Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £139.36M
• Dividend Yield: 9.74%
• Average Volume (3M): 795.27K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.14
• Revenue Growth: 2.13%
• EPS Growth: -61.22%
• Country: UK
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 509,815,770
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,322,295
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 795,269
• PEG Ratio: -0.73
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.69
• Price to Sales (P/S): 8.19
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.71
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £41.00
• Price Target Upside: 47.75% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 63 Neutral
• Price Target: 30.00p ▲(8.11% Upside)

Duke Capital's overall stock score is driven by a stable financial foundation and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in revenue and profitability. The company's strategic acquisitions and high dividend yield provide additional support for the stock's attractiveness. However, the high P/E ratio and declining revenue are notable risks.

Positive Factors

Balanced Debt-to-Equity

A balanced debt-to-equity ratio indicates prudent financial management, providing stability and flexibility for future investments.

Strong Equity Ratio

A strong equity ratio reflects a robust capital base, enhancing the company's ability to withstand economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.

Consistent Cash Flow

Efficient cash generation relative to net income supports operational stability and provides resources for reinvestment and shareholder returns.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A substantial drop in revenue indicates challenges in sustaining growth, potentially impacting long-term profitability and market position.

Decreased Profit Margins

Reduced profit margins suggest inefficiencies and increased costs, which could hinder the company's ability to generate sustainable profits.

Reduced Return on Equity

A decline in return on equity reflects reduced profitability for shareholders, potentially affecting investor confidence and capital raising capabilities.

Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Duke Capital Limited is a private equity firm specializing in Management Buyouts, buy-and-build strategies, mid-market, minority buyouts, restructuring investments & royalty financing in small and medium size businesses. It does not invest in start-ups, tight margin business models. It does not make venture capital investments. The firm makes investments in every sector with preference towards manufacturing, services, healthcare & IT services. It makes equity investments between £5 million ($6.36 million) and 30 million ($38.18 million) having EBITDA between £2 million ($2.54 million) and £10 million ($12.72 million). It also finances through loan sizes between £10 million ($12.72 million) and £30 million ($38.18 million). It focuses on intellectual property assets and stable, cash flowing businesses, no debt or low levels of debt, and owners not wanting to give up control or existing management wanting to become owners through an MBO. It seeks to provides capital to companies in exchange for rights to a small percentage of future revenues. The firm prefers government and/or regulatory licensed businesses. It prefers board representation in its portfolio companies. It seeks to have minority stakes in its portfolio companies. Duke Capital Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Guernsey, Guernsey with additional offices in Guernsey, Guernsey and London, United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Duke Capital generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from investment banking fees, asset management fees, and returns on private equity investments. The investment banking division earns money by advising clients on mergers and acquisitions, capital raising, and restructuring transactions, charging fees based on the size and complexity of the deals. In asset management, the company collects management fees and performance fees from clients for managing investment portfolios. Additionally, private equity investments contribute to earnings through capital gains and dividends from portfolio companies. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and corporations further enhance DUKE's revenue potential by expanding its client base and access to larger transactions.

Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Duke Capital's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability margins, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity ratio, while cash flow performance remains consistent, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.

Income Statement

Duke Capital's income statement shows a significant decline in revenue by 39.17% in the most recent period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining its revenue streams. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting reduced efficiency in managing production costs. The net profit margin also declined, suggesting lower profitability. However, the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, albeit at lower levels than previous years, indicating some operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has decreased significantly, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, demonstrating consistent cash flow performance relative to earnings.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.01M	15.01M	25.39M	21.88M	18.36M	11.77M
Gross Profit	6.40M	6.40M	19.04M	21.20M	16.62M	11.22M
EBITDA	3.29M	738.00K	28.47M	0.00	-1.72M	0.00
Net Income	2.00M	2.00M	11.61M	19.59M	20.39M	13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	268.60M	268.60M	238.31M	221.52M	183.73M	105.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	19.77M	19.77M	36.26M	41.73M	26.54M	15.96M
Total Debt	88.33M	88.33M	70.88M	55.07M	48.85M	18.13M
Total Liabilities	91.05M	91.05M	73.03M	57.26M	50.79M	20.13M
Stockholders Equity	177.55M	177.55M	165.28M	164.26M	132.94M	85.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	10.28M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	71.92M	9.40M
Operating Cash Flow	17.16M	21.52M	16.92M	10.72M	9.34M	7.53M
Investing Cash Flow	-22.87M	-22.87M	-26.38M	-25.17M	-61.83M	-8.42M
Financing Cash Flow	22.69M	18.33M	-2.75M	17.71M	56.49M	-1.83M

Duke Capital Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 27.75
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.22, below the 50-day MA of 27.91, and below the 200-day MA of 27.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:DUKE.

Duke Capital Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CLIG	76 Outperform	£182.02M	12.14	13.07%	8.15%	1.29%	11.17%
REC	72 Outperform	£106.21M	13.79	30.60%	8.61%	-11.43%	-17.65%
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
MERC	67 Neutral	£126.39M	37.82	1.79%	3.29%	-9.37%	―
LIO	64 Neutral	£167.02M	13.36	9.72%	21.31%	-15.65%	-12.27%
DUKE	63 Neutral	£139.36M	29.21	1.17%	9.74%	2.13%	-61.22%
IPX	62 Neutral	£182.15M	9.44	16.48%	17.93%	-16.53%	-44.15%

Duke Capital Corporate Events

Duke Capital Reports Resilient Interim Results Amid Challenging Market Conditions

Duke Capital Limited reported its interim financial results for the six months ending September 30, 2025, showcasing resilience and a platform for growth despite challenging market conditions. The company achieved a recurring cash revenue of £13.2 million, a 3% increase from the previous year, and maintained a free cash flow of £5.9 million. Duke Capital’s disciplined investment strategy led to over £15 million in deployments to existing capital partners, supporting strategic acquisitions and organic expansion. The company anticipates a 5% increase in recurring cash revenue in Q3 FY26 and has made significant investments, including acquiring Galway Bay FM. Despite market headwinds, Duke Capital remains focused on delivering long-term shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and a robust balance sheet.

Duke Capital Boosts Step Investments with £3.7 Million for Irish Radio Expansion

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £3.7 million into Step Investments Limited, enabling Step’s subsidiary, Bay Broadcasting Limited, to acquire Galway Bay FM, a leading radio station in Galway, Ireland. This acquisition expands Bay’s portfolio to four prominent Irish radio stations and positions it as the second largest commercial radio group in Ireland. The financing increases Duke’s total credit financing in Step to £15.2 million, reflecting Duke’s ongoing support and strategic partnership with Step to enhance its media asset portfolio across the UK and Ireland.

Duke Capital Boosts Investment in Integrum for Strategic Acquisition

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £6.0 million into Integrum Group Holdings Limited to facilitate its acquisition of Swanborough House, a care home specializing in acquired brain injury rehabilitation. This investment increases Duke’s total credit financing in Integrum to £20.5 million and supports Integrum’s buy-and-build strategy, enhancing its portfolio in the elderly care sector. The acquisition will expand Integrum’s reach, catering to over 300 service users and employing over 550 staff, further solidifying its position in the market.

Duke Capital Reports 3% Increase in Q2 Recurring Cash Revenue Amid Challenging Market

Duke Capital Limited has announced its trading update for the second quarter of the financial year ending March 2026, expecting recurring cash revenue of £6.6 million, a 3% increase from the previous year. Despite challenging market conditions with high inflation, the company continues to deliver year-on-year growth in recurring cash revenues. The recent fall in the UK base rate is seen as beneficial for Duke’s business model, enhancing its ability to deliver long-term value for shareholders.

Duke Capital Declares Interim Dividend for Q2 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced an interim dividend of 0.70 pence per share for the second quarter of its financial year, reflecting its commitment to providing attractive returns to shareholders. The ex-dividend date is set for 25 September 2025, with the record date on 26 September 2025 and payment scheduled for 14 October 2025. This announcement underscores Duke Capital’s ongoing strategy to offer stable and attractive dividends, reinforcing its position as a reliable investment option in the hybrid capital solutions market.