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Tritax Big Box REIT PLC (GB:BBOX)
LSE:BBOX
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Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:BBOX

Tritax Big Box REIT

(LSE:BBOX)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
160.00p
▲(4.71% Upside)
Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth potential, particularly in logistics and data centers, as highlighted in the earnings call. The stock's valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. Technical indicators are neutral, suggesting no immediate trend direction. The company's financial stability is solid, though increased leverage and past revenue volatility are potential risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant increase in net rental income reflects strong demand for logistics properties, supporting sustainable revenue growth and enhancing long-term profitability.
Strategic Execution
Successful strategic initiatives, such as asset integration and data center expansion, position the company for future growth and competitive advantage in the logistics sector.
Growth Outlook
The ambitious growth target underscores the company's strong market position and strategic focus on expanding rental income and development pipelines, ensuring long-term value creation.
Negative Factors
Increased Leverage
Rising debt levels could limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain stable cash flows.
Revenue Volatility
Past revenue volatility may indicate challenges in maintaining consistent growth, which could affect investor confidence and the company's ability to achieve long-term financial targets.
Market Vacancy
Rising vacancy rates and reduced speculative development could hinder future occupancy rates and rental income growth, challenging the company's market position.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Tritax Big Box REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTritax Big Box REIT plc is the only listed vehicle dedicated to investing in very large logistics warehouse assets (Big Boxes) in the UK and is committed to delivering attractive and sustainable returns for shareholders. Investing in and actively managing existing built investments, land suitable for Big Box development and developments predominantly delivered through pre-let forward funded basis, the Company focuses on large, well-located, modern Big Box logistics assets, let to institutional-grade tenants on long-term leases (typically at least 12 years in length) with upward-only rent reviews and geographic and tenant diversification throughout the UK. The Company seeks to exploit the significant opportunity in this sub-sector of the UK logistics market owing to strong tenant demand and limited supply of Big Boxes. The Company is a real estate investment trust to which Part 12 of the UK Corporation Tax Act 2010 applies (REIT), is listed on the premium segment of the Official List of the UK Financial Conduct Authority and is a constituent of the FTSE 250, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT and MSCI indices.
How the Company Makes MoneyTritax Big Box REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of logistics properties. The company leases its properties to a diverse range of tenants, including major retailers and logistics companies, typically under long-term leases that provide stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, the REIT may benefit from property appreciation and value enhancement initiatives, such as refurbishments or expansions, which can lead to increased rental rates. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and enhance its market presence, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Tritax Big Box REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance and strategic execution, with significant potential for future growth driven by logistics and data center developments. However, challenges such as noncore asset performance issues and increased market vacancy are noted. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted EPS increased by 6.4%, dividend per share grew by 4.9%, and property valuation performance led to EPRA NTA per share growth of 1.4%. Net rental income increased by 17.3% to over GBP 149 million.
Successful Strategic Execution
Integration of UKCM Logistics assets and a second data center opportunity secured. Successful refinancing of two debt facilities and a strong balance sheet with a portfolio value increase of 4.2% to GBP 6.8 billion.
Growth Drivers and Outlook
Potential to deliver earnings growth of 50% by the end of 2030, driven by record rental reversion, logistics development pipeline, and data center developments. Anticipated rental income increase from GBP 300 million to GBP 790 million per annum.
Operational Achievements
Achieved GBP 5.6 million in rental growth through asset management and development pipeline progress with 0.8 million square feet of developments completing.
Sustainability and ESG Ratings
Progress towards 2025 sustainability targets with strong ESG ratings, including MSCI, GRESB, and CDP.
Negative Updates
Noncore Asset Performance Issues
Reduction related to noncore asset performance and an impairment recorded against a single site due to planning-related delays.
Increased Market Vacancy Rate
Market vacancy increased to 7.1% with a lower speculative development pipeline due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the recent call, Tritax Big Box provided a comprehensive update on its performance for the first half of 2025, highlighting significant growth and strategic progress. Key financial metrics included a 6.4% increase in adjusted EPS, a 4.9% rise in dividend per share, and a 1.4% growth in EPRA NTA per share to 188.2p. The company reported a total accounting return of 3.6% for the six months, with net rental income increasing by 17.3% to over GBP 149 million. Tritax achieved a 4.2% increase in portfolio value to GBP 6.8 billion, supported by a GBP 92 million gain on revaluation and GBP 278 million in asset disposals. Strategically, Tritax integrated UKCM Logistics assets, secured a second data center opportunity, and successfully refinanced two debt facilities, driving future earnings growth potential and superior risk-adjusted returns. The company reiterated its guidance to deliver a 50% increase in earnings by 2030, emphasizing strong operational performance and strategic execution across logistics and data center developments.

Tritax Big Box REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tritax Big Box REIT's financial statements reflect strong growth and profitability, particularly in the latest year, with efficient cost management and solid cash flow generation. While the company is financially stable with a robust equity base, potential risks include increased leverage and past revenue volatility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows impressive revenue growth with a significant turnaround from negative to positive revenue in 2024. Gross profit margins are high, and there is a notable improvement in net income from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT margin is exceptionally strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the volatility in revenue from 2022 to 2023, due to the negative figures, poses potential stability concerns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet displays a solid equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, reflecting manageable leverage. The company has increased its stockholders' equity significantly over the years. However, the increase in total debt from 2023 to 2024 requires attention, as it may impact future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent free cash flow generation with a positive operating cash flow trend, supporting the company's operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management. However, the fluctuations in capital expenditures and investing cash flow suggest potential volatility in investment activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue243.95M294.30M228.80M-573.50M996.10M487.30M
Gross Profit223.55M276.10M222.50M-607.70M964.80M464.70M
EBITDA214.10M266.00M179.10M0.000.000.00
Net Income341.80M445.50M70.00M-599.40M972.60M449.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.99B6.70B5.10B5.16B5.59B4.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.10M80.60M36.40M47.40M70.90M57.60M
Total Debt2.16B1.95B1.62B1.61B1.35B1.34B
Total Liabilities2.35B2.13B1.77B1.81B1.52B1.49B
Stockholders Equity4.63B4.57B3.33B3.35B4.08B2.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow161.00M195.40M185.30M177.40M191.90M7.60M
Operating Cash Flow161.00M195.40M185.30M177.40M196.10M137.60M
Investing Cash Flow-183.00M-82.30M-67.20M-302.10M-327.30M-150.20M
Financing Cash Flow39.50M-68.70M-81.30M101.20M144.50M49.00M

Tritax Big Box REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price152.80
Price Trends
50DMA
143.72
Positive
100DMA
141.38
Positive
200DMA
139.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.58
Negative
RSI
65.80
Neutral
STOCH
69.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BBOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 152.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.67, above the 50-day MA of 143.72, and above the 200-day MA of 139.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BBOX.

Tritax Big Box REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
£4.47B11.238.66%6.28%122.74%60.58%
79
Outperform
£4.11B8.879.42%5.15%35.06%127.62%
76
Outperform
$2.19B10.858.06%4.18%2.44%-18.76%
74
Outperform
£4.77B12.056.13%5.19%0.97%
74
Outperform
£9.58B15.455.20%4.12%-4.77%
73
Outperform
4.41%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BBOX
Tritax Big Box REIT
152.80
22.40
17.18%
GB:BYG
Big Yellow Group
1,110.00
-15.71
-1.40%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
640.00
83.82
15.07%
GB:LMP
LondonMetric Property
196.20
19.08
10.77%
GB:SHED
Urban Logistics REIT plc
156.00
52.00
50.00%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
726.40
-16.90
-2.27%

Tritax Big Box REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tritax Big Box REIT Completes Strategic £1.04 Billion Logistics Portfolio Acquisition
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has completed the acquisition of a £1.04 billion logistics portfolio from Blackstone Europe LLP, funded through a combination of cash and new shares. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Tritax’s earnings per share, expand its urban logistics offerings, and strengthen its position in the UK logistics market. The acquisition is anticipated to deliver immediate financial benefits, including mid-single-digit EPS accretion and enhanced returns above the cost of capital, supporting Tritax’s goal of growing adjusted earnings by 50% by 2030. Blackstone’s investment as a shareholder reflects confidence in Tritax’s strategy and the UK logistics sector, with the acquisition offering significant rental reversion potential and a compelling entry point due to replacement costs exceeding the acquisition price.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tritax Big Box REIT Acquires £1.04 Billion Logistics Portfolio from Blackstone
Positive
Oct 13, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced the acquisition of a £1.04 billion logistics portfolio from Blackstone, expected to enhance earnings and expand their urban logistics footprint. The acquisition, funded through a mix of cash and shares, is strategically positioned to leverage rental reversion potential and strengthen Tritax’s market position, with Blackstone becoming a significant shareholder.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tritax Big Box REIT Appoints Deloitte as New Auditor
Neutral
Oct 9, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has appointed Deloitte LLP as its new external auditor following a competitive tender process, replacing BDO LLP for the financial year ending 31 December 2026, pending shareholder approval. This change is part of a regulatory requirement for public interest entities to conduct an audit tender every ten years, and it reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining robust governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Declares Interim Dividend for Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 1.915 pence per ordinary share for the period from 1 July 2025 to 30 September 2025, payable on 27 November 2025. This dividend reflects the company’s commitment to maintaining a high payout ratio, with the aim of exceeding 90% of adjusted earnings. The announcement underscores Tritax Big Box’s strategy of delivering consistent returns to shareholders and highlights its strong position in the logistics real estate sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tritax Big Box REIT Finalizes Warehouse REIT Bid Without Increase
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced that it will not be increasing its cash and share offer for the acquisition of Warehouse REIT PLC, despite a competitive bid from Wapping Bidco Ltd. The decision reflects Tritax’s commitment to disciplined capital allocation and its belief that a higher offer would not benefit its shareholders. This move concludes the bidding process for Warehouse REIT, with Tritax maintaining its strategic focus on efficient capital management and potential future M&A opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Tritax Big Box REIT’s Strong Earnings and Strategic Growth
Aug 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Tritax Big Box REIT revealed a strong overall performance, characterized by significant growth in earnings and rental income. The company has made strategic moves in debt refinancing and successfully integrated UKCM assets. Despite these positive developments, challenges such as market uncertainties and increased vacancy rates pose potential risks. However, the company’s focus on data center and logistics developments provides optimism for future growth.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Significant Share Purchase by Management
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced the purchase of 1,817,423 ordinary shares by its management team and partners, including persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) and abrdn Holdings Limited. This acquisition, conducted under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholders and could potentially enhance stakeholder confidence in its operational and market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Declares Interim Dividend for Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 1.915 pence per ordinary share for the period from April to June 2025, payable in September. This dividend aligns with the company’s policy of distributing 25% of the previous year’s annual dividend in the first three quarters, aiming for a pay-out ratio exceeding 90% of adjusted earnings. The announcement reflects Tritax’s ongoing commitment to providing attractive returns to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, driven by three key growth drivers: capturing rental reversion, developing logistics assets, and expanding data center opportunities. The company achieved a 17.3% increase in net rental income and a 6.4% rise in adjusted earnings per share, supported by strategic asset management and development activities. Tritax is optimistic about its future prospects, with plans to grow adjusted earnings by 50% by 2030 and significant progress in data center projects promising high yields. The company also completed £278.2 million in disposals to support self-funding of growth opportunities, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a 30.9% loan-to-value ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box Secures Major Lease at Symmetry Park, Rugby
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has signed a 15-year lease agreement with a leading data management company for its newly completed 391,000 sq ft logistics facility at Symmetry Park, Rugby. This transaction sets a new rental high for the scheme, highlighting the location’s strength and the company’s insight-driven approach to development. The facility, built to net-zero carbon standards, underscores Tritax’s commitment to high-quality, sustainable logistics solutions, with strong interest in the remaining units further demonstrating the site’s appeal.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT to Release 2025 Half-Year Results with Investor Engagement Events
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced the release of its 2025 half-year results on August 6, 2025, which will include updates on financial and operational performance, strategic progress, and market insights. The company will host presentations for analysts, institutional investors, and retail investors, providing opportunities for engagement and questions. This announcement reflects Tritax’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2025