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Tritax Big Box REIT PLC (GB:BBOX)
LSE:BBOX

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) AI Stock Analysis

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Tritax Big Box REIT

(LSE:BBOX)

83Outperform
Tritax Big Box REIT's overall score reflects strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive earnings call sentiment. The company demonstrates robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and strategic expansion into data centers. While the technical indicators suggest some caution, the company's strategic positioning and solid balance sheet provide a positive outlook for future growth, despite potential risks from leverage and market uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Development
The Company reports strong interest in its recently announced data centre development and planning is ongoing with receipt of consent targeted.
Earnings
BBOX reports a positive start to the year, with the market environment remaining supportive of ongoing rental growth.
Financial Performance
BBOX maintains a conservatively managed balance sheet with a loan to value of 29%, below the guidance range, and 93% of the debt book is fixed.
Negative Factors
Business Confidence
The discount to NTA reflects continued concern over depressed business confidence feeding into lower net absorption and rising vacancy.
Sector Performance
The real estate sector as a whole suffered a predictable sell-off, with the EPRA UK Index now down 15% since the end of Q3 last year.
Vacancy Rates
There are nevertheless still some broader market concerns over vacancy having risen to 6.3% across the market compared to 5.6% at the end of last year.

Tritax Big Box REIT (BBOX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tritax Big Box REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTritax Big Box REIT plc is the only listed vehicle dedicated to investing in very large logistics warehouse assets (Big Boxes) in the UK and is committed to delivering attractive and sustainable returns for shareholders. Investing in and actively managing existing built investments, land suitable for Big Box development and developments predominantly delivered through pre-let forward funded basis, the Company focuses on large, well-located, modern Big Box logistics assets, let to institutional-grade tenants on long-term leases (typically at least 12 years in length) with upward-only rent reviews and geographic and tenant diversification throughout the UK. The Company seeks to exploit the significant opportunity in this sub-sector of the UK logistics market owing to strong tenant demand and limited supply of Big Boxes. The Company is a real estate investment trust to which Part 12 of the UK Corporation Tax Act 2010 applies (REIT), is listed on the premium segment of the Official List of the UK Financial Conduct Authority and is a constituent of the FTSE 250, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT and MSCI indices.
How the Company Makes MoneyTritax Big Box REIT generates revenue primarily through the leasing of its logistics properties to tenants under long-term rental agreements. The company's key revenue streams include rental income, which is typically subject to upward-only rent reviews, providing stable and growing cash flows. Additionally, Tritax Big Box may realize gains through the appreciation of property values in its portfolio, which can be monetized through property sales or revaluation. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with developers and investors to expand its portfolio, thereby enhancing its income-generating capabilities. The demand for logistics and distribution space, driven by the growth of e-commerce and the need for efficient supply chain solutions, is a significant factor contributing to Tritax Big Box's earnings.

Tritax Big Box REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
258.70M228.80M-573.50M996.10M487.30M160.60M
Gross Profit
229.20M222.50M-607.70M964.80M464.70M138.90M
EBIT
205.00M190.70M-561.80M971.10M449.50M141.20M
EBITDA
204.30M179.10M0.000.000.0083.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
156.40M70.00M-599.40M972.60M449.40M141.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
47.37M36.40M47.40M70.90M57.60M21.20M
Total Assets
3.13B5.10B5.16B5.59B4.41B3.86B
Total Debt
820.45M1.62B1.61B1.35B1.34B1.15B
Net Debt
773.08M1.58B1.57B1.27B1.29B1.13B
Total Liabilities
893.18M1.77B1.81B1.52B1.49B1.30B
Stockholders Equity
2.24B3.33B3.35B4.08B2.92B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
149.10M185.30M177.40M191.90M7.60M93.30M
Operating Cash Flow
149.10M185.30M177.40M196.10M137.60M93.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-207.60M-67.20M-302.10M-327.30M-150.20M-474.60M
Financing Cash Flow
89.60M-81.30M101.20M144.50M49.00M383.40M

Tritax Big Box REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price143.00
Price Trends
50DMA
139.39
Positive
100DMA
138.22
Positive
200DMA
143.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.69
Negative
RSI
57.46
Neutral
STOCH
59.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:BBOX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 143 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 138.99, above the 50-day MA of 139.39, and below the 200-day MA of 143.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:BBOX.

Tritax Big Box REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
£3.57B7.3211.28%5.36%38.97%417.46%
GBLMP
82
Outperform
£3.96B18.116.48%5.75%95.26%
73
Outperform
£708.79M39.692.39%4.99%4.41%
71
Outperform
£9.31B15.425.18%4.40%-9.88%
60
Neutral
$2.81B11.040.20%8508.34%6.12%-16.66%
47
Neutral
£4.52B42.231.61%6.68%-1.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:BBOX
Tritax Big Box REIT
143.00
-7.58
-5.03%
BYLOF
Big Yellow Group
13.20
-0.50
-3.65%
GB:LAND
Land Securities Group plc REIT
599.00
-24.90
-3.99%
GB:LMP
LondonMetric Property
192.90
2.37
1.24%
GB:SHED
Urban Logistics REIT plc
152.40
42.86
39.13%
GB:SGRO
Segro plc (REIT)
665.60
-176.25
-20.94%

Tritax Big Box REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tritax Big Box experienced a transformative year with strong financial and operational performance, strategic acquisitions, and promising future growth opportunities, particularly in data center development. Despite some market uncertainties and increased vacancy rates, the company's strategic positioning and strong balance sheet provide a positive outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial and Operational Performance
Tritax Big Box reported excellent financial and operational results for 2024, with significant strategic transformation and increased rental income. The adjusted EPS rose by 15% to 8.91p, and dividends increased by 4.9% to 7.66p per share.
Strategic Acquisition and Integration
The acquisition of UKCM's £1.2 billion portfolio was a major milestone, contributing to increased net rental income and successful integration. The disposal program for non-strategic UKCM assets is ahead of schedule.
Data Center Development Opportunities
The launch of the Power First approach to data centers presents significant future growth opportunities, with a targeted yield on cost of 9.3% for the Manor Farm data center development.
Record Rental Reversion
The company achieved a record 28% rental reversion, expected to capture nearly 80% of this within the next three years, providing strong near-term growth visibility.
Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation
Tritax Big Box maintained a strong balance sheet with a loan-to-value ratio of 28.8% and available liquidity exceeding £550 million. The company plans to deploy significant capital into logistics development and data centers.
Negative Updates
Increased Vacancy Rates
The company reported a rise in vacancy rates to 3.3%, partly due to the acquisition of the UKCM portfolio and the completion of new development assets.
Market Uncertainty and Challenges
Macro-economic and geopolitical uncertainties have caused some businesses to delay long-term commitments, impacting market dynamics.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided in the call for Tritax Big Box's fiscal year 2024 emphasized several key financial and operational metrics. The company reported an adjusted EPS of 8.91p, with a 15% increase, and a dividend of 7.66p per share, marking a 4.9% rise. Their EPRA NTA grew by 4.7% to 185.6p per share. Net rental income increased to over £275 million, largely due to the £1.2 billion UKCM acquisition. The company successfully executed £30 million in asset sales and reduced its EPRA cost ratio to 12.6%. Their loan-to-value ratio fell to 28.8%, while maintaining a strong balance sheet with £550 million in liquidity. The company looks forward to capital deployment in logistics and data centers, with expected capital allocation of £200 million to £250 million in logistics development and up to £100 million in data center development for 2025. Tritax Big Box is optimistic about capturing a 33% ERV growth potential and delivering a 9.3% yield on cost for their Manor Farm data center project.

Tritax Big Box REIT Corporate Events

Dividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Declares Interim Dividend for Q1 2025
Positive
May 8, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 1.915 pence per ordinary share for the first quarter of 2025, payable on 13 June 2025. This decision aligns with the company’s policy to distribute dividends representing 25% of the previous year’s annual dividend, aiming for a payout ratio exceeding 90% of adjusted earnings. This announcement underscores Tritax Big Box’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders while maintaining its position as a leader in the UK logistics real estate sector.

Spark’s Take on GB:BBOX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BBOX is a Outperform.

Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates robust financial performance with efficient cost management and solid cash flow. The stock benefits from an attractive valuation and strong dividend yield. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate actions further enhance its prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions and limited momentum. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, albeit with some risks due to market uncertainties and increased leverage.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BBOX stock, click here.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Successfully Passes All AGM Resolutions
Positive
May 7, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that all resolutions were passed at its Annual General Meeting held on 7 May 2025. The resolutions included the adoption of financial statements, election and re-election of directors, appointment of auditors, and authorizations related to share allotment and market purchases. This successful AGM reflects shareholder confidence and supports the company’s strategic operations and growth in the logistics real estate sector.

Spark’s Take on GB:BBOX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BBOX is a Outperform.

Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates robust financial performance with efficient cost management and solid cash flow. The stock benefits from an attractive valuation and strong dividend yield. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate actions further enhance its prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions and limited momentum. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, albeit with some risks due to market uncertainties and increased leverage.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BBOX stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Reports Strong Progress in Logistics and Data Centre Operations
Positive
May 7, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has provided a trading update indicating strong progress in its logistics and data centre operations. The company has successfully sold £634 million of assets, reflecting the quality of its portfolio, and is experiencing strong interest in its data centre opportunity at Manor Farm, West London. With a focus on organic growth, Tritax aims to more than double its rental income in the medium term, supported by a stable market environment and ongoing rental growth. The company is also planning an investor seminar to discuss its growth drivers further.

Spark’s Take on GB:BBOX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BBOX is a Outperform.

Tritax Big Box REIT demonstrates robust financial performance with efficient cost management and solid cash flow. The stock benefits from an attractive valuation and strong dividend yield. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate actions further enhance its prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions and limited momentum. Overall, the company is well-positioned for future growth, albeit with some risks due to market uncertainties and increased leverage.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BBOX stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Advances Strategic Asset Disposal and Reinvestment Plan
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT has successfully sold 50% of its UKCM non-strategic assets at a 2.9% premium to the December 2023 book value, with an additional 20% under offer. This strategic disposal is part of their capital recycling strategy to enhance income growth and invest in higher-yielding logistics and data center opportunities. The company has made significant progress in its disposal program, aiming to exit non-strategic assets within 24 months of acquisition. The proceeds from these sales are being reinvested into logistics and data centers, targeting yields of 7-10%, which is expected to more than double rental income, reinforcing Tritax Big Box’s strong market position.

Spark’s Take on GB:BBOX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, GB:BBOX is a Outperform.

Tritax Big Box REIT’s strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive sentiment from the latest earnings call contribute to a high overall score. Key strengths include robust revenue growth, efficient cost management, and strategic expansion into data centers. Despite potential risks from leverage and market uncertainties, the company’s strategic positioning and solid balance sheet provide a positive outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on GB:BBOX stock, click here.

Shareholder Meetings
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces 2025 AGM Details
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 7, 2025, at Ashurst LLP in London. The company has released several documents related to the AGM, including the Notice of Meeting and the 2024 Annual Report, which are available on their website and the National Storage Mechanism. With 2,480,677,459 ordinary shares in issue, all carrying voting rights, the AGM will be a significant event for stakeholders, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement.

Business Operations and Strategy
Tritax Big Box REIT Enhances Management Stake with Strategic Share Acquisition
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that Tritax Management LLP, under the terms of their Investment Management Agreement, has purchased 1,780,360 ordinary shares in the company. This acquisition, made on behalf of certain partners and employees, including persons discharging managerial responsibilities and abrdn Holdings Limited, reflects a strategic move to align management interests with shareholders. The shares were acquired at £1.4655 each, demonstrating confidence in the company’s market position and future prospects.

Dividends
Tritax Big Box REIT Announces Increased Dividend for 2024
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc has announced an interim dividend of 2.185 pence per ordinary share for the period from October to December 2024, payable in March 2025. This brings the total dividend for 2024 to 7.66 pence per share, marking a 4.9% increase from the previous year, reflecting the company’s robust performance and commitment to shareholder returns.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT Achieves Transformative Growth in 2024
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT reported a transformative year in 2024, marked by a significant strategic acquisition of UK Commercial Property REIT Limited, which enhanced their portfolio with high-quality urban logistics assets. The acquisition contributed to a 39.1% increase in contracted annual rent and supported a 15% rise in adjusted earnings per share. The company also achieved a record rental reversion and expanded its development pipeline, including one of the UK’s largest pre-lets for e-commerce and a substantial data center opportunity. These developments position Tritax Big Box REIT for robust future growth, with a focus on capturing rental reversion, advancing logistics developments, and leveraging data center opportunities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tritax Big Box REIT to Announce 2024 Full-Year Results and Host Investor Presentations
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Tritax Big Box REIT plc announced that it will release its 2024 full-year results on February 28, 2025, providing updates on financial and operational performance, market insights, and strategic progress. The company will host presentations for analysts, institutional, and retail investors, offering opportunities for live Q&A sessions, which could impact investor engagement and market perception.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.