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Voltalia SA (FR:VLTSA)
:VLTSA
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Voltalia (VLTSA) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:VLTSA

Voltalia

(LSE:VLTSA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€8.00
▼(-1.72% Downside)
Voltalia's overall score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives aimed at long-term profitability, but is tempered by current profitability challenges and high leverage. Positive technical indicators provide some optimism, but valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Voltalia's consistent revenue growth, supported by an 8% increase in turnover, indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, which are crucial for long-term business sustainability and expansion.
Strategic Transformation Plan
The SPRING plan focuses on self-financed growth and profitability, enhancing Voltalia's operational efficiency and market position, supporting sustainable long-term growth and resilience in the renewable energy sector.
Cash Position
A strong cash position provides Voltalia with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, manage debt, and withstand economic fluctuations, ensuring long-term stability and operational continuity.
Negative Factors
Profitability Pressure
Ongoing profitability challenges, highlighted by a significant loss, indicate operational inefficiencies and financial strain, which could hinder Voltalia's ability to sustain growth and invest in future projects.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits Voltalia's flexibility to respond to market changes, potentially impacting its ability to finance new projects and maintain competitive positioning.
Curtailment Challenges
Curtailment issues reduce operational efficiency and revenue potential, posing a significant challenge to Voltalia's ability to optimize energy production and profitability, impacting long-term business performance.

Voltalia (VLTSA) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Voltalia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVoltalia SA engages in the production of electricity from renewable energy sources. It operates through two segments, Energy Sales and Services. The company develops, constructs, operates, and maintains wind, solar, hydro, and biomass power plants. It also develops and sells projects, and procures equipment for solar power plants, as well as provides maintenance service. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated solar power plant with an installed capacity of 98 MW. It operates in Africa, the Middle East, Asia, other Europe, Brazil, and Latin America. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Voltalia SA is a subsidiary of Voltalia Investissement SA.
How the Company Makes MoneyVoltalia generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy assets. The company operates on a model that includes long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and corporate clients, providing predictable cash flows. Additionally, Voltalia earns income from the sale of renewable energy certificates and credits. The company also engages in the construction of renewable energy projects for third parties, which further diversifies its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with governments and other organizations in various countries enhance Voltalia's ability to expand its operations and secure funding for new projects, thereby contributing to its earnings.

Voltalia Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Voltalia's strategic transformation plan aimed at self-financed growth and increasing capacity, alongside maintaining a strong cash position. However, the company is facing profitability pressures with reported losses, challenges with curtailment, and negative EBITDA from service activities. Despite future objectives being set, the expectation of further losses in the second half of 2025 presents a challenging outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Capacity and Production Growth
Voltalia reported an increase in capacity in operation and construction to 3.3 gigawatts, a 7% rise from last year, with production growing by 14% to reach 2.4 terawatt-hours.
Turnover Increase
Total turnover increased by 8% to EUR 257 million, supported by a EUR 35 million contribution from the services sector.
Strategic Transformation Plan - SPRING
Voltalia introduced SPRING, a 5-year plan aimed at achieving self-financed growth of 300 to 400 megawatts per year until 2030, enhancing profitability and efficiency.
Cash Position
The company maintains a solid cash position with EUR 235 million in cash at the end of June 2025.
Future Objectives
Voltalia confirmed its operational objectives for 2025, targeting a capacity of 3.6 gigawatts and production of 5.2 terawatt-hours, with an EBITDA range of EUR 200 million to EUR 220 million by year-end.
Negative Updates
Profitability Pressure and Loss
Voltalia reported a loss of EUR 40 million for the half year, with EBITDA remaining stable at EUR 78 million. Profitability remains under pressure with significant noncurrent expenses and financial results decreasing by 7%.
Curtailment Challenges
Curtailment has been a major issue, with year-to-date curtailment reaching 14%, surpassing the forecasted 10%. The company is actively working on solutions but has not yet accrued compensation in financials.
Negative Service Activity EBITDA
The service activity reported a negative EBITDA of EUR 6.6 million despite a 50% increase in turnover, attributed to ongoing sales and M&A projects that have not yet been recognized.
Expected Net Loss for Second Half
Voltalia anticipates a more significant net loss for the second half of 2025 due to pipeline rationalization, restructuring costs, and exiting noncore activities.
Company Guidance
During the call, Voltalia provided guidance for its 2025 fiscal year, outlining several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 7% increase in capacity, totaling 3.3 gigawatts, and an 8% rise in turnover to EUR 257 million, although EBITDA remained stable at EUR 78 million, resulting in a loss of EUR 40 million. Voltalia is embarking on a 5-year strategic plan called SPRING, aiming for self-financed growth of 300 to 400 megawatts annually until 2030. The plan focuses on improving profitability, with an EBITDA target of EUR 200 million to EUR 220 million by year-end 2025. The company plans to concentrate on core geographies and technologies, such as solar, onshore wind, and storage, while exiting noncore activities. Additionally, Voltalia aims to streamline operations to achieve an EBITDA margin of 70-72% in energy sales and 9-11% in services by 2030, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio target of 7.5x to 8x by the same year. The company also anticipates resuming dividend payments in 2028.

Voltalia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Voltalia demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces significant profitability challenges with recurring net losses. High leverage and negative free cash flow pose financial sustainability risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Voltalia has shown a consistent increase in revenue over the years, with a notable growth rate from 2019 to 2024. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net income in several years, including the most recent period. Despite this, the gross profit and EBITDA margins are relatively strong, indicating operational efficiency. The decline in EBIT margin in 2024 suggests increased operational costs impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a financial risk. The equity ratio has declined over the years, suggesting increased reliance on debt financing. However, the company's assets have grown, supporting its expansion. The return on equity is weak due to negative net income, which impacts the overall financial health.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Voltalia's cash flow statements highlight challenges in generating positive free cash flow, as seen in persistent negative free cash flow figures. Although operating cash flow improved in the latest period, the high capital expenditures create a drag on free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but the free cash flow to net income ratio remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue554.68M547.00M495.18M465.94M358.67M233.46M
Gross Profit358.22M490.00M424.18M96.59M78.77M85.20M
EBITDA223.87M235.00M249.00M153.56M129.61M85.91M
Net Income-45.23M-21.00M29.63M-7.17M-1.32M7.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.97B3.96B3.82B3.04B2.11B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments235.00M391.00M318.55M383.56M302.20M226.40M
Total Debt2.36B2.26B1.86B1.31B1.03B834.42M
Total Liabilities2.86B2.79B2.43B1.70B1.38B1.08B
Stockholders Equity1.01B1.06B1.26B1.23B671.80M640.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-122.73M-338.00M-578.68M-557.34M-306.09M-268.18M
Operating Cash Flow149.41M179.00M115.50M-13.93M100.21M58.38M
Investing Cash Flow-398.72M-440.00M-682.11M-536.39M-300.56M-316.50M
Financing Cash Flow164.48M329.00M495.63M614.22M268.13M202.20M

Voltalia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.14
Price Trends
50DMA
6.98
Positive
100DMA
7.76
Positive
200DMA
7.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
67.40
Neutral
STOCH
92.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:VLTSA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.01, above the 50-day MA of 6.98, and above the 200-day MA of 7.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FR:VLTSA.

Voltalia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
€1.13B7.246.79%-12.83%10.40%
66
Neutral
€1.04B27.99-3.36%1.76%-234.79%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
€556.95M12.7512.51%1.63%14.77%33.13%
47
Neutral
€58.22M-13.87%257.28%-21.96%
44
Neutral
€148.94M209.99%-16.49%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:VLTSA
Voltalia
8.14
-1.02
-11.14%
FR:SCHP
Seche Environnement
73.50
-11.52
-13.54%
FR:HDF
Hydrogene de France
4.00
-1.61
-28.70%
FR:ALESE
Entech SA
8.63
2.31
36.55%
FR:ELEC
Electricite de Strasbourg SA
162.50
63.09
63.46%
FR:LHYFE
Lhyfe SA
3.06
-0.24
-7.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2025