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Gascogne SA (FR:ALBI)
:ALBI
France Market
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Gascogne SA (ALBI) AI Stock Analysis

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FR:ALBI

Gascogne SA

(ALBI)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
€2.00
▼(-8.26% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—losses, rising leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow—raising risk and limiting flexibility. Technicals are mixed with some short-term stabilization signals but weaker longer-term trend vs major moving averages. Valuation is not compelling on an earnings basis due to the negative P/E.
Positive Factors
Integrated business model
Gascogne's vertical scope from forestry through wood processing to paper and packaging creates durable supply integration and customer linkage. Owning multiple stages reduces raw-material sourcing risk and allows capture of value across the chain, supporting resilience over economic cycles.
Negative Factors
Earnings deterioration
The swing from profit to operating losses by 2025 signals persistent pressure on margins and/or volumes. Enduring operating losses erode internal funding, constrain reinvestment, and mean turnarounds may require material margin improvements or structural changes to restore sustainable profitability over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Integrated business model
Gascogne's vertical scope from forestry through wood processing to paper and packaging creates durable supply integration and customer linkage. Owning multiple stages reduces raw-material sourcing risk and allows capture of value across the chain, supporting resilience over economic cycles.
Read all positive factors

Gascogne SA (ALBI) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

Gascogne SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gascogne SA, headquartered in Mimizan, France, and established in 1925, is a global company specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of wood products, various types of paper, industrial and consumer packaging sacks, and laminates. The co...
How the Company Makes Money
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Gascogne SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is weak. Profitability deteriorated from positive net margins in 2022–2023 to operating losses and a deeper net loss in 2025, revenue has trended down/flat since 2022, leverage has risen (debt/equity above 1.0 and increasing), and cash generation worsened materially with negative operating cash flow in 2025 and deeply negative free cash flow in 2024–2025.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
23
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue400.00M391.20M411.25M460.20M398.85M
Gross Profit0.00199.34M201.12M238.58M18.66M
EBITDA-5.40M4.20M36.90M47.29M32.15M
Net Income-10.30M-600.00K9.67M22.52M12.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets651.48M647.82M532.02M466.54M401.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.11M105.14M46.95M32.72M29.71M
Total Debt253.79M254.00M179.16M138.39M127.46M
Total Liabilities446.35M433.43M338.81M281.71M243.48M
Stockholders Equity205.13M214.40M193.22M184.80M145.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-62.87M-42.76M-48.02M-8.14M9.36M
Operating Cash Flow-4.48M21.88M33.69M38.30M34.59M
Investing Cash Flow-55.48M-57.98M-77.29M-46.20M-25.02M
Financing Cash Flow-8.54M94.38M57.31M11.00M-18.13M

Gascogne SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.18
Price Trends
50DMA
2.16
Positive
100DMA
2.19
Negative
200DMA
2.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
50.59
Neutral
STOCH
60.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALBI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, above the 50-day MA of 2.16, and below the 200-day MA of 2.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for FR:ALBI.

Gascogne SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
€328.54M36.982.75%-26.49%-71.36%
64
Neutral
€406.69M8.438.03%3.76%1.70%-19.17%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
46
Neutral
€2.55B25.977.54%-3.61%-61.70%
44
Neutral
€82.06M-7.812.25%-405.16%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FR:ALBI
Gascogne SA
2.18
-0.10
-4.39%
FR:AUGR
Augros Cosmetics Packaging
5.05
-1.40
-21.71%
FR:ALGIL
Groupe Guillin SA
22.00
-6.21
-22.02%
FR:TFF
TFF Group
15.16
-3.08
-16.89%
FR:VRLA
Verallia SAS
20.00
-6.89
-25.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2026