tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Tritax Big Box REIT PLC (GB:BBOX)
LSE:BBOX
Advertisement

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
172 Followers

Top Page

GB:BBOX

Tritax Big Box REIT

(LSE:BBOX)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
161.00p
▲(13.62% Upside)
Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates strong financial performance and promising strategic initiatives, particularly in data centers and logistics developments. The low P/E ratio and high dividend yield enhance its attractiveness. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to weak momentum, and market uncertainties could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Asset Management
Progress on asset management continues, with £2.3m of incremental rental revenue added YTD; this represents an 8.3% absolute increase in rent, with open market rent reviews delivering +37%.
Market Environment
BBOX reports a positive start to the year, with the market environment remaining supportive of ongoing rental growth.
Negative Factors
Business Confidence
The discount to NTA reflects continued concern over depressed business confidence feeding into lower net absorption and rising vacancy.
Market Vacancy
There are nevertheless still some broader market concerns over vacancy having risen to 6.3% across the market compared to 5.6% at the end of last year.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Tritax Big Box REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTritax Big Box REIT plc is the only listed vehicle dedicated to investing in very large logistics warehouse assets (Big Boxes) in the UK and is committed to delivering attractive and sustainable returns for shareholders. Investing in and actively managing existing built investments, land suitable for Big Box development and developments predominantly delivered through pre-let forward funded basis, the Company focuses on large, well-located, modern Big Box logistics assets, let to institutional-grade tenants on long-term leases (typically at least 12 years in length) with upward-only rent reviews and geographic and tenant diversification throughout the UK. The Company seeks to exploit the significant opportunity in this sub-sector of the UK logistics market owing to strong tenant demand and limited supply of Big Boxes. The Company is a real estate investment trust to which Part 12 of the UK Corporation Tax Act 2010 applies (REIT), is listed on the premium segment of the Official List of the UK Financial Conduct Authority and is a constituent of the FTSE 250, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT and MSCI indices.
How the Company Makes MoneyTritax Big Box REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of logistics properties. The company leases its properties to a diverse range of tenants, including major retailers and logistics companies, typically under long-term leases that provide stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, the REIT may benefit from property appreciation and value enhancement initiatives, such as refurbishments or expansions, which can lead to increased rental rates. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and enhance its market presence, further contributing to its revenue streams.

Tritax Big Box REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call indicates a strong overall performance with significant growth in earnings and rental income, strategic debt refinancing, and successful integration of UKCM assets. However, challenges such as market uncertainties and increased vacancy rates present potential risks. The focus on data center and logistics developments provides optimism for future growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Adjusted EPS increased by 6.4%, supporting a 4.9% growth in dividend per share. The company reported a total accounting return of 3.6% for the first half, with an annualized return of 9.6%.
Significant Rental Income Increase
Net rental income increased by 17.3% to over GBP 149 million, mainly due to the acquisition of the UKCM portfolio.
Strategic Debt Refinancing
Successfully refinanced two debt facilities with a diversified debt maturity profile, providing financial flexibility.
Successful Integration and Performance of UKCM Assets
UKCM Logistics assets were fully integrated and contributed to a 13.2% increase in rents.
Data Center Development Progress
Secured a second data center opportunity and advanced discussions with 15 potential clients for Manor Farm project.
Negative Updates
Market Uncertainties
The logistics market faced macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical risk, leading to a subdued start to the year.
Increase in Market Vacancy
Market vacancy increased to 7.1%, with speculative space under construction down significantly.
Noncore Asset Performance Issues
Noncore assets faced performance reductions and an impairment due to planning-related delays.
Company Guidance
During the call, Tritax Big Box provided robust guidance for its financial and operational performance for the first half of 2025. The company reported a 6.4% increase in adjusted EPS and a 4.9% rise in dividends per share, supported by a 17.3% growth in net rental income to over GBP 149 million, primarily due to the acquisition of the UKCM portfolio. Property valuation increased, leading to a 1.4% rise in EPRA NTA per share to 188.2p, with a total accounting return of 3.6%. The CEO, Colin Godfrey, emphasized strategic progress, including the integration of UKCM Logistics assets, a noncore disposal program, and securing a second data center opportunity. The call highlighted three main growth drivers: record rental reversion with ongoing ERV growth, a robust logistics development pipeline, and exceptional returns from data center developments. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a 4.2% increase in portfolio value to GBP 6.8 billion, and GBP 278 million of assets sold. Looking forward, the company reiterated its guidance to deliver earnings growth of 50% by the end of 2030, driven by its strategic focus on capturing rental reversion, logistics development, and data center opportunities.

Tritax Big Box REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tritax Big Box REIT's financial statements show strong growth and profitability in 2024, with high gross profit margins and efficient cost management. The balance sheet indicates financial stability despite increased leverage, and cash flow analysis supports operational efficiency. However, past revenue volatility and increased debt warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows impressive revenue growth with a significant turnaround from negative to positive revenue in 2024. Gross profit margins are high, and there is a notable improvement in net income from 2023 to 2024. The EBIT margin is exceptionally strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, the volatility in revenue from 2022 to 2023, due to the negative figures, poses potential stability concerns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet displays a solid equity ratio, indicating strong financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, reflecting manageable leverage. The company has increased its stockholders' equity significantly over the years. However, the increase in total debt from 2023 to 2024 requires attention, as it may impact future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals consistent free cash flow generation with a positive operating cash flow trend, supporting the company's operational efficiency. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating effective cash management. However, the fluctuations in capital expenditures and investing cash flow suggest potential volatility in investment activities.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue294.30M228.80M-573.50M996.10M487.30M
Gross Profit276.10M222.50M-607.70M964.80M464.70M
EBITDA266.00M179.10M0.000.000.00
Net Income445.50M70.00M-599.40M972.60M449.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.70B5.10B5.16B5.59B4.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.60M36.40M47.40M70.90M57.60M
Total Debt1.95B1.62B1.61B1.35B1.34B
Total Liabilities2.13B1.77B1.81B1.52B1.49B
Stockholders Equity4.57B3.33B3.35B4.08B2.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow195.40M185.30M177.40M191.90M7.60M
Operating Cash Flow195.40M185.30M177.40M196.10M137.60M
Investing Cash Flow-82.30M-67.20M-302.10M-327.30M-150.20M
Financing Cash Flow-68.70M-81.30M101.20M144.50M49.00M

Tritax Big Box REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price141.70
Price Trends
50DMA
145.02
Negative
100DMA
141.72
Negative
200DMA
138.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.84
Negative
RSI
45.95
Neutral
STOCH
56.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BBOX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 141.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.58, below the 50-day MA of 145.02, and above the 200-day MA of 138.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:BBOX.

Tritax Big Box REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
£3.52B8.279.42%5.47%35.06%127.62%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.05-0.66%7.37%3.70%-24.53%
$2.49B9.578.06%4.80%
78
Outperform
£4.48B11.258.66%6.25%122.74%60.58%
73
Outperform
$725.54M40.632.39%5.58%4.41%
69
Neutral
£8.70B14.035.20%4.65%-4.77%
69
Neutral
£4.35B10.986.13%5.67%0.97%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BBOX
Tritax Big Box REIT
141.70
-9.73
-6.43%
BYLOF
Big Yellow Group
12.60
-2.12
-14.40%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
585.00
8.79
1.53%
GB:LMP
LondonMetric Property
191.90
6.77
3.66%
GB:SHED
Urban Logistics REIT plc
156.00
42.75
37.75%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
643.40
-203.05
-23.99%

Tritax Big Box REIT Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Significant Share Purchase by Management
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced the purchase of 1,817,423 ordinary shares by its management team and partners, including persons discharging managerial responsibilities (PDMRs) and abrdn Holdings Limited. This acquisition, conducted under the terms of the Investment Management Agreement, reflects the company’s strategy to align management interests with shareholders and could potentially enhance stakeholder confidence in its operational and market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Declares Interim Dividend for Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 1.915 pence per ordinary share for the period from April to June 2025, payable in September. This dividend aligns with the company’s policy of distributing 25% of the previous year’s annual dividend in the first three quarters, aiming for a pay-out ratio exceeding 90% of adjusted earnings. The announcement reflects Tritax’s ongoing commitment to providing attractive returns to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Reports Strong H1 2025 Performance with Strategic Growth Initiatives
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, driven by three key growth drivers: capturing rental reversion, developing logistics assets, and expanding data center opportunities. The company achieved a 17.3% increase in net rental income and a 6.4% rise in adjusted earnings per share, supported by strategic asset management and development activities. Tritax is optimistic about its future prospects, with plans to grow adjusted earnings by 50% by 2030 and significant progress in data center projects promising high yields. The company also completed £278.2 million in disposals to support self-funding of growth opportunities, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a 30.9% loan-to-value ratio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box Secures Major Lease at Symmetry Park, Rugby
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has signed a 15-year lease agreement with a leading data management company for its newly completed 391,000 sq ft logistics facility at Symmetry Park, Rugby. This transaction sets a new rental high for the scheme, highlighting the location’s strength and the company’s insight-driven approach to development. The facility, built to net-zero carbon standards, underscores Tritax’s commitment to high-quality, sustainable logistics solutions, with strong interest in the remaining units further demonstrating the site’s appeal.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT to Release 2025 Half-Year Results with Investor Engagement Events
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced the release of its 2025 half-year results on August 6, 2025, which will include updates on financial and operational performance, strategic progress, and market insights. The company will host presentations for analysts, institutional investors, and retail investors, providing opportunities for engagement and questions. This announcement reflects Tritax’s ongoing commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Evaluates Strategic Options Amid Increased Offer for Warehouse REIT
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc is evaluating its strategic options following an increased cash offer for Warehouse REIT plc by Wapping Bidco Ltd. The board of Tritax Big Box believes that its proposed cash and share acquisition of Warehouse REIT offers a more attractive proposition for Warehouse shareholders, allowing them to benefit from the combined portfolios of both companies. Tritax Big Box has advised Warehouse shareholders to refrain from taking any action regarding the Blackstone Offer until further announcements are made.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Targets 50% Earnings Growth by 2030
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has announced its potential to grow adjusted earnings by 50% by 2030, driven by record rental reversion, a significant logistics development pipeline, and high returns from pre-let data centre opportunities. The company is leveraging its efficient cost structure and strong balance sheet to capitalize on these growth drivers, aiming to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns to shareholders. The investor seminar will provide insights into ongoing asset management initiatives and the strategic focus on logistics and data centres, highlighting the company’s unique position in the UK real estate market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Hold with a £165.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Strategic Acquisition of Warehouse REIT
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced a recommended cash and share acquisition of Warehouse REIT plc, which will be executed through a scheme of arrangement. The acquisition offers Warehouse shareholders a combination of new BBOX shares and cash, with a total value of approximately £485.2 million, representing a significant premium over Warehouse’s recent share prices. This strategic move is expected to enhance Tritax’s position as a leading logistics platform in the UK, providing increased liquidity and lower capital costs. The acquisition is anticipated to be earnings enhancing in the first full financial year post-completion, with expected cost synergies and improved financing terms benefiting the combined group.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces New External Directorship for Wu Gang
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that Wu Gang, a Non-Executive Director of the company, will join Coats Group plc as a Non-Executive Director, effective July 1, 2025. This appointment could enhance Tritax’s strategic positioning by potentially fostering new insights and collaborations within the logistics and supply chain sectors, benefiting stakeholders through expanded expertise and industry connections.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £1.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Secures £400 Million Refinancing to Boost Strategic Investments
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has successfully secured a new £400 million unsecured revolving credit facility, replacing its existing £300 million facility and supporting its strategic investment and development activities. This refinancing, which includes an additional £150 million in bilateral bank facilities, enhances the company’s financial flexibility and aligns with its sustainability and ESG goals, while maintaining a diversified debt maturity profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Tritax Big Box REIT Confirms Compliance Post-UKCM Acquisition
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has confirmed compliance with its post-offer intention statements following its all-share acquisition of UK Commercial Property REIT Limited. This confirmation, required by the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers, marks the completion of the acquisition process, potentially strengthening Tritax’s position in the UK commercial property market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:BBOX) stock is a Buy with a £185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tritax Big Box REIT stock, see the GB:BBOX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025