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EDreams ODIGEO S.A. (ES:EDR)
BME:EDR

EDreams ODIGEO (EDR) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:EDR

EDreams ODIGEO

(BME:EDR)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
€4.50
▲(14.21% Upside)
EDreams ODIGEO's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The stock's undervaluation presents an opportunity, but high leverage and immediate operational challenges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for services and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion.
Prime Membership Growth
Growth in Prime membership enhances customer loyalty and recurring revenue, contributing to stable long-term financial performance.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports operational flexibility and strategic investments, ensuring sustainable business growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially impacting long-term stability if not managed effectively.
Ryanair OTA Blocking
Ryanair's blocking efforts pose a significant challenge to customer acquisition, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.
Short-Term Cash EBITDA Impact
Short-term EBITDA impact from strategic investments may strain financial performance, affecting near-term profitability and cash flow.

EDreams ODIGEO (EDR) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

EDreams ODIGEO Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptioneDreams ODIGEO S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an online travel company in Europe. The company offers its online travel agency services under the eDreams, Go Voyages, Opodo, Travellink, and Liligo brands. It also provides marketing, admin and IT consulting, and metasearch services, as well as offers online advertising campaigns. Its customers access the deals in regular flights, low-cost airlines, hotels, car rental, dynamic packages, holiday packages, and travel insurance. eDreams ODIGEO S.A. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyEDreams ODIGEO generates revenue primarily through its online travel agency model, which includes a commission-based structure from airlines, hotels, and other travel service providers. Key revenue streams include booking fees charged to customers, commissions on airline ticket sales, and revenue from ancillary services such as travel insurance and car rentals. The company also benefits from partnerships with various airlines and hotel chains, which provide access to exclusive deals and promotions, enhancing the attractiveness of its offerings. Additionally, EDR invests in digital marketing and technology to drive customer acquisition and retention, further contributing to its overall revenue growth.

EDreams ODIGEO Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong growth in Prime membership and profitability, alongside strategic shifts to monthly payments and geographic expansion, which are expected to drive future growth. However, challenges such as Ryanair's blocking efforts and short-term impacts on cash EBITDA due to strategic investments present immediate concerns.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Prime Membership Growth
Prime members grew by 18% to 7.7 million, with 457,000 added in the first half of FY '26.
Increased Profitability
Cash EBITDA reached EUR 94 million, growing 16% year-on-year, with an improvement in cash EBITDA margin by 5 percentage points from 22% to 28%.
Strategic Shift to Monthly Payments
Test results show a preference for monthly payments, leading to higher lifetime value and conversion rates, with a 13% increase in lifetime value.
Geographic Expansion and Product Diversification
Expansion into 14 new markets with positive results, and entry into the European rail market with promising growth potential.
AI Adoption and Technological Advancements
Massive scale adoption of Generative AI, with over 400 billion tokens processed annually, enhancing various business operations.
Negative Updates
Ryanair OTA Blocking
Ryanair's intensified OTA blocking efforts have reduced average daily bookings by over 80%, impacting new customer acquisition.
Revenue Margin Changes
Overall revenue margin increased by 5%, but cash revenue margin saw a 6% decrease due to a planned 22% reduction in non-Prime revenue margin.
Short-Term Cash EBITDA Impact
Investment and changes to monthly payments will cause cash EBITDA to decrease to EUR 155 million in FY '26 and EUR 115 million in FY '27.
Company Guidance
During the call, eDreams ODIGEO provided comprehensive guidance for the next four years, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a strong first half of fiscal year 2026, with Prime membership growing by 18% to 7.7 million and Cash EBITDA increasing by 16% year-on-year to EUR 94 million. The new strategic plan aims for substantial growth, with Prime members projected to rise by 600,000 annually in fiscal '26 and '27, and a 15-20% annual growth from fiscal '28, reaching over 13 million by fiscal '30. The plan includes transitioning to monthly and quarterly payment models, which has shown a 13% higher lifetime value and a 10% increase in Net Promoter Score compared to annual payments. Despite immediate headwinds from Ryanair's intensified OTA blocking efforts, eDO maintains a strong financial outlook, with cash EBITDA expected to reach over EUR 270 million by fiscal year '30, growing more than 33% annually from fiscal '27 to '30. The company also commits to a EUR 100 million share buyback over the next two years, reflecting confidence in its growth strategy and shareholder value creation.

EDreams ODIGEO Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EDreams ODIGEO shows strong profitability with healthy margins and revenue growth. However, high leverage and recent declines in free cash flow growth present financial risks. The company needs to manage its debt-to-equity ratio carefully to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EDreams ODIGEO has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.88%. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 68.24% and a net profit margin of 8.75%, indicating solid profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 13.93% and 20.55%, respectively, suggesting efficient operations. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in revenue growth rates in previous years, which could indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.47, indicating a relatively high level of leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity is strong at 23.94%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets with equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
EDreams ODIGEO's cash flow metrics show a mixed picture. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -5.51%, indicating a decline in free cash flow generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash flow relative to its net income. This indicates a stable cash flow position despite recent declines.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue687.11M671.18M650.51M587.76M398.28M107.17M
Gross Profit496.26M671.18M558.29M569.59M382.58M63.31M
EBITDA162.77M116.24M77.58M23.61M-6.26M-73.81M
Net Income75.25M45.07M32.36M-43.34M-65.87M-124.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B1.16B1.15B1.07B1.08B986.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.16M78.64M93.90M35.93M45.93M12.14M
Total Debt384.96M379.33M380.64M385.70M424.26M513.23M
Total Liabilities869.01M911.83M880.44M837.63M802.61M727.77M
Stockholders Equity253.35M250.25M274.53M236.30M272.52M258.47M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow111.53M91.03M89.73M64.37M92.22M-21.28M
Operating Cash Flow170.57M146.41M138.88M102.53M119.15M428.00K
Investing Cash Flow-59.13M-55.55M-48.80M-38.15M-26.92M-21.66M
Financing Cash Flow-116.03M-105.61M-31.05M-67.74M-50.93M-69.45M

EDreams ODIGEO Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.94
Price Trends
50DMA
5.46
Negative
100DMA
6.87
Negative
200DMA
7.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Negative
RSI
35.18
Neutral
STOCH
43.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ES:EDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.94 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.85, below the 50-day MA of 5.46, and below the 200-day MA of 7.35, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ES:EDR.

EDreams ODIGEO Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
€466.67M6.0129.98%6.79%130.31%
66
Neutral
€8.37B21.7228.47%0.52%6.92%57.04%
61
Neutral
€27.08B20.2327.50%2.24%8.08%11.80%
55
Neutral
$13.29B17.4210.03%0.93%7.13%-12.93%
* Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:EDR
EDreams ODIGEO
3.94
-4.45
-53.04%
ES:AMS
Amadeus IT Group S.A
62.16
-4.34
-6.52%
ES:IDR
Indra Sistemas
47.50
30.63
181.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025