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LEG Immobilien (DE:LEG)
XETRA:LEG

LEG Immobilien (LEG) AI Stock Analysis

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LEG Immobilien

(XETRA:LEG)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
€79.00
▲(8.59%Upside)
LEG Immobilien's overall score reflects a solid financial recovery and robust cash flow with some leverage concerns. The technical indicators show potential for upward movement, while valuation metrics are attractive. The earnings call provides confidence in strategic direction, but financial risks from high leverage and investment sluggishness remain.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
LEG Immobilien is on track to achieve 2024 guidance after solid Q3 figures.
Market Recovery
The transaction market continued to recover with additional sales volume.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow
AFFO was €152m, a decrease of 14% compared to the first nine months of FY23.
Earnings Decline
Adjusted EBITDA of €492m showed a decline of 3.1% over the prior year.

LEG Immobilien (LEG) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

LEG Immobilien Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLEG Immobilien AG, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated property company in Germany. The company engages in the performance of services and management of equity investments; property management and location development; performance of services for third parties and housing industry services; and generation of electricity and heat. It also provides IT and management services for third-party. As of December 31, 2021, the company's property portfolio consisted of 166,189 residential units; 1,576 commercial units; and 45,438 garages and parking spaces in North Rhine-Westphalia. LEG Immobilien AG was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Düsseldorf, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyLEG Immobilien makes money primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company generates revenue by leasing apartments and homes to tenants, ensuring steady cash flow from rent payments. Additionally, LEG Immobilien enhances its revenue by offering ancillary services to tenants, such as property management, maintenance, and facility services. The company's strategic acquisitions and developments further contribute to its income stream by expanding its real estate portfolio and increasing rental opportunities. Partnerships with local municipalities and housing associations also play a role in supporting LEG's growth and revenue generation by facilitating access to desirable properties and enhancing community engagement.

LEG Immobilien Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented several positive outcomes such as significant AFFO and rent growth, successful integration of BCP, and progress in the disposal program. However, challenges such as an increased LTV and sluggish investment levels were also noted. The overall sentiment is balanced with strong highlights countered by noteworthy lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong AFFO Growth
AFFO increased by 28.2% to EUR 62.3 million, driven by strong cash generation from core business and improved margins.
Net Cold Rent Increase
Net cold rent grew by 7.2% to EUR 229.5 million, supported by like-for-like growth and the integration of BCP.
Successful Integration of BCP
BCP is operationally and financially fully integrated, contributing EUR 12 million to rental growth.
Disposal Program Progress
Sold 1,500 units in Q1 with proceeds of EUR 125 million, with ongoing robust transaction activity in the German residential market.
EBITDA Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA rose by 10% to EUR 173.4 million, with a margin improvement of 200 basis points to 75.6%.
Negative Updates
Increased LTV
LTV increased slightly to 48.4% due to technical accounting effects and full consideration of BCP.
Sluggish Investment Level
Investment levels were sluggish compared to Q1 2024, affecting the strong AFFO level.
Potential Yield Widening
Expectation of a yield widening due to rent growth outpacing nominal value growth for the year.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 2025 results call, the management reaffirmed the company's robust financial performance and strategic direction. They guided a 7% bottom-line growth, with a notable increase in cash generation from core business activities and a 28% boost in AFFO, partly due to a reduced investment level compared to Q1 2024. The integration of BCP contributed significantly, with a net cold rent increase of over 7% and a EUR 12 million rental growth addition. The company reiterated its investment guidance of at least EUR 35 per square meter for the full year, planning to enhance investments post-BCP integration. The like-for-like rent growth was guided between 3.4% to 3.6%, exceeding 4% for the free finance portfolio. The LTV increased to 48.4% due to technical accounting effects, but the company maintained its midterm target of 45%, supported by a disposal program of around 5,000 units. Despite geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, the German residential market remained robust, with expected value increases between 0.5% to 1% in H1 2025. The management expressed confidence in navigating market volatility while upholding their financial guidance for 2025.

LEG Immobilien Financial Statement Overview

Summary
LEG Immobilien shows a recovery in financial performance with improved revenue and positive EBIT and EBITDA in 2024. However, high leverage on the balance sheet and volatile net profit margins indicate financial risk. Strong cash flow operations bolster liquidity but managing debt remains crucial for stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
LEG Immobilien's income statement reveals a mixed performance. The company showed a consistent revenue growth trend over recent years, with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin has been volatile, with a significant loss reported in 2023 due to a large negative EBIT. The recovery in 2024 is promising, as EBIT and EBITDA turned positive again, indicating an improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a substantial leverage position, with a high debt-to-equity ratio in recent years. This suggests potential financial risk due to high debt levels relative to equity. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing. Return on equity has been inconsistent, impacted by fluctuating net income figures over the years.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
LEG Immobilien's cash flow statement shows robust operational cash flow, consistently covering net income. The free cash flow has remained positive, with a visible growth trend, especially from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests efficient cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing the company's liquidity position.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30B1.24B1.15B961.70M860.80M
Gross Profit621.40M579.70M412.10M521.60M427.20M
EBITDA341.10M-1.80B509.10M376.00M401.10M
Net Income66.00M-1.57B234.00M1.72B1.36B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.59B19.30B21.36B20.55B15.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments305.80M277.50M360.50M673.60M332.90M
Total Debt9.72B9.38B9.46B8.89B5.87B
Total Liabilities12.19B11.82B12.28B11.60B7.89B
Stockholders Equity7.37B7.46B9.06B8.93B7.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow417.70M432.40M311.10M342.40M310.50M
Operating Cash Flow436.50M447.90M389.00M353.70M326.10M
Investing Cash Flow-604.20M-421.50M-1.06B-2.75B-1.33B
Financing Cash Flow197.10M-111.10M356.40M2.74B890.30M

LEG Immobilien Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price72.75
Price Trends
50DMA
73.14
Positive
100DMA
71.02
Positive
200DMA
76.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
47.85
Neutral
STOCH
34.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:LEG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 72.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.33, below the 50-day MA of 73.14, and below the 200-day MA of 76.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:LEG.

LEG Immobilien Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DELEG
68
Neutral
€5.57B21.823.32%3.67%3.25%
63
Neutral
$6.99B18.83-1.16%6.86%4.65%-25.28%
€682.46M51.551.19%3.80%
€24.54B-2.91%4.15%
DEAT1
72
Outperform
€3.33B14.592.91%-3.28%
DEGYC
70
Neutral
€1.86B8.276.27%-1.22%
DEO5G
53
Neutral
€7.43B-3.87%-6.54%76.78%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:LEG
LEG Immobilien
72.75
-1.31
-1.77%
GB:0FJC
Patrizia Immobilien
8.07
1.17
16.96%
GB:0QFT
Vonovia
28.92
2.94
11.32%
DE:AT1
Aroundtown SA
3.01
1.02
51.26%
DE:GYC
Grand City Properties SA
10.88
-0.03
-0.27%
DE:O5G
CPI PROPERTY GROUP S.A.
0.83
0.01
1.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 18, 2025