares in the company for employee long-term incentive plans. The arrangement, which will commence in the first quarter of 2026 and cover up to 25.9 million shares, is designed to meet existing, planned and anticipated commitments under these schemes without immediately issuing or holding new shares, signalling a structured approach to managing future staff remuneration and potential dilution for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:JUP) stock is a Buy with a £167.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jupiter Fund Management Plc stock, see the GB:JUP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026