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Duke Capital (GB:DUKE)
LSE:DUKE
UK Market
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Duke Capital (DUKE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:DUKE

Duke Capital

(LSE:DUKE)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
28.00p
▲(0.00% Upside)
Duke Capital's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, while the high dividend yield offers some appeal despite an overvalued P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits additional insights.

Duke Capital (DUKE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Duke Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDuke Capital Limited is a private equity firm specializing in Management Buyouts, buy-and-build strategies, mid-market, minority buyouts, restructuring investments & royalty financing in small and medium size businesses. It does not invest in start-ups, tight margin business models. It does not make venture capital investments. The firm makes investments in every sector with preference towards manufacturing, services, healthcare & IT services. It makes equity investments between £5 million ($6.36 million) and 30 million ($38.18 million) having EBITDA between £2 million ($2.54 million) and £10 million ($12.72 million). It also finances through loan sizes between £10 million ($12.72 million) and £30 million ($38.18 million). It focuses on intellectual property assets and stable, cash flowing businesses, no debt or low levels of debt, and owners not wanting to give up control or existing management wanting to become owners through an MBO. It seeks to provides capital to companies in exchange for rights to a small percentage of future revenues. The firm prefers government and/or regulatory licensed businesses. It prefers board representation in its portfolio companies. It seeks to have minority stakes in its portfolio companies. Duke Capital Limited was founded in 2015 and is based in Guernsey, Guernsey with additional offices in Guernsey, Guernsey and London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyDuke Capital generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from management fees and performance fees associated with its asset management services. The company charges management fees based on the assets under management (AUM) and earns additional performance fees when investments exceed predefined benchmarks. Additionally, Duke Capital earns revenue from advisory services provided to clients in mergers and acquisitions, as well as from underwriting and trading activities in capital markets. Strategic partnerships with institutional investors and financial technology firms further bolster its revenue potential by expanding its service offerings and enhancing operational efficiency.

Duke Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Duke Capital's financial performance is challenged by declining revenue and profitability margins, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity ratio, while cash flow performance remains consistent, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Duke Capital's income statement shows a significant decline in revenue by 39.17% in the most recent period, indicating potential challenges in maintaining its revenue streams. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, reflecting reduced efficiency in managing production costs. The net profit margin also declined, suggesting lower profitability. However, the company has maintained positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, albeit at lower levels than previous years, indicating some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.50, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity has decreased significantly, reflecting reduced profitability for shareholders. However, the equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decline in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains stable at 1.0, demonstrating consistent cash flow performance relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.01M15.01M25.39M21.88M18.36M11.77M
Gross Profit6.40M6.40M19.04M21.20M16.62M11.22M
EBITDA3.29M738.00K28.47M0.00-1.72M0.00
Net Income2.00M2.00M11.61M19.59M20.39M13.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.60M268.60M238.31M221.52M183.73M105.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.77M19.77M36.26M41.73M26.54M15.96M
Total Debt88.33M88.33M70.88M55.07M48.85M18.13M
Total Liabilities91.05M91.05M73.03M57.26M50.79M20.13M
Stockholders Equity177.55M177.55M165.28M164.26M132.94M85.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.28M21.52M16.92M10.72M71.92M9.40M
Operating Cash Flow17.16M21.52M16.92M10.72M9.34M7.53M
Investing Cash Flow-22.87M-22.87M-26.38M-25.17M-61.83M-8.42M
Financing Cash Flow22.69M18.33M-2.75M17.71M56.49M-1.83M

Duke Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.00
Price Trends
50DMA
28.36
Negative
100DMA
28.77
Negative
200DMA
27.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
49.16
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DUKE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.98, below the 50-day MA of 28.36, and above the 200-day MA of 27.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:DUKE.

Duke Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
52
Neutral
60.561.17%10.00%-2.74%-82.86%
47
Neutral
£2.26M-2.0080.00%
44
Neutral
-95.95%-100.00%
38
Underperform
£443.01K-0.43-96.59%93.69%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:DUKE
Duke Capital
28.00
0.46
1.67%
GB:JADE
Jade Road Investments
1.15
-0.85
-42.50%
GB:GUN
Gunsynd
0.16
0.04
33.33%
GB:CHP
Vela Technologies

Duke Capital Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Duke Capital Boosts Step Investments with £3.7 Million for Irish Radio Expansion
Positive
Oct 17, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £3.7 million into Step Investments Limited, enabling Step’s subsidiary, Bay Broadcasting Limited, to acquire Galway Bay FM, a leading radio station in Galway, Ireland. This acquisition expands Bay’s portfolio to four prominent Irish radio stations and positions it as the second largest commercial radio group in Ireland. The financing increases Duke’s total credit financing in Step to £15.2 million, reflecting Duke’s ongoing support and strategic partnership with Step to enhance its media asset portfolio across the UK and Ireland.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Hold with a £28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Duke Capital Boosts Investment in Integrum for Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced a follow-on investment of £6.0 million into Integrum Group Holdings Limited to facilitate its acquisition of Swanborough House, a care home specializing in acquired brain injury rehabilitation. This investment increases Duke’s total credit financing in Integrum to £20.5 million and supports Integrum’s buy-and-build strategy, enhancing its portfolio in the elderly care sector. The acquisition will expand Integrum’s reach, catering to over 300 service users and employing over 550 staff, further solidifying its position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Duke Capital Reports 3% Increase in Q2 Recurring Cash Revenue Amid Challenging Market
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced its trading update for the second quarter of the financial year ending March 2026, expecting recurring cash revenue of £6.6 million, a 3% increase from the previous year. Despite challenging market conditions with high inflation, the company continues to deliver year-on-year growth in recurring cash revenues. The recent fall in the UK base rate is seen as beneficial for Duke’s business model, enhancing its ability to deliver long-term value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Hold with a £30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Duke Capital Declares Interim Dividend for Q2 2025
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced an interim dividend of 0.70 pence per share for the second quarter of its financial year, reflecting its commitment to providing attractive returns to shareholders. The ex-dividend date is set for 25 September 2025, with the record date on 26 September 2025 and payment scheduled for 14 October 2025. This announcement underscores Duke Capital’s ongoing strategy to offer stable and attractive dividends, reinforcing its position as a reliable investment option in the hybrid capital solutions market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Hold with a £30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Duke Capital Announces Successful AGM Resolution Outcomes
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

Duke Capital Limited announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its recent Annual General Meeting, indicating strong shareholder support for its strategic direction. This development reinforces Duke’s position in the market as a reliable provider of hybrid capital solutions, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Duke Capital Announces New Performance Share Awards and Vesting of Previous Awards
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Duke Capital Limited has announced the approval of 4,663,000 conditional rights to acquire ordinary shares under its Long-Term Incentive Plan (LTIP) for the financial year ending March 2025. The performance share awards (PSAs) will vest over three years, contingent on performance conditions related to shareholder return and cash distribution per share. Additionally, 1,318,233 PSAs from the 2022 financial year have vested, with some shares sold to cover tax liabilities. This move underscores Duke Capital’s commitment to aligning employee incentives with company performance, potentially enhancing its market position and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:DUKE) stock is a Buy with a £46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Duke Capital stock, see the GB:DUKE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025