Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: N/A
• Dividend Yield: 9.49%
• Average Volume (3M): 764.82K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 65.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.37
• Revenue Growth: -2.74%
• EPS Growth: -82.86%
• Country: UK
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 71
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.00
• Shares Outstanding: 509,815,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 406,517
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 764,817
• PEG Ratio: -0.73
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.69
• Price to Sales (P/S): 8.19
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £36.00
• Price Target Upside: 20.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: 31.00p ▲(3.33% Upside)

Duke Capital's overall stock score reflects challenges in financial performance due to declining revenue and profitability, offset by stable cash flow and a strong balance sheet. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, while valuation concerns arise from a high P/E ratio despite an attractive dividend yield. Positive corporate events provide some optimism, indicating strategic growth and shareholder support.

Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Duke Royalty Limited is a principal investment firm specializing in royalty financing. The firm It does not invest in start-ups or tight margin business models. It focuses on intellectual property assets and stable, cash flowing businesses with positive EBITDA, no debt or low levels of debt, and management desire to continue with the business. It seeks to provides capital to companies in exchange for rights to a small percentage of future revenues. The firm prefers government and/or regulatory licensed businesses. Duke Royalty Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in St. Peter Port, Guernsey.

How the Company Makes Money

Duke Capital generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from management fees and performance fees associated with its asset management services. The company charges management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) and earns additional performance fees when investments exceed predefined benchmarks. Additionally, Duke Capital earns revenue from advisory services provided to clients in mergers and acquisitions, as well as from underwriting and trading activities in capital markets. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and financial technology firms further bolster its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and enhancing operational efficiency.

Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Duke Capital's financial performance is robust, evidenced by strong revenue growth and high gross profit margins. Despite a decrease in net profit and EBIT margins, the company shows improved operational efficiency and a stable equity position. However, the increased leverage and fluctuating cash flow stability need attention.

Income Statement

Duke Capital has demonstrated strong revenue growth from $18.36M in 2022 to $25.39M in 2024, a 38.5% increase. The gross profit margin remains high at 100%, indicating excellent cost management. Net profit margin improved from 108.6% to 45.7%, reflecting solid profitability despite a decrease in EBIT margin from 142.3% to 77.6%. EBITDA margin rose significantly, highlighting improved operational efficiency. However, the decline in EBIT margin warrants attention.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a robust equity base with an equity ratio of 69.3% in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 0.43, indicating a rise in leverage but still at manageable levels. Return on equity decreased from 11.9% to 7.0%, suggesting reduced profitability relative to shareholders' equity. The overall financial stability is strong, though the growing debt requires monitoring.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow improved from $9.34M in 2022 to $16.92M in 2024, indicating better cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.46, showing strong cash conversion. Free cash flow growth rate is noteworthy. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.46 signals efficient operations, though cash flow stability remains a concern due to fluctuating financing activities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.01M	15.01M	25.39M	21.88M	18.36M	11.77M
Gross Profit	6.40M	6.40M	19.04M	21.20M	16.62M	11.22M
EBITDA	3.29M	738.00K	28.47M	0.00	-1.72M	0.00
Net Income	2.00M	2.00M	11.61M	19.59M	20.39M	13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	268.60M	268.60M	238.31M	221.52M	183.73M	105.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.77M	19.77M	36.26M	41.73M	26.54M	15.96M
Total Debt	88.33M	88.33M	70.88M	55.07M	48.85M	18.13M
Total Liabilities	91.05M	91.05M	73.03M	57.26M	50.79M	20.13M
Stockholders Equity	177.55M	177.55M	165.28M	164.26M	132.94M	85.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.28M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	71.92M	9.40M
Operating Cash Flow	17.16M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	9.34M	7.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-22.87M	-22.87M	-26.38M	-25.17M	-61.83M	-8.42M
Financing Cash Flow	22.69M	18.33M	-2.75M	17.71M	56.49M	-1.83M

Duke Capital Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 30.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.76, above the 50-day MA of 29.63, and above the 200-day MA of 28.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:DUKE.

Duke Capital Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	68 Neutral	$17.46B	11.65	10.44%	3.86%	10.36%	1.15%
DUKE	57 Neutral		65.56	1.17%	9.49%	-2.74%	-82.86%
GUN	47 Neutral	£1.47M	―	-34.06%	―	―	80.00%
CHP	44 Neutral	£2.73M	―	-71.01%	―	―	―
BRH	43 Neutral	£1.77M	―	-38.03%	―	-100.24%	84.97%
JADE	38 Underperform	£443.01K	―	-224.82%	―	―	―

Duke Capital Corporate Events

Duke Capital Announces Successful AGM Resolution Outcomes

Duke Capital Limited announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its recent Annual General Meeting, indicating strong shareholder support for its strategic direction. This development reinforces Duke’s position in the market as a reliable provider of hybrid capital solutions, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Announces New Performance Share Awards and Vesting of Previous Awards

Duke Capital Limited has announced the approval of 4,663,000 conditional rights to acquire ordinary shares under its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) for the financial year ending March 2025. The performance share awards (PSAs) will vest over three years, contingent on performance conditions related to shareholder return and cash distribution per share. Additionally, 1,318,233 PSAs from the 2022 financial year have vested, with some shares sold to cover tax liabilities. This move underscores Duke Capital’s commitment to aligning employee incentives with company performance, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Releases 2025 Annual Report and AGM Notice

Duke Capital Limited has announced the release of its 2025 Annual Report and Accounts, along with the Notice of its Annual General Meeting (AGM), which will be held on August 4, 2025, in Guernsey. This announcement underscores Duke Capital’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, reflecting its strategic focus on delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns and maintaining robust communication with its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Demonstrates Resilience Amid Economic Challenges in FY25

Duke Capital Limited reported its financial results for the year ending March 31, 2025, demonstrating resilience and strategic execution amid challenging economic conditions. The company saw a 6% increase in recurring cash revenue but experienced a decrease in total cash revenue and net income due to a lack of investment exits and a non-cash reduction in portfolio value. Despite these challenges, Duke maintained a stable dividend and robust liquidity position, underscoring its disciplined capital allocation and income-generating model. The company made significant follow-on investments in existing partners, enhancing its portfolio’s value and supporting M&A activities. Looking forward, Duke Capital anticipates improved conditions with easing inflation and interest rates, which could enhance its attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Declares Interim Dividend for Q1 2025

Duke Capital Limited announced an interim dividend of 0.70 pence per share for the first quarter of its financial year, reflecting its commitment to providing attractive returns to shareholders. This decision underscores Duke’s strategic focus on capital preservation and dividend yield, reinforcing its market position as a reliable provider of hybrid capital solutions for SMEs in Europe and North America.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital Boosts Investment in Tristone Healthcare for Strategic Acquisition

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £2.0 million into Tristone Healthcare Limited to support its acquisition of Serenity Care Homes Limited, a specialist in therapeutic care for young individuals. This investment increases Duke’s total credit financing in Tristone to £21.2 million and raises its ownership stake to 28.4%. The acquisition will enable Tristone to expand its services for young adults with complex needs in the South of England, enhancing its regional partnerships and reputation for high-quality care. This strategic move is expected to extend Tristone’s reach in the social care sector, employing over 800 staff members.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Duke Capital to Announce FY25 Results and Host Investor Presentation

Duke Capital Limited has announced that it will release its audited results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, on June 25, 2025. Additionally, the company will host a live investor presentation on June 30, 2025, where CEO Neil Johnson and CFO Hugo Evans will discuss the results. This presentation is open to all existing and potential shareholders, providing an opportunity for stakeholders to engage with the company’s leadership and gain insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.