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Grammer AG (DE:GMM)
XETRA:GMM

Grammer (GMM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:GMM

Grammer

(XETRA:GMM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
€7.00
▲(23.89% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance driven by negative profitability, high leverage, and very poor free cash flow trends. Technicals are mixed with a short-term lift but longer-term averages still above price and MACD negative. Valuation is a relative positive due to the low P/E, but it does not offset the fundamental cash flow and balance sheet risks.
Positive Factors
Market leadership in seating systems
Leading market position in engineered seating and interior solutions gives Grammer durable competitive advantages: scale in production, entrenched OEM relationships, and design expertise that raise switching costs and support stable order flow across commercial vehicle segments over multiple quarters.
Long-term OEM contracts
Multi-year contracts and partnerships with major OEMs deliver predictable revenue streams and higher order visibility, enabling better capacity planning and capital allocation. This structural revenue stability reduces short-term cyclicality and supports investment in product development and manufacturing efficiency.
R&D and diversified commercial end-markets
Ongoing R&D and product specialization across multiple commercial vehicle markets build sustainable product differentiation and broaden addressable markets. Diversified end-markets reduce revenue concentration risk and increase resilience to single-segment downturns, supporting durable demand for engineered seating.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and thin margins
Persistently negative net margin and low gross margin indicate structural profitability pressure. This erodes retained earnings, limits reinvestment capacity, and reduces buffer against cost inflation or price competition, making long-term margin recovery and competitive reinvestment harder without structural change.
High financial leverage
A debt-to-equity ratio near 2x creates elevated financial fixed costs and reduces flexibility for capex or cyclical downturns. High leverage magnifies downside risk from operating shortfalls and can constrain strategic investments or require equity issuance if cash flows do not improve sustainably.
Severely deteriorating free cash flow
An extreme decline in free cash flow and very low operating cash conversion signal weak cash generation versus reported earnings. This undermines the firm's ability to service debt, fund R&D or capex organically, and may force external financing or asset sales, weakening financial resilience over months.

Grammer (GMM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Grammer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrammer AG engages in the development, producing, and selling of components and systems for automotive interiors worldwide. It operates in two divisions, Automotive and Commercial Vehicles. The Automotive division supplies headrests, armrests, center console systems, interior components and operating elements, and thermoplastic solutions to automakers and automotive system suppliers. The Commercial Vehicles division offers driver and passenger seats for trucks, tractors, construction machinery, and forklifts; to commercial vehicles OEMs; and to bus and rolling stock OEMs and railway operators, as well as seats and seating systems for trains and buses. The company was founded in 1880 and is based in Ursensollen, Germany. Grammer AG is a subsidiary of Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyGrammer generates revenue primarily through the sale of its seating systems and interior components to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. Key revenue streams include the mass production of high-quality ergonomic seats for commercial vehicles, which are sold to major clients in the automotive industry. Additionally, Grammer benefits from long-term contracts with OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) that provide a stable source of income. The company also engages in research and development to innovate its product offerings, which helps maintain competitive advantage and profitability. Significant partnerships with leading automotive brands further bolster its earnings, as these collaborations often lead to exclusive contracts and increased market share in the seating and interior solutions market.

Grammer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak overall fundamentals: negative net margin (-4.34%) and low gross margin (9.4%) point to profitability pressure, leverage is high (debt-to-equity 1.92) with negative ROE, and cash flow is a major concern with sharply negative free cash flow growth (-1754.96%) and low operating cash flow to net income (0.10).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Grammer's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 4.3%, but the net profit margin remains negative at -4.34%, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is relatively low at 9.4%, and the EBIT margin is modest at 1.5%. Despite some improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins, the company struggles with consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, indicating significant leverage, which poses financial risk. The return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage and negative ROE highlight potential stability concerns.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a concerning decline in free cash flow growth, with a significant drop of -1754.96% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.10, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges and limited cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.92B2.06B2.16B1.90B1.71B
Gross Profit175.90M189.31M245.81M140.51M175.31M125.27M
EBITDA140.31M94.83M63.96M128.50M112.83M40.75M
Net Income12.54M-92.54M1.80M-77.77M1.85M-64.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.70B1.53B1.44B1.48B1.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments136.71M219.85M131.00M108.59M113.44M89.84M
Total Debt519.51M696.30M525.19M535.85M530.45M445.64M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.43B1.22B1.14B1.14B1.07B
Stockholders Equity170.67M251.57M263.94M299.41M343.02M303.03M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.63M-44.88M52.19M27.27M-13.22M-41.95M
Operating Cash Flow160.67M25.66M132.41M106.72M71.28M31.06M
Investing Cash Flow-106.36M-42.08M-84.26M-75.44M-76.84M-67.34M
Financing Cash Flow16.98M159.76M-11.54M-41.94M-4.83M-38.10M

Grammer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.65
Price Trends
50DMA
6.11
Positive
100DMA
6.27
Positive
200DMA
6.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
75.83
Negative
STOCH
84.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:GMM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.65 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.24, below the 50-day MA of 6.11, and below the 200-day MA of 6.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:GMM.

Grammer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€83.75M7.267.17%5.91%-4.01%-10.36%
59
Neutral
€133.39M7.2819.67%-9.08%-34.48%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
46
Neutral
€96.85M6.489.81%-10.08%
46
Neutral
€269.91M-2.31-16.55%3.51%-6.21%-995.53%
45
Neutral
€194.23M-3.57-16.04%1.38%-17.63%30.27%
42
Neutral
€94.25M-1.54-47.18%10.96%-13.53%-394.79%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:GMM
Grammer
7.40
0.30
4.23%
DE:BDT
Bertrandt
18.14
-1.43
-7.29%
DE:ED4
EDAG Engineering
3.72
-2.68
-41.88%
DE:ZIL2
ElringKlinger
4.27
0.03
0.68%
DE:PWO
Progress Werk Oberkirch
26.40
-0.52
-1.93%
DE:NVM
Novem Group SA
2.90
-2.01
-40.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026