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Vonovia SE (DE:VNA)
XETRA:VNA

Vonovia (VNA) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:VNA

Vonovia

(XETRA:VNA)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
€21.50
▼(-7.05% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is held back mainly by weak technicals (price below key moving averages, negative MACD, oversold momentum) and only moderate financial quality due to high leverage and volatile profitability. This is partially offset by attractive valuation metrics (very low P/E and high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Scale & recurring rental income
Vonovia's large, diversified residential portfolio and long-term lease model generate stable, recurring rental cash flows. That scale reduces per-unit operating cost, supports predictable revenue over months, and underpins resilience versus short-term market swings in demand.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated absolute debt and high debt/equity reduce financial flexibility and increase exposure to rising interest rates or refinancing stress. A heavily leveraged capital structure limits capacity to absorb asset-value or earnings shocks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & recurring rental income
Vonovia's large, diversified residential portfolio and long-term lease model generate stable, recurring rental cash flows. That scale reduces per-unit operating cost, supports predictable revenue over months, and underpins resilience versus short-term market swings in demand.
Read all positive factors

Vonovia (VNA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Vonovia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vonovia SE operates as an integrated residential real estate company in Europe. It operates through five segments: Rental, Value-Add, Recurring Sales, Development, and Deutsche Wohnen. The company offers property management services; apartments an...
How the Company Makes Money
Vonovia generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties, which comprises over 400,000 units. The company's revenue model is heavily based on long-term leases, providing stable and recurring ...

Vonovia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial quality is moderate: operating cash flow and free cash flow have stayed positive, but reported profitability and revenue are volatile (sharp revenue decline in 2025 after 2024 growth, large losses in 2023–2024 followed by a big 2025 profit). The balance sheet remains highly leveraged with ~€43B debt, limiting flexibility if asset values or earnings weaken.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.98B5.94B5.23B5.15B3.62B
Gross Profit2.49B2.25B2.46B2.86B2.23B
EBITDA3.08B2.10B-7.96B1.26B1.98B
Net Income3.72B-896.00M-6.29B-669.40M2.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets93.26B90.24B92.00B101.39B106.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.26B2.02B1.37B1.20B1.32B
Total Debt43.31B43.21B43.57B45.69B47.69B
Total Liabilities61.09B62.11B62.05B66.95B69.78B
Stockholders Equity27.47B24.00B25.68B31.33B33.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.31B2.40B1.90B1.86B1.47B
Operating Cash Flow1.66B2.40B1.90B2.08B1.82B
Investing Cash Flow-403.30M-187.60M-825.90M938.20M-19.12B
Financing Cash Flow190.20M-1.82B-961.00M-3.15B18.13B

Vonovia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price23.13
Price Trends
50DMA
24.68
Negative
100DMA
24.78
Negative
200DMA
26.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.62
Negative
RSI
49.11
Neutral
STOCH
85.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:VNA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 23.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.51, below the 50-day MA of 24.68, and below the 200-day MA of 26.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:VNA.

Vonovia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
€1.67B3.6911.82%0.44%
63
Neutral
€4.52B3.2018.02%4.45%6.91%
58
Neutral
€2.76B4.097.69%-1.35%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
€19.62B5.4914.53%5.08%22.80%
49
Neutral
€6.24B23.97-0.36%-9.44%96.54%
45
Neutral
€25.17M-0.37-62.13%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:VNA
Vonovia
23.13
-2.96
-11.33%
DE:LEG
LEG Immobilien
59.80
-8.62
-12.59%
DE:AT1
Aroundtown SA
2.53
-0.08
-3.00%
DE:GYC
Grand City Properties SA
9.98
-0.30
-2.92%
DE:ADJ
ADLER Group
0.17
-0.04
-19.42%
DE:O5G
CPI PROPERTY GROUP S.A.
0.75
-0.07
-9.15%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026