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Union Jack Oil PLC (GB:UJO)
LSE:UJO

Union Jack Oil (UJO) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:UJO

Union Jack Oil

(LSE:UJO)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
3.50p
▲(55.56% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by a very strong, low-risk balance sheet (no debt) and sustained profitability since 2022, but is held back by 2024’s sharp profitability compression and negative/volatile free cash flow. Technicals show short-term strength but overbought momentum and a weaker longer-term trend, while valuation is difficult to support due to the negative P/E and missing dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Zero debt balance sheet
A zero-debt balance sheet materially strengthens financial resilience: it reduces refinancing and interest-rate risk, preserves flexibility to fund development or acquisitions from equity/cash, and provides downside protection during commodity-price stress for an E&P with lumpy capex.
Sustained profitability since 2022
Transitioning from loss-making to sustained profit supports durable operational credibility and demonstrates the business can cover operating costs. Persistent profitability underpins retained earnings accumulation and improves capacity to fund future appraisal or development when cash generation stabilizes.
Production-linked business model
Revenue tied to non‑operated working interests provides asset-backed cash flow that endures while fields produce. Being non‑operator reduces day-to-day operating burden and capex execution risk, allowing the company to scale returns via portfolio management of licence stakes.
Negative Factors
Operating profitability deterioration
A sharp EBIT margin fall (from ~25% to ~2%) signals weaker earnings quality and higher cost or pricing pressure. Persistently compressed margins limit internal funding for capex, increase sensitivity to commodity swings, and raise risk of future impairments if not reversed.
Volatile, negative free cash flow
Sustained negative and volatile free cash flow threatens funding sustainability: it may force asset sales, partner funding, or external financing to meet development obligations, constraining strategic choices and heightening execution risk for future value-adding appraisal activity.
Declining revenue trend
Consecutive year revenue declines reduce scale and operating leverage, making margins more vulnerable to fixed costs and transport/processing charges. Continued top-line erosion would weaken cash generation and diminish the company's ability to fund growth or withstand lower commodity cycles.

Union Jack Oil (UJO) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Union Jack Oil Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnion Jack Oil plc operates as an onshore oil and gas company in the United Kingdom. The company focuses on production, drilling, development, and investment in hydrocarbon projects. It holds interests in the West Newton, Wressle Discovery, Broughton North, Biscathorpe, Keddington Oilfield Louth, North Somercotes, Louth Extension, Fiskerton Airfield Oilfield, North Kelsey, Dukes Wood, Kirklington, Widmerpool Gulf, Humber Basin, and Laughton projects. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Bath, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes Money

Union Jack Oil Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a major positive (zero debt and stable equity), and profitability has been sustained since 2022. However, 2024 showed sharp operating margin compression and continued revenue declines, while free cash flow was negative and volatile, raising sustainability risk despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Profitability has improved materially versus 2020–2021 (loss-making) with solid positive net margins in 2022–2024, but earnings quality has weakened recently: revenue fell in 2023 and again in 2024, and profitability compressed sharply in 2024 (EBIT margin ~2% vs ~25% in 2023). Gross margin remains healthy (~50% in 2024) yet the step-down in operating profitability suggests higher costs and/or lower realized pricing, increasing sensitivity to volatility.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: total debt is reported at zero across all periods, with sizeable and relatively stable equity (£~22m) supporting the asset base. Return on equity rebounded strongly in 2022 and remains positive in 2023–2024, though it has come down meaningfully in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash generation is mixed and has deteriorated: operating cash flow is positive in 2022–2024, but fell sharply in 2024 versus prior years. Free cash flow is volatile and negative in 2023 and 2024 (large 2024 outflow), indicating heavy investment and/or working-capital drag that is not being funded by internally generated cash. While operating cash flow still exceeds net income in 2024, the large free-cash-flow deficit raises funding and sustainability risk if it persists.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.88M3.93M5.07M8.51M1.89M158.00K
Gross Profit1.43M1.97M3.30M5.10M782.56K-186.60K
EBITDA-596.95K562.42K1.74M5.23M-223.24K-1.72M
Net Income-629.46K649.21K859.09K3.61M-853.01K-1.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets23.54M23.85M24.18M26.36M24.47M21.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.41M2.53M5.20M7.16M5.98M7.27M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities2.16M1.98M2.28M3.36M4.27M3.25M
Stockholders Equity21.38M21.87M21.90M23.01M20.21M18.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.50M-3.72M-597.12K2.35M-3.88M-4.67M
Operating Cash Flow-106.74K344.37K1.98M5.92M-579.71K-1.41M
Investing Cash Flow-1.36M-2.75M-2.10M-3.66M-3.40M-4.36M
Financing Cash Flow-266.42K-266.42K-1.84M-1.08M2.69M6.41M

Union Jack Oil Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
58
Neutral
£5.13M-5.93-2.88%
55
Neutral
£13.75M-1.00-29.57%-20.85%-105.70%
54
Neutral
£11.97M-1.14-21.11%-12.15%-200.00%
47
Neutral
£10.70M-3.50-7.32%
41
Neutral
£2.65M-0.89-215.74%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:UJO
Union Jack Oil
3.50
-7.50
-68.18%
GB:ANGS
Angus Energy
0.24
-0.04
-14.29%
GB:DELT
Deltic Energy
2.85
-1.90
-40.00%
GB:STAR
IGas Energy
10.50
2.41
29.79%
GB:RBD
Reabold Resources
0.11
0.06
133.33%
GB:UKOG
UK Oil & Gas Investments
0.02
>-0.01
-15.00%

Union Jack Oil Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Union Jack Oil Says Second Requisition Notice Withdrawn Before Market Open
Neutral
Jan 20, 2026

Union Jack Oil has disclosed that it received a second purported requisition notice for a general meeting from former director Craig Howie, which, after legal review, the board deemed invalid. The company further reported that Howie formally withdrew the notice before the market opened on 20 January 2026, rendering subsequent media commentary about the requisition premature and limiting any immediate governance or strategic implications for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:UJO) stock is a Hold with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Union Jack Oil stock, see the GB:UJO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
Union Jack Oil Rejects Former Director’s General Meeting Requisition as Invalid
Neutral
Jan 19, 2026

Union Jack Oil has disclosed that it received a requisition notice for a general meeting from former director Craig Howie on 18 January 2026 but, following legal review, the board has determined that the notice is invalid. The move signals management’s intention to resist attempts by a former board member to convene a shareholder meeting, underlining the company’s focus on maintaining existing governance arrangements and control over its corporate agenda.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:UJO) stock is a Hold with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Union Jack Oil stock, see the GB:UJO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Union Jack Oil Strengthens Board With New Non-Executive Appointments and Corrects Major Shareholding
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Union Jack Oil has strengthened its board with the appointment of senior energy executive Dr Donald Zac Phillips as an independent non-executive director and senior independent director, and accountant and significant shareholder John Americanos as a non-executive director, while confirming that Craig Howie has vacated his position as director. The company has also corrected the disclosed size of Americanos’s shareholding to 7,228,222 ordinary shares, representing about 4.73% of its issued share capital and 4.93% of total voting rights, underscoring efforts to enhance governance, technical oversight and financial expertise as it navigates a challenging period for the onshore oil and gas sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:UJO) stock is a Hold with a £3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Union Jack Oil stock, see the GB:UJO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Union Jack Oil Strengthens Board with Two New Non-Executive Directors
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Union Jack Oil has strengthened its board by appointing senior energy executive Dr Donald Zac Phillips as an independent Non-Executive Director and Senior Independent Director, and chartered certified accountant and significant shareholder John Americanos as a Non-Executive Director, both with immediate effect. The reshaped board, which also includes the removal of Craig Howie as a director, is expected to benefit from Phillips’s extensive technical and strategic oil and gas expertise and Americanos’s financial and property experience, supporting the company’s growth strategy and governance during a pivotal phase for its onshore UK and US operations amid challenging industry conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:UJO) stock is a Hold with a £2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Union Jack Oil stock, see the GB:UJO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Union Jack Oil Withdraws Biscathorpe Planning Appeal Amid Regulatory and Economic Challenges
Negative
Dec 15, 2025

Union Jack Oil plc announced the withdrawal of its planning appeal for a side-track drilling operation and oilfield development at Biscathorpe, part of PEDL253, due to commercial considerations, regulatory uncertainty, and strengthened legislative duties. This decision reflects the company’s adaptation to changing macro-economic conditions and aligns with its broader objectives, including future projects in Wressle and Oklahoma.

Business Operations and Strategy
Union Jack Oil Faces Setback in Oklahoma’s Sark Well
Negative
Nov 5, 2025

Union Jack Oil plc announced an update on the Sark well in Central Oklahoma, where it holds a 53% interest. Despite encountering a valid structural closure, the Sark well’s production test failed to yield commercial hydrocarbons due to a breached trap. This unexpected result follows four successful discoveries in Oklahoma, but the company’s other US interests remain profitable, and it plans to continue its drilling program in the region.

Shareholder Meetings
Union Jack Oil Cancels General Meeting Amid Insufficient Support
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

Union Jack Oil plc has announced the cancellation of its General Meeting scheduled for 30 October 2025 due to insufficient votes in favor of a proposed resolution. Despite receiving over 40 million proxy votes, the board recognized that the resolution would not pass, leading to the meeting’s cancellation. The board remains committed to engaging with shareholders and is open to future discussions to ensure the company’s growth and success.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026