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EDAG Engineering Group Ltd (DE:ED4)
XETRA:ED4
Germany Market

EDAG Engineering (ED4) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:ED4

EDAG Engineering

(XETRA:ED4)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
€3.50
▼(-29.44% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, and high leverage) and very poor technical momentum (price far below major moving averages with deeply oversold readings). Valuation does not offset these risks because the negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and there is no indicated dividend support.
Positive Factors
Project-based engineering services (recurring client work)
EDAG's project-based engineering and consulting model creates recurring, contract-driven revenues from OEMs and suppliers. This service-led structure supports steady demand for expertise over multi-month projects, enabling predictable utilization and long-term client relationships in automotive engineering.
Exposure to EV, autonomy, and digitalization trends
The company's strategic focus on electric/hybrid powertrains, autonomous systems, and digital production aligns with multi-year structural shifts in automotive R&D. This positions EDAG to capture growing engineering spend as OEMs outsource complex electrification and software integration work.
High gross profit margin at product/service level
An 88.73% gross margin indicates strong markup on core engineering services and prototype work, giving EDAG structural capacity to cover fixed costs and fund R&D. If revenue stabilizes, strong gross margins support recovery in operating profitability over several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
Sustained revenue declines reduce scale needed to absorb fixed overhead in engineering operations. Lower project volumes compress utilization and increase per-project SG&A burden, making margin recovery and reinvestment more difficult absent renewed contract wins or market share gains.
High leverage and weak equity base
A debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61 signals material leverage, increasing interest and refinancing risk. High leverage limits strategic flexibility for investments or downturns, and with negative ROE, debt amplifies downside risk if operating performance doesn't improve within the next several quarters.
Weak cash conversion and sharply falling FCF
A >50% drop in free cash flow growth and low operating cash flow to net income ratio indicate difficulty converting earnings into cash. This constrains funding for capex, R&D, or dividends and raises reliance on external financing during a multi-quarter recovery.

EDAG Engineering (ED4) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

EDAG Engineering Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEDAG Engineering Group AG engages in the development of vehicles, derivatives, modules, and production facilities for the automotive and commercial vehicle industries worldwide. It operates through three segments: Vehicle Engineering, Production Solutions, and Electrics/Electronics. The Vehicle Engineering segment provides package and ergonomics, body assembly, surface design, and interior and exterior services; develops commercial vehicles, doors, covers, and lid systems, as well as head, rear, and small lamps; and technologies and lightweight designing services. This segment also offers vehicle integration services comprising functional integration and vehicle validation services, such as testing of individual components, modules, engines, motors, transmissions, and complete vehicles; models and vehicle solutions, including a range of styling, ideation, and design services, as well as creates test vehicles, sub-assemblies, and vehicle bodies for the physical validation of modules and systems; project management; and consulting and support services for quality-related matters. The Production Solutions segment provides body manufacturing and smart factory services, product design for manufacturability, coordinated technical building equipment and plant layout, individual production solutions, networking through smart logistics, digitalization, and networking in production; and process consulting and CAx development services, as well as consulting, conceptual, and realization services. The Electrics/Electronics segment develops electric and electronic systems comprising architecture and networks development, systems engineering, embedded systems, information technology, integration and system validation, functional safety and cyber security, and process and product data management services. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Arbon, Switzerland. EDAG Engineering Group AG is a subsidiary of Aton Austria Holding GmbH.
How the Company Makes MoneyEDAG makes money primarily through its engineering and consulting services provided to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. The company's revenue model is based on project-based contracts, where it earns fees for its expertise in vehicle development and related engineering services. Key revenue streams include design and development projects, prototype construction, and advisory services for manufacturing processes. Additionally, EDAG has formed strategic partnerships with various automotive companies and technology firms, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach, which contributes significantly to its earnings.

EDAG Engineering Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenues are declining (-3.14% TTM), profitability is negative (net and EBIT margins negative), and leverage is high (debt-to-equity 1.61) with negative ROE. Cash generation is mixed, with sharply lower free cash flow growth (-51.91%) but some stability in free cash flow relative to net losses.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
EDAG Engineering's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -3.14% in the TTM period. The company is experiencing negative net profit margins, indicating losses, and EBIT margins have also turned negative. Despite a strong gross profit margin of 88.73%, the overall profitability is weak due to high operating expenses and declining revenues.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.61 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow growth by -51.91% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains relatively stable, suggesting some ability to generate cash despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue742.16M821.91M844.78M821.92M710.09M653.46M
Gross Profit653.17M728.56M746.28M707.25M622.69M569.87M
EBITDA-22.17M47.55M99.48M91.23M66.34M24.64M
Net Income-61.92M-14.36M28.90M28.86M11.42M-23.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets657.30M734.15M730.58M721.66M694.22M620.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.89M125.50M107.29M122.72M151.23M156.32M
Total Debt192.32M344.98M342.70M321.45M285.96M260.54M
Total Liabilities557.07M601.09M568.05M572.74M578.80M518.24M
Stockholders Equity100.12M132.88M162.53M148.92M115.42M101.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow21.89M71.21M10.55M3.92M4.86M134.39M
Operating Cash Flow33.56M94.08M40.74M34.00M23.59M150.11M
Investing Cash Flow-12.92M-23.95M-29.78M-29.72M-18.37M-15.49M
Financing Cash Flow-75.12M-51.58M-26.27M-33.03M-10.55M-47.17M

EDAG Engineering Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.96
Price Trends
50DMA
5.08
Negative
100DMA
5.96
Negative
200DMA
6.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.41
Negative
RSI
28.38
Positive
STOCH
43.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:ED4, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.26, below the 50-day MA of 5.08, and below the 200-day MA of 6.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 28.38 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:ED4.

EDAG Engineering Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€83.75M7.267.17%5.91%-4.01%-10.36%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
€133.39M7.2819.67%-9.08%-34.48%
46
Neutral
€269.91M-2.31-16.55%3.51%-6.21%-995.53%
46
Neutral
€96.85M6.489.81%-10.08%
45
Neutral
€194.23M-3.57-16.04%1.38%-17.63%30.27%
42
Neutral
€94.25M-1.54-47.18%10.96%-13.53%-394.79%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:ED4
EDAG Engineering
3.83
-2.57
-40.16%
DE:BDT
Bertrandt
19.00
-0.57
-2.90%
DE:ZIL2
ElringKlinger
4.20
-0.04
-0.85%
DE:GMM
Grammer
7.30
0.20
2.82%
DE:PWO
Progress Werk Oberkirch
26.40
-0.52
-1.93%
DE:NVM
Novem Group SA
3.10
-1.81
-36.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026