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Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A (EXOD)
:EXOD
US Market

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A (EXOD) AI Stock Analysis

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Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A

(NYSE MKT:EXOD)

Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
Exodus Movement, Inc. demonstrates strong financial health, evidenced by robust revenue and profit growth, and a solid balance sheet. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further boosts confidence, despite the negative cash flow and dependency on exchange aggregation posing risks. Overall, the stock is well-positioned with potential for growth, though careful attention to cash flow management and diversification of revenue streams is recommended.
Positive Factors
Market Position
EXOD's B2B XO Swap business reported strong market share gains, capturing 30% of processed flow, which is an increase from 19%.
Partnership Expansion
Management inked two more XO Swap deals, lifting the roster to seven active partnerships and 13 contracted, enhancing credibility.
Revenue Growth
Exodus reported record revenue of $45m, up 123% compared to the previous quarter.
Negative Factors
Profit Contribution
B2B trading contributed ~30% of first-quarter volumes but just ~5% of gross profit.
Stock Price Performance
EXOD is down 28% since investors assumed the worst after the company initially preannounced revenue.
Trading Activity
Overall trading activity in the first quarter softened, with exchange processed volume easing to $2.2B from $2.3B.

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A (EXOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExodus Movement, Inc. Class A (EXOD) is a technology company operating in the cryptocurrency and blockchain sector. It is primarily known for its multi-asset cryptocurrency wallet, which allows users to manage, exchange, and secure their digital assets. The company focuses on providing a user-friendly interface and experience, enabling users to interact with a wide range of cryptocurrencies and blockchain networks.
How the Company Makes MoneyExodus Movement, Inc. generates revenue through its cryptocurrency wallet services by charging a spread on transactions that occur within its platform. This means that when users exchange one cryptocurrency for another using the Exodus wallet, a small percentage of the transaction is taken as a fee by the company. Additionally, Exodus may earn revenues from partnerships with blockchain networks and other cryptocurrency-related services that integrate with its platform. The company focuses on expanding its user base and enhancing its features to drive more transactions and, consequently, increase its revenue.

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exodus Movement, Inc. demonstrates strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and profitability, supported by a solid balance sheet with no debt and high equity. However, the negative operating cash flow in the latest period is a concern that needs to be addressed.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Exodus Movement, Inc. has shown impressive revenue growth, particularly in the latest year, with a significant jump from $56.2 million to $116.3 million, representing over 100% growth. The gross profit margin is robust at 100% due to no cost of sales being reported. The net profit margin has improved substantially, reaching 97.1% in 2024 from 22.8% the previous year, indicating excellent profitability. However, the absence of reported EBITDA in the most recent period is a notable omission. Overall, the company demonstrates strong financial performance on its income statement.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The balance sheet of Exodus Movement, Inc. is strong, with no debt reported, leading to a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio is high at 89.4%, suggesting that a significant portion of the company's assets are financed by equity. Return on equity is impressive at 43.9%, reflecting the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. Overall, the balance sheet indicates financial stability and minimal risk from leverage.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows some concerns. While the company has had positive free cash flow in the past, the latest year records a negative free cash flow of $12.3 million. This is largely due to negative operating cash flow, which might be a concern if it persists. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in converting profit to cash flow. Despite these challenges, the company has a strong cash position, which can help navigate short-term issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
116.27M56.19M50.61M95.85M21.25M
Gross Profit
116.27M25.67M21.93M73.15M11.71M
EBIT
30.73M8.39M-6.16M51.12M6.83M
EBITDA
0.007.53M-20.63M51.48M6.96M
Net Income Common Stockholders
112.96M12.79M-23.15M-21.91M8.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
37.90M54.54M20.49M50.74M2.61M
Total Assets
288.00M111.72M89.21M108.75M20.75M
Total Debt
0.000.000.000.00538.00K
Net Debt
-37.88M-11.39M-20.49M-5.38M-2.07M
Total Liabilities
30.47M7.96M3.37M4.80M2.93M
Stockholders Equity
257.53M103.76M85.84M103.96M17.82M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-12.31M625.00K44.01M6.21M625.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-12.04M692.00K44.34M8.71M2.67M
Investing Cash Flow
43.89M-9.13M-32.06M-2.61M-2.04M
Financing Cash Flow
-5.34M-682.00K2.76M-2.15M-1.39M

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price50.13
Price Trends
50DMA
41.62
Negative
100DMA
42.73
Negative
200DMA
31.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.04
Positive
RSI
43.97
Neutral
STOCH
13.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXOD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 50.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.73, above the 50-day MA of 41.62, and above the 200-day MA of 31.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EXOD.

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.01B19.8620.56%
73
Outperform
$1.23B25.5824.36%1.40%4.90%9.91%
70
Neutral
$1.58B72.461.98%2.42%27.63%
65
Neutral
$988.94M-57.86%16.35%14.27%
61
Neutral
$11.29B10.07-7.05%2.96%7.47%-10.75%
51
Neutral
$164.29M-60.94%128.83%73.67%
35
Underperform
$163.04M-98.67%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXOD
Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A
35.00
20.00
133.33%
ATEN
A10 Networks
17.03
1.85
12.19%
BKKT
Bakkt Holdings, Inc. Class A
10.66
-5.39
-33.58%
TUYA
Tuya
2.42
0.43
21.61%
AISP
Airship AI Holdings
5.12
1.27
32.99%
BASE
Couchbase
18.32
-7.67
-29.51%

Exodus Movement, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record revenue and growth in key areas such as XO Swap and PassKeys technology. However, challenges with user engagement and market volatility were noted. The proactive approach towards regulatory engagement and a strong balance sheet are positive indicators for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Q1 Revenue
Q1 revenue reached $36 million, marking a 24% increase year-over-year and the highest first-quarter revenue ever recorded by Exodus.
XO Swap Expansion
XO Swap accounted for 30% of the Q1 swap volume, up from 19% in Q4, indicating substantial growth and new partnerships.
Strong Balance Sheet
Exodus holds $238 million in digital and liquid assets with no debt, and 2,011 Bitcoin as of March, reflecting a strong financial position.
PassKeys Wallet Technology
Echo, a demo product using PassKeys technology, resulted in over 1.2 million PassKeys wallets being created, showcasing potential for future product integration.
Proactive Regulatory Engagement
CEO J.P. Richardson's involvement in regulatory discussions, including participation in the White House Crypto Summit, underscores a proactive approach to future regulatory clarity.
Growing Market Position
Exodus is positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth of stablecoins and has a strategy for horizontal and vertical expansion through partnerships and M&A activity.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Monthly Active Users
Monthly active users were down 30% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, attributed to market fatigue and volatility.
Market Volatility Impact
The price of Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana saw significant declines in Q1, impacting overall market conditions and user engagement.
Uneven Revenue Contribution
XO Swap's revenue contribution is lower than the base exchange aggregator due to the revenue share component, highlighting potential margin challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Exodus First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial and operational performance. The first quarter revenue reached $36 million, marking a 24% year-over-year increase and representing Exodus' second-best revenue quarter ever. Key growth drivers included the XO Swap product, which accounted for approximately 30% of Q1 swap volume, up from 19% in Q4, highlighting its significant contribution to the quarter's success. The company also mentioned its innovative Echo product, which has led to the creation of over 1.2 million PassKeys wallets, despite not currently being a direct revenue source. Exodus emphasized its strong financial position with $238 million in digital and liquid assets, no debt, and 2,011 Bitcoin holdings. The company also highlighted the impact of macroeconomic conditions, noting a 12% decline in Bitcoin prices, a 45% decrease in Ether, and a 34% drop in Solana during Q1. Despite these challenges, Exodus remains optimistic about future growth, driven by its strategic focus on partnerships, regulatory engagement, and product innovation.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.