Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings (LOG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €4.22B
• Dividend Yield: 7.05%
• Average Volume (3M): 188.59K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.41
• Revenue Growth: 4.24%
• EPS Growth: -8.96%
• Country: ES
• Employees: 6,651
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 132,750,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 153,303
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 188,589
• PEG Ratio: -1.51
• Price to Book (P/B): 5.94
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.28
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.86
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €30.40
• Price Target Upside: -5.00% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2
• EPS Forecast (FY): 2.25
• Revenue Forecast (FY): €1.82B

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: €35.00 ▲(9.38% Upside)
• Action: Downgraded Date: 12/11/25
• Date: Action: Downgraded 12/11/25

The overall stock score of 67 reflects strong financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by bearish technical indicators. The company's robust cash flow and reasonable P/E ratio are significant strengths, while the technical analysis suggests caution due to bearish momentum.

Positive Factors

Strong cash generation

Very strong free cash flow expansion and a high FCF-to-net-income ratio indicate the company reliably converts earnings into cash. This durable cash generation supports dividends, capex for network maintenance, debt paydown or strategic investment, increasing long-term resilience.

Improved leverage / balance sheet

A materially lower debt-to-equity level signals improved leverage management and greater financial flexibility. With reduced balance sheet risk, the firm can better absorb demand shocks, fund strategic projects, and lower financing costs over the medium term.

Capillary distribution network and recurring model

A dense last-mile network, route-to-market capabilities and recurring distribution contracts create structural switching costs and volume visibility. These assets drive steady throughput, spread fixed costs, and support predictable recurring revenue and client stickiness over time.

Negative Factors

Sharp margin compression

A large drop in gross margin and compressed net margins point to sustained cost or pricing pressure. Lower margins reduce the firm's ability to reinvest, cushion downturns or expand services, threatening long-term profitability even with healthy top-line growth.

Declining profitability metrics (ROE drop)

A meaningful decline in ROE signals deteriorating returns on shareholder capital. If driven by operational inefficiencies or weaker margins, this trend can persist, limiting earnings power and diminishing the attractiveness of the business to capital providers over several quarters.

Concentration in tobacco distribution

Heavy exposure to tobacco distribution creates structural revenue concentration risk given regulatory, tax or volume pressures in the category. While convenience goods mitigate some exposure, reliance on a regulated category can constrain secular growth and increase policy sensitivity.

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Logista Integral SA engages in the provision of logistics services. The company provides various products & services, including tobacco and related tobacco products, convenience goods, documents and electronic devices (such as mobile phone and travel card top-ups), drugs, books, newspapers, and lottery tickets. It operates through the following geographical segments: Spain, France, Italy & Portugal. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Leganes, Spain.

How the Company Makes Money

LOG generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from logistics and distribution services offered to various sectors, including retail and pharmaceuticals. Key revenue streams include fees for transportation and storage services, as well as value-added services such as order fulfillment and inventory management. The company also engages in long-term partnerships with major retailers and pharmaceutical companies, providing them with tailored logistics solutions, which contributes significantly to its earnings. Additionally, LOG may benefit from economies of scale due to its extensive network, enabling cost efficiencies that enhance profitability.

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings demonstrates robust revenue growth and effective cash flow management. However, declining profit margins and reduced return on equity highlight areas for improvement in operational efficiency and profitability. The company maintains a stable balance sheet with improved leverage ratios.

Income Statement

The company has shown strong revenue growth with a 6.99% increase in the latest year. However, the gross profit margin has significantly decreased from 13.53% to 3.55%, indicating increased cost pressures. The net profit margin has slightly decreased to 2.08%, and EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting reduced operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.43, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased to 43.75%, reflecting a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.

Cash Flow

The company has achieved a significant free cash flow growth of 75.12%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has improved, reflecting better cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains high at 92.54%, showcasing efficient cash management.

Breakdown	Sep 2025	Sep 2024	Sep 2023	Sep 2022	Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	13.54B	12.99B	12.43B	11.46B	10.82B
Gross Profit	481.15M	1.76B	841.46M	1.24B	997.86M
EBITDA	558.22M	591.21M	530.12M	406.59M	382.08M
Net Income	281.07M	308.24M	272.25M	198.85M	173.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.31B	8.08B	8.06B	7.69B	7.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	174.63M	169.17M	192.96M	218.73M	171.76M
Total Debt	274.51M	304.73M	285.37M	135.80M	170.81M
Total Liabilities	7.66B	7.44B	7.47B	7.13B	7.06B
Stockholders Equity	642.39M	641.47M	590.71M	561.98M	523.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	556.34M	350.22M	263.45M	606.70M	-342.20M
Operating Cash Flow	601.18M	397.31M	307.64M	642.96M	-302.03M
Investing Cash Flow	-222.89M	-51.08M	-83.00M	-389.03M	505.32M
Financing Cash Flow	-372.83M	-370.02M	-250.40M	-206.96M	-194.28M

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 32.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:LOG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.85, above the 50-day MA of 30.34, and above the 200-day MA of 28.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:LOG.

Compania de Distribucion Integral Logista Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EBRO	72 Outperform	€2.98B	15.23	8.92%	3.50%	-0.42%	-3.34%
LOG	67 Neutral	€4.22B	15.03	43.74%	7.05%	4.24%	-8.96%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
DIA	56 Neutral	€2.33B	44.77	―	―	5.97%	―
CASH	53 Neutral	€916.00M	10.43	41.93%	7.10%	―	―