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EDreams ODIGEO S.A. (ES:EDR)
BME:EDR
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EDreams ODIGEO (EDR) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:EDR

EDreams ODIGEO

(BME:EDR)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
€5.00
▲(34.41% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/30/26
Score is driven mainly by improving fundamentals and strong cash generation, supported by a low P/E valuation. The earnings call reinforces the multi-year plan and buybacks, but near-term margin compression and cash timing headwinds add risk. Technically, momentum is strong but somewhat overextended and the stock remains below the 200-day average.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
The company converted profits into cash consistently from 2023–2026, with operating cash flow and free cash flow rising materially. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, buybacks and working-capital needs, reducing reliance on external financing through travel-cycle swings.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage remains elevated after the turnaround, limiting balance-sheet flexibility. In a cyclical travel market this increases refinancing and liquidity risk, constraining ability to fund opportunistic investments or absorb booking shocks without cutting spending or raising costly capital.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
The company converted profits into cash consistently from 2023–2026, with operating cash flow and free cash flow rising materially. Durable cash generation supports reinvestment, buybacks and working-capital needs, reducing reliance on external financing through travel-cycle swings.
Read all positive factors

EDreams ODIGEO (EDR) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

EDreams ODIGEO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating across Europe, eDreams ODIGEO S.A. functions as a prominent online travel company, supported by its various subsidiaries. It delivers digital travel agency solutions through its well-recognized brands, which include eDreams, Go Voyages, ...
How the Company Makes Money
eDreams ODIGEO generates revenue mainly from (1) commissions and incentives from travel suppliers (especially airlines, and also other travel providers where applicable) when customers book through its platforms; (2) customer-facing service fees a...

EDreams ODIGEO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational progress driven by Prime growth and a large adjusted EBITDA uplift (+74%), improved cash profitability margins, and a clear multi-year growth and buyback plan. Key near-term headwinds are largely timing and strategic-transition related: subscription payment model changes (reducing short-term cash flow and ARPU), volatile Ryanair content access, and a planned investment-led margin trough in FY'27. Management positions these issues as expected, temporary, and part of a deliberate long-term acceleration strategy.
Positive Updates
Large Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 74% year-on-year to EUR 138.4 million for the first 9 months of FY'26 (adjusted to remove cash timing effects from subscription payment changes).
Negative Updates
Ryanair Content Instability and Access Volatility
Access to Ryanair content remains volatile and materially lower than historical levels, creating recurring headwinds to revenue though management states the FY'26 guidance is derisked to lower Ryanair assumptions.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Large Adjusted EBITDA Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 74% year-on-year to EUR 138.4 million for the first 9 months of FY'26 (adjusted to remove cash timing effects from subscription payment changes).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company reiterated guidance to hit 7.9m Prime members and EUR 155m cash EBITDA in FY‑26, and set FY‑30 targets of 13m Prime members and EUR 270m cash EBITDA (implying 15–20% Prime CAGR FY‑27–FY‑30, record net adds of 1.5–2.0m p.a. FY‑28–FY‑30 and ~33% p.a. cash EBITDA growth FY‑28–FY‑30); near‑term pain is expected as margins dip to ~15% in FY‑27 during the investment phase and recover to ~23% by FY‑30. For the first 9 months of FY‑26 management reported adjusted EBITDA EUR 138.4m (+74% y/y), cash EBITDA EUR 126.7m (+2% y/y), adjusted net income EUR 63.8m, cash marginal profit EUR 207.8m (+3% y/y) with Prime now 75% of cash revenue margin and contributing 89% of cash marginal profit, revenue margin (ex adjustments) EUR 502.8m (+3% y/y; Prime +16%, non‑Prime −24%), variable costs −15%, fixed costs +EUR 3.3m, cash from operations EUR 79.1m (working capital outflow EUR 42.9m), and ongoing buybacks (EUR 23m repurchased this quarter, EUR 100m committed through Sep‑2027, 12m shares amortized = 9.4% of capital, ~24% of market cap still available to buy, ~33% shareholder yield); valuation noted at ~4.4x EV/cash‑EBITDA (FY‑26) versus peer averages ~8.3x/11x.

EDreams ODIGEO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is credible with sustained profitability since 2024 and strengthening cash generation (operating cash flow up to ~€175m in 2026; free cash flow ~€112m). Offsets include a slight latest-period revenue decline (~-2.3%) and elevated leverage (~1.4–1.6x debt/equity), which increases cyclicality risk.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue668.52M671.18M650.51M587.76M398.28M
Gross Profit668.52M671.18M558.29M569.59M382.58M
EBITDA139.40M116.24M77.58M23.61M-6.26M
Net Income52.22M45.07M32.36M-43.34M-65.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.16B1.15B1.07B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.25M78.64M93.90M35.93M45.93M
Total Debt381.30M379.33M380.64M385.70M424.26M
Total Liabilities929.05M911.83M880.44M837.63M802.61M
Stockholders Equity247.92M250.25M274.53M236.30M272.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow112.40M91.03M89.73M64.37M92.22M
Operating Cash Flow175.11M146.41M138.88M102.53M119.15M
Investing Cash Flow-61.83M-55.55M-48.80M-38.15M-26.92M
Financing Cash Flow-107.41M-105.61M-31.05M-67.74M-50.93M

EDreams ODIGEO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.72
Price Trends
50DMA
3.75
Positive
100DMA
3.44
Positive
200DMA
4.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Positive
RSI
61.08
Neutral
STOCH
48.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:EDR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.27, below the 50-day MA of 3.75, and below the 200-day MA of 4.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ES:EDR.

EDreams ODIGEO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€499.92M9.2120.92%-0.40%20.61%
70
Outperform
€40.56B18.7024.42%4.09%10.03%9.63%
69
Neutral
€2.69B16.5018.84%1.84%3.22%20.93%
68
Neutral
€22.55B16.6026.71%2.24%4.61%3.06%
61
Neutral
€12.87B14.259.77%3.56%3.72%17.21%
58
Neutral
€43.50B49.1515.04%1.42%5.25%-72.42%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:EDR
EDreams ODIGEO
4.47
-3.15
-41.34%
ES:AENA
Aena SA
26.70
4.70
21.37%
ES:AMS
Amadeus IT Group S.A
51.58
-15.51
-23.12%
ES:FER
Ferrovial
60.32
17.49
40.82%
ES:MAP
Mapfre, SA
4.24
1.04
32.46%
ES:MEL
MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL
12.44
5.80
87.26%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 30, 2026