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Ascent Resources PLC (GB:AST)
LSE:AST

Ascent Resources (AST) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:AST

Ascent Resources

(LSE:AST)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
0.34p
▼(-16.00% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—zero revenue in 2024, persistent losses, negative equity, rising debt, and ongoing cash burn. Technicals add further pressure with the stock below key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation impact is neutral due to missing P/E and dividend data.
Positive Factors
Focused Appalachian basin footprint
A concentrated operating footprint in the Appalachian/Utica shale supports repeatable execution, local infrastructure familiarity and potential scale efficiencies. Over months this reduces operational complexity, aids drilling optimization, and can lower per-well costs versus a fragmented asset base.
Midstream integration and control
Managing gathering, processing and transport arrangements provides structural advantages: better takeaway reliability and the potential to capture higher netbacks versus producers without firm midstream access. This durable control can protect margins and support steady sales volumes.
Historical equity strength
Past periods of strong equity indicate the company was previously able to build capital and scale assets, suggesting underlying asset value and historical access to funding. That legacy can aid restructuring or capital-raising efforts if operational turnarounds are pursued.
Negative Factors
Zero revenue in 2024
Reporting zero revenue for 2024 is a clear structural impairment: it severs operating cash inflows and undermines sustainability. Without recurring sales, the company must rely on financing or asset disposals, making long-term production plans and investment highly uncertain.
Persistent negative cash generation
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow across multiple years signals ongoing cash burn and an inability to self-fund operations or maintenance capex. Over months this raises refinancing risk, constrains capital allocation, and can force value-destructive financing or asset sales.
Negative equity and rising debt
Negative shareholders' equity combined with a sharp debt increase materially weakens financial resilience. This long-term balance-sheet deterioration limits access to credit markets, increases default and covenant risk, and may compel dilutive financing or distressed asset disposals.

Ascent Resources (AST) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Ascent Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAscent Resources Plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company in Slovenia and the United Kingdom. It primarily holds a 75% interest in the Petisvoci Tight gas project located in north-eastern Slovenia. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes Money

Ascent Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is high risk: revenue fell to zero in 2024, losses and negative EBITDA persist, equity is negative (2022–2024), debt increased sharply in 2024, and operating/free cash flow are negative across all years—indicating ongoing cash burn and constrained financial flexibility.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Profitability is weak and deteriorating. Revenue fell to zero in 2024 (annual), after a modest revenue base in 2022–2023, and the company remains consistently loss-making with negative operating profit and negative EBITDA across all periods shown. While the 2022 loss was unusually large versus revenue, 2023–2024 still show sizeable ongoing losses, indicating the business has not reached a stable earning profile.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet shows elevated financial risk driven by negative equity in 2022–2024, which limits financial flexibility and can constrain access to capital. Total debt rose sharply in 2024 versus 2023, while assets remain relatively small, increasing balance-sheet pressure. A prior period (2020–2021) showed very strong equity, but the subsequent move into negative equity signals a significant deterioration in underlying balance-sheet strength.
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
Cash generation is persistently negative: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year provided, implying continued cash burn and reliance on financing or asset actions to fund operations. Free cash flow declines again in 2024 versus 2023, and cash flow does not demonstrate a clear path toward self-funding operations despite some year-to-year variability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue77.00K0.001.41M581.00K0.000.00
Gross Profit-459.00K-28.00K785.00K-463.00K-347.00K-517.00K
EBITDA-2.78M-2.52M-811.00K-41.32M-1.61M-2.40M
Net Income-2.93M-2.73M-851.00K-41.89M-1.97M-2.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.21M2.13M1.06M640.00K40.63M42.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments458.00K111.00K475.00K325.00K97.00K115.00K
Total Debt540.00K780.00K189.00K521.00K541.00K202.00K
Total Liabilities2.51M2.60M1.44M2.16M2.07M1.68M
Stockholders Equity-299.00K-468.00K-378.00K-1.52M38.56M40.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.58M-1.44M-1.35M-1.24M-1.48M-1.38M
Operating Cash Flow-1.58M-1.44M-1.35M-1.24M-1.47M-1.38M
Investing Cash Flow-419.00K-797.00K-1.00K-1.00K-3.00K0.00
Financing Cash Flow2.33M1.88M1.50M1.44M1.46M1.39M

Ascent Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
£5.13M-5.93-2.88%
48
Neutral
£5.90M-2.42-16.07%
46
Neutral
£5.11M-1.2789.39%
43
Neutral
£3.04M
41
Neutral
£2.65M-0.89-215.74%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:AST
Ascent Resources
0.38
-1.58
-80.77%
GB:DELT
Deltic Energy
2.85
-1.90
-40.00%
GB:EME
Empyrean Energy
0.09
-0.06
-40.67%
GB:UOG
United Oil & Gas Plc
0.15
0.04
45.00%
GB:TOM
TomCo Energy
0.07
<0.01
8.33%
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
3.50
-7.50
-68.18%

Ascent Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Ascent Resources Nears Tribunal Ruling in Slovenia Investment Dispute
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026

Ascent Resources has reported progress in its Energy Charter Treaty claim against the Republic of Slovenia, with the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes confirming that the arbitration tribunal has advanced work on its draft award and remains in deliberations. The company continues to expect a decision on the merits of the case toward the end of the first quarter of 2026, a ruling that could carry significant financial and strategic implications for Ascent’s dispute resolution efforts and overall positioning in managing international regulatory and investment risk.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:AST) stock is a Sell with a £0.38 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ascent Resources stock, see the GB:AST Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ascent Resources Enters Strategic Agreement to Explore Lithium and Potash in Utah
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Ascent Resources Plc, along with its partner American Helium, has entered into an option agreement with Neometals Ltd and Omaha Value to explore and potentially extract lithium and potash from mineral-rich brines in the Paradox Basin, Utah. This agreement represents a strategic move to monetize Ascent’s existing acreage without upfront drilling costs, utilizing existing infrastructure to reduce time and expenses. The deal highlights Ascent’s multi-commodity potential and aims to unlock additional value from its assets with minimal shareholder dilution. The agreement includes a 60-day exclusivity period for due diligence, with financial terms involving fees and royalties based on future brine production.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 04, 2026