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Five9 (FIVN)
NASDAQ:FIVN

Five9 (FIVN) AI Stock Analysis

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FIFive9
(NASDAQ:FIVN)
66Neutral
Five9's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance in terms of revenue growth and cash flow management, counterbalanced by challenges in profitability and high leverage. The technical indicators suggest caution with a potential bearish trend, while the valuation remains unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio. However, strong earnings call highlights and strategic board appointments provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
AI Integration
Five9 achieved a 100% attach rate for AI on deals worth $1 million or more in ARR, indicating strong integration of AI in large contracts.
Financial Performance
Strong Q4 results with $279M of revenue, showing a 17% year-over-year growth, exceeding consensus expectations.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
Watching for potential volatility stemming from announced leadership changes (CFO, EVP GTM Strategy), but believe FIVN has strong bench to pull from.

Five9 (FIVN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Five9 Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFive9, Inc. (FIVN) is a leading provider of cloud-based contact center solutions, dedicated to helping businesses transform their customer service operations. The company offers a robust suite of software applications that enable contact centers to deliver exceptional customer experiences across various channels, such as voice, chat, email, and social media. Five9 serves a diverse range of industries, including healthcare, financial services, retail, and technology, providing scalable and adaptable solutions to meet the unique needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyFive9 generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based model, offering its cloud-based contact center software solutions on a recurring basis. The company charges clients based on the number of agent seats or the volume of interactions handled by its platform. This model provides a steady stream of revenue, with additional income generated from professional services such as implementation, training, and support. Five9's strategic partnerships with major technology companies and system integrators further enhance its market reach and contribute to its financial performance. Key factors influencing its earnings include customer retention, upselling additional features or services, and expanding its client base across various industries.

Five9 Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Five9 exhibits strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, which are positives in its financial performance. However, the company faces challenges in achieving profitability and managing high leverage on its balance sheet.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Five9 has demonstrated solid revenue growth with a 14.4% increase in 2024 compared to 2023. The gross profit margin improved slightly to 54.2%, indicating efficient management of production costs. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative net income and deteriorating net profit margin, which stands at -1.2%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting challenges in managing operational expenses effectively.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.98, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity has improved to -2.1% as net losses have reduced. The equity ratio is 30.3%, indicating that a fair portion of the assets is financed by equity, but caution is needed due to high liabilities.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Five9's cash flow is robust, with a notable increase in free cash flow by 14.4% year-over-year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, highlighting effective cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing the company generates cash even with net losses, which is a positive indicator for liquidity and operational efficiency.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.04B910.49M778.85M609.59M434.91M
Gross Profit
564.40M477.80M411.35M338.49M254.62M
EBIT
-51.30M-98.58M-87.58M-56.25M-9.27M
EBITDA
54.96M-10.62M13.31M-8.82M14.54M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-12.79M-81.76M-94.65M-53.00M-42.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
362.55M730.30M614.26M469.86M603.54M
Total Assets
2.05B1.49B1.24B1.19B1.06B
Total Debt
1.23B793.88M790.56M825.51M653.22M
Net Debt
870.58M650.68M610.04M734.63M432.85M
Total Liabilities
1.43B956.48M934.52M981.81M784.58M
Stockholders Equity
622.19M538.09M309.96M211.13M279.16M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
78.56M88.07M32.69M-13.73M36.88M
Operating Cash Flow
143.17M128.84M88.86M28.48M67.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-266.55M-259.56M30.96M-150.48M-382.33M
Financing Cash Flow
342.73M94.58M-30.23M-7.50M457.42M

Five9 Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.48
Price Trends
50DMA
39.54
Negative
100DMA
38.07
Negative
200DMA
38.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.96
Positive
RSI
27.19
Positive
STOCH
8.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIVN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.61, below the 50-day MA of 39.54, and below the 200-day MA of 38.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.19 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FIVN.

Five9 Risk Analysis

Five9 disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Five9 reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Five9 Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$9.14B22.1512.77%13.52%30.29%
CRCRM
73
Outperform
$274.89B44.9610.26%0.56%8.72%51.47%
68
Neutral
$16.61B-1.24%7.32%88.51%
66
Neutral
$2.49B-2.21%14.44%84.58%
RNRNG
60
Neutral
$2.53B16.58%8.99%63.84%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
51
Neutral
$302.90M-40.78%-2.23%19.48%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIVN
Five9
32.48
-28.14
-46.42%
EGHT
8X8
2.30
-0.85
-26.98%
NICE
NICE
149.80
-88.97
-37.26%
CRM
Salesforce
282.89
-21.41
-7.04%
RNG
RingCentral
28.04
-7.86
-21.89%
TWLO
Twilio
106.08
44.16
71.32%

Five9 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -22.09% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong revenue and AI growth, record financial metrics, and promising partnerships. However, macroeconomic challenges and a CFO transition present potential risks.
Highlights
Record Annual Revenue
Annual revenue exceeded $1 billion, driven by fourth quarter revenue growth of 17% year-over-year and subscription revenue growing 19%.
AI Revenue Growth
Enterprise AI revenue growth accelerated to 46% in the fourth quarter, with AI accounting for 9% of enterprise subscription revenue.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Adjusted EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter reached a record 23%, contributing to record operating cash flow of $50 million.
Partnerships Driving Growth
Significant opportunities in 2025 highlighted by partnerships with Salesforce, ServiceNow, Microsoft, Verint, and Google Cloud Marketplace.
Strong Sales Execution
Highest number of $1 million-plus ARR new logo wins in any quarter of 2024, with installed base bookings at the highest level in 8 quarters.
Lowlights
Macroeconomic Challenges
Concerns about macroeconomic conditions, including inflation, uncertainty regarding consumer spending, and high interest rates.
CFO Transition
CFO Barry Zwarenstein announced retirement, effective March 31, which may cause some transitional challenges.
Muted Seasonal Uptick
Guidance reflects a cautious approach due to an assumed muted seasonal uptick and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Five9 provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting anticipated revenue growth to a midpoint of $1.14 billion, which reflects an $11.5 million increase from previous expectations. The company expects annual adjusted gross margins and adjusted EBITDA margins to improve year-over-year. For the first quarter, revenue is projected to reach a midpoint of $272 million, with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.48 per diluted share. Additionally, Five9 noted significant growth in their AI business, with enterprise AI revenue growing 46% year-over-year, now accounting for 9% of enterprise subscription revenue. The company remains focused on leveraging AI and strategic partnerships to drive future growth and profitability, despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Five9 Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Five9 Announces CFO Retirement and Interim Appointment
Neutral
Feb 20, 2025

On February 20, 2025, Five9 announced the retirement of its CFO, Barry Zwarenstein, effective March 31, 2025. Zwarenstein, who has been with the company for over 13 years, will assist with the transition until June 30, 2025, and continue as a consultant until September 30, 2025. Bryan Lee, the current Executive Vice President of Finance, will assume the role of Interim CFO starting April 1, 2025, as the company searches for a permanent replacement. Lee, having been with Five9 since 2014 and holding various finance positions, is expected to provide continuity and leadership in the interim period.

Business Operations and Strategy
Five9 Extends Key Employee Severance Plan to 2027
Neutral
Feb 18, 2025

Five9, Inc. announced an extension of its 2019 Key Employee Severance Benefit Plan (KESP) for two additional years, now set to expire on April 4, 2027. This extension maintains the same benefits for senior executives, including lump sum payments and health coverage based on employment termination circumstances. The plan also addresses benefits in the event of a change in control, ensuring continued support for executives during transitions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Five9’s EVP Daniel Burkland Transitions to Consultant Role
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

On February 7, 2025, Five9, Inc. announced that Daniel Burkland will transition from his role as Executive Vice President, Go-to-Market Strategy to a consultant under a six-month agreement beginning March 8, 2025. This transition allows Mr. Burkland to provide advisory services in sales, marketing, partnerships, and customer relationships, which may impact Five9’s operations and market strategy.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Five9 Enhances Board with Strategic Appointment
Positive
Dec 9, 2024

Five9, Inc. has appointed Sagar Gupta, a seasoned technology investor and Portfolio Manager at Anson Funds, to its Board of Directors, a move expected to enhance shareholder value and drive strategic growth. This appointment is part of a cooperation agreement with Anson Funds, which includes commitments on voting and confidentiality. Gupta, with extensive experience in software sector investments, will contribute to Five9’s adaptation to market demands and evolving customer needs.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.