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Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GB:GPE)
LSE:GPE
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Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GPE

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.

(LSE:GPE)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
4.00p
▼(-98.84%Downside)
Great Portland Estates plc has a solid overall stock score, primarily driven by positive corporate events and a strong valuation. While financial performance shows some instability, the company's strategic initiatives and attractive valuation position it well in the market. Technical analysis supports a stable outlook, contributing to a favorable view of the stock.
Positive Factors
Financial Management
Great Portland's effective capital deployment through acquisitions and development investments demonstrates strong financial management.
Leasing Performance
Great Portland's update shows the company has secured 74 new leases and renewals, generating annual rent significantly above expected rental values.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of One Chapel Place at a favorable price highlights strategic buying below prevailing market values.
Negative Factors
Equity Market Challenges
The equity market's indifference towards London Office REITs suggests shares may remain undervalued.
Market Sentiment
Negative sentiment towards the office sector in London and globally may hinder a positive re-rating of Great Portland's shares.
Share Price Valuation
Shares trading at a significant discount to the announced NTA indicates potential undervaluation concerns.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWe are a FTSE 250 property investment and development company owning £2.6 billion of real estate in central London. We proactively manage our portfolio, flexing our activities in tune with London's property cycle to deliver long-term out-performance. We create in-demand spaces that people want to be part of; helping our occupiers, local communities and the city to thrive.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat Portland Estates plc generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases office spaces and retail locations to a variety of tenants, providing a steady stream of rental income. GPE also engages in property development, where the company acquires properties, enhances their value through redevelopment or refurbishment, and subsequently leases or sells them at a profit. Additionally, the company might engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize asset value and enhance returns. GPE's earnings are influenced by factors such as property market conditions in London, occupancy rates, rental yields, and the overall economic environment.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company's financial performance is mixed. While there is operational profitability, significant income volatility affects net margins. The balance sheet remains robust, but increasing leverage is a concern. Negative operating and free cash flows suggest liquidity management challenges.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown moderate growth over the years, with the latest year seeing a slight decrease. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, indicating consistent profitability from core operations. However, the net profit margin has experienced significant volatility, with large swings from profits to losses, suggesting potential issues with cost management or extraordinary items affecting net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fluctuated, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a reasonable equity ratio, indicating a stable capital structure with a significant proportion of assets funded by equity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, reflecting higher leverage which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. The return on equity has varied substantially, driven by volatile net income results.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has been negative recently, raising concerns about the company's ability to generate cash internally. The free cash flow has also been negative, indicating reliance on external financing. The operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are adverse, suggesting cash flow issues relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue94.20M95.40M91.20M84.20M88.50M
Gross Profit59.10M62.10M57.20M52.10M62.10M
EBITDA132.20M-288.50M31.30M16.20M39.60M
Net Income116.00M-307.80M-163.90M167.20M-201.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.03B2.48B2.51B2.78B2.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.20M22.90M19.40M16.70M11.10M
Total Debt935.00M815.50M527.20M589.70M533.20M
Total Liabilities1.03B895.00M588.20M662.40M588.30M
Stockholders Equity2.00B1.58B1.92B2.11B1.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.60M-7.70M5.60M15.90M24.50M
Operating Cash Flow-4.00M-7.60M5.80M16.20M24.90M
Investing Cash Flow-384.60M-231.70M105.10M-31.40M-118.30M
Financing Cash Flow402.60M242.80M-108.20M6.30M9.60M

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price343.50
Price Trends
50DMA
342.04
Positive
100DMA
316.89
Positive
200DMA
304.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
49.92
Neutral
STOCH
73.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 343.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 345.13, above the 50-day MA of 342.04, and above the 200-day MA of 304.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GPE.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
£3.08B11.417.05%209.22%12.79%-74.41%
74
Outperform
£1.39B11.426.47%229.99%-0.63%
74
Outperform
£1.28B30.847.01%735.91%7.01%51.96%
69
Neutral
£4.38B10.986.13%563.11%0.97%
68
Neutral
£2.21B19.193.29%335.52%3.70%
65
Neutral
£3.60B10.246.14%632.98%-20.83%
64
Neutral
$6.87B17.44-1.93%6.95%4.65%-24.33%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GPE
Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.
343.50
4.49
1.32%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
360.20
-16.60
-4.41%
GB:SHC
Shaftesbury Capital
158.20
13.73
9.50%
GB:DLN
Derwent London plc REIT
1,971.00
-184.36
-8.55%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
589.50
1.12
0.19%
GB:PHP
Primary Health Properties plc R.E.I.T
95.80
9.62
11.16%

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Corporate Events

Other
BlackRock Adjusts Holdings in Great Portland Estates
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced that BlackRock, Inc. has made a significant change in its holdings, crossing the threshold of 16.81% in voting rights as of July 17, 2025. This adjustment in holdings by a major investor like BlackRock could impact Great Portland Estates’ market positioning and influence shareholder dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Advances Sustainability with Circularity Scores
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced progress in its Circularity Score initiative, aimed at reducing embodied carbon in its London developments by focusing on the circular economy. The company has set a target of achieving a 40% circularity score for developments starting after April 2025, and recent projects have exceeded this target, averaging a score of 65%. This initiative is part of GPE’s broader Roadmap to Net Zero, which aims to reduce embodied carbon by 52% by 2030 and achieve net zero carbon by 2040. The company’s efforts to improve circularity are seen as a significant step in promoting sustainability in the real estate industry, with potential implications for industry standards and stakeholder expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates plc Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held on July 3, 2025. The resolutions included the approval of financial statements, director elections, and the reappointment of auditors, reflecting strong shareholder support. These decisions are likely to reinforce the company’s governance structure and operational strategies, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Reports Strong Leasing Momentum and Strategic Growth
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has reported a strong start to the financial year, with significant leasing momentum and a notable pre-let at 30 Duke Street, St James’s, boosting confidence in their rental value growth guidance. The company is capitalizing on a market with high demand and limited supply, expecting to generate significant surpluses and further value growth. Recent property sales and ongoing leasing activities highlight GPE’s strategic positioning to enhance income and development returns, with substantial disposals and refurbishments underway.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Reports Change in Major Holdings by BlackRock
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a notification of major holdings following an acquisition or disposal of voting rights and financial instruments by BlackRock, Inc. This change in holdings, which saw BlackRock’s total voting rights in the company slightly decrease to 16.96%, could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence its strategic decisions. The notification highlights the significant role of BlackRock as a major stakeholder, which may have implications for the company’s governance and future market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Enhances Executive Investment with Share Incentive Plan
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the acquisition of shares by its Executive Directors under the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). This plan allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, which the company matches by awarding two ‘Matching Shares’ for each purchased share. The transactions, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, reflect the company’s commitment to employee investment and engagement, potentially strengthening its market position and aligning executive interests with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Completes Successful Letting at wells&more, Boosting Rental Income
Positive
Jun 26, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has successfully let the first floor of the wells&more building in Fitzrovia, completing its repositioning strategy and achieving a significant rental increase. This move highlights the strong demand for GPE’s premium office spaces, with the building now 93% leased, reflecting a substantial uplift in rental income and reinforcing GPE’s position in the competitive central London office market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlackRock Maintains Major Stake in Great Portland Estates
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a notification of major holdings, revealing that BlackRock, Inc. has adjusted its voting rights in the company. As of June 23, 2025, BlackRock holds a total of 17.01% voting rights, a combination of direct and indirect holdings, maintaining its previous position. This notification underscores BlackRock’s significant influence within Great Portland Estates, potentially impacting the company’s strategic decisions and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
BlackRock Increases Stake in Great Portland Estates
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with BlackRock, Inc. crossing a major threshold in its holdings. As of June 20, 2025, BlackRock holds a total of 17.01% of voting rights in the company, up from 16.93%. This increase in BlackRock’s stake could influence the company’s strategic decisions and impact its market positioning, reflecting a vote of confidence from one of the world’s largest asset managers.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Reports Major Holding by BlackRock
Neutral
Jun 20, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced that it received a notification regarding a major holding by BlackRock, Inc., which has increased its voting rights in the company to 16.93%. This change in holdings, resulting from an acquisition or disposal of voting rights, reflects BlackRock’s significant influence in the company and could impact its strategic decisions and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Enhances Note Security with New Guarantors
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced the accession of GPE St Andrew Street Limited, GPE (Whittington House) Limited, and GPE (135-141 Wardour St) Limited as additional guarantors for its £250 million 5.375% Guaranteed Sustainable Notes due in 2031. This strategic move, effective from June 19, 2025, involves the signing of a supplemental trust deed and a deed of accession, enhancing the security and backing of the notes, which may positively impact the company’s financial stability and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Announces Change in Major Holdings by BlackRock
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a change in major holdings, with BlackRock, Inc. adjusting its voting rights in the company. The notification reveals that BlackRock’s total voting rights now stand at 16.89%, a slight decrease from the previous 16.91%. This adjustment in holdings may affect the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence its strategic decisions, reflecting BlackRock’s ongoing portfolio management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
BlackRock Adjusts Holdings in Great Portland Estates
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, as BlackRock, Inc. has adjusted its holdings in the company. The notification indicates that BlackRock’s total voting rights in Great Portland Estates have decreased slightly from 17.22% to 16.91%, reflecting a shift in their investment strategy. This change in holdings could have implications for the company’s governance and future strategic decisions, potentially affecting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Announces Executive Share Acquisitions Under SIP
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced the acquisition of shares by its executive directors under the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). The SIP allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, which the company matches with ‘Matching Shares’ at no cost. This move reflects the company’s commitment to aligning the interests of its employees with its performance, potentially enhancing employee engagement and retention.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Grants Share Awards to Key Executives
Positive
May 30, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the granting of awards under its Deferred Share Bonus Plan (DSBP) and Restricted Share Plan (RSP) to key directors, including the Chief Executive, Chief Financial & Operating Officer, and an Executive Director. These awards, which are structured as nil cost options, are part of the company’s incentive strategy to align executive interests with shareholder value and are set to vest in 2028, with a holding period extending to 2030. This move underscores the company’s commitment to retaining top talent and ensuring long-term growth, potentially enhancing its competitive position in the real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Releases 2025 Annual Report and AGM Notice
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has distributed its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31 March 2025, along with the Notice of Annual General Meeting (AGM) and Form of Proxy to its shareholders. The AGM is scheduled for 3 July 2025 at the Royal College of Nursing in London. These documents have been submitted to the National Storage Mechanism and are available on the company’s website, reflecting its commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Directors Exercise and Sell Shares
Neutral
May 28, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced that its directors exercised nil-cost options under the Deferred Share Bonus Plan, acquiring ordinary shares. To cover tax liabilities, they sold a portion of these shares, impacting their shareholdings and potentially influencing market perceptions of the company’s financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Sells Challenger House for £42 Million
Positive
May 28, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has completed the sale of Challenger House, a 74,000 sq ft hotel in Whitechapel, for £42 million to Yoomata Aldgate Property Ltd. This transaction allows GPE to reallocate capital from a non-core asset into its development pipeline, enhancing its strategic focus on growth opportunities. The buyer, Yoomata, plans to redevelop the site under the ‘Yooma Urban Lodge’ brand, expanding its mid-to-high-end hotel concept in major European cities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Great Portland Estates Reports Strong Growth and Optimistic Outlook
Positive
May 21, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc reported strong financial results for the year ending March 2025, highlighting successful capital deployment, record investment leasing, and significant growth in rental values. The company achieved a 3.6% increase in portfolio valuation and upgraded its growth guidance for the next fiscal year. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company is optimistic about future growth, supported by a robust development pipeline and a strong financial position, anticipating a 10%+ annualized return on equity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Great Portland Estates Announces New Director Appointment
Positive
May 20, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has announced that Karen Green, a Non-Executive Director of the company, has been appointed as an Independent Non-Executive Director of Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., effective from May 15, 2025. This appointment highlights the company’s commitment to strengthening its leadership team and could potentially enhance its strategic positioning within the industry by fostering relationships with other major players.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Secures Major Pre-Let with CD&R at 30 Duke Street
Positive
May 14, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has secured a significant pre-let agreement with global investment firm CD&R for the entire office space at 30 Duke Street St James’s, SW1. The 15-year lease, agreed upon a year ahead of the building’s completion in summer 2026, underscores the strong demand for high-quality office spaces in London’s West End. This development, designed by Make Architects, emphasizes sustainability with a large portion of its steel frame sourced from recycled materials, setting a new standard for eco-friendly building practices in the UK.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Directors Acquire Shares Under SIP
Positive
May 1, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the acquisition of shares by its Executive Directors under the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). The plan allows employees to purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ from their salary, which the company matches with ‘Matching Shares’ at no cost. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to aligning employee interests with corporate performance, potentially enhancing stakeholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Achieves 91% Customer Retention in Fully Managed Spaces
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced a significant achievement in customer retention, with 91% of its Fully Managed customers renewing at break or expiry, far surpassing the company’s initial assumption of 50%. This success, coupled with a 12% average rental uplift and a Net Promoter Score of +48.3, highlights GPE’s strong market positioning and customer satisfaction, suggesting positive prospects for upcoming projects like 170 Piccadilly and 141 Wardour Street.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 08, 2025