Global Fashion Group (GFG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €79.05M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 62.28K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.44
• Revenue Growth: -11.28%
• EPS Growth: 54.27%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 3,558
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 59
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): -0.36
• Shares Outstanding: 228,642,910
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 72,292
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 62,277
• PEG Ratio: -0.04
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.53
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.03
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €0.34
• Price Target Upside: 3.03% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: €0.50 ▲(51.52%Upside)

The stock score reflects significant financial performance challenges, notably negative profitability and cash flow issues. Despite technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, the poor valuation metrics and financial risk weigh heavily on the overall assessment.

Global Fashion Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Global Fashion Group (GFG) is a leading online fashion and lifestyle destination in growth markets, offering a wide assortment of international, local, and own-brand products. Operating in regions such as Latin America, the Commonwealth of Independent States, Southeast Asia, and Australia/New Zealand, GFG caters to a diverse customer base with a focus on providing access to the latest fashion trends and a unique shopping experience. The company employs a data-driven approach to market insights, enabling it to effectively engage with its audience through personalized marketing strategies and a dynamic product offering.

How the Company Makes Money

Global Fashion Group primarily makes money through the sale of fashion and lifestyle products via its e-commerce platforms. Its revenue model is driven by direct-to-consumer sales, where customers purchase products from GFG's online stores. Key revenue streams include the sales of clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty products. Moreover, GFG monetizes its platform through advertising and brand partnerships, leveraging its significant reach and consumer insights to offer value-added services to brands looking to expand their presence in the company's operating regions. Additionally, GFG benefits from economies of scale and operational efficiencies in logistics and supply chain management, which contribute to its overall profitability.

Global Fashion Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Global Fashion Group faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and negative margins. Though there is some improvement in debt management, high debt levels and negative cash flows pose substantial risks.

Income Statement

The company has faced declining revenue over the past few years, with a significant drop from 2021 to 2024. Gross profit margin has been decreasing, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have consistently been negative, indicating operational inefficiency. However, the net loss has narrowed slightly in the recent year, suggesting some improvement in cost control.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a stable equity ratio around 33.5% in 2024, indicating moderate financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high due to decreased equity, increasing the risk profile. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to reduce its total debt significantly from 2020 to 2024, which is a positive sign.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement shows negative operating cash flow in the most recent year, reflecting challenges in generating cash from operations. Free cash flow has been negative, though there has been a slight improvement in reduction of negative free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, indicating that the company struggles to convert its income into cash effectively.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
753.20M	743.50M	838.00M	1.10B	1.56B	1.36B
	Gross Profit
327.70M	333.80M	352.90M	468.90M	711.50M	586.20M
	EBIT
-99.55M	-79.20M	-120.00M	-137.40M	-102.70M	-91.00M
	EBITDA
-54.81M	-18.60M	-86.20M	-62.70M	-38.00M	-27.50M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-154.65M	-82.50M	-178.40M	-178.40M	-124.80M	-112.40M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
307.40M	210.60M	387.00M	550.00M	634.50M	366.10M
	Total Assets
748.40M	637.50M	862.00M	1.17B	1.54B	1.17B
	Total Debt
218.70M	103.00M	239.40M	343.00M	497.20M	123.90M
	Net Debt
-88.70M	-107.60M	13.50M	19.50M	96.70M	-242.20M
	Total Liabilities
508.00M	426.30M	566.30M	695.10M	971.40M	553.70M
	Stockholders Equity
241.60M	213.70M	272.30M	475.50M	569.70M	615.20M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-20.60M	-44.60M	-76.40M	25.00M	-107.80M	-19.20M
	Operating Cash Flow
-17.00M	-15.00M	-47.50M	92.60M	-51.20M	30.30M
	Investing Cash Flow
207.80M	130.10M	48.90M	-38.00M	-293.10M	-33.50M
	Financing Cash Flow
-110.40M	-130.60M	-99.50M	-121.90M	370.10M	106.50M

Global Fashion Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.33
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:GFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.31, above the 50-day MA of 0.28, and above the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.72 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:GFG.

Global Fashion Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TPG	75 Outperform	€213.36M	6.20	31.97%	―	21.39%	14.07%
ZAL	65 Neutral	€7.67B	28.44	10.57%	―	6.14%	140.08%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$6.98B	11.41	2.80%	4.24%	2.68%	-24.94%
ECK	55 Neutral	€53.95M	―	-4.51%	1.03%	0.84%	-764.16%
WEW	49 Neutral	€161.27M	―	-0.89%	―	2.05%	97.89%
GFG	48 Neutral	€79.05M	―	-34.04%	―	-11.28%	54.27%