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First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA)
NASDAQ:FCNCA

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) AI Stock Analysis

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First Citizens BancShares

(NASDAQ:FCNCA)

70Outperform
First Citizens BancShares demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and a well-managed balance sheet. Despite this, the stock faces technical pressure with bearish indicators and a current price below key moving averages. The valuation is favorable, given the low P/E ratio, but the dividend yield is less attractive. The earnings call reinforces a positive outlook, highlighting strategic initiatives and growth. Overall, the company's strengths in financial health and strategic planning balance the current technical challenges, resulting in a moderately positive stock score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Analysts expect a positive reaction in FCNCA's stock due to the potential for nearly 5% NII upside based on current rate expectations.
Stock Valuation
The stock has become cheaper by 12%, creating a tactical opportunity to add exposure to the higher-for-longer interest rate environment.
Negative Factors
Interest Rate Environment
Declining rates could pressure FCNCA’s Net Interest Income as it is the most asset sensitive bank in coverage.

First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

First Citizens BancShares Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of retail and commercial banking services through its subsidiary. It operates through the following business lines: Card Holder and Merchant Services; Services Charges on Deposit Accounts; Wealth Management Services; Other Service Charges and Fees; Insurance Commissions; ATM Income; and Other. The Card Holder and Merchant Services business lines include interchange fees from customer debut and credit card transactions. The Services Charges on Deposit Accounts business line represent monthly account maintenance and transaction-based service fees. The Wealth Management Services business line comprises sales commissions on various product offerings, transaction fees, and trust and asset management fees. The Other Service Charges and Fees business line encompasses check cashing fees, international banking fees, internet banking fees, wire transfer fees and safe deposit fees. The Insurance Commissions business line focuses in the commissions earned on the issuance of insurance products and services. The ATM income covers customers and non-customers for engaging in an ATM transaction. The Other business line composes several forms of recurring revenue such as FHLB dividends and income earned on changes in the cash surrender value of bank-owned life insurance. The company was founded on August 7, 1986 and is headquartered in Raleigh, NC.
How the Company Makes MoneyFirst Citizens BancShares generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income is interest earned on loans and leases, which include consumer, commercial, and real estate loans. Additional revenue comes from non-interest income, such as service charges on deposit accounts, fees from investment services, and wealth management offerings. The bank also earns through treasury services and by providing trust services. A significant factor contributing to its earnings is its strategic acquisitions, which have expanded its market presence and client base. First Citizens BancShares also benefits from partnerships with financial technology firms to enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency.

First Citizens BancShares Financial Statement Overview

Summary
First Citizens BancShares exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is well-managed, though the high leverage warrants close monitoring. Cash flows are positive and managed well, supporting the company's growth trajectory. Overall, the financials reflect a well-run banking institution with some areas to monitor for potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
First Citizens BancShares demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in total revenue over the years. The net profit margin and EBIT margin show robust performance, enhancing the overall financial strength. However, fluctuations in revenue growth rates indicate some volatility, which needs attention.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity levels. The return on equity is impressive, indicating efficient use of shareholders' capital. However, the equity ratio suggests that the company is highly leveraged, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow position is generally positive, with a notable free cash flow growth, reflecting efficient cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash conversion. However, variations in free cash flow to net income ratios suggest potential instability in cash flow generation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.35B7.60B4.54B1.84B1.86B
Gross Profit
12.35B4.08B2.55B1.84B1.86B
EBIT
1.05B3.33B2.77B701.66M617.88M
EBITDA
0.00371.00M864.00M814.13M719.43M
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.78B11.47B1.10B547.00M492.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
915.00M908.00M518.00M18.66B4.71B
Total Assets
223.72B213.76B109.30B58.31B49.96B
Total Debt
367.00M37.56B6.21B1.19B1.25B
Net Debt
-447.00M3.05B666.00M856.56M886.12M
Total Liabilities
201.49B192.50B99.64B1.19B1.25B
Stockholders Equity
22.23B21.25B9.66B4.74B4.23B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.88B1.23B1.86B-391.15M206.63M
Operating Cash Flow
2.99B2.66B2.79B-283.78M340.01M
Investing Cash Flow
-10.15B2.43B75.00M-7.57B-9.87B
Financing Cash Flow
7.07B-4.70B-2.69B7.83B9.52B

First Citizens BancShares Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1755.93
Price Trends
50DMA
2089.21
Negative
100DMA
2106.31
Negative
200DMA
1978.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-99.19
Positive
RSI
25.49
Positive
STOCH
12.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCNCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1755.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1984.21, below the 50-day MA of 2089.21, and below the 200-day MA of 1978.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -99.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.49 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FCNCA.

First Citizens BancShares Risk Analysis

First Citizens BancShares disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Citizens BancShares reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

First Citizens BancShares Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$21.03B12.009.93%4.30%10.13%-1.25%
PNPNC
71
Outperform
$67.30B12.7111.10%3.73%7.24%7.51%
RFRF
71
Outperform
$19.01B11.1410.72%4.67%2.70%-8.16%
70
Outperform
$23.24B9.1412.77%0.41%18.05%-75.88%
69
Neutral
$7.00B9.5413.15%3.56%7.91%13.79%
64
Neutral
$13.79B10.529.20%4.24%17.25%-7.60%
FHFHN
61
Neutral
$9.49B13.058.70%3.39%4.56%-13.90%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,755.93
211.99
13.73%
FHN
First Horizon
18.73
4.41
30.80%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
14.55
1.69
13.14%
PNC
PNC Financial
171.01
23.72
16.10%
RF
Regions Financial
21.06
2.48
13.35%
ZION
Zions Bancorporation National Association
47.94
8.22
20.69%

First Citizens BancShares Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -20.70% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, including share repurchases and successful integration of SVB. However, challenges such as margin compression, increased expenses, and credit concerns in certain portfolios were noted. The overall sentiment leans positive due to exceeding financial expectations and a promising outlook for 2025.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Adjusted earnings per share of $45.10, exceeding expectations with higher core PPNR.
SVB Segment Growth
SVB experienced loan and deposit growth; total client funds showed solid annualized growth.
Share Repurchase Progress
Repurchased an additional 3.5% of Class A common stock, totaling 6.44% since the inception of the plan.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Broad-based loan growth across segments, with deposits increasing by $3.7 billion, or 2.4% sequentially.
Positive Outlook for 2025
Anticipated loan growth and strategic focus on operational efficiency and capital optimization.
Lowlights
Interest Margin Compression
Net interest margin contracted by 21 basis points sequentially.
Higher Operating Expenses
Adjusted noninterest expense increased by 3.1% sequentially due to higher personnel and amortization costs.
Credit Concerns in Certain Portfolios
Higher losses in commercial finance and continued stress in investor-dependent and office portfolios.
Potential Impact from Regulatory Changes
Anticipation of increased expenses related to Category 3 regulatory readiness.
Company Guidance
During the First Citizens BancShares fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance for 2025 with a focus on several key metrics. They reported adjusted earnings per share of $45.10 and emphasized strong performance across all operating segments, with loan and deposit growth observed throughout the quarter. The return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) were 11.51% and 1.14%, respectively, with an adjusted efficiency ratio of 57%. They managed to repurchase 6.44% of Class A common stock, indicating a focus on optimizing their capital position. For 2025, they anticipate loans to be in the range of $144 billion to $147 billion and deposits between $162 billion to $167 billion. The guidance projects headline net interest income to be between $6.6 billion and $7 billion. They also plan to maintain a CET1 capital ratio of 10.5% to 11% by the end of 2025. The company highlighted a focus on operational efficiency, balance sheet optimization, and prudent risk management as part of their strategic priorities for 2025.

First Citizens BancShares Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
First Citizens BancShares Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results
Positive
Jan 24, 2025

First Citizens BancShares reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with net income rising to $700 million from the previous quarter. The company experienced growth in loans and deposits across all segments, despite challenges from recent natural disasters. The quarter also saw a repurchase of 461,583 shares of Class A common stock for $963 million. Operational results were affected by acquisition-related expenses, tax changes, and increased noninterest expenses due to integration and relief efforts. Net interest income and margin saw declines, impacted by lower average yields on loans and decreased interest income from deposits. Despite these challenges, noninterest income rose due to gains in leasing equipment sales and favorable market adjustments. The balance sheet reflected growth in loans, investment securities, and deposits, indicating a stable funding mix.

Executive/Board Changes
First Citizens BancShares Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Dec 16, 2024

First Citizens BancShares has appointed Matt Snow to its Board of Directors, effective January 2, 2025. Snow brings over 30 years of experience in accounting and auditing, having served in leadership roles at Forvis Mazars and Dixon Hughes Goodman LLP. His expertise is expected to enhance the board’s capabilities, particularly in audit and financial oversight, benefiting the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.