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Corcel (GB:CRCL)
LSE:CRCL

Corcel (CRCL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CRCL

Corcel

(LSE:CRCL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
0.32p
▼(-15.79% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, expanding losses, and ongoing cash burn), with technical indicators also indicating a soft near-term trend (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support because the negative P/E reflects unprofitable operations and dividend yield data is unavailable.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Relatively low and improving leverage reduces near-term refinancing pressure and gives the company financial flexibility to fund development or bridge to commercial revenues. This durable balance-sheet strength lowers bankruptcy risk as losses continue.
Lean Cost Base
A very small headcount implies a lean operating structure and lower fixed overhead, enabling runway extension and more flexible spending decisions. Over months, a low fixed-cost base helps conserve cash while the company pursues commercialization.
Pre-commercial Stage Opportunity
Being in an early or pre-commercial phase means current losses reflect investment in development rather than failed demand. If commercialization succeeds, revenue could scale materially; this structural position preserves upside potential for months ahead.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Consistent and worsening operating cash outflows indicate the business is not generating internal funds and will need external financing to sustain operations. Over a multi-month horizon this raises dilution and execution risk if capital markets tighten.
Widening Losses
Materially increasing operating losses combined with effectively no revenue signal the core business is not yet sustainable. Persisting negative EBIT/EBITDA erodes reserves and makes multi-month operational continuity contingent on new funding or rapid commercial progress.
Eroding Equity and Negative ROE
A shrinking equity base and deeply negative returns on equity reflect cumulative losses that reduce the company's shock-absorbing capacity. Structurally, this increases vulnerability to funding stress and constrains strategic options over the coming months.

Corcel (CRCL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Corcel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCorcel Plc engages in the exploration and development of natural resources and battery metals. The company owns a 41% in the Mambare nickel-cobalt project with license EL1390 covering 256 square kilometers near Kokoda in Papua New Guinea; and 50% interest in the Dempster vanadium project comprising 196 mineral claims covering an area of 40.96 square kilometers located in Yukon, as well as 100% interest in the WoWo Gap nickel-cobalt project in Papua New Guinea. It is also involved in the energy storage, and grid backup and trading activities, as well as develops energy storage and solar projects in the United Kingdom. The company was formerly known as Regency Mines Plc and changed its name to Corcel Plc in August 2020. Corcel Plc was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCorcel generates revenue through the exploration and production of natural resources, primarily focusing on energy-related projects. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of extracted resources such as minerals and energy products. Additionally, Corcel may engage in partnerships and joint ventures with other organizations to enhance project development and share the financial and operational responsibilities. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by market demand for energy resources, commodity price fluctuations, and regulatory policies impacting the energy sector.

Corcel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial quality is weak: revenue is near-zero in most years, losses have widened materially (net income from -1.3M in 2023 to -6.8M in 2025), and operating cash burn remains high (operating cash flow worsening to about -2.9M in 2025). The main offset is a relatively low debt load, but equity has declined sharply, increasing financing risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The income statement is weak: revenue is effectively zero in most years (only 2023 shows a small revenue base), while losses have widened meaningfully, with net income deteriorating from -1.3M (2023) to -3.0M (2024) and -6.8M (2025). Operating results are consistently negative (EBIT and EBITDA losses every year), indicating the business is not yet operating at a sustainable scale. A modest positive is that low reported revenue also suggests the company is still in an early/pre-commercial phase rather than experiencing a clear demand collapse.
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
The balance sheet is comparatively more stable. Leverage is low-to-moderate, with debt-to-equity around 0.11–0.25 in most years and improving to ~0.17 in 2025 as debt fell to 0.6M. However, equity has declined sharply from 5.9M (2024) to 3.3M (2025), consistent with ongoing losses and potential dilution/asset changes. Returns on equity are deeply negative (notably ~-2.08 in 2025), highlighting that capital is not currently generating profits.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash flow quality is weak and trending riskier: operating cash flow is persistently negative and has worsened recently (about -1.3M in 2023, -2.4M in 2024, and -2.9M in 2025), indicating rising cash burn. Free cash flow is also negative each year, though 2025 improved versus 2024 (less negative), suggesting some spending discipline. A key weakness is that cash generation does not support the income statement—losses are being funded externally rather than through operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.00104.00K0.000.00
Gross Profit-168.000.00-144.00K-10.00K-91.00-121.00
EBITDA-3.33M-3.33M-2.84M-1.87M-1.36M-1.16M
Net Income-6.78M-6.78M-3.04M-1.26M-2.13M-1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.31M8.31M12.05M6.83M5.49M4.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments507.00K507.00K268.00K257.00K25.00K420.00K
Total Debt555.00K555.00K1.33M602.00K1.42M883.00K
Total Liabilities5.05M5.05M6.17M1.32M1.12M985.00K
Stockholders Equity3.27M3.27M5.88M5.52M3.12M4.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.91M-2.91M-4.05M-1.71M-1.27K-971.00K
Operating Cash Flow-2.91M-2.91M-2.44M-1.32M-1.19K-909.00K
Investing Cash Flow-604.00K-604.00K-1.23M779.00K-257.00-150.00K
Financing Cash Flow3.77M3.77M3.70M784.00K1.09K1.45M

Corcel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.38
Price Trends
50DMA
0.36
Negative
100DMA
0.36
Negative
200DMA
0.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.16
Neutral
STOCH
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CRCL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.34, above the 50-day MA of 0.36, and above the 200-day MA of 0.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:CRCL.

Corcel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
£56.37M70.0016.95%53.42%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
£38.78M-13.00-7.78%-19.57%
50
Neutral
£39.38M-15.28-6.07%76.92%
49
Neutral
£56.71M-3.88-8.18%
44
Neutral
£28.95M-2.13-78.37%
43
Neutral
£38.86M-4.89-695.40%9.40%-11.81%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CRCL
Corcel
0.34
0.18
112.50%
GB:80M
Bluejay Mining
1.24
0.96
335.09%
GB:SML
Strategic Minerals
2.10
1.88
833.33%
GB:FAR
Ferro-Alloy Resources Ltd.
6.95
-1.45
-17.26%
GB:BRES
Blencowe Resources Plc
8.25
4.00
94.12%
GB:ZNWD
Zinnwald Lithium Plc
7.15
-0.21
-2.85%

Corcel Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Corcel Transforms Into High-Impact E&P Player With Dominant Kwanza Basin Position
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Corcel reported a year of strategic transformation in which it moved from corporate repositioning to execution of a defined growth plan, underpinned by strengthened governance, a refreshed and more technically focused board, and increased personal investment from directors and management. The company now ends the financial year as a better-capitalised, more resilient business with a focused portfolio of oil and gas assets, a larger institutional shareholder base, and an executive team geared to manage its expanding operational footprint.

Operationally, Corcel has consolidated a commanding position in Angola’s onshore Kwanza Basin, increasing its net interest in Block KON-16 to 71.5% and securing 80% operated control via Atlas Petroleum Exploration, while progressing a full suite of technical work including basin-wide surveys, seismic reprocessing, environmental approvals, and permitting to support a planned 2026 exploration well. The company has also reactivated work on brownfield assets in KON-11 and KON-12 to pursue nearer-term production, entered a strategic alliance with Sintana Energy that brings development funding and validates asset value, and attracted global institutional investors as its market capitalisation and share price have risen sharply, positioning Corcel as an ambitious emerging E&P player with a more disciplined, shareholder-focused strategy.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corcel PLC Secures £3 Million to Propel Strategic Growth
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

Corcel PLC has successfully raised £3 million through an equity placing, attracting two new shareholders with significant institutional investment experience. This fundraising supports Corcel’s strategic activities, including ongoing operations in its 2D seismic program at KON-16 and other growth opportunities in Angola and internationally. The company anticipates 2026 to be transformative, with key milestones expected to drive substantial growth in shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Corcel PLC to Host Investor Presentation to Strengthen Stakeholder Engagement
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

Corcel PLC announced it will host a live investor presentation on December 3, 2025, via Investor Meet Company. This event is open to existing and potential shareholders, allowing them to engage with the company and submit questions. This initiative reflects Corcel’s efforts to maintain transparency and strengthen investor relations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Corcel PLC Successfully Passes Key Resolution at General Meeting
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Corcel PLC announced the successful passing of a resolution at its General Meeting, with an overwhelming majority of 99.44% voting in favor. This development is expected to support Corcel’s strategic initiatives in its core markets of Angola and Brazil, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market position.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Corcel PLC Secures Environmental Licence for KON-16 Seismic and Drilling Operations
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Corcel PLC has received the final ministerial approval for the Environmental Impact Assessment, granting an Environmental Licence for seismic acquisition and exploration drilling in the KON-16 Block, onshore Angola. This approval, along with a signed contract with BGP for seismic services, marks a significant operational milestone for Corcel, enabling the commencement of seismic acquisition operations. The acquisition of 2D seismic data is crucial for advancing towards drilling a high-impact well, enhancing Corcel’s exploration capabilities and positioning in the energy sector.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Corcel PLC Adopts New Incentive Plans to Align Leadership and Shareholder Interests
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Corcel PLC has announced the adoption of a Founder Share Plan (FSP) and a Share Option Plan (SOP) aimed at recruiting, retaining, and incentivizing its directors and senior staff. These plans are designed to align the interests of the leadership team with shareholders by linking rewards to the creation of shareholder value. The FSP and SOP have been developed with independent expert advice and feedback from major shareholders, ensuring they align with market practices. The company is also considering establishing an employee benefit trust to support these plans and limit shareholder dilution.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Corcel PLC Secures £3.85 Million Through Warrant Exercise to Boost Exploration Efforts
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

Corcel PLC has successfully exercised all of its February 2025 Warrants, raising £3.85 million. This funding, along with anticipated funds from a transaction with Sintana Energy, positions Corcel to advance its exploration activities, particularly in the Kwanza Basin. The company’s issued share capital now comprises 7,630,333,138 Ordinary shares, reflecting the total voting rights. This development marks a significant step in Corcel’s strategic growth, enhancing its financial stability and operational capacity in the energy sector.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Corcel PLC Announces Successful Warrant Exercise and Trading Update
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Corcel PLC announced the successful exercise of 1,332,500,000 warrants, generating £2,998,125 in proceeds, with expectations for further exercises to support operational activities. The company has applied for additional warrant shares to be admitted to trading on AIM, with the total issued share capital now comprising 7,295,958,138 ordinary shares, impacting shareholder voting rights and transparency obligations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026