Gascogne SA (ALBI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €82.06M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.37K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 89.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.34
• Revenue Growth: 7.25%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: FR
• Employees: 1,375
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 37,682,278
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,469
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,367
• PEG Ratio: 1.44
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.42
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.23
• P/FCF Ratio: -2.10
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: €2.50 ▲(14.68% Upside)

Gascogne SA's stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including profitability issues and negative cash flow trends. The technical analysis indicates neutral momentum, while the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The absence of earnings call data and notable corporate events limits further insights.

Positive Factors

Sustainable Packaging Demand

The increasing demand for sustainable packaging supports long-term revenue growth, aligning with global environmental trends and consumer preferences.

Strategic Partnerships

Partnerships with major industry players enhance market reach and stability, providing a steady revenue stream and competitive advantage.

Product Diversification

A diversified product portfolio across paper, packaging, and timber sectors mitigates risk and captures various market opportunities.

Negative Factors

Profitability Issues

Negative net profit margins indicate challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact long-term financial health and investment capacity.

High Leverage

Increased leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.

Negative Cash Flow

Negative cash flow trends highlight difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations, affecting liquidity and financial flexibility.

Gascogne SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gascogne SA engages in the production and sale of wood, paper, industrial and consumer sacks, and laminates in France and internationally. It operates through Wood and Packaging divisions. The company offers decorative wood, wood frame walls, and wood siding products; and machine glazed natural kraft papers, natural sack kraft papers, and technical coated papers for packaging and industrial uses. It also provides paper, plastic, and hybrid sacks used for packing human and animal feed, construction materials, pet food, chemicals seeds, and mineral products; and multilayer laminates, release liners, gummed products, and printed materials used for packing insulation and construction, envelopes and secure parcels, health and medical, composite materials, adhesives and bands, and flexible packaging products. The company was formerly known as Groupe Gascogne SA and changed its name to Gascogne SA in 2006. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in Mimizan, France.

How the Company Makes Money

Gascogne SA generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse range of wood-based products. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including the production of kraft paper, which is sold to packaging manufacturers and other industries requiring durable and sustainable packaging solutions. Additionally, Gascogne earns revenue from its flexible packaging division, which provides customized packaging options for various consumer goods. The timber segment contributes to earnings through the sale of processed wood products, including pallets and other wooden materials for construction and logistics. The company has established significant partnerships with major players in the food and beverage sectors, which enhances its market reach and stability. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions, strategic investments in production efficiency, and a focus on innovation to meet evolving market needs.

Gascogne SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Gascogne SA faces several financial challenges, including profitability issues, high leverage, and negative cash flow trends. While there are some strengths, such as a stable gross profit margin and a reasonable equity ratio, strategic improvements are needed to enhance financial health and stability.

Income Statement

Gascogne SA's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the net profit margin has turned negative in the latest year, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a slight increase in the most recent year after a decline previously. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational inefficiencies.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity has turned negative, highlighting profitability issues. However, the equity ratio remains reasonable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges. Free cash flow has been negative and deteriorating, with a substantial decline in the latest year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting difficulties in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, further emphasizing cash flow concerns.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	404.80M	391.20M	411.25M	460.20M	398.85M	358.84M
Gross Profit	204.03M	199.34M	201.12M	238.58M	18.66M	21.88M
EBITDA	16.44M	4.20M	36.90M	47.29M	32.15M	31.80M
Net Income	949.00K	-600.00K	9.67M	22.52M	12.87M	8.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	636.38M	647.82M	532.02M	466.54M	401.47M	395.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	69.53M	105.14M	46.95M	32.72M	29.71M	38.26M
Total Debt	262.58M	254.00M	179.16M	138.39M	127.46M	145.70M
Total Liabilities	425.54M	433.43M	338.81M	281.71M	243.48M	252.47M
Stockholders Equity	210.84M	214.40M	193.22M	184.80M	145.93M	131.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-53.14M	-42.76M	-48.02M	-8.14M	9.36M	8.20M
Operating Cash Flow	3.92M	21.88M	33.69M	38.30M	34.59M	23.89M
Investing Cash Flow	-52.33M	-57.98M	-77.29M	-46.20M	-25.02M	-14.33M
Financing Cash Flow	69.15M	94.38M	57.31M	11.00M	-18.13M	12.04M

Gascogne SA Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 2.18
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALBI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.26, below the 50-day MA of 2.37, and below the 200-day MA of 2.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ALBI.

Gascogne SA Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VRLA	67 Neutral	€2.83B	15.42	―	7.54%	-3.17%	-37.20%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
ALBI	46 Neutral	€82.06M	88.98	―	―	7.25%	―