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Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GB:GPE)
LSE:GPE

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GPE

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.

(LSE:GPE)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
341.00p
▲(0.59% Upside)
Great Portland Estates plc's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call guidance and strategic corporate events, indicating positive future prospects. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in cash flow, and neutral technical indicators moderate the score. The stock's undervaluation enhances its appeal, but economic challenges remain a consideration.
Positive Factors
Strong Leasing Performance
Strong leasing performance indicates robust demand for GPE's properties, enhancing revenue stability and supporting long-term growth prospects.
Positive Market Outlook
A positive market outlook with rising prime rents suggests sustained demand for GPE's properties, bolstering future revenue and profitability.
Flex Workspace Growth
The growth in flex workspace offerings aligns with market trends towards flexible office solutions, positioning GPE to capitalize on evolving tenant needs.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Increased leverage heightens financial risk, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting strategic flexibility in a volatile interest rate climate.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow from operations suggests liquidity issues, which may constrain GPE's ability to fund growth initiatives and manage debt.
Income Volatility
Volatile net profit margins indicate potential challenges in cost management or revenue stability, affecting long-term financial predictability.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. (GPE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWe are a FTSE 250 property investment and development company owning £2.6 billion of real estate in central London. We proactively manage our portfolio, flexing our activities in tune with London's property cycle to deliver long-term out-performance. We create in-demand spaces that people want to be part of; helping our occupiers, local communities and the city to thrive.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat Portland Estates generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from rental income derived from its portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases office and retail spaces to a variety of tenants, which provides a stable and recurring revenue base. Additionally, GPE engages in property development, where it undertakes projects to enhance or create new properties to increase its asset value and generate future rental income. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other developers, investors, and businesses to expand its reach and access new markets. Furthermore, GPE is committed to sustainability, which not only attracts premium tenants but also can lead to cost savings and operational efficiencies. Overall, the combination of rental income, development activities, and strategic collaborations forms the backbone of GPE's revenue model.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong operational performance with significant leasing achievements, financial growth, and positive market conditions. However, there are challenges related to the broader economic environment and strategic vacancy management.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Leasing Performance
Delivered GBP 37.6 million in leasing within 6 months, equal to the entire previous year, and 7% ahead of Estimated Rental Value (ERV).
Significant Sales Ahead of Book Value
Achieved more than GBP 290 million in sales, 1.7% above book value, including the largest single asset sale in the West End year-to-date.
Record Financial Results
Pro forma rent roll up 29%, with average office rents up nearly 10% over the past 12 months and earnings growth of almost 85%.
Positive Market Outlook
Supportive leasing conditions expected to continue, with prime rents predicted to rise further despite macroeconomic challenges.
Flex Workspace Growth
Fully managed spaces generating GBP 50 million in annualized rent, with a potential increase to GBP 59 million, indicating a 2.4x organic growth uplift.
Negative Updates
Challenging Economic Backdrop
Despite strong company performance, the broader U.K. economic and political environment remains challenging.
Yield Compression Concerns
Concerns about near-term yield compression, with the valuer moving out the yield on Aldermanbury Square by 15 basis points.
Vacancy Rate Strategy
Current vacancy rate at 6.9%, which is part of a strategy to be contracyclical, but may raise concerns about optimal asset utilization.
Company Guidance
During the call, the company provided robust guidance for the fiscal year and beyond, focusing on multiple growth metrics. The company reiterated its rental value growth guidance, highlighting strong operational performance with leasing achievements significantly ahead of target, leading to a rental value increase of 2.6%. They achieved a customer retention rate of 76% and maintained a vacancy rate within their target range at 6.9%. Financially, they reported a pro forma rent roll up 29% and a valuation increase of 1.5%, with developments up 6.1%. Their balance sheet remains strong with a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio at 28%, and they anticipate a significant income growth of 140% in the medium term. The company expects a threefold increase in EPRA EPS over the medium term, aiming for a 10% plus return on equity. Additionally, they plan substantial acquisitions and sales, with more than GBP 800 million in sales identified for the medium term.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great Portland Estates plc shows mixed financial health. The income statement reveals operational profitability but also significant income volatility, impacting net margins. The balance sheet is relatively robust, yet increasing leverage poses potential risks. Cash flow performance is a concern, with negative operating and free cash flow indicating challenges in liquidity management.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's revenue has shown moderate growth over the years, with the latest year seeing a slight decrease. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, indicating consistent profitability from core operations. However, the net profit margin has experienced significant volatility, with large swings from profits to losses, suggesting potential issues with cost management or extraordinary items affecting net income. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also fluctuated, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a reasonable equity ratio, indicating a stable capital structure with a significant proportion of assets funded by equity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased, reflecting higher leverage which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. The return on equity has varied substantially, driven by volatile net income results.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has been negative recently, raising concerns about the company's ability to generate cash internally. The free cash flow has also been negative, indicating reliance on external financing. The operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are adverse, suggesting cash flow issues relative to reported earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.50M95.40M94.20M91.20M84.20M88.50M
Gross Profit31.60M62.10M59.10M57.20M52.10M62.10M
EBITDA24.30M-288.50M132.20M31.30M16.20M39.60M
Net Income145.20M-307.80M116.00M-163.90M167.20M-201.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.23B2.48B3.03B2.51B2.78B2.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.10M22.90M18.20M19.40M16.70M11.10M
Total Debt1.09B815.50M935.00M527.20M589.70M533.20M
Total Liabilities1.19B895.00M1.03B588.20M662.40M588.30M
Stockholders Equity2.04B1.58B2.00B1.92B2.11B1.97B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.90M-7.70M-4.60M5.60M15.90M24.50M
Operating Cash Flow-14.30M-7.60M-4.00M5.80M16.20M24.90M
Investing Cash Flow-396.00M-231.70M-384.60M105.10M-31.40M-118.30M
Financing Cash Flow191.60M242.80M402.60M-108.20M6.30M9.60M

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price339.00
Price Trends
50DMA
318.48
Positive
100DMA
317.12
Positive
200DMA
320.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.51
Negative
RSI
72.78
Negative
STOCH
83.69
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GPE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 339 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 318.20, above the 50-day MA of 318.48, and above the 200-day MA of 320.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.78 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.69 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GPE.

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
£4.00B11.376.14%5.85%-20.83%
72
Outperform
£2.07B8.716.80%3.93%2.30%
68
Neutral
£2.77B8.448.66%2.58%-0.04%655.16%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
£1.33B9.107.31%2.52%12.73%
57
Neutral
£788.25M-10.62-5.20%7.31%-1.67%-120.18%
55
Neutral
£230.74M9.206.07%2.71%-14.09%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GPE
Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T.
339.00
62.71
22.70%
GB:BLND
British Land Company plc
404.20
63.19
18.53%
GB:SHC
Shaftesbury Capital
144.60
22.10
18.04%
GB:DLN
Derwent London plc REIT
1,885.00
19.31
1.04%
GB:HLCL
Helical
187.80
9.70
5.45%
GB:WKP
Workspace Group plc R.E.I.T.
406.50
-49.72
-10.90%

Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
GPE Boosts West End Footprint with £51m Acquisition of 10 South Crescent
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

GPE has expanded its West End portfolio with the £51 million acquisition of a 155-year leasehold interest in 10 South Crescent, WC1, a 72,605 sq ft office and retail building near Tottenham Court Road’s Elizabeth line station. The property, currently single-let for four more years at a significantly below-market rent, will be repositioned as a best-in-class, decarbonised headquarters and retail asset with enhanced amenities and roof terraces, offering scope for substantial rental reversion given nearby lettings above £125 per sq ft versus the current £67 per sq ft. The deal, bought at a net yield of 6.8% and a projected 7.1% once the vacant retail unit is let, reinforces GPE’s strategy of sourcing value-add repositioning opportunities in its core West End market, bringing the number of such acquisitions since its 2024 rights issue to six with an estimated total capital commitment of about £440 million at a sizeable discount to replacement cost, underlining its confidence in central London office demand and potential upside for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £341.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Directors Add Shares Through Monthly Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jan 2, 2026

Great Portland Estates has disclosed routine director dealings under its 2010 Share Incentive Plan, in which employees buy partnership shares from salary and receive two matching shares from the company at no cost for each partnership share. In the latest monthly allocation, chief executive Toby Courtauld and executive directors Nick Sanderson and Dan Nicholson acquired small numbers of partnership shares at around 315.5p per share, with corresponding matching shares purchased via the plan’s trustee on the London Stock Exchange, underscoring continued management participation in the group’s long‑standing all‑employee share ownership scheme.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £341.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Other
Great Portland Estates Directors Acquire Shares Through Incentive Plan
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the acquisition of shares by its executive directors through the 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). Under this plan, employees can purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, and the company matches these with ‘Matching Shares’ at no extra cost. The recent transactions involved Executive Directors Toby Courtauld, Nick Sanderson, and Dan Nicholson, who acquired shares at specified prices, reflecting the company’s commitment to aligning employee interests with corporate performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £342.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Great Portland Estates Chair Purchases Shares, Signaling Confidence
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced that its Chair, William Eccleshare, purchased 4,000 ordinary shares at a price of 309.824p per share on 20 November 2025. This transaction, conducted on the London Stock Exchange, is part of the company’s compliance with the Market Abuse Regulation, reflecting transparency in managerial dealings and potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £342.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Great Portland Estates Reports Robust Growth and Strategic Developments
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc reported strong operational performance for the six months ending September 2025, with significant leasing activity and increased property values in its central London portfolio. The company achieved a 29% increase in rent roll and a 76% customer retention rate, reflecting the demand for its premium spaces. The development and refurbishment program is attracting interest, with over £10 million under offer at a premium to estimated rental value (ERV). The company expects continued growth, projecting a 10%+ annualized return on equity and a three-fold increase in EPRA EPS over the medium term. Additionally, Great Portland Estates made significant capital transactions, including sales and acquisitions, and maintained strong liquidity with a new £525 million revolving credit facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £297.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Secures Planning for Whittington House HQ Refurbishment
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has received planning permission from Camden Council for the refurbishment of Whittington House in the West End, London. This project will transform the building into a modern HQ workspace featuring sustainable offices and a new rooftop terrace, enhancing GPE’s portfolio and reinforcing its commitment to delivering exceptional office spaces in prime locations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Great Portland Estates Releases Sustainable Bond Impact Report
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has released its Sustainable Bond Allocation and Impact Report, detailing the allocation of proceeds from its £250 million Sustainable Bond issued in September 2024. The funds have been directed towards eligible green and social projects, reinforcing the company’s commitment to sustainability and its strategic goal of becoming net zero by 2040. This initiative highlights GPE’s dedication to integrating sustainability into its business model, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Great Portland Estates Enhances Executive Shareholding Through Incentive Plan
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc announced the acquisition of ordinary shares by its Executive Directors through the company’s 2010 Share Incentive Plan (SIP). Under the SIP, employees can purchase ‘Partnership Shares’ with their salary, and the company matches this by awarding two ‘Matching Shares’ for each ‘Partnership Share’ acquired. This initiative reflects the company’s commitment to aligning the interests of its executives with those of shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder value and reinforcing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Great Portland Estates Sells 1 Newman Street for £250 Million
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has completed the sale of its property at 1 Newman Street, W1, to Royal London Asset Management Property for £250 million. This transaction, slightly above the March 2025 book value, represents a net initial yield of 4.48%. The sale of this BREEAM excellent, Grade A office and retail building, which generates an annual rent of approximately £11.9 million, allows GPE to reinvest in its development pipeline, enhancing its strategic positioning in the competitive London real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Great Portland Estates Secures £525 Million ESG-Linked Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has secured a new £525 million ESG-linked revolving credit facility with four existing banks, replacing a previous £450 million facility. This move, which includes extending an existing £150 million facility, enhances the company’s financial flexibility and supports its strategy to invest in development and refurbishment projects, thereby strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
GPE Secures Planning Approval for St Thomas Yard Redevelopment
Positive
Oct 15, 2025

Great Portland Estates plc has secured planning permission from Southwark Council for the redevelopment of St Thomas Yard, SE1. The project, designed by Orms, involves a retrofit-first approach to transform the existing 1980s structure into an 11-storey office building, significantly increasing the net area while reducing carbon emissions. This development reflects GPE’s confidence in the London office market and commitment to sustainability, with construction expected to start in summer 2026 and complete by late 2028.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GPE) stock is a Hold with a £349.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Great Portland Estates plc R.E.I.T. stock, see the GB:GPE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 07, 2025