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Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN)
NASDAQ:DWSN

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) AI Stock Analysis

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DWSN

Dawson Geophysical Company

(NASDAQ:DWSN)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(76.47% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (better revenue, EBITDA and cash generation), but is held back by continued net losses and higher leverage. Technical signals are mixed-to-weak in the near term, and valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue & EBITDA Recovery
Sustained revenue rebound and a move to a positive EBITDA margin indicate improving demand capture and better fixed-cost absorption. Over 2–6 months this supports higher utilization and pricing leverage, reducing the structural risk of chronic operating losses if trends persist.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Debt approaching parity with equity reduces financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to demand shocks. With modest cash reserves, higher leverage raises fixed obligations and limits the company's ability to invest opportunistically or absorb weaker utilization without stressing liquidity or covenant breathing room.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue & EBITDA Recovery
Sustained revenue rebound and a move to a positive EBITDA margin indicate improving demand capture and better fixed-cost absorption. Over 2–6 months this supports higher utilization and pricing leverage, reducing the structural risk of chronic operating losses if trends persist.
Read all positive factors

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dawson Geophysical Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dawson Geophysical Company provides onshore seismic data acquisition and processing services in the United States and Canada. The company acquires and processes 2-D, 3-D, and multi-component seismic data for its clients, including oil and gas comp...
How the Company Makes Money
Dawson Geophysical makes money primarily by providing contracted land seismic data acquisition services to oil and gas companies. Revenue is generated when customers hire Dawson to plan and execute seismic survey projects, which typically includes...

Dawson Geophysical Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 30, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a number of clear operational and financial improvements: strong Q4 revenue growth (+67%), restoration of quarterly profitability, sizable increases in adjusted EBITDA (both quarter and year), $14 million of operating cash generated, a major equipment investment expanding capacity to over 180,000 channels, and continued cost discipline (G&A down 9%). Offsetting these positives are the remaining full-year net loss (-$1.9 million), a modest year-end cash balance ($4.9 million) after significant capex, relatively small field scale in Q4, no forward guidance, and some uncertainty around external demand drivers. Overall, the positive operational momentum, improved margins and strategic investments outweigh the outstanding challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Fee revenues for Q4 2025 were $22.9 million, up 67% versus $13.8 million in Q4 2024.
Negative Updates
Full-Year Net Loss Remains
Despite improvement, the company reported a net loss of $1.9 million for fiscal 2025 (EPS -$0.06), so full-year profitability has not yet been achieved.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Fee revenues for Q4 2025 were $22.9 million, up 67% versus $13.8 million in Q4 2024.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management said the company would not provide formal guidance, but outlined expectations and key metrics: Q4 fee revenues were $22.9M (up 67% YoY) with Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $3.3M (vs $0.9M), full-year 2025 fee revenues were $61.9M (up 16% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA $4.7M (up 139% YoY), Q4 net income was $0.6M ($0.02/share) vs a prior-year Q4 loss of $0.8M ($0.03), and the FY net loss narrowed to $1.9M ($0.06) from $4.7M ($0.13); the company generated $14M of operating cash flow in 2025, ended the year with $4.9M cash (vs $1.4M), has a $5M revolver with a $4.9M borrowing base and no outstanding balance, purchased $24.2M of new equipment (including single‑node channels delivered Aug 2025–Jan 2026), holds over 180,000 channels, cut G&A 9% in 2025, and has a Board‑approved 2026 capital budget of $3M (including a $0.9M final equipment payment), while operating 4 crews in the Lower 48 and 2 in Canada in Q4 (moving to 3 large‑channel crews in Canada in Q1) and expecting continued improvement in profitability, higher utilization and increased bid activity into Q1 2026.

Dawson Geophysical Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations are improving with sharp TTM revenue growth (+41%), EBITDA turning modestly positive (~3.6%), and materially better cash generation (positive operating cash flow and free cash flow). Offsetting this, TTM profitability remains weak (negative EBIT and net income) and leverage has risen meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~0.89), increasing downside risk if conditions soften.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue75.63M74.15M96.85M51.63M24.70M
Gross Profit7.35M5.40M1.70M-6.75M11.83M
EBITDA4.53M1.78M-3.65M-6.68M-16.23M
Net Income-1.94M-4.12M-12.15M-18.64M-29.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.01M30.87M58.19M68.67M74.04M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.28M1.39M16.04M18.87M25.64M
Total Debt20.66M5.78M6.23M4.93M5.21M
Total Liabilities40.20M13.59M26.76M19.87M11.56M
Stockholders Equity15.81M17.28M31.43M48.80M62.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.15M-3.73M-2.91M-4.70M-16.55M
Operating Cash Flow13.98M-1.87M814.00K-3.27M-16.05M
Investing Cash Flow-6.73M-735.00K-4.50M-1.09M264.00K
Financing Cash Flow-3.68M-11.56M-4.20M-2.15M95.00K

Dawson Geophysical Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.06
Negative
100DMA
2.47
Positive
200DMA
2.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
43.63
Neutral
STOCH
18.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DWSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.19, below the 50-day MA of 3.06, and below the 200-day MA of 2.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DWSN.

Dawson Geophysical Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$214.64M116.130.57%18.98%
52
Neutral
$80.43M21.26-11.82%-22.31%39.11%
52
Neutral
$119.28M-23.15-3.08%7.46%-165.76%
45
Neutral
$43.86M-0.46147.42%-12.57%-45.75%
42
Neutral
$10.08M-8.78%-3.41%-50.85%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DWSN
Dawson Geophysical Company
2.59
1.44
125.22%
RCON
Recon Technology
0.86
-0.87
-50.35%
SND
Smart Sand
4.93
3.15
177.12%
NINE
Nine Energy Service, Inc.
8.71
0.51
6.22%
KLXE
KLX Energy Services Holdings
2.23
0.53
31.18%
DTI
Drilling Tools International
3.39
1.48
77.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026