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Extreme Networks (EXTR)
NASDAQ:EXTR
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Extreme Networks
(NASDAQ:EXTR)44Neutral
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
EXTR delivered a F2Q25 beat while guiding F3Q in-line and F25 just ahead of consensus.
Market Expansion
Management reports an improving pipeline and share gains via its network fabric architecture and new products including WiFi-7.
Negative Factors
Regional Performance
Americas was impacted by seasonally soft K-12 spending.
Extreme Networks (EXTR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.93B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.20M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.09
Revenue Growth-24.49%
EPS Growth-250.61%
CountryUS
Employees2,656
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength48
IndustryHardware & Equipment
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.94
Shares Outstanding132,755,310
10 Day Avg. Volume1,189,025
30 Day Avg. Volume1,199,871
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)1.93
Price to Cash Flow (P/CF)22.80
P/FCF Ratio19.90
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$20.13Price Target Upside38.26% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
Extreme Networks Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionExtreme Networks, Inc. is a technology company specializing in providing advanced networking solutions for enterprises, data centers, and service providers. The company operates in the information technology sector, focusing on delivering high-performance, software-driven networking solutions that include wired and wireless network infrastructure, network management software, and analytics and security solutions. Extreme Networks aims to help organizations optimize their network performance, enhance user experience, and improve operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyExtreme Networks generates revenue primarily through the sale of its networking hardware and software products. This includes switches, routers, and wireless access points, as well as proprietary software for network management, automation, and security. Additionally, the company offers support and maintenance services, which provide a recurring revenue stream. Extreme Networks also engages in strategic partnerships and alliances with technology providers and resellers to extend its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company's earnings are influenced by its ability to innovate in networking technology, expand customer relationships, and adapt to changing market demands.
Extreme Networks Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Extreme Networks faces significant financial challenges, including negative profitability margins, high leverage, and inadequate cash flow. Declining revenue and operational inefficiencies further compound these issues.Income Statement
Extreme Networks shows a challenging financial trajectory with negative profitability margins in the TTM period. The Gross Profit Margin stands at 56.6%, indicating efficient production cost management. However, the company has struggled with negative EBIT and Net Profit Margins, signaling operational inefficiencies and loss-making activities. Additionally, the revenue has decreased by 8.9% compared to the previous year, further compounding financial pressures.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a concerning financial health with a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.19, indicating significant leverage. The company's Return on Equity is negative at -237.7%, highlighting poor returns on shareholder investments. The Equity Ratio is also low at 4.7%, demonstrating limited equity buffer against liabilities. This poses a risk of solvency issues if financial performance does not improve.40
Negative
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals troubling signs with a negative Free Cash Flow Growth Rate and negative Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio, suggesting cash outflows are exceeding inflows. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also negative, indicating that the company is not generating enough cash to cover its net losses. These factors raise concerns about the company's cash sustainability.30
Negative
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 | Jun 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 1.02B | 1.12B | 1.31B | 1.11B | 1.01B | 948.02M | Gross Profit |
| 575.33M | 630.83M | 754.72M | 629.94M | 585.12M | 517.84M | EBIT |
| -79.04M | -28.88M | 108.31M | 64.19M | 34.38M | -42.66M | EBITDA |
| -73.78M | -19.61M | 158.62M | 120.07M | 110.09M | -36.39M | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| -121.75M | -85.96M | 78.07M | 44.27M | 1.94M | -126.84M |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 156.70M | 156.70M | 234.83M | 194.52M | 246.89M | 193.87M | Total Assets |
| 1.04B | 1.04B | 1.14B | 1.07B | 1.01B | 979.09M | Total Debt |
| 239.60M | 239.60M | 264.61M | 351.13M | 390.84M | 480.54M | Net Debt |
| 82.91M | 82.91M | 29.78M | 156.61M | 143.95M | 286.66M | Total Liabilities |
| 1.02B | 1.02B | 1.02B | 978.17M | 955.63M | 973.69M | Stockholders Equity |
| 25.28M | 25.28M | 116.75M | 90.34M | 54.47M | 5.40M |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| -34.75M | 37.37M | 235.41M | 112.74M | 127.36M | 20.62M | Operating Cash Flow |
| -14.26M | 55.49M | 249.21M | 128.18M | 144.53M | 35.88M | Investing Cash Flow |
| -20.49M | -18.12M | -13.80M | -84.95M | -17.18M | -189.48M | Financing Cash Flow |
| -15.73M | -114.98M | -194.78M | -94.66M | -74.78M | 178.49M |
Extreme Networks Technical Analysis
Negative
14.56
Price Trends
16.36
Negative
16.22
Negative
14.86
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.38
Positive
32.37
Neutral
15.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXTR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.50, below the 50-day MA of 16.36, and below the 200-day MA of 14.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXTR.
Extreme Networks Risk Analysis
Extreme Networks disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Extreme Networks reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Extreme Networks Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $107.85B | 38.42 | 28.54% | ― | 19.50% | 34.64% | |
74 Outperform | $251.67B | 27.72 | 20.18% | 2.52% | -5.34% | -30.57% | |
72 Outperform | $24.74B | 9.86 | 10.29% | 2.73% | 3.30% | 25.00% | |
64 Neutral | $1.55B | ― | -27.49% | ― | -1.55% | -250.10% | |
60 Neutral | $11.97B | 41.77 | 6.02% | 2.44% | -8.82% | -10.01% | |
59 Neutral | $22.39B | 11.53 | -18.05% | 2.31% | 5.00% | -25.89% | |
44 Neutral | $1.93B | ― | -237.76% | ― | -24.49% | -250.61% |
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
EXTR
Extreme Networks
14.56
2.53
21.03%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
63.26
15.60
32.73%
JNPR
Juniper Networks
35.94
-0.61
-1.67%
NTCT
Netscout Systems
21.55
0.26
1.22%
ANET
Arista Networks
85.52
14.40
20.25%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
18.84
0.56
3.06%
Extreme Networks Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.40% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook, with strong revenue growth, significant customer wins, and strategic advances like Platform ONE. However, there were some regional challenges and expected gross margin pressures in the upcoming quarters.Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 was $279.4 million, representing a 4% sequential growth, driven by 6% growth in product sales and attached subscription and support contracts.
Significant Customer Wins
36 customers spent over $1 million with Extreme in the quarter, up from 27 last quarter, including notable deals with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Taylor Wessing.
EMEA Business Growth
EMEA business grew significantly both sequentially and year-over-year, with expectations of continued momentum as governmental issues in Germany resolve.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved year-over-year by 90 basis points to 63.4%, reflecting improved standard costs.
Platform ONE Launch and Recognition
The new Platform ONE was named one of the 10 hottest networking products of 2024 by CRN Magazine, with plans for further market expansion.
Positive Cash Flow
The quarter ended with $16 million in free cash flow, reflecting higher revenue and solid profitability.
Lowlights
Sequential Revenue Decline in Americas
Americas revenue declined sequentially due to difficult comparisons with significant deals closed earlier than expected in the first quarter.
Impact of Seasonality on K-12 Vertical
Seasonality in the K-12 vertical impacted sequential growth in the Americas.
Challenges in German Market
Business in Germany is negatively impacted by a lack of government, affecting government and frame contracts.
Slight Gross Margin Decline Expected
Gross margin is expected to be in the range of 62% to 63% in the second half of fiscal 2025 due to mix shift towards product revenue.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Extreme Networks reported continued growth, marked by a 4% sequential revenue increase to $279.4 million, driven by a 6% rise in product sales and subscription contracts. The company achieved its best product bookings in five quarters and improved competitive win rates, especially with enterprise customers. Revenue from the EMEA region grew significantly both sequentially and year-over-year, while the Americas faced seasonal impacts in the K-12 vertical. Extreme Networks' gross margin was 63.4%, and operating profit reached $41.2 million, translating to a 14.7% margin. The company provided guidance for the third quarter, expecting revenue between $276 million and $284 million, with gross margins from 62% to 63%, and earnings per share ranging from $0.16 to $0.20. For the full fiscal year 2025, Extreme Networks anticipates revenue between $1,120 million and $1,138 million, with increased margins and cash flow.Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.