tiprankstipranks
Vonovia SE (DE:VNA)
XETRA:VNA
Want to see DE:VNA full AI Analyst Report?

Vonovia (VNA) AI Stock Analysis

282 Followers

Top Page

DE:VNA

Vonovia

(XETRA:VNA)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
€23.00
▼(-4.25% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven mainly by mid-range financial quality: a strong TTM profitability rebound and positive free cash flow are offset by elevated leverage, volatile multi-year results, and weaker cash conversion. Technicals are a notable drag as the stock is in a downtrend with negative momentum. Valuation is moderately supportive due to the high dividend yield, but the P/E does not indicate a clear bargain.
Positive Factors
Recurring rental income
A large, predominantly rental-based business model produces predictable, recurring cash flows that are durable across economic cycles. Stable rent income supports operating resilience, funds maintenance and modernization, and underpins long-term cash generation and dividend capacity over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Meaningful leverage increases interest-rate and refinancing risk, reducing financial flexibility. In a higher-rate environment elevated debt burdens limit ability to pursue development, sizable capex, or rapid debt paydown without pressuring cash flow or requiring asset sales in the next several months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring rental income
A large, predominantly rental-based business model produces predictable, recurring cash flows that are durable across economic cycles. Stable rent income supports operating resilience, funds maintenance and modernization, and underpins long-term cash generation and dividend capacity over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Vonovia (VNA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Vonovia Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Vonovia SE operates as an integrated residential real estate company in Europe. It operates through five segments: Rental, Value-Add, Recurring Sales, Development, and Deutsche Wohnen. The company offers property management services; apartments an...
How the Company Makes Money
Vonovia primarily makes money by generating recurring rental income from its residential property portfolio. The core revenue stream comes from tenant rents (including contractual base rents and ancillary recoveries/charges where applicable) acros...

Vonovia Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TTM shows a strong profitability rebound with very high margins and positive operating/free cash flow, but confidence is tempered by multi-year earnings volatility, elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.5x), and weaker cash conversion (operating cash flow well below net income) with declining free cash flow versus the prior period.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.32B4.98B5.94B5.23B5.15B3.62B
Gross Profit3.60B2.49B2.25B2.46B2.86B2.23B
EBITDA3.49B3.08B2.10B-7.96B1.26B1.98B
Net Income3.44B3.72B-896.00M-6.29B-669.40M2.68B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.00B93.26B90.24B92.00B101.39B106.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B3.26B2.02B1.37B1.20B1.32B
Total Debt41.68B43.31B43.21B43.57B45.69B47.69B
Total Liabilities59.63B61.09B62.11B62.05B66.95B69.78B
Stockholders Equity27.65B27.47B24.00B25.68B31.33B33.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.44B1.31B2.40B1.90B1.86B1.47B
Operating Cash Flow1.70B1.66B2.40B1.90B2.08B1.82B
Investing Cash Flow-716.50M-403.30M-187.60M-825.90M938.20M-19.12B
Financing Cash Flow-1.39B190.20M-1.82B-961.00M-3.15B18.13B

Vonovia Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price24.02
Price Trends
50DMA
21.27
Positive
100DMA
22.70
Negative
200DMA
23.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
50.85
Neutral
STOCH
34.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:VNA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.16, above the 50-day MA of 21.27, and above the 200-day MA of 23.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:VNA.

Vonovia Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€1.63B3.4211.65%0.72%89.13%
63
Neutral
€2.83B3.907.69%0.71%123.72%
61
Neutral
€4.26B3.2615.43%4.45%2.65%408.35%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
55
Neutral
€18.38B5.2813.06%5.08%-20.27%
49
Neutral
€6.11B24.084.04%-11.42%
45
Neutral
€25.40M-0.08-62.13%58.52%-142.49%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:VNA
Vonovia
21.43
-5.78
-21.25%
DE:LEG
LEG Immobilien
55.75
-15.28
-21.52%
DE:AT1
Aroundtown SA
2.54
-0.25
-9.05%
DE:GYC
Grand City Properties SA
9.70
-1.48
-13.24%
DE:ADJ
ADLER Group
0.17
-0.09
-35.02%
DE:O5G
CPI PROPERTY GROUP S.A.
0.73
-0.11
-13.10%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026