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Dycom (DY)
NYSE:DY

Dycom (DY) AI Stock Analysis

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DY

Dycom

(NYSE:DY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$382.00
▲(5.69% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and a positive FY2027 outlook with strong backlog and margin expansion targets. Offsetting this are increased leverage and uneven cash conversion history, while near-term technical signals are bearish/oversold and valuation is expensive given the very high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Record backlog and strong demand visibility
A record backlog (~$9.5B) with roughly $6.3B slated to convert in the next 12 months gives multi‑quarter revenue visibility, supports staffing and procurement plans, and reduces near‑term revenue volatility, anchoring growth through conversion of contracted work and sustaining organic expansion.
Sustained margin improvement and operating leverage
Material margin expansion demonstrates improved execution and scale economics. Higher gross and operating margins reflect better project mix, pricing, and cost control, which should support durable profitability as revenue scales and the business captures higher‑margin Building Systems and long‑haul work.
Strategic acquisition expands addressable market
The Power Solutions acquisition adds data‑center and building systems capabilities, widening Dycom's serviceable market and cross‑sell opportunities. Immediate accretion to adjusted EBITDA and EPS (ex‑amortization) and retained local management improve scale and diversify revenue sources structurally.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage from acquisition financing
A sharp increase in debt materially raises financial risk and reduces flexibility. Elevated leverage heightens sensitivity to cash‑flow shocks, constrains capital allocation, and makes the company more vulnerable to slower BEAD conversion, project delays, or tighter credit markets while management executes deleveraging.
Uneven cash conversion and working‑capital intensity
While cash generation improved, FCF conversion lags net income and has been volatile historically. High DSOs and working‑capital swings mean cash is sensitive to billing cycles and project timing, limiting reinvestment flexibility and complicating reliable deleveraging and shareholder return planning.
Program timing and revenue composition risks (BEAD, wireless headwind)
Dependency on multi‑state BEAD program timing and a known ~$100M wireless replacement revenue decline create structural revenue timing and composition risks. Delays or underfunding of BEAD slow growth, while program step‑downs shift the mix toward areas requiring ramp and execution to replace lost volume.

Dycom (DY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dycom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDycom Industries, Inc. provides specialty contracting services in the United States. The company offers program management and engineering services; plans and designs aerial, underground, and buried fiber optic, copper, and coaxial cable systems; and construction, maintenance, and installation services, such as placement and splicing of fiber, copper, and coaxial cables to telecommunications providers. It also provides tower construction, lines and antenna installation, foundation and equipment pad construction, and small cell site placement for wireless carriers, as well as equipment installation and material fabrication, and site testing services; and installs and maintains customer premise equipment, such as digital video recorders, set top boxes, and modems for cable system operators. In addition, the company offers construction and maintenance services for electric and gas utilities, and other customers; and underground facility locating services, such as locating telephone, cable television, power, water, sewer, and gas lines for various utility companies, including telecommunication providers. Dycom Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyDycom makes money primarily by performing contracted services for telecommunications carriers, cable multiple-system operators, and other network/infrastructure owners, earning revenue as projects are executed. Its key revenue streams are (1) construction and installation work tied to network builds and upgrades (e.g., placing/connecting outside plant, installing network equipment, and supporting last-mile deployments) and (2) recurring maintenance and repair services for existing networks and infrastructure. Revenue is generally generated under service agreements and project-based contracts where Dycom is paid based on delivered units of work, milestones, or time-and-materials depending on the contract structure; revenue volume is driven by customers’ capital spending on network expansion and technology upgrade cycles and by ongoing operating spend for maintenance. Dycom’s earnings are also influenced by the concentration and size of large customer programs (major carrier and cable operator relationships), the mix of higher-volume build programs versus lower-volume maintenance work, labor and subcontractor utilization, and its ability to manage project execution, costs, and safety/compliance requirements across geographies.

Dycom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call was positive: management reported record quarterly and annual revenue, meaningful margin expansion, strong free cash flow improvement, a record backlog and constructive FY2027 guidance. Strategic progress was highlighted by the Power Solutions acquisition and clear positioning within fiber-to-the-home, hyperscaler long-haul/middle-mile, and BEAD opportunities. Near-term challenges include margin pressure from workforce ramp and winter weather, timing and funding uncertainty around BEAD, a projected $100M decline in wireless equipment replacement revenue next year, elevated acquisition-related leverage and transaction costs. Despite these headwinds management provided a clear deleveraging plan, continued margin expansion targets, and investments (training facility, workforce) to capture secular tailwinds, which leaves the overall tone constructive and growth-oriented.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong Organic Growth
Q4 record consolidated revenue of ~$1.46B, up 34.4% year-over-year; organic revenue for the quarter increased 16.6%, underscoring strong backlog conversion and demand momentum.
Record Full-Year Financial Performance
Fiscal 2026 record revenue of $5.55B, up 17.9% versus prior year; organic revenue +6.5% for the year; adjusted EBITDA of $737.7M with margin of 13.3% (↑105 bps year-over-year); adjusted diluted EPS $11.97 (↑29.7% YoY).
Significant Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Improvement
Free cash flow increased to $435.3M (more than doubled; reported +216%); full-year operating cash flow $642.5M; Q4 operating cash flow increased 27.7% to $419M; DSOs improved to 101 days (improvement of 13 days YoY).
Margin Expansion and Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Q4 adjusted EBITDA $162.4M (↑39.6% YoY per commentary) with adjusted EBITDA margin 11.1% (↑~41 bps YoY); demonstrates ability to grow margins while scaling revenue.
Record Backlog and Healthy Book-to-Bill
Record total backlog of ~$9.5B (Drew: $9.542B) with ~$6.3B expected to be completed in next 12 months; book-to-bill was 1.3x total and 1.2x organic, indicating sustained demand visibility.
Strategic Acquisition and Entry into Data Center/Building Systems
Closed acquisition of Power Solutions (purchase price ~$1.95B) on 12/23/2025; contributed $95.8M revenue and $11.1M adjusted EBITDA in the abbreviated period; provides immediate footprint in data center/building systems market and cross-sell opportunities.
Ambitious FY2027 Outlook
Guidance for fiscal 2027 revenue of $6.85B–$7.15B (≈+23.6% to 29% total YoY, or +6.6% to 10.3% organic); expectations for continued adjusted EBITDA margin expansion and Building Systems mid-teens segment margin as scale is realized.
Market Tailwinds and Program Opportunities
Strong end-market signals: nearly 6M additional fiber-to-the-home passings noted by customers; BEAD verbal awards increasing (>$500M previously disclosed and growing); hyperscaler CapEx guidance up ~70% YoY to ~$718B, supporting long-haul/middle-mile and inside-the-fence opportunities.
Negative Updates
Short-Term Margin Pressure from Weather and Workforce Additions
Q4 margin impact from substantial workforce additions and severe winter storms; management acknowledged some margin dilution as new hires ramp and weather disrupted productivity.
BEAD Funding and Timing Uncertainty
BEAD program progress remains uneven — funding distribution delayed in many states and verbal awards have not fully converted to contracted backlog; management expects initial revenue in Q2 with broader ramp into calendar 2027 but timing remains uncertain.
Decline in Wireless Equipment Replacement Revenue Ahead
Management expects wireless equipment replacement program revenue to decline by approximately $100M in fiscal 2027 with a further step-down in fiscal 2028 as the program phases transition, creating a near-term headwind to Communications revenue composition.
Increased Leverage from Recent Acquisition
Power Solutions acquisition financed with term loans/bridge and cash led to pro forma net leverage of ~2.3x adjusted EBITDA; company targets deleveraging to ~2.0x over next 12 months but leverage remains elevated in the near term.
Higher SG&A and One-Time Transaction Costs
Q4 G&A included transaction and acquisition-related costs (~$18M cited) and amortization of intangibles excluded from adjusted results; elevated SG&A contributed to near-term profitability pressure.
Persistent Working Capital Intensity
Although DSOs improved, combined DSO remains relatively high at 101 days, indicating ongoing working capital intensity and the need to sustain cash conversion improvements.
Company Guidance
Dycom provided fiscal 2027 guidance calling for total contract revenues of $6.85 billion to $7.15 billion (≈23.6%–29% year‑over‑year growth, or ~6.6%–10.3% organic), with Communications revenues of $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion (vs. $5.35 billion FY26 ex‑extra week) and Building Systems revenues of $1.15 billion to $1.25 billion; the company expects continued adjusted EBITDA margin expansion (modest segment margin gains in Communications and mid‑teens adjusted EBITDA segment margin in Building Systems) and indicated a ~$100 million decline in wireless equipment replacement revenue in FY27. For Q1 FY27 Dycom guided contract revenues of $1.64 billion to $1.71 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $220 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.57 to $2.90 (ex‑intangible amortization). Capital expenditures, net of disposals, are expected to be $210 million to $220 million for FY27, and management reiterated confidence BEAD and long‑haul/middle‑mile opportunities will begin to contribute (first BEAD revenues anticipated in Q2), supported by a record year‑end backlog of ~$9.54 billion (≈$6.36 billion expected to convert within 12 months). Financial flexibility targets include pro forma net leverage of ~2.3x adjusted EBITDA at quarter end with a plan to delever to ~2.0x over the next 12 months, cash of $709.2 million and total liquidity of $1.46 billion.

Dycom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations are improving (strong multi-year revenue growth and sharp 2026 margin expansion) and 2026 cash flow rebounded meaningfully. The main offset is balance-sheet risk: debt jumped to ~$3.0B in 2026 (debt-to-equity ~1.61), and cash conversion has been uneven (historical FCF volatility and FCF below net income).
Income Statement
78
Positive
DY shows a strong earnings trajectory over the last several annual periods, with revenue rising from ~$3.2B (2021) to ~$5.5B (2026) and profitability improving meaningfully. In the latest annual period (2026), margins expanded sharply versus 2025 (gross margin ~20.6% vs ~15.6%; operating margin ~12.5% vs ~7.8%), while net margin held around ~5%. Strengths include consistent top-line growth in recent years and clear operating leverage. Key watch-outs are that net margins remain modest for the level of activity (execution/cost risk typical for the industry) and growth has been uneven earlier in the period (revenue declines in 2021–2022).
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet has become more leveraged. Total debt increased materially in the latest annual period (2026) to ~$3.0B from ~$1.1B in 2025, pushing debt-to-equity up to ~1.61 (from ~0.85). Equity also grew to ~$1.86B, and return on equity remains solid (~15% in 2026), but the sharp step-up in leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises sensitivity to downturns, project issues, or tighter credit conditions.
Cash Flow
71
Positive
Cash generation improved substantially in the latest annual period (2026), with operating cash flow at ~$643M and free cash flow at ~$402M, and free cash flow growth strong versus 2025. However, cash conversion still isn’t consistently strong: free cash flow is below net income in recent years (about ~0.63x in 2026; ~0.28x in 2025), and the company has a history of volatility including negative free cash flow in 2023. Overall, the trend is positive, but working-capital swings and uneven conversion remain key risks.
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.55B4.70B4.18B3.81B3.13B
Gross Profit1.14B733.57M650.67M504.02M343.99M
EBITDA964.20M567.36M507.69M396.99M270.43M
Net Income281.19M233.41M218.92M142.21M48.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.98B2.95B2.52B2.31B2.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments709.16M104.00M121.30M243.83M310.76M
Total Debt2.99B1.06B885.04M892.02M901.91M
Total Liabilities4.12B1.71B1.46B1.44B1.36B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.24B1.05B868.75M758.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow401.71M98.64M40.48M-36.17M151.61M
Operating Cash Flow642.50M349.10M258.98M164.79M308.65M
Investing Cash Flow-1.84B-395.20M-306.16M-183.93M-151.68M
Financing Cash Flow1.81B37.69M-75.91M-67.43M142.01M

Dycom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price361.43
Price Trends
50DMA
382.54
Negative
100DMA
352.83
Positive
200DMA
307.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.57
Positive
RSI
40.82
Neutral
STOCH
19.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 361.43 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 391.36, below the 50-day MA of 382.54, and above the 200-day MA of 307.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -10.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DY.

Dycom Risk Analysis

Dycom disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dycom reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dycom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.98B21.1540.95%16.89%54.13%
74
Outperform
$24.04B42.4213.08%12.99%274.10%
74
Outperform
$7.59B24.3917.49%0.25%21.45%67.31%
69
Neutral
$4.69B12.5928.27%1.65%9.66%29.01%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$10.83B37.6518.81%13.19%33.58%
55
Neutral
$6.55B-131.50-1.14%-1.81%1228.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DY
Dycom
361.43
205.50
131.79%
FLR
Fluor
44.66
7.46
20.05%
IESC
IES Holdings
450.39
271.02
151.10%
KBR
KBR
37.12
-13.06
-26.02%
MTZ
MasTec
304.67
183.14
150.70%
PRIM
Primoris Services
140.50
77.05
121.44%

Dycom Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Dycom Establishes New $800 Million Term Loan Facility
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 27, 2026, Dycom Industries, Inc. amended its existing credit arrangements by entering into a First Amendment to its Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, establishing a new $800 million senior secured Term Loan B facility. The proceeds were used to refinance a $600 million 364-day senior secured bridge loan, cover related fees and expenses, and add cash to the company’s balance sheet, potentially strengthening its liquidity and capital structure. The Term Loan B bears interest at term SOFR or a base rate plus specified margins and will begin amortizing at a rate of 0.25% on September 15, 2026, with quarterly payments thereafter, setting a clearer schedule for Dycom’s debt repayment obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DY) stock is a Buy with a $426.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dycom stock, see the DY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Dycom Completes Power Solutions Acquisition, Expands Credit Facilities
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Dycom Industries completed its previously announced acquisition of Power Solutions, LLC, one of the Mid-Atlantic’s largest electrical contractors serving data centers, for approximately $1.63 billion in cash plus about 1.0 million Dycom common shares, on a cash-free, debt-free basis. Power Solutions will continue to operate under its own brand from its Bowie, Maryland headquarters with its existing management team, while the transaction is described as immediately accretive to Dycom’s adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted diluted EPS (excluding non-cash intangible amortization) and as enhancing free cash flow, reinforcing Dycom’s positioning in fast-growing digital and data center infrastructure services. To finance the deal and strengthen its capital structure, Dycom simultaneously amended and restated its credit agreement, extending debt maturities to December 2030, expanding its revolving credit facility to $800 million, increasing its term loan facility to $1.54 billion and adding a $600 million 364-day senior secured bridge loan, whose proceeds, together with the term loan, refinanced existing borrowings and funded the cash portion of the acquisition.

The most recent analyst rating on (DY) stock is a Buy with a $420.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dycom stock, see the DY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Dycom Announces Planned Board Change with Director Retirement
Neutral
Dec 19, 2025

Dycom Industries, Inc., a specialty contractor serving the telecommunications and utility network sectors, announced that director Luis Avila-Marco has decided not to stand for reelection at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders and will retire from the Board at that time. The company stated that Avila-Marco’s decision, disclosed on December 18, 2025, was not due to any disagreement over operations, policies, or practices, and it plans to reduce the size of its Board from 10 to 9 members following his retirement, signaling a modest governance adjustment rather than a strategic shift.

The most recent analyst rating on (DY) stock is a Buy with a $392.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dycom stock, see the DY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026