tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Grainger PLC (GB:GRI)
LSE:GRI

Grainger (GRI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
39 Followers

Top Page

GB:GRI

Grainger

(LSE:GRI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
192.00p
▲(6.19% Upside)
Grainger's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong profitability but declining revenue and cash flow. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, but the stock's attractive valuation and positive earnings call outlook provide a counterbalance. The company's strategic growth plans and REIT conversion are significant positives.

Grainger (GRI) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Grainger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrainger (GRI) is a leading distributor of industrial supplies, MRO (maintenance, repair, and operations) products, and other related services. The company operates primarily in the United States and serves a diverse range of sectors, including manufacturing, healthcare, and government. Grainger offers a wide array of products, including tools, safety equipment, fasteners, plumbing supplies, and electrical components, catering to the needs of businesses and institutions looking to maintain their operations efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrainger generates revenue primarily through the sale of its vast inventory of industrial supplies and MRO products. The company operates a multi-channel distribution model, which includes e-commerce, mobile platforms, and a network of physical branches, allowing customers to access products through their preferred purchasing method. Key revenue streams include direct sales to businesses, government contracts, and online orders. Additionally, Grainger benefits from various partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers to offer a comprehensive range of products, which enhances its market competitiveness. The company's extensive catalog and strong logistics capabilities enable it to serve customers quickly and efficiently, contributing to its overall earnings.

Grainger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased Grainger's strong financial and operational performance, highlighted by significant earnings growth, high occupancy, and successful conversion to REIT status. Despite challenges with increased overhead and interest costs, the strategic outlook remains positive with solid growth projections and robust market fundamentals.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings and Growth Projections
Grainger is targeting GBP 60 million of earnings in full year '26 and GBP 72 million by full year '29, a 50% growth from full year '24. This is driven by sustainable rental growth outlook and strong underlying fundamentals.
Outstanding Financial Performance
Net rental income is up 12%, like-for-like rental growth is up 3.6%, and earnings have grown by 12%. Dividend growth is at 10%, and NTA remains resilient at 298p per share.
High Occupancy and Customer Retention
Achieved high occupancy at 98.1% with strong customer retention at 61%, and customers are paying below market average on rent, indicating good affordability.
Conversion to REIT Status
Grainger successfully converted to REIT status, which eliminates corporation tax on profits from the build-to-rent business, expected to generate GBP 15 million of savings in the first year alone.
Negative Updates
Increased Overhead Costs
Overhead costs increased by 4% in the year, in line with wage inflation, although cost savings of GBP 2 million are targeted with a GBP 1 million benefit in FY '26.
Interest Costs and Debt Levels
Interest costs increased due to lower levels of capitalized interest and a slightly higher average interest rate during the year, with net debt broadly flat at GBP 1.46 billion.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Grainger provided a robust outlook for its fiscal performance, emphasizing its sustained growth and strategic positioning. The company reported a 12% increase in net rental income and a 12% rise in EPRA earnings, with occupancy reaching a high of 98.1% and like-for-like rental growth at 3.6%. Grainger aims for GBP 60 million in earnings by 2026 and GBP 72 million by 2029, representing a 50% growth from 2024. The company is focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet, with plans to reduce net debt by GBP 300-350 million over the next four years. With a fully integrated operational platform and a sector-leading portfolio, Grainger highlights its resilience against higher interest rates, targeting a dividend increase of 10% and maintaining an EPRA NTA of 298p per share. The company's commitment to high-quality homes and strong customer service underpins its growth strategy, supported by a capital allocation strategy aimed at maximizing shareholder returns.

Grainger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Grainger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price180.80
Price Trends
50DMA
187.56
Negative
100DMA
190.46
Negative
200DMA
200.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.89
Negative
RSI
43.73
Neutral
STOCH
66.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 180.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 182.10, below the 50-day MA of 187.56, and below the 200-day MA of 200.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:GRI.

Grainger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
£1.42B8.0612.51%5.73%4.80%37.75%
76
Outperform
£330.24M20.8310.87%3.67%97.27%25.80%
74
Outperform
£348.96M15.945.35%5.87%-6.52%-20.26%
74
Outperform
£1.36B24.797.57%2.20%7.81%22.76%
71
Outperform
£266.88M15.483.55%20.46%
67
Neutral
£1.34B6.5910.30%3.62%-8.66%553.35%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GRI
Grainger
180.60
-35.54
-16.44%
GB:LSL
LSL Property Services
262.00
-11.32
-4.14%
GB:MTVW
Mountview Estates
8,825.00
739.62
9.15%
GB:TPFG
The Property Franchise
519.00
129.41
33.22%
GB:SRE
Sirius Real Estate
94.75
20.97
28.42%
GB:SVS
Savills
996.00
-10.63
-1.06%

Grainger Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger plc Supports Renters’ Rights Bill for Improved Housing Standards
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Grainger plc has expressed support for the Renters’ Rights Bill, which has passed the House of Commons and is expected to be implemented in 2026. The bill aims to improve standards in the private rented sector by abolishing no-fault evictions and maintaining open market rent alignment, which Grainger believes will enhance security for renters and stability for investors. The company is prepared to implement these changes immediately if needed, aligning with its strategy of providing high-quality rental homes and engaging with policymakers to ensure the reforms benefit both renters and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £223.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Grainger plc to Announce Full-Year Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Grainger plc has announced that it will release its full-year financial results for the period ending 30 September 2025 on 20 November 2025. The company will provide a live webcast and dial-in facilities for the results presentation, and a separate investor presentation will be hosted by the CEO and CFO on 25 November 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger plc Announces Director-Linked Share Acquisition
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Grainger plc announced a transaction involving the purchase of 89,129 ordinary shares by Caroline Keaveney, who is closely associated with Michael Keaveney, the Director of Land and Development. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects strategic share acquisition by individuals with managerial responsibilities, potentially indicating confidence in the company’s future performance and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Grainger plc Reports Strong Performance and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

Grainger plc reports strong performance for the year ending September 2025, with high occupancy rates of 98.1% and a like-for-like rental growth of 3.6%. The company has strategically recycled capital, generating approximately £169 million from disposals, which are being reinvested into higher-yielding BTR assets. This aligns with the company’s strategy to deliver 50% earnings growth from FY24 to FY29. The supportive regulatory environment and the company’s transition to a REIT position Grainger well for continued sustainable income growth and enhanced shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Other
Grainger PLC Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

Grainger PLC announced a transaction involving the purchase of 7,790 ordinary shares by Michael Keaveney, a Director of Land and Development, through his Stocks and Shares ISA. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflects internal confidence in the company’s prospects and could influence stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger plc Announces Share Incentive Plan Transactions
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

Grainger plc announced the acquisition and allocation of shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP) for employees, including directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs). The SIP, approved by HMRC, allows employees to purchase shares through salary deductions and receive matching shares at no additional cost. This initiative reflects Grainger’s commitment to employee investment and aligns with its strategy to enhance stakeholder engagement and incentivize its workforce.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger Achieves Rapid Lease-Up at Oxford BTR Development
Positive
Sep 17, 2025

Grainger plc has successfully achieved full lease-up of The Kimmeridge, its flagship 150-home build-to-rent development in Oxford, within just seven months, surpassing the anticipated 12-month timeline. This milestone underscores the strong demand for Grainger’s high-quality rental homes and reinforces its strategic investment in Oxford, further solidifying its leadership in the build-to-rent sector. The success of The Kimmeridge, which offers extensive amenities and professional on-site services, strengthens Grainger’s confidence in its strategy to deliver long-term returns and dividends for shareholders while meeting the growing demand for rental housing in key UK cities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger Achieves Rapid Lease-Up at Seraphina Apartments
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Grainger plc has achieved a rapid 50% lease-up rate for its Seraphina Apartments in less than a month, highlighting strong demand for its high-quality rental homes and the effectiveness of its cluster strategy. This performance underscores Grainger’s market-leading operational platform and its ability to build thriving communities, which is crucial for its long-term strategy of delivering compounding returns and progressive dividends to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Grainger Achieves REIT Status, Strengthening Leadership in Build to Rent Sector
Positive
Sep 8, 2025

Grainger plc has successfully converted to Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) status, marking a significant milestone in its nine-year strategic transformation into a pure-play Build to Rent (BTR) business. This conversion enhances Grainger’s ability to deliver sustainable returns to shareholders and solidifies its position as a leader in the BTR sector, offering tax-efficient investment opportunities and eliminating effective double taxation. The move is expected to unlock shareholder value and support long-term growth, with a forecast of 50% EPRA earnings growth by FY29. Grainger’s fully funded pipeline of 4,565 new homes and its successful asset recycling program further position the company for continued success and growth in the UK housing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger plc Enhances Employee Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Grainger plc announced the acquisition and allocation of shares under its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), which allows employees to purchase shares and receive matching shares at no cost. The transaction involved the purchase of 5,166 partnership shares and the allocation of 4,566 matching shares, impacting key company directors and employees. This initiative aims to align employee interests with company performance, potentially enhancing stakeholder value and reinforcing Grainger’s commitment to employee investment.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Grainger plc Adopts New Articles to Enter REIT Regime
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Grainger plc, a company involved in real estate investment and management, held a General Meeting on September 1, 2025, where a special resolution was passed to adopt new articles of association. This change is aimed at facilitating the company’s entry into the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) regime. The resolution received overwhelming support, with 98.89% of votes in favor, indicating strong shareholder backing for this strategic move. The adoption of the new articles is expected to enhance Grainger’s operational framework and align it with REIT standards, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £229.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Grainger plc Announces Share Incentive Plan Transactions
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Grainger plc announced transactions involving its Share Incentive Plan (SIP), where employees, including directors and persons discharging managerial responsibilities, acquired partnership shares and received matching shares. The SIP, approved by HMRC, allows employees to purchase shares through salary deductions and receive additional shares at no cost, enhancing employee engagement and aligning interests with company performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Grainger Appoints Simon Fraser as Chair Designate
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Grainger plc has announced the appointment of Simon Fraser as Non-Executive Director and Chair Designate, succeeding Mark Clare in February 2026. Simon Fraser brings extensive real estate and investment experience, having served on the boards of prominent REITs and in investment banking, which is expected to support Grainger’s growth plans as it enters its first financial year as a REIT.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £280.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Grainger CEO Increases Stake Through Dividend Reinvestment
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Grainger PLC, a company involved in property management and investment, announced a transaction involving its CEO, Helen Gordon. She purchased 281 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan, increasing her total shareholding to 811,792 shares. This transaction highlights the CEO’s continued investment in the company, potentially signaling confidence in its future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Grainger plc Prepares for REIT Transition with Updated Articles
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

Grainger plc has announced the publication of a Circular and Notice of a General Meeting to be held on 1 September 2025. The meeting will address a resolution to amend the company’s articles of association in preparation for its transition into a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT). This strategic move aims to update the company’s governance framework, which has not been revised since 2010, and is expected to align with the requirements of the REIT regime, potentially impacting the company’s operational structure and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GRI) stock is a Buy with a £300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grainger stock, see the GB:GRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025