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LEG Immobilien (DE:LEG)
XETRA:LEG
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LEG Immobilien (LEG) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:LEG

LEG Immobilien

(XETRA:LEG)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
€80.00
▲(11.81% Upside)
LEG Immobilien's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, supported by a balanced earnings call sentiment. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while the absence of significant corporate events maintains the focus on core financial metrics.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
LEG Immobilien is on track to achieve 2024 guidance after solid Q3 figures.
Market Recovery
The transaction market continued to recover with additional sales volume.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow
AFFO was €152m, a decrease of 14% compared to the first nine months of FY23.
Earnings Decline
Adjusted EBITDA of €492m showed a decline of 3.1% over the prior year.

LEG Immobilien (LEG) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

LEG Immobilien Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLEG Immobilien AG (LEG) is a leading real estate company based in Germany, primarily focused on the acquisition, development, and management of residential properties. The company operates mainly in the housing sector, managing a diverse portfolio of over 100,000 residential units across various regions in Germany. LEG's core services include property leasing, property management, and real estate development, catering to both private tenants and institutional investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyLEG Immobilien generates revenue through multiple streams primarily derived from its rental operations. The company's key revenue source is rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties, which includes long-term lease agreements with tenants. Additionally, LEG earns income from property management services and ancillary revenues such as maintenance fees and service charges. The company's focus on strategic acquisitions and developments in high-demand urban areas further enhances its income potential. Partnerships with local authorities and housing agencies also contribute to its earnings, particularly in the context of social housing initiatives and urban development projects.

LEG Immobilien Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive with strong financial performance indicators such as AFFO and EBITDA growth, alongside successful integration of BCP. However, the increase in leverage and slow investment ramp-up present challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong AFFO Growth
AFFO increased by a strong 28.2% to EUR 62.3 million, driven by strong performance and BCP integration.
Net Cold Rent Increase
Net cold rent grew by 7.2% or EUR 15.4 million to EUR 229.5 million, with BCP contributing EUR 12.3 million.
Positive EBITDA Margin Improvement
The adjusted EBITDA rose by 10% to EUR 173.4 million, with the EBITDA margin improving by 200 basis points to 75.6%.
Robust Disposal Program
Successfully disposed of 1,500 units in Q1 with proceeds of EUR 125 million, and a robust transaction market in Germany.
Successful BCP Integration
BCP is operationally and financially fully integrated, with refinanced two-thirds of BCP's financing, supporting rental growth.
Negative Updates
Increased Leverage
LTV increased slightly to 48.4% due to the full consolidation of BCP, raising concerns about leverage levels.
Slow Investment Ramp-Up
Investments per square meter were lower than expected at EUR 7.51, slightly declining by 0.9% and behind the annual run rate.
Geopolitical and Macroeconomic Risks
Despite geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic risks, the company anticipates robust transaction activity.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2025 earnings call, LEG Immobilien AG's management provided guidance indicating a robust outlook for the fiscal year, with an expected bottom-line growth of 7%. Key metrics highlighted include a strong net cold rent increase of over 7%, which, alongside the full integration of BCP, contributed to a 28% boost in AFFO. Despite a sluggish start in investments compared to Q1 2024, the company reaffirmed its investment guidance of at least EUR 35 per square meter for the full year. Furthermore, they projected a like-for-like rent increase of 3.4% to 3.6%, and over 4% for their free finance portfolio. The company's LTV slightly rose to 48.4%, attributed to technical accounting effects and the full consideration of BCP. The company remains committed to reducing its LTV to 45% through an ongoing disposal program targeting around 5,000 units. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, transaction activity in the German residential market remains strong, underpinned by stable cash flows and an anticipated value increase of 0.5% to 1% in H1 2025.

LEG Immobilien Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LEG Immobilien shows a mixed financial performance. The income statement reflects a recovery from previous losses with positive EBIT and EBITDA, indicating improved operational efficiency. However, the balance sheet reveals high leverage, posing financial risks, while the cash flow statement highlights strong cash generation, enhancing liquidity.
Income Statement
65
Positive
LEG Immobilien's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company showed a consistent revenue growth trend over recent years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant loss reported in 2023 due to a large negative EBIT. The recovery in 2024 is promising, as EBIT and EBITDA turned positive again, indicating an improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a substantial leverage position, with a high debt-to-equity ratio in recent years. This suggests potential financial risk due to high debt levels relative to equity. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent, impacted by fluctuating net income figures over the years.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
LEG Immobilien's cash flow statement shows robust operational cash flow, consistently covering net income. The free cash flow has remained positive, with a visible growth trend, especially from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing the company's liquidity position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.35B1.30B1.24B1.15B961.70M860.80M
Gross Profit648.50M621.40M579.70M412.10M521.60M427.20M
EBITDA1.02B341.10M-1.80B509.10M376.00M401.10M
Net Income599.00M66.00M-1.57B234.00M1.72B1.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.65B19.59B19.30B21.36B20.55B15.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments633.60M305.80M277.50M360.50M673.60M332.90M
Total Debt10.03B9.72B9.38B9.46B8.89B5.87B
Total Liabilities12.90B12.19B11.82B12.28B11.60B7.89B
Stockholders Equity7.69B7.37B7.46B9.06B8.93B7.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow412.50M417.70M432.40M311.10M342.40M310.50M
Operating Cash Flow435.00M436.50M447.90M389.00M353.70M326.10M
Investing Cash Flow-168.50M-604.20M-421.50M-1.06B-2.75B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow141.50M197.10M-111.10M356.40M2.74B890.30M

LEG Immobilien Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price71.55
Price Trends
50DMA
72.47
Negative
100DMA
72.19
Negative
200DMA
73.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
45.37
Neutral
STOCH
26.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:LEG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 71.55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.40, below the 50-day MA of 72.47, and below the 200-day MA of 73.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:LEG.

LEG Immobilien Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€5.56B9.158.02%3.77%5.99%
63
Neutral
$7.06B13.38-0.50%6.96%4.08%-25.24%
€652.42M29.892.00%
€23.34B62.831.29%
75
Outperform
€1.89B4.6211.68%0.19%
70
Outperform
€3.70B5.109.56%-1.82%
51
Neutral
€7.29B-3.87%-6.54%76.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:LEG
LEG Immobilien
71.55
-12.40
-14.77%
GB:0FJC
Patrizia Immobilien
7.48
-0.27
-3.48%
GB:0QFT
Vonovia
27.83
-2.21
-7.36%
DE:AT1
Aroundtown SA
3.39
1.09
47.39%
DE:GYC
Grand City Properties SA
11.02
-1.41
-11.34%
DE:O5G
CPI PROPERTY GROUP S.A.
0.82
<0.01
1.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025